Nashville, TNHigh ≥ 90°F
Who takes which side?
Probabilities derived from each source’s mean and spread. Forecasts may have different initialization times.
Head-to-head preview
ILLUSTRATIVE · NOT EXECUTED100 contracts at the midpoint of these model probabilities. Each contract pays 1u to the winning side.
AIFS +21.80u · HRES −21.80u
These are current forecast comparisons, not locked entries. No credits have been committed. Read the proposed policy →
Probability history
Recorded source probabilities; timestamps mark snapshots. Repeated values may come from the same model run.
View the forecast data
| UTC | AIFS | EPS | WN2 | HRES | ICON |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07T14:03:24+00:00 | 88.4% | 71.5% | 51.7% | 77.8% | 23.8% |
| 2026-09-07T14:25:58+00:00 | 88.4% | 71.5% | 51.7% | 77.8% | 23.8% |
| 2026-09-07T14:27:39+00:00 | 88.4% | 71.5% | 51.7% | 77.8% | 23.8% |
| 2026-09-07T14:51:45+00:00 | 88.4% | 71.5% | 51.7% | 77.8% | 23.8% |
| 2026-09-07T14:51:48+00:00 | 88.4% | 71.5% | 51.7% | 77.8% | 23.8% |
| 2026-09-07T15:36:56+00:00 | 88.4% | 71.5% | 51.7% | 77.8% | 23.8% |
| 2026-09-07T16:22:03+00:00 | 88.4% | 71.5% | 51.7% | 77.8% | 23.8% |
| 2026-09-07T17:07:09+00:00 | 88.4% | 71.5% | 57.5% | 77.8% | 23.8% |
| 2026-09-07T17:52:14+00:00 | 88.4% | 71.5% | 57.5% | 77.8% | 23.8% |
| 2026-09-07T18:37:19+00:00 | 88.4% | 71.5% | 57.5% | 77.8% | 23.8% |
| 2026-09-07T19:22:25+00:00 | 88.4% | 71.5% | 57.5% | 77.8% | 23.8% |
| 2026-09-07T20:07:31+00:00 | 85.3% | 71.5% | 57.5% | 65.8% | 81.5% |
| 2026-09-07T20:52:36+00:00 | 85.3% | 71.5% | 57.5% | 65.8% | 81.5% |
| 2026-09-07T21:37:40+00:00 | 85.3% | 71.5% | 57.5% | 65.8% | 81.5% |
| 2026-09-07T22:22:45+00:00 | 85.3% | 71.5% | 57.5% | 65.8% | 81.5% |
| 2026-09-07T23:07:50+00:00 | 85.3% | 71.5% | 51.7% | 65.8% | 81.5% |
| 2026-09-07T23:52:55+00:00 | 85.3% | 71.5% | 51.7% | 65.8% | 81.5% |
| 2026-09-08T00:38:00+00:00 | 85.3% | 71.5% | 51.7% | 65.8% | 81.5% |
| 2026-09-08T01:23:05+00:00 | 80.3% | 71.5% | 51.7% | 65.8% | 81.5% |
| 2026-09-08T02:08:10+00:00 | 80.3% | 71.5% | 51.7% | 65.8% | 81.5% |
| 2026-09-08T02:53:15+00:00 | 80.3% | 71.5% | 51.7% | 65.8% | 81.5% |
| 2026-09-08T03:38:21+00:00 | 80.3% | 71.5% | 51.7% | 65.8% | 81.5% |
| 2026-09-08T04:23:29+00:00 | 80.3% | 71.5% | 51.7% | 65.8% | 81.5% |
| 2026-09-08T05:08:33+00:00 | 80.3% | 71.5% | 62.4% | 65.8% | 81.5% |
| 2026-09-08T05:53:38+00:00 | 80.3% | 71.5% | 62.4% | 65.8% | 81.5% |
| 2026-09-08T06:38:43+00:00 | 80.3% | 71.5% | 62.4% | 65.8% | 81.5% |
| 2026-09-08T07:23:50+00:00 | 39.8% | 71.5% | 62.4% | 87.6% | 89.8% |
| 2026-09-08T08:08:58+00:00 | 39.8% | 71.5% | 62.4% | 87.6% | 89.8% |
| 2026-09-08T08:54:02+00:00 | 39.8% | 71.5% | 62.4% | 87.6% | 89.8% |
| 2026-09-08T09:39:07+00:00 | 39.8% | 71.5% | 62.4% | 87.6% | 89.8% |
| 2026-09-08T10:24:11+00:00 | 39.8% | 65.3% | 62.4% | 87.6% | 89.8% |
| 2026-09-08T11:09:16+00:00 | 39.8% | 65.3% | 36.0% | 87.6% | 89.8% |
| 2026-09-08T11:54:22+00:00 | 39.8% | 65.3% | 36.0% | 87.6% | 89.8% |
| 2026-09-08T12:39:26+00:00 | 39.8% | 65.3% | 36.0% | 87.6% | 89.8% |
| 2026-09-08T13:24:30+00:00 | 86.3% | 65.3% | 36.0% | 87.6% | 89.8% |
| 2026-09-08T14:09:35+00:00 | 86.4% | 65.3% | 36.0% | 87.6% | 89.7% |
| 2026-09-08T14:54:40+00:00 | 86.4% | 65.3% | 36.0% | 87.6% | 89.7% |
| 2026-09-08T15:39:47+00:00 | 86.4% | 65.3% | 36.0% | 87.6% | 89.7% |
| 2026-09-08T15:49:09+00:00 | 86.4% | 65.3% | 36.0% | 87.6% | 89.7% |
| 2026-09-08T16:00:08+00:00 | 86.4% | 65.3% | 36.0% | 87.6% | 89.7% |
| 2026-09-08T16:45:15+00:00 | 86.4% | 65.3% | 36.0% | 87.6% | 89.7% |
| 2026-09-08T17:06:44+00:00 | 86.4% | 65.3% | 49.1% | 87.6% | 89.7% |
| 2026-09-08T17:20:29+00:00 | 86.4% | 65.3% | 49.1% | 87.6% | 89.7% |
| 2026-09-08T18:05:35+00:00 | 86.4% | 65.3% | 49.1% | 87.6% | 89.7% |
| 2026-09-08T18:50:39+00:00 | 86.4% | 65.3% | 49.1% | 87.6% | 89.7% |
| 2026-09-08T19:35:45+00:00 | 88.3% | 65.3% | 49.1% | 78.3% | 93.2% |
| 2026-09-08T20:20:50+00:00 | 88.3% | 65.3% | 49.1% | 78.3% | 93.2% |
| 2026-09-08T21:05:55+00:00 | 88.3% | 65.3% | 49.1% | 78.3% | 93.2% |
| 2026-09-08T21:51:00+00:00 | 88.3% | 65.3% | 49.1% | 78.3% | 93.2% |
| 2026-09-08T22:36:04+00:00 | 88.3% | 65.3% | 49.1% | 78.3% | 93.2% |
| 2026-09-08T23:21:10+00:00 | 88.3% | 65.3% | 75.0% | 78.3% | 93.2% |
| 2026-09-09T00:06:16+00:00 | 88.3% | 65.3% | 75.0% | 78.3% | 93.2% |
| 2026-09-09T00:51:22+00:00 | 88.3% | 65.3% | 75.0% | 78.3% | 93.2% |
| 2026-09-09T01:36:27+00:00 | 88.3% | 65.3% | 75.0% | 78.3% | 93.2% |
| 2026-09-09T02:21:33+00:00 | 88.3% | 65.3% | 75.0% | 78.3% | 93.2% |
| 2026-09-09T03:06:38+00:00 | 88.3% | 64.2% | 75.0% | 78.3% | 93.2% |
| 2026-09-09T03:51:47+00:00 | 88.3% | 64.2% | 75.0% | 78.3% | 93.2% |
| 2026-09-09T04:36:51+00:00 | 88.3% | 64.2% | 75.0% | 78.3% | 93.2% |
| 2026-09-09T05:21:56+00:00 | 88.3% | 64.2% | 75.0% | 78.3% | 93.2% |
| 2026-09-09T06:07:02+00:00 | 88.3% | 64.2% | 75.0% | 78.3% | 93.2% |
| 2026-09-09T06:52:07+00:00 | 88.3% | 64.2% | 75.0% | 78.3% | 93.2% |
| 2026-09-09T07:37:19+00:00 | 87.1% | 64.2% | 75.0% | 67.7% | 77.9% |
| 2026-09-09T08:22:30+00:00 | 87.1% | 64.2% | 75.0% | 67.7% | 77.9% |
| 2026-09-09T09:07:34+00:00 | 87.1% | 64.2% | 75.0% | 67.7% | 77.9% |
| 2026-09-09T09:52:38+00:00 | 87.1% | 64.2% | 75.0% | 67.7% | 77.9% |
| 2026-09-09T10:37:42+00:00 | 87.1% | 64.2% | 75.0% | 67.7% | 77.9% |
| 2026-09-09T11:22:47+00:00 | 87.1% | 64.2% | 74.3% | 67.7% | 77.9% |
| 2026-09-09T12:07:54+00:00 | 87.1% | 64.2% | 74.3% | 67.7% | 77.9% |
| 2026-09-09T12:52:59+00:00 | 87.1% | 64.2% | 74.3% | 67.7% | 77.9% |
| 2026-09-09T13:38:04+00:00 | 78.7% | 64.2% | 74.3% | 67.7% | 77.9% |
| 2026-09-09T14:23:19+00:00 | 78.7% | 64.2% | 74.3% | 67.8% | 77.9% |
| 2026-09-09T15:08:26+00:00 | 78.7% | 68.5% | 74.3% | 67.8% | 77.9% |
| 2026-09-09T15:53:34+00:00 | 78.7% | 68.5% | 74.3% | 67.8% | 77.9% |
| 2026-09-09T16:38:39+00:00 | 78.7% | 68.5% | 74.3% | 67.8% | 79.9% |
| 2026-09-09T17:23:45+00:00 | 78.7% | 68.5% | 53.9% | 67.8% | 79.9% |
| 2026-09-09T18:08:52+00:00 | 78.7% | 68.5% | 53.9% | 67.8% | 79.9% |
| 2026-09-09T18:53:57+00:00 | 78.7% | 68.5% | 53.9% | 67.8% | 79.9% |
| 2026-09-09T19:39:05+00:00 | 83.1% | 68.5% | 53.9% | 76.3% | 79.9% |
| 2026-09-09T20:24:13+00:00 | 83.1% | 68.5% | 53.9% | 76.3% | 79.9% |
| 2026-09-09T21:09:18+00:00 | 83.1% | 68.5% | 53.9% | 76.3% | 79.9% |
| 2026-09-09T21:54:23+00:00 | 83.1% | 68.5% | 53.9% | 76.3% | 79.9% |
| 2026-09-09T22:39:31+00:00 | 83.1% | 68.5% | 53.9% | 76.3% | 79.9% |
| 2026-09-09T23:24:36+00:00 | 83.1% | 68.5% | 63.3% | 76.3% | 79.9% |
| 2026-09-10T00:09:41+00:00 | 83.1% | 68.5% | 63.3% | 76.3% | 79.9% |
| 2026-09-10T00:54:48+00:00 | 83.1% | 68.5% | 63.3% | 76.3% | 79.9% |
| 2026-09-10T01:39:55+00:00 | 76.3% | 68.5% | 63.3% | 76.3% | 79.9% |
| 2026-09-10T02:25:01+00:00 | 76.3% | 67.2% | 63.3% | 76.3% | 79.9% |
| 2026-09-10T03:10:10+00:00 | 76.3% | 67.2% | 63.3% | 76.3% | 79.9% |
| 2026-09-10T03:55:19+00:00 | 76.3% | 67.2% | 63.3% | 76.3% | 79.9% |
| 2026-09-10T04:40:24+00:00 | 76.3% | 67.2% | 63.3% | 76.3% | 79.9% |
| 2026-09-10T05:25:30+00:00 | 76.3% | 67.2% | 60.5% | 76.3% | 79.9% |
| 2026-09-10T06:10:36+00:00 | 76.3% | 67.2% | 60.5% | 76.3% | 79.9% |
| 2026-09-10T06:55:41+00:00 | 76.3% | 67.2% | 60.5% | 76.3% | 79.9% |
| 2026-09-10T07:40:49+00:00 | 69.3% | 67.2% | 60.5% | 66.0% | 79.9% |
| 2026-09-10T08:26:01+00:00 | 69.3% | 67.2% | 60.5% | 66.0% | 79.9% |
| 2026-09-10T09:11:06+00:00 | 69.3% | 67.2% | 60.5% | 66.0% | 79.9% |
| 2026-09-10T09:56:10+00:00 | 69.3% | 67.2% | 60.5% | 66.0% | 79.9% |
| 2026-09-10T10:41:14+00:00 | 69.3% | 67.2% | 60.5% | 66.0% | 79.9% |
| 2026-09-10T11:26:20+00:00 | 69.3% | 69.1% | 60.2% | 66.0% | 79.9% |
| 2026-09-10T12:11:27+00:00 | 69.3% | 69.1% | 60.2% | 66.0% | 79.9% |
| 2026-09-10T12:56:32+00:00 | 69.3% | 69.1% | 60.2% | 66.0% | 79.9% |
| 2026-09-10T13:41:36+00:00 | 80.0% | 69.1% | 60.2% | 66.0% | 79.9% |
| 2026-09-10T14:26:55+00:00 | 80.1% | 69.1% | 61.2% | 66.0% | 80.5% |
| 2026-09-10T15:12:01+00:00 | 80.1% | 69.1% | 61.2% | 66.0% | 80.5% |
| 2026-09-10T15:57:11+00:00 | 80.1% | 69.1% | 61.2% | 66.0% | 80.5% |
| 2026-09-10T16:42:15+00:00 | 80.1% | 69.1% | 61.2% | 66.0% | 84.9% |
| 2026-09-10T17:27:21+00:00 | 80.1% | 69.1% | 70.6% | 66.0% | 84.9% |
| 2026-09-10T18:12:29+00:00 | 80.1% | 69.1% | 70.6% | 66.0% | 84.9% |
| 2026-09-10T18:57:34+00:00 | 80.1% | 69.1% | 70.6% | 66.0% | 84.9% |
| 2026-09-10T19:42:39+00:00 | 83.9% | 69.1% | 70.6% | 54.7% | 84.9% |
| 2026-09-10T20:27:45+00:00 | 83.9% | 69.1% | 70.6% | 54.7% | 84.9% |
| 2026-09-10T21:12:50+00:00 | 83.9% | 69.1% | 70.6% | 54.7% | 84.9% |
| 2026-09-10T21:57:55+00:00 | 83.9% | 69.1% | 70.6% | 54.7% | 84.9% |
| 2026-09-10T22:42:59+00:00 | 83.9% | 69.1% | 70.6% | 54.7% | 84.9% |
| 2026-09-10T23:28:04+00:00 | 83.9% | 69.1% | 69.7% | 54.7% | 84.9% |
| 2026-09-11T00:13:09+00:00 | 83.9% | 69.1% | 69.7% | 54.7% | 84.9% |
| 2026-09-11T00:58:16+00:00 | 83.9% | 70.5% | 69.7% | 54.7% | 84.9% |
| 2026-09-11T01:43:23+00:00 | 83.5% | 65.0% | 69.7% | 54.7% | 84.9% |
| 2026-09-11T02:28:28+00:00 | 83.5% | 65.0% | 69.7% | 54.7% | 84.9% |
| 2026-09-11T03:13:36+00:00 | 83.5% | 65.0% | 69.7% | 54.7% | 84.9% |
| 2026-09-11T03:58:45+00:00 | 83.5% | 65.0% | 69.7% | 54.7% | 84.9% |
| 2026-09-11T04:43:50+00:00 | 83.5% | 65.0% | 69.7% | 54.7% | 72.4% |
| 2026-09-11T05:28:56+00:00 | 83.5% | 65.0% | 71.5% | 54.7% | 72.4% |
| 2026-09-11T06:14:04+00:00 | 83.5% | 65.0% | 71.5% | 54.7% | 72.4% |
| 2026-09-11T06:59:08+00:00 | 83.5% | 65.0% | 71.5% | 54.7% | 72.4% |
| 2026-09-11T07:44:19+00:00 | 88.2% | 65.0% | 71.5% | 66.2% | 72.4% |
| 2026-09-11T08:29:35+00:00 | 88.2% | 65.0% | 71.5% | 66.2% | 72.4% |
| 2026-09-11T09:14:41+00:00 | 88.2% | 65.0% | 71.5% | 66.2% | 72.4% |
| 2026-09-11T09:59:45+00:00 | 88.2% | 65.0% | 71.5% | 66.2% | 72.4% |
| 2026-09-11T10:44:50+00:00 | 88.2% | 65.0% | 71.5% | 66.2% | 72.4% |
| 2026-09-11T11:29:56+00:00 | 88.2% | 65.3% | 70.9% | 66.2% | 72.4% |
| 2026-09-11T12:15:02+00:00 | 88.2% | 65.3% | 70.9% | 66.2% | 72.4% |
| 2026-09-11T13:00:11+00:00 | 88.2% | 65.3% | 70.9% | 66.2% | 72.4% |
| 2026-09-11T13:45:23+00:00 | 87.8% | 65.3% | 70.9% | 66.2% | 72.4% |
| 2026-09-11T14:30:51+00:00 | 87.8% | 70.4% | 70.9% | 66.2% | 73.1% |
| 2026-09-11T15:15:58+00:00 | 87.8% | 66.6% | 70.9% | 66.2% | 73.1% |
| 2026-09-11T16:01:08+00:00 | 87.8% | 66.6% | 70.9% | 66.2% | 73.1% |
| 2026-09-11T16:46:13+00:00 | 87.8% | 66.6% | 70.9% | 66.2% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-11T17:31:19+00:00 | 87.8% | 66.6% | 69.9% | 66.2% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-11T18:16:27+00:00 | 87.8% | 66.6% | 69.9% | 66.2% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-11T19:01:32+00:00 | 87.8% | 66.6% | 69.9% | 66.2% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-11T19:46:37+00:00 | 90.7% | 66.6% | 69.9% | 86.4% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-11T20:31:44+00:00 | 90.7% | 66.6% | 69.9% | 86.4% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-11T21:16:50+00:00 | 90.7% | 66.6% | 69.9% | 86.4% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-11T22:01:57+00:00 | 90.7% | 66.6% | 69.9% | 86.4% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-11T22:47:03+00:00 | 90.7% | 66.6% | 69.9% | 86.4% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-11T23:32:08+00:00 | 90.7% | 65.3% | 69.9% | 86.4% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-12T00:17:14+00:00 | 90.7% | 65.3% | 69.9% | 86.4% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-12T01:02:22+00:00 | 90.7% | 65.3% | 69.9% | 86.4% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-12T01:47:28+00:00 | 84.9% | 65.3% | 69.9% | 86.4% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-12T02:32:34+00:00 | 84.9% | 65.3% | 69.9% | 86.4% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-12T03:17:43+00:00 | 84.9% | 65.3% | 69.9% | 86.4% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-12T04:02:55+00:00 | 84.9% | 65.3% | 69.9% | 86.4% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-12T04:47:59+00:00 | 84.9% | 65.3% | 69.9% | 86.4% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-12T05:33:05+00:00 | 84.9% | 65.3% | 71.8% | 86.4% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-12T06:18:13+00:00 | 84.9% | 65.3% | 71.8% | 86.4% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-12T07:03:18+00:00 | 84.9% | 65.3% | 71.8% | 86.4% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-12T07:48:29+00:00 | 87.9% | 65.3% | 71.8% | 65.9% | 76.1% |
| 2026-09-12T08:33:45+00:00 | 87.9% | 65.3% | 71.8% | 65.9% | 76.1% |
| 2026-09-12T09:18:50+00:00 | 87.9% | 65.3% | 71.8% | 65.9% | 76.1% |
| 2026-09-12T10:03:55+00:00 | 87.9% | 65.3% | 71.8% | 65.9% | 76.1% |
| 2026-09-12T10:48:59+00:00 | 87.9% | 65.3% | 71.8% | 65.9% | 76.1% |
| 2026-09-12T11:34:06+00:00 | 87.9% | 67.1% | 71.7% | 65.9% | 76.1% |
| 2026-09-12T12:19:14+00:00 | 87.9% | 67.1% | 71.7% | 65.9% | 76.1% |
| 2026-09-12T13:04:22+00:00 | 87.9% | 67.1% | 71.7% | 65.9% | 76.1% |
| 2026-09-12T13:49:29+00:00 | 85.4% | 67.1% | 71.7% | 65.9% | 76.1% |
| 2026-09-12T14:34:59+00:00 | 85.5% | 67.0% | 71.7% | 61.7% | 76.1% |
| 2026-09-12T15:20:09+00:00 | 85.5% | 73.6% | 71.7% | 65.9% | 76.1% |
| 2026-09-12T16:05:21+00:00 | 85.5% | 73.6% | 71.7% | 65.9% | 76.1% |
| 2026-09-12T16:50:27+00:00 | 85.5% | 73.6% | 71.7% | 65.9% | 76.1% |
| 2026-09-12T17:35:32+00:00 | 85.5% | 73.6% | 64.5% | 65.9% | 76.1% |
| 2026-09-12T18:20:41+00:00 | 85.5% | 73.6% | 64.5% | 65.9% | 76.1% |
| 2026-09-12T19:05:46+00:00 | 85.5% | 73.6% | 64.5% | 65.9% | 76.1% |
| 2026-09-12T19:50:51+00:00 | 87.0% | 73.6% | 64.5% | 65.9% | 74.3% |
| 2026-09-12T20:35:57+00:00 | 87.0% | 73.6% | 64.5% | 65.9% | 74.3% |
| 2026-09-12T21:21:02+00:00 | 87.0% | 73.6% | 64.5% | 65.9% | 74.3% |
| 2026-09-12T22:06:08+00:00 | 87.0% | 73.6% | 64.5% | 65.9% | 74.3% |
| 2026-09-12T22:51:13+00:00 | 87.0% | 73.6% | 64.5% | 71.8% | 74.3% |
| 2026-09-12T23:36:19+00:00 | 87.0% | 72.3% | 65.6% | 71.8% | 74.3% |
| 2026-09-13T00:21:25+00:00 | 87.0% | 72.3% | 65.6% | 71.8% | 74.3% |
| 2026-09-13T01:06:32+00:00 | 87.0% | 72.3% | 65.6% | 71.8% | 74.3% |
| 2026-09-13T01:51:43+00:00 | 86.5% | 72.3% | 65.6% | 71.8% | 74.3% |
| 2026-09-13T02:36:52+00:00 | 86.5% | 72.3% | 65.6% | 71.8% | 74.3% |
| 2026-09-13T03:21:58+00:00 | 86.5% | 72.3% | 65.6% | 71.8% | 74.3% |
| 2026-09-13T04:07:06+00:00 | 86.5% | 72.3% | 65.6% | 71.8% | 74.3% |
| 2026-09-13T04:52:18+00:00 | 86.5% | 72.3% | 65.6% | 71.8% | 74.3% |
| 2026-09-13T05:37:24+00:00 | 86.5% | 72.3% | 65.6% | 71.8% | 74.3% |
| 2026-09-13T06:22:32+00:00 | 86.5% | 72.3% | 65.6% | 71.8% | 74.3% |
| 2026-09-13T07:07:37+00:00 | 86.5% | 72.3% | 65.6% | 71.8% | 74.3% |
| 2026-09-13T07:52:50+00:00 | 88.6% | 72.3% | 65.6% | 86.7% | 71.4% |
| 2026-09-13T08:38:12+00:00 | 88.6% | 72.3% | 65.6% | 86.7% | 71.4% |
| 2026-09-13T09:23:17+00:00 | 88.6% | 72.3% | 65.6% | 86.7% | 71.4% |
| 2026-09-13T10:08:22+00:00 | 88.6% | 72.3% | 65.6% | 86.7% | 71.4% |
| 2026-09-13T10:53:30+00:00 | 88.6% | 88.2% | 73.3% | 86.7% | 71.4% |
| 2026-09-13T11:38:38+00:00 | 88.6% | 88.2% | 73.3% | 86.7% | 71.4% |
| 2026-09-13T12:23:44+00:00 | 88.6% | 88.2% | 73.3% | 86.7% | 71.4% |
| 2026-09-13T13:08:49+00:00 | 88.6% | 88.2% | 73.3% | 86.7% | 71.4% |
| 2026-09-13T13:53:54+00:00 | 89.1% | 88.1% | 73.3% | 86.7% | 71.3% |
| 2026-09-13T14:39:25+00:00 | 89.1% | 88.1% | 73.3% | 86.7% | 71.3% |
| 2026-09-13T15:24:31+00:00 | 89.1% | 88.8% | 73.3% | 86.7% | 71.3% |
| 2026-09-13T16:09:35+00:00 | 89.1% | 88.8% | 73.3% | 86.7% | 71.3% |
| 2026-09-13T16:54:42+00:00 | 89.1% | 88.8% | 73.3% | 86.7% | 71.3% |
| 2026-09-13T17:39:51+00:00 | 89.1% | 88.8% | 73.3% | 86.7% | 71.3% |
| 2026-09-13T18:24:59+00:00 | 89.1% | 88.8% | 73.3% | 86.7% | 71.3% |
| 2026-09-13T19:10:04+00:00 | 89.1% | 88.8% | 73.3% | 86.7% | 71.3% |
| 2026-09-13T19:55:09+00:00 | 90.0% | 88.8% | 73.3% | 66.4% | 71.3% |
| 2026-09-13T20:40:15+00:00 | 90.0% | 88.8% | 73.3% | 66.4% | 71.3% |
| 2026-09-13T21:25:19+00:00 | 90.0% | 88.8% | 73.3% | 66.4% | 71.3% |
| 2026-09-13T22:10:24+00:00 | 90.0% | 88.8% | 73.3% | 66.4% | 71.3% |
| 2026-09-13T22:55:28+00:00 | 90.0% | 88.8% | 72.3% | 66.4% | 71.3% |
| 2026-09-13T23:40:34+00:00 | 90.0% | 88.8% | 72.3% | 66.4% | 71.3% |
| 2026-09-14T00:25:39+00:00 | 90.0% | 88.8% | 72.3% | 66.4% | 71.3% |
| 2026-09-14T01:10:47+00:00 | 90.0% | 88.8% | 72.3% | 66.4% | 71.3% |
| 2026-09-14T01:55:51+00:00 | 90.0% | 88.8% | 72.3% | 66.4% | 71.3% |
| 2026-09-14T02:40:57+00:00 | 90.0% | 88.8% | 72.3% | 66.4% | 71.3% |
| 2026-09-14T03:26:02+00:00 | 90.0% | 88.8% | 72.3% | 66.4% | 71.3% |
| 2026-09-14T04:11:09+00:00 | 90.0% | 88.8% | 72.3% | 66.4% | 71.3% |
| 2026-09-14T04:56:22+00:00 | 90.0% | 88.8% | 82.8% | 66.4% | 71.3% |
| 2026-09-14T05:41:27+00:00 | 90.0% | 88.8% | 82.8% | 66.4% | 71.3% |
| 2026-09-14T06:26:35+00:00 | 90.0% | 88.8% | 82.8% | 66.4% | 71.3% |
| 2026-09-14T07:11:38+00:00 | 90.0% | 88.8% | 82.8% | 66.4% | 71.3% |
Forecasts & evidence
| MODEL | YES | MEAN | SPREAD σ | INITIALIZATION UTC | BRIER ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Blend | 94% | 93.0°F | 2.2°F | 2026-09-14 00:00 | Pending |
| AIFS Single | 90% | 94.8°F | 4.1°F | 2026-09-13 18:00 | Pending |
| NWS forecast | 90% | 93.0°F | 2.8°F | 2026-09-14 03:00 | Pending |
| IFS Ensemble | 89% | 92.9°F | 2.8°F | 2026-09-13 00:00 | Pending |
| WeatherNext 2 | 83% | 92.7°F | 3.4°F | 2026-09-13 18:00 | Pending |
| ICON | 71% | 91.5°F | 3.5°F | 2026-09-13 00:00 | Pending |
| IFS HRES | 66% | 91.1°F | 3.8°F | 2026-09-13 12:00 | Pending |
Spread is the standard deviation used in the probability approximation. It is not a measured confidence rating. Brier here scores the latest recorded snapshot, not a league deadline.
High ≥ 90°F · KBNA
Daily temperature props settle on the ACIS official station record. Inclusive and strict thresholds retain their exact meanings. Provisional observations do not replace the settlement record.
WP-KBNA-20260914-TMAX-GE90
Opened Sep 07 · 14:03 UTC
Original listing: Nashville high ≥ 90.3°F · Mon Sep 14
Original prop, full history & receipt ↗