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daily prop · St. Louis, MO · Plains & South Central · settles Tue Oct 20

St. Louis high ≥ 80°F · Tue Oct 20

14¢
american +629 · decimal 7.29
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 80°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0510/1410/20 06:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
ndfd
53¢
icon
36¢
aifs
33¢
nbm
20¢
wn2
16¢
hres
12¢
eps
1¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
68–69°F4¢
70–71°F28¢
72–73°F46¢
74–75°F19¢
76–77°F2¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KSTL-20261020-TMAX-GE80 · opened 2026-10-14T02:59:54+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape