daily prop · Salt Lake City, UT · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Tue Oct 20

Salt Lake City runs hot-for-here: 75°F+ · Tue Oct 20

8¢

american +1205 · decimal 13.05

on the tape

75°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 75°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

rrfs		33¢
aifs		26¢
hres		17¢
nbm		14¢
ndfd		13¢
eps		13¢
icon		7¢
wn2		5¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

64–65°F3¢

66–67°F10¢

68–69°F21¢

70–71°F28¢

72–73°F23¢

74–75°F12¢

76–77°F4¢

78–79°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,459 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.516 vs climatology 8.861.

Receipts

prop id WP-KSLC-20261020-TMAX-GE75 · opened 2026-10-13T08:04:11+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape