WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
daily prop · San Francisco, CA · West Coast & Southwest · settles Tue Oct 20

San Francisco high ≥ 66°F · Tue Oct 20

59¢
american -147 · decimal 1.68
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 66°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0510/1510/20 06:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
icon
75¢
hres
62¢
eps
62¢
nbm
61¢
ndfd
54¢
aifs
50¢
wn2
48¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
64–65°F6¢
66–67°F33¢
68–69°F44¢
70–71°F15¢
72–73°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KSFO-20261020-TMAX-GE66 · opened 2026-10-15T04:02:40+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape