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daily prop · San Francisco, CA · West Coast & Southwest · settles Tue Oct 20

San Francisco high ≥ 68°F · Tue Oct 20

40¢
american +152 · decimal 2.52
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 68°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0510/1810/20 10:07
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
rrfs
93¢
now
86¢
ndfd
59¢
aifs
46¢
nbm
41¢
eps
40¢
wn2
35¢
icon
34¢
hres
25¢
hrrr
2¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
64–65°F6¢
66–67°F33¢
68–69°F44¢
70–71°F15¢
72–73°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KSFO-20261020-TMAX-GE68 · opened 2026-10-17T15:25:19+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape