daily prop · St. Louis, MO · Plains & South Central · settles Tue Oct 20

St. Louis high ≥ 78°F · Tue Oct 20

settled · observed 73

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 78°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

nbm		55¢
aifs		50¢
icon		46¢
hres		43¢
wn2		38¢
eps		21¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KSTL-20261020-TMAX-GE78 · opened 2026-10-13T08:03:43+00:00 · settled 2026-10-21T13:37:32+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape