daily prop · Tampa, FL · Southeast · settles Tue Oct 20

Tampa high ≥ 82°F · Tue Oct 20

50¢

american -100 · decimal 2.0

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 82°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		70¢
aifs		68¢
ndfd		59¢
eps		58¢
nbm		41¢
hrrr		35¢
hres		35¢
rrfs		20¢
icon		17¢
now		8¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

76–77°F1¢

78–79°F12¢

80–81°F42¢

82–83°F37¢

84–85°F8¢

86–87°F0¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KTPA-20261020-TMAX-GE82 · opened 2026-10-15T15:33:58+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape