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daily prop · Tampa, FL · Southeast · settles Mon Oct 19

Tampa high ≥ 82°F · Mon Oct 19

52¢
american -107 · decimal 1.93
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 82°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0410/1610/19 06:47
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
aifs
67¢
eps
64¢
ndfd
59¢
hres
57¢
wn2
56¢
rrfs
43¢
nbm
41¢
icon
16¢
hrrr
7¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
76–77°F0¢
78–79°F8¢
80–81°F37¢
82–83°F42¢
84–85°F12¢
86–87°F1¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KTPA-20261019-TMAX-GE82 · opened 2026-10-15T04:02:03+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape