daily prop · San Francisco, CA · West Coast & Southwest · settles Mon Oct 19

San Francisco stays cold-for-here: high ≤ 63°F · Mon Oct 19

41¢

american +142 · decimal 2.42

on the tape

63°F is the bottom-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present).

Canonical settlement condition: High ≤ 63°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

hrrr		90¢
icon		75¢
hres		53¢
aifs		48¢
wn2		46¢
nbm		41¢
ndfd		41¢
rrfs		36¢
eps		7¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

58–59°F0¢

60–61°F7¢

62–63°F33¢

64–65°F42¢

66–67°F16¢

68–69°F2¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KSFO-20261019-TMAX-LE63 · opened 2026-10-15T07:50:32+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape