daily prop · Tucson, AZ · West Coast & Southwest · settles Tue Oct 20

Tucson high ≥ 89°F · Tue Oct 20

41¢

american +142 · decimal 2.42

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 89°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

now		97¢
rrfs		95¢
hrrr		88¢
hres		67¢
ndfd		59¢
aifs		42¢
nbm		41¢
wn2		34¢
eps		33¢
icon		18¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

84–85°F2¢

86–87°F17¢

88–89°F46¢

90–91°F30¢

92–93°F5¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KTUS-20261020-TMAX-GE89 · opened 2026-10-19T15:14:02+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape