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daily prop · San Francisco, CA · West Coast & Southwest · settles Tue Oct 20

San Francisco high ≥ 64°F · Tue Oct 20

78¢
american -360 · decimal 1.28
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 64°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0510/1510/20 12:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
nbm
85¢
wn2
84¢
eps
77¢
hres
73¢
aifs
71¢
icon
64¢
ndfd
55¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
64–65°F6¢
66–67°F33¢
68–69°F44¢
70–71°F15¢
72–73°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KSFO-20261020-TMAX-GE64 · opened 2026-10-14T03:00:10+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape