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daily prop · San Francisco, CA · West Coast & Southwest · settles Mon Oct 19

San Francisco high ≥ 64°F · Mon Oct 19

59¢
american -142 · decimal 1.71
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 64°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0410/1710/19 06:47
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
eps
93¢
rrfs
64¢
ndfd
59¢
nbm
59¢
wn2
54¢
aifs
52¢
hres
47¢
icon
25¢
hrrr
10¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
58–59°F0¢
60–61°F7¢
62–63°F33¢
64–65°F42¢
66–67°F16¢
68–69°F2¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KSFO-20261019-TMAX-GE64 · opened 2026-10-14T03:00:10+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape