— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
eps
94¢
hres
81¢
wn2
80¢
aifs
78¢
nbm
56¢
icon
48¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
76–77°F2¢
78–79°F7¢
80–81°F16¢
82–83°F23¢
84–85°F24¢
86–87°F16¢
88–89°F8¢
90–91°F3¢
92–93°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 7, scored on 8,387 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.601 vs climatology 8.75.
Receipts
prop id WP-KTPA-20261027-TMAX-GE81 · opened 2026-10-20T10:53:21+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape