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daily prop · St. Louis, MO · Plains & South Central · settles Tue Oct 20

St. Louis high ≥ 75°F · Tue Oct 20

17¢
american +495 · decimal 5.95
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 75°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0510/1610/20 06:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
ndfd
56¢
aifs
46¢
nbm
24¢
wn2
21¢
rrfs
12¢
eps
12¢
hres
9¢
icon
4¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
68–69°F4¢
70–71°F28¢
72–73°F46¢
74–75°F19¢
76–77°F2¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KSTL-20261020-TMAX-GE75 · opened 2026-10-16T04:24:25+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape