daily prop · St. Louis, MO · Plains & South Central · settles Thu Oct 1

A 90° day in St. Louis · Thu Oct 1

YES

settled · observed 90

longshot hit on the tape

Settles YES on an official high of 90°F or hotter.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 90°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 0¢ and still hit.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

rrfs		67¢
aifs		56¢
wn2		49¢
eps		43¢
nbm		29¢
ndfd		6¢
hres		2¢
icon		1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KSTL-20261001-TMAX-GE90 · opened 2026-09-24T07:28:00+00:00 · settled 2026-10-02T13:59:05+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape