daily prop · Tampa, FL · Southeast · settles Fri Oct 23

Tampa runs hot-for-here: 88°F+ · Fri Oct 23

2¢

american +6394 · decimal 64.94

on the tape

88°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 88°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		18¢
hres		13¢
aifs		12¢
ndfd		8¢
icon		4¢
eps		1¢
nbm		0¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

76–77°F3¢

78–79°F12¢

80–81°F26¢

82–83°F30¢

84–85°F19¢

86–87°F7¢

88–89°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 14,413 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.902 vs climatology 8.854.

Receipts

prop id WP-KTPA-20261023-TMAX-GE88 · opened 2026-10-16T13:28:18+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape