— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
rrfs
92¢
hres
66¢
icon
65¢
nbm
59¢
ndfd
56¢
eps
48¢
aifs
41¢
wn2
30¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
66–67°F2¢
68–69°F9¢
70–71°F21¢
72–73°F30¢
74–75°F24¢
76–77°F11¢
78–79°F3¢
calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 14,410 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.692 vs climatology 8.861.
Receipts
prop id WP-KSLC-20261021-TMAX-GE73 · opened 2026-10-18T15:41:35+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape