daily prop · Salt Lake City, UT · Rockies & Intermountain · settles Wed Oct 21

Salt Lake City runs hot-for-here: 74°F+ · Wed Oct 21

32¢

american +211 · decimal 3.11

on the tape

74°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 74°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

hres		61¢
icon		40¢
aifs		37¢
eps		36¢
wn2		34¢
ndfd		26¢
nbm		25¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

66–67°F2¢

68–69°F9¢

70–71°F21¢

72–73°F30¢

74–75°F24¢

76–77°F11¢

78–79°F3¢

calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 14,410 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.692 vs climatology 8.861.

Receipts

prop id WP-KSLC-20261021-TMAX-GE74 · opened 2026-10-14T17:28:13+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape