WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
daily prop · Tucson, AZ · West Coast & Southwest · settles Tue Oct 20

Tucson high ≥ 84°F · Tue Oct 20

89¢
american -797 · decimal 1.13
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 84°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0510/1510/20 06:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
hres
98¢
icon
94¢
eps
87¢
wn2
87¢
aifs
82¢
nbm
67¢
ndfd
55¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
84–85°F2¢
86–87°F17¢
88–89°F46¢
90–91°F30¢
92–93°F5¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KTUS-20261020-TMAX-GE84 · opened 2026-10-13T11:05:30+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape