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daily prop · Tucson, AZ · West Coast & Southwest · settles Mon Oct 19

Tucson high ≥ 85°F · Mon Oct 19

66¢
american -196 · decimal 1.51
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 85°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0410/1210/19 00:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
aifs
83¢
wn2
80¢
hres
70¢
eps
66¢
nbm
55¢
icon
7¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
80–81°F4¢
82–83°F24¢
84–85°F44¢
86–87°F24¢
88–89°F4¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KTUS-20261019-TMAX-GE85 · opened 2026-10-12T07:49:18+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape