daily prop · Tampa, FL · Southeast · settles Wed Oct 21

Tampa stays cold-for-here: high ≤ 77°F · Wed Oct 21

2¢

american +4754 · decimal 48.54

on the tape

77°F is the bottom-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present).

Canonical settlement condition: High ≤ 77°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

icon		23¢
hres		20¢
hrrr		15¢
rrfs		12¢
ndfd		7¢
aifs		5¢
nbm		2¢
wn2		1¢
eps		1¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

76–77°F1¢

78–79°F8¢

80–81°F24¢

82–83°F34¢

84–85°F24¢

86–87°F8¢

88–89°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,511 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.514 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KTPA-20261021-TMAX-LE77 · opened 2026-10-17T07:44:12+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape