KBNA / Thu Oct 1 / OFFICIAL STATION RECORD
Nashville, TNHigh ≥ 90°F
CONSENSUS FORECAST95%Oct 01 · 06:57 UTC
THE FORECAST FIELD
Who takes which side?
Probabilities derived from each source’s mean and spread. Forecasts may have different initialization times.
Head-to-head preview
ILLUSTRATIVE · NOT EXECUTED100 contracts at the midpoint of these model probabilities. Each contract pays 1u to the winning side.
EPS +26.20u · ICON −26.20u
These are current forecast comparisons, not locked entries. No credits have been committed. Read the proposed policy →
FOLLOW THE RUNS
Probability history
Recorded source probabilities; timestamps mark snapshots. Repeated values may come from the same model run.
AIFS SingleIFS EnsembleWeatherNext 2IFS HRESICON
View the forecast data
| UTC | AIFS | EPS | WN2 | HRES | ICON |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24T07:27:47+00:00 | 63.4% | 18.2% | 37.9% | 72.0% | 35.7% |
| 2026-09-24T08:13:25+00:00 | 63.4% | 18.2% | 37.9% | 72.0% | 35.7% |
| 2026-09-24T08:58:36+00:00 | 63.4% | 18.2% | 37.9% | 72.0% | 35.7% |
| 2026-09-24T09:43:41+00:00 | 63.4% | 18.2% | 37.9% | 72.0% | 35.7% |
| 2026-09-24T10:28:46+00:00 | 63.4% | 18.2% | 37.9% | 72.0% | 35.7% |
| 2026-09-24T11:13:52+00:00 | 63.4% | 63.3% | 43.4% | 72.0% | 35.7% |
| 2026-09-24T11:58:57+00:00 | 63.4% | 63.3% | 43.4% | 72.0% | 35.7% |
| 2026-09-24T12:44:02+00:00 | 63.4% | 63.3% | 43.4% | 72.0% | 35.7% |
| 2026-09-24T13:29:17+00:00 | 64.0% | 63.3% | 43.4% | 72.0% | 35.7% |
| 2026-09-24T14:16:41+00:00 | 63.3% | 63.2% | 43.5% | 71.9% | 35.7% |
| 2026-09-24T15:01:53+00:00 | 63.3% | 59.6% | 43.5% | 71.9% | 35.7% |
| 2026-09-24T15:47:18+00:00 | 63.3% | 59.7% | 43.5% | 71.9% | 35.7% |
| 2026-09-24T16:32:28+00:00 | 63.3% | 59.7% | 43.5% | 71.9% | 35.7% |
| 2026-09-24T17:17:33+00:00 | 63.3% | 59.7% | 41.0% | 71.9% | 35.7% |
| 2026-09-24T18:02:39+00:00 | 63.3% | 59.7% | 41.0% | 71.9% | 35.7% |
| 2026-09-24T18:47:43+00:00 | 63.3% | 59.7% | 41.0% | 71.9% | 35.7% |
| 2026-09-24T19:32:53+00:00 | 64.0% | 59.7% | 41.0% | 71.9% | 65.1% |
| 2026-09-24T20:18:01+00:00 | 64.0% | 59.7% | 41.0% | 71.9% | 65.1% |
| 2026-09-24T21:03:07+00:00 | 64.0% | 59.7% | 41.0% | 71.9% | 65.1% |
| 2026-09-24T21:48:12+00:00 | 64.0% | 59.7% | 41.0% | 71.9% | 65.1% |
| 2026-09-24T22:33:17+00:00 | 64.0% | 59.7% | 41.0% | 71.9% | 65.1% |
| 2026-09-24T23:18:23+00:00 | 64.0% | 55.1% | 41.8% | 71.9% | 65.1% |
| 2026-09-25T00:03:30+00:00 | 64.0% | 55.1% | 41.8% | 71.9% | 65.1% |
| 2026-09-25T00:48:42+00:00 | 64.0% | 55.1% | 41.8% | 71.9% | 65.1% |
| 2026-09-25T01:33:51+00:00 | 61.3% | 55.1% | 41.8% | 71.9% | 65.1% |
| 2026-09-25T02:18:58+00:00 | 61.3% | 55.1% | 41.8% | 71.9% | 65.1% |
| 2026-09-25T03:04:18+00:00 | 61.3% | 55.1% | 41.8% | 71.9% | 65.1% |
| 2026-09-25T03:49:45+00:00 | 61.3% | 55.1% | 41.8% | 71.9% | 65.1% |
| 2026-09-25T04:34:50+00:00 | 61.3% | 55.1% | 41.8% | 71.9% | 12.7% |
| 2026-09-25T05:19:58+00:00 | 61.3% | 55.1% | 41.8% | 71.9% | 12.7% |
| 2026-09-25T06:05:05+00:00 | 61.3% | 55.1% | 41.8% | 71.9% | 12.7% |
| 2026-09-25T06:50:10+00:00 | 61.3% | 55.1% | 41.8% | 71.9% | 12.7% |
| 2026-09-25T07:35:17+00:00 | 59.6% | 55.1% | 41.8% | 71.9% | 12.7% |
| 2026-09-25T08:20:24+00:00 | 59.6% | 55.1% | 41.8% | 71.9% | 12.7% |
| 2026-09-25T09:05:29+00:00 | 59.6% | 55.1% | 41.8% | 71.9% | 12.7% |
| 2026-09-25T09:50:34+00:00 | 59.6% | 55.1% | 41.8% | 71.9% | 12.7% |
| 2026-09-25T10:35:40+00:00 | 59.6% | 55.1% | 41.8% | 71.9% | 12.7% |
| 2026-09-25T11:20:46+00:00 | 59.6% | 68.6% | 41.8% | 71.9% | 12.7% |
| 2026-09-25T12:05:52+00:00 | 59.6% | 68.6% | 41.8% | 71.9% | 12.7% |
| 2026-09-25T12:50:57+00:00 | 59.6% | 68.6% | 41.8% | 71.9% | 12.7% |
| 2026-09-25T13:36:04+00:00 | 63.9% | 68.6% | 41.8% | 71.9% | 12.7% |
| 2026-09-25T14:23:06+00:00 | 63.9% | 68.6% | 41.9% | 71.9% | 12.6% |
| 2026-09-25T15:08:11+00:00 | 63.9% | 67.4% | 41.9% | 71.9% | 12.6% |
| 2026-09-25T15:53:17+00:00 | 63.9% | 67.4% | 41.9% | 71.9% | 12.6% |
| 2026-09-25T16:38:23+00:00 | 63.9% | 67.4% | 41.9% | 71.9% | 60.8% |
| 2026-09-25T17:23:30+00:00 | 63.9% | 67.4% | 52.6% | 71.9% | 60.8% |
| 2026-09-25T18:08:47+00:00 | 63.9% | 67.4% | 52.6% | 71.9% | 60.8% |
| 2026-09-25T18:54:07+00:00 | 63.9% | 67.4% | 52.6% | 71.9% | 60.8% |
| 2026-09-25T19:39:33+00:00 | 61.8% | 67.4% | 52.6% | 78.3% | 60.8% |
| 2026-09-25T20:25:17+00:00 | 61.8% | 67.4% | 52.6% | 78.3% | 60.8% |
| 2026-09-25T21:10:22+00:00 | 61.8% | 67.4% | 52.6% | 78.3% | 60.8% |
| 2026-09-25T21:55:28+00:00 | 61.8% | 67.4% | 52.6% | 78.3% | 60.8% |
| 2026-09-25T22:40:32+00:00 | 61.8% | 67.4% | 52.6% | 78.3% | 60.8% |
| 2026-09-25T23:25:38+00:00 | 61.8% | 67.4% | 50.9% | 78.3% | 60.8% |
| 2026-09-26T00:10:44+00:00 | 61.8% | 67.4% | 50.9% | 78.3% | 60.8% |
| 2026-09-26T00:55:52+00:00 | 61.8% | 67.4% | 50.9% | 78.3% | 60.8% |
| 2026-09-26T01:41:04+00:00 | 57.4% | 67.4% | 50.9% | 78.3% | 60.8% |
| 2026-09-26T02:26:22+00:00 | 57.4% | 67.4% | 50.9% | 78.3% | 60.8% |
| 2026-09-26T03:11:44+00:00 | 57.4% | 67.4% | 50.9% | 78.3% | 60.8% |
| 2026-09-26T03:56:57+00:00 | 57.4% | 67.4% | 50.9% | 78.3% | 60.8% |
| 2026-09-26T04:42:05+00:00 | 57.4% | 67.4% | 50.9% | 78.3% | 70.8% |
| 2026-09-26T05:27:18+00:00 | 57.4% | 67.4% | 55.3% | 78.3% | 70.8% |
| 2026-09-26T06:12:25+00:00 | 57.4% | 67.4% | 55.3% | 78.3% | 70.8% |
| 2026-09-26T06:57:30+00:00 | 57.4% | 67.4% | 55.3% | 78.3% | 70.8% |
| 2026-09-26T07:42:58+00:00 | 65.0% | 67.4% | 55.3% | 80.4% | 70.8% |
| 2026-09-26T08:28:40+00:00 | 65.0% | 67.4% | 55.3% | 80.4% | 70.8% |
| 2026-09-26T09:13:46+00:00 | 65.0% | 67.4% | 55.3% | 80.4% | 70.8% |
| 2026-09-26T09:58:52+00:00 | 65.0% | 67.4% | 55.3% | 80.4% | 70.8% |
| 2026-09-26T10:44:04+00:00 | 65.0% | 67.4% | 55.3% | 80.4% | 70.8% |
| 2026-09-26T11:29:16+00:00 | 65.0% | 95.8% | 62.2% | 80.4% | 70.8% |
| 2026-09-26T12:14:30+00:00 | 65.0% | 95.8% | 62.2% | 80.4% | 70.8% |
| 2026-09-26T12:59:35+00:00 | 65.0% | 95.8% | 62.2% | 80.4% | 70.8% |
| 2026-09-26T13:44:43+00:00 | 65.0% | 95.8% | 62.2% | 80.4% | 70.8% |
| 2026-09-26T14:32:08+00:00 | 65.0% | 95.8% | 62.2% | 80.5% | 70.8% |
| 2026-09-26T15:17:30+00:00 | 65.0% | 95.8% | 62.2% | 80.5% | 70.8% |
| 2026-09-26T16:02:36+00:00 | 65.0% | 95.8% | 62.2% | 80.5% | 70.8% |
| 2026-09-26T16:47:42+00:00 | 65.0% | 95.8% | 62.2% | 80.5% | 60.8% |
| 2026-09-26T17:32:51+00:00 | 65.0% | 95.8% | 62.2% | 80.5% | 60.8% |
| 2026-09-26T18:17:59+00:00 | 65.0% | 95.8% | 62.2% | 80.5% | 60.8% |
| 2026-09-26T19:03:07+00:00 | 65.0% | 95.8% | 62.2% | 80.5% | 60.8% |
| 2026-09-26T19:48:18+00:00 | 65.0% | 95.8% | 62.2% | 67.9% | 60.8% |
| 2026-09-26T20:33:26+00:00 | 65.0% | 95.8% | 62.2% | 67.9% | 60.8% |
| 2026-09-26T21:18:32+00:00 | 65.0% | 95.8% | 62.2% | 67.9% | 60.8% |
| 2026-09-26T22:03:38+00:00 | 65.0% | 95.8% | 62.2% | 67.9% | 60.8% |
| 2026-09-26T22:48:45+00:00 | 65.0% | 95.8% | 62.2% | 67.9% | 60.8% |
| 2026-09-26T23:33:55+00:00 | 65.0% | 95.8% | 47.2% | 67.9% | 60.8% |
| 2026-09-27T00:19:03+00:00 | 65.0% | 95.8% | 47.2% | 67.9% | 60.8% |
| 2026-09-27T01:04:12+00:00 | 65.0% | 95.8% | 47.2% | 67.9% | 60.8% |
| 2026-09-27T01:49:25+00:00 | 67.2% | 95.8% | 47.2% | 67.9% | 60.8% |
| 2026-09-27T02:34:31+00:00 | 67.2% | 95.8% | 47.2% | 67.9% | 60.8% |
| 2026-09-27T03:19:46+00:00 | 67.2% | 95.8% | 47.2% | 67.9% | 60.8% |
| 2026-09-27T04:05:13+00:00 | 67.2% | 95.8% | 47.2% | 67.9% | 60.8% |
| 2026-09-27T04:50:19+00:00 | 67.2% | 95.8% | 47.2% | 67.9% | 69.3% |
| 2026-09-27T05:35:28+00:00 | 67.2% | 95.8% | 66.6% | 67.9% | 69.3% |
| 2026-09-27T06:20:38+00:00 | 67.2% | 95.8% | 66.6% | 67.9% | 69.3% |
| 2026-09-27T07:05:44+00:00 | 67.2% | 95.8% | 66.6% | 67.9% | 69.3% |
| 2026-09-27T07:51:10+00:00 | 69.0% | 95.8% | 66.6% | 80.4% | 69.3% |
| 2026-09-27T08:36:52+00:00 | 69.0% | 95.8% | 66.6% | 80.4% | 69.3% |
| 2026-09-27T09:21:59+00:00 | 69.0% | 95.8% | 66.6% | 80.4% | 69.3% |
| 2026-09-27T10:07:04+00:00 | 69.0% | 95.8% | 66.6% | 80.4% | 69.3% |
| 2026-09-27T10:52:09+00:00 | 69.0% | 95.8% | 66.6% | 80.4% | 69.3% |
| 2026-09-27T11:37:17+00:00 | 69.0% | 98.0% | 60.0% | 80.4% | 69.3% |
| 2026-09-27T12:22:26+00:00 | 69.0% | 98.0% | 60.0% | 80.4% | 69.3% |
| 2026-09-27T13:07:33+00:00 | 69.0% | 98.0% | 60.0% | 80.4% | 69.3% |
| 2026-09-27T13:52:42+00:00 | 65.1% | 98.0% | 60.0% | 80.4% | 70.1% |
| 2026-09-27T14:40:06+00:00 | 65.1% | 98.0% | 60.0% | 80.4% | 70.1% |
| 2026-09-27T15:25:29+00:00 | 65.1% | 98.0% | 60.0% | 80.4% | 70.1% |
| 2026-09-27T16:10:34+00:00 | 65.1% | 98.0% | 60.0% | 80.4% | 70.1% |
| 2026-09-27T16:55:40+00:00 | 65.1% | 98.0% | 48.0% | 80.4% | 67.1% |
| 2026-09-27T17:40:47+00:00 | 65.1% | 98.0% | 48.0% | 80.4% | 67.1% |
| 2026-09-27T18:25:58+00:00 | 65.1% | 98.0% | 48.0% | 80.4% | 67.1% |
| 2026-09-27T19:11:08+00:00 | 65.1% | 98.0% | 48.0% | 80.4% | 67.1% |
| 2026-09-27T19:56:18+00:00 | 68.2% | 98.0% | 48.0% | 73.1% | 67.1% |
| 2026-09-27T20:41:27+00:00 | 68.2% | 98.0% | 48.0% | 73.1% | 67.1% |
| 2026-09-27T21:26:32+00:00 | 68.2% | 98.0% | 48.0% | 73.1% | 67.1% |
| 2026-09-27T22:11:36+00:00 | 68.2% | 98.0% | 48.0% | 73.1% | 67.1% |
| 2026-09-27T22:56:44+00:00 | 68.2% | 98.2% | 43.9% | 73.1% | 67.1% |
| 2026-09-27T23:41:50+00:00 | 68.2% | 98.2% | 43.9% | 73.1% | 67.1% |
| 2026-09-28T00:26:56+00:00 | 68.2% | 98.2% | 43.9% | 73.1% | 67.1% |
| 2026-09-28T01:12:04+00:00 | 68.2% | 98.2% | 43.9% | 73.1% | 67.1% |
| 2026-09-28T01:57:11+00:00 | 69.8% | 98.2% | 43.9% | 73.1% | 67.1% |
| 2026-09-28T02:42:17+00:00 | 69.8% | 98.2% | 43.9% | 73.1% | 67.1% |
| 2026-09-28T03:27:34+00:00 | 69.8% | 98.2% | 43.9% | 73.1% | 67.1% |
| 2026-09-28T04:13:29+00:00 | 69.8% | 98.2% | 43.9% | 73.1% | 67.1% |
| 2026-09-28T04:58:35+00:00 | 69.8% | 98.2% | 57.1% | 73.1% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-28T05:43:44+00:00 | 69.8% | 98.2% | 57.1% | 73.1% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-28T06:28:55+00:00 | 69.8% | 98.2% | 57.1% | 73.1% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-28T07:14:00+00:00 | 69.8% | 98.2% | 57.1% | 73.1% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-28T07:59:29+00:00 | 70.1% | 98.2% | 57.1% | 78.8% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-28T08:45:28+00:00 | 70.1% | 98.2% | 57.1% | 78.8% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-28T09:30:33+00:00 | 70.1% | 98.2% | 57.1% | 78.8% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-28T10:15:39+00:00 | 70.1% | 98.2% | 57.1% | 78.8% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-28T11:00:49+00:00 | 70.1% | 95.0% | 52.2% | 78.8% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-28T11:46:05+00:00 | 70.1% | 95.0% | 52.2% | 78.8% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-28T12:31:12+00:00 | 70.1% | 95.0% | 52.2% | 78.8% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-28T13:16:21+00:00 | 70.1% | 95.0% | 52.2% | 78.8% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-28T14:01:27+00:00 | 66.9% | 95.0% | 52.2% | 78.8% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-28T14:48:35+00:00 | 66.9% | 95.0% | 52.2% | 78.8% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-28T15:34:02+00:00 | 66.9% | 95.4% | 52.2% | 78.8% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-28T16:19:08+00:00 | 66.9% | 95.4% | 52.2% | 78.8% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-28T17:04:14+00:00 | 66.9% | 95.4% | 40.4% | 78.8% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-28T17:49:22+00:00 | 66.9% | 95.4% | 40.4% | 78.8% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-28T18:34:28+00:00 | 66.9% | 95.4% | 40.4% | 78.8% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-28T19:19:34+00:00 | 66.9% | 95.4% | 40.4% | 78.8% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-28T20:04:44+00:00 | 69.3% | 95.4% | 40.4% | 80.7% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-28T20:49:50+00:00 | 69.3% | 95.4% | 40.4% | 80.7% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-28T21:34:54+00:00 | 69.3% | 95.4% | 40.4% | 80.7% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-28T22:19:58+00:00 | 69.3% | 95.4% | 40.4% | 80.7% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-28T23:05:04+00:00 | 69.3% | 95.0% | 36.3% | 80.7% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-28T23:50:11+00:00 | 69.3% | 95.0% | 36.3% | 80.7% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-29T00:35:17+00:00 | 69.3% | 95.0% | 36.3% | 80.7% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-29T01:20:27+00:00 | 69.3% | 95.0% | 36.3% | 80.7% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-29T02:05:44+00:00 | 71.7% | 95.0% | 36.3% | 80.7% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-29T02:51:01+00:00 | 71.7% | 95.0% | 36.3% | 80.7% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-29T03:36:06+00:00 | 71.7% | 95.0% | 36.3% | 80.7% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-29T04:21:23+00:00 | 71.7% | 95.0% | 36.3% | 80.7% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-29T05:06:54+00:00 | 71.7% | 95.0% | 55.4% | 80.7% | 69.5% |
| 2026-09-29T05:52:03+00:00 | 71.7% | 95.0% | 55.4% | 80.7% | 69.5% |
| 2026-09-29T06:37:09+00:00 | 71.7% | 95.0% | 55.4% | 80.7% | 69.5% |
| 2026-09-29T07:22:29+00:00 | 74.9% | 95.0% | 55.4% | 75.2% | 69.5% |
| 2026-09-29T08:08:16+00:00 | 74.9% | 95.0% | 55.4% | 75.2% | 69.5% |
| 2026-09-29T08:53:32+00:00 | 74.9% | 95.0% | 55.4% | 75.2% | 69.5% |
| 2026-09-29T09:38:37+00:00 | 74.9% | 95.0% | 55.4% | 75.2% | 69.5% |
| 2026-09-29T10:23:42+00:00 | 74.9% | 95.0% | 55.4% | 75.2% | 69.5% |
| 2026-09-29T11:08:51+00:00 | 74.9% | 92.4% | 55.4% | 75.2% | 69.5% |
| 2026-09-29T11:54:06+00:00 | 74.9% | 92.4% | 55.4% | 75.2% | 69.5% |
| 2026-09-29T12:39:11+00:00 | 74.9% | 92.4% | 55.4% | 75.2% | 69.5% |
| 2026-09-29T13:24:16+00:00 | 70.9% | 92.4% | 55.4% | 75.2% | 69.5% |
| 2026-09-29T14:11:41+00:00 | 70.2% | 92.4% | 55.4% | 75.2% | 69.5% |
| 2026-09-29T14:56:55+00:00 | 70.2% | 92.4% | 55.4% | 75.2% | 69.5% |
| 2026-09-29T15:42:15+00:00 | 70.2% | 92.4% | 55.4% | 75.2% | 69.5% |
| 2026-09-29T16:27:41+00:00 | 70.2% | 92.4% | 55.4% | 75.2% | 72.5% |
| 2026-09-29T17:12:51+00:00 | 70.2% | 92.4% | 42.2% | 75.2% | 72.5% |
| 2026-09-29T17:57:58+00:00 | 70.2% | 92.4% | 42.2% | 75.2% | 72.5% |
| 2026-09-29T18:43:06+00:00 | 70.2% | 92.4% | 42.2% | 75.2% | 72.5% |
| 2026-09-29T19:28:13+00:00 | 70.2% | 92.4% | 42.2% | 74.4% | 72.5% |
| 2026-09-29T20:13:35+00:00 | 70.2% | 92.4% | 42.2% | 74.4% | 72.5% |
| 2026-09-29T20:58:47+00:00 | 70.2% | 92.4% | 42.2% | 74.4% | 72.5% |
| 2026-09-29T21:43:55+00:00 | 70.2% | 92.4% | 42.2% | 74.4% | 72.5% |
| 2026-09-29T22:29:02+00:00 | 70.2% | 92.4% | 42.2% | 74.4% | 72.5% |
| 2026-09-29T23:14:14+00:00 | 70.2% | 93.3% | 40.0% | 74.4% | 72.5% |
| 2026-09-29T23:59:27+00:00 | 70.2% | 93.3% | 40.0% | 74.4% | 72.5% |
| 2026-09-30T00:44:33+00:00 | 70.2% | 93.3% | 40.0% | 74.4% | 72.5% |
| 2026-09-30T01:29:51+00:00 | 73.4% | 93.3% | 40.0% | 74.4% | 72.5% |
| 2026-09-30T02:14:59+00:00 | 73.4% | 93.3% | 40.0% | 74.4% | 72.5% |
| 2026-09-30T03:00:08+00:00 | 73.4% | 93.3% | 40.0% | 74.4% | 72.5% |
| 2026-09-30T03:45:22+00:00 | 73.4% | 93.3% | 40.0% | 74.4% | 72.5% |
| 2026-09-30T04:30:39+00:00 | 73.4% | 93.3% | 40.0% | 74.4% | 65.5% |
| 2026-09-30T05:16:19+00:00 | 73.4% | 93.3% | 63.2% | 74.4% | 65.5% |
| 2026-09-30T06:01:28+00:00 | 73.4% | 93.3% | 63.2% | 74.4% | 65.5% |
| 2026-09-30T06:46:37+00:00 | 73.4% | 93.3% | 63.2% | 74.4% | 65.5% |
| 2026-09-30T07:31:59+00:00 | 73.4% | 93.3% | 63.2% | 77.3% | 65.5% |
| 2026-09-30T08:18:13+00:00 | 73.4% | 93.3% | 63.2% | 77.3% | 65.5% |
| 2026-09-30T09:03:35+00:00 | 73.4% | 93.3% | 63.2% | 77.3% | 65.5% |
| 2026-09-30T09:48:41+00:00 | 73.4% | 93.3% | 63.2% | 77.3% | 65.5% |
| 2026-09-30T10:34:40+00:00 | 76.4% | 93.3% | 63.2% | 77.3% | 65.5% |
| 2026-09-30T11:19:59+00:00 | 76.4% | 89.7% | 60.3% | 77.3% | 65.5% |
| 2026-09-30T12:05:14+00:00 | 76.4% | 89.7% | 60.3% | 77.3% | 65.5% |
| 2026-09-30T12:50:19+00:00 | 76.4% | 89.7% | 60.3% | 77.3% | 65.5% |
| 2026-09-30T13:35:29+00:00 | 71.5% | 89.7% | 60.3% | 77.3% | 65.5% |
| 2026-09-30T14:23:08+00:00 | 71.5% | 89.7% | 60.3% | 77.3% | 65.5% |
| 2026-09-30T15:08:15+00:00 | 71.5% | 89.7% | 60.3% | 77.3% | 65.5% |
| 2026-09-30T15:53:28+00:00 | 71.5% | 89.7% | 60.3% | 77.3% | 65.5% |
| 2026-09-30T16:38:49+00:00 | 71.5% | 89.7% | 60.3% | 77.3% | 57.9% |
| 2026-09-30T17:23:57+00:00 | 71.5% | 89.7% | 43.1% | 77.3% | 57.9% |
| 2026-09-30T18:09:04+00:00 | 71.5% | 89.7% | 43.1% | 77.3% | 57.9% |
| 2026-09-30T18:54:13+00:00 | 71.5% | 89.7% | 43.1% | 77.3% | 57.9% |
| 2026-09-30T19:39:19+00:00 | 72.4% | 89.7% | 43.1% | 73.9% | 57.9% |
| 2026-09-30T20:24:32+00:00 | 72.4% | 89.7% | 43.1% | 73.9% | 57.9% |
| 2026-09-30T21:09:38+00:00 | 72.4% | 89.7% | 43.1% | 73.9% | 57.9% |
| 2026-09-30T21:54:44+00:00 | 72.4% | 89.7% | 43.1% | 73.9% | 57.9% |
| 2026-09-30T22:39:50+00:00 | 72.4% | 89.7% | 43.1% | 73.9% | 57.9% |
| 2026-09-30T23:24:55+00:00 | 72.4% | 89.7% | 46.5% | 73.9% | 57.9% |
| 2026-10-01T00:10:15+00:00 | 72.4% | 89.7% | 46.5% | 73.9% | 57.9% |
| 2026-10-01T00:55:50+00:00 | 72.4% | 89.7% | 46.5% | 73.9% | 57.9% |
| 2026-10-01T01:40:55+00:00 | 77.9% | 89.7% | 46.5% | 73.9% | 57.9% |
| 2026-10-01T02:26:03+00:00 | 77.9% | 89.7% | 46.5% | 73.9% | 57.9% |
| 2026-10-01T03:11:22+00:00 | 77.9% | 89.7% | 46.5% | 73.9% | 57.9% |
| 2026-10-01T03:57:03+00:00 | 77.9% | 89.7% | 46.5% | 73.9% | 57.9% |
| 2026-10-01T04:42:09+00:00 | 77.9% | 89.7% | 46.5% | 73.9% | 57.9% |
| 2026-10-01T05:27:13+00:00 | 77.9% | 89.7% | 74.8% | 73.9% | 57.9% |
| 2026-10-01T06:12:19+00:00 | 77.9% | 89.7% | 74.8% | 73.9% | 57.9% |
| 2026-10-01T06:57:24+00:00 | 77.9% | 89.7% | 74.8% | 73.9% | 57.9% |
THE MODEL BOX SCORE
Forecasts & evidence
| MODEL | YES | MEAN | SPREAD σ | INITIALIZATION UTC | BRIER ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS forecast | >99% | 95.0°F | 2.2°F | 2026-10-01 02:00 | Pending |
| National Blend | 98% | 94.1°F | 2.2°F | 2026-10-01 00:00 | Pending |
| IFS Ensemble | 90% | 92.8°F | 2.6°F | 2026-09-30 00:00 | Pending |
| AIFS Single | 78% | 92.6°F | 4.0°F | 2026-09-30 18:00 | Pending |
| WeatherNext 2 | 75% | 91.8°F | 3.4°F | 2026-09-30 18:00 | Pending |
| IFS HRES | 74% | 91.9°F | 3.7°F | 2026-09-30 12:00 | Pending |
| ICON | 58% | 90.2°F | 3.5°F | 2026-09-30 12:00 | Pending |
Spread is the standard deviation used in the probability approximation. It is not a measured confidence rating. Brier here scores the latest recorded snapshot, not a league deadline.
High ≥ 90°F · KBNA
Daily temperature props settle on the ACIS official station record. Inclusive and strict thresholds retain their exact meanings. Provisional observations do not replace the settlement record.
WP-KBNA-20261001-TMAX-GE90
Opened Sep 24 · 07:27 UTC
Original listing: A 90° day in Nashville · Thu Oct 1
Original prop, full history & receipt ↗