— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
nbm
76¢
aifs
71¢
wn2
56¢
ndfd
55¢
eps
44¢
hres
44¢
icon
23¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
60–61°F1¢
62–63°F5¢
64–65°F13¢
66–67°F24¢
68–69°F27¢
70–71°F19¢
72–73°F8¢
74–75°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 14,052 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.161 vs climatology 8.892.
Receipts
prop id WP-KSLC-20261018-TMAX-GE68 · opened 2026-10-11T11:20:12+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape