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daily prop · St. Louis, MO · Plains & South Central · settles Tue Oct 20

St. Louis high ≥ 73°F · Tue Oct 20

50¢
american -100 · decimal 2.0
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 73°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0510/1710/20 10:07
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
wn2
75¢
aifs
74¢
ndfd
59¢
rrfs
43¢
hrrr
42¢
nbm
41¢
eps
40¢
now
38¢
icon
28¢
hres
21¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
68–69°F4¢
70–71°F28¢
72–73°F46¢
74–75°F19¢
76–77°F2¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KSTL-20261020-TMAX-GE73 · opened 2026-10-15T15:34:19+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape