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daily prop · Tampa, FL · Southeast · settles Tue Oct 20

Tampa high ≥ 86°F · Tue Oct 20

50¢
american -100 · decimal 2.0
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 86°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0510/1410/20 06:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
icon
79¢
aifs
63¢
wn2
58¢
ndfd
53¢
hres
51¢
nbm
34¢
eps
34¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
76–77°F1¢
78–79°F12¢
80–81°F42¢
82–83°F37¢
84–85°F8¢
86–87°F0¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KTPA-20261020-TMAX-GE86 · opened 2026-10-14T02:59:39+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape