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KBOI / Wed Sep 30 / OFFICIAL STATION RECORD

Boise, IDHigh ≥ 75°F

FINAL OUTCOMEYESSep 27 · 02:34 UTC
THE FORECAST FIELD

Who takes which side?

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
AIFS
92%
WN2
77%
HRES
75%
EPS
75%
ICON
64%
Consensus
75%

Probabilities derived from each source’s mean and spread. Forecasts may have different initialization times.

HOW A MODEL CONTRACT WORKS

Head-to-head preview

ILLUSTRATIVE · NOT EXECUTED
AIFSYES 78.0¢Risks 77.95u
VS
ICONNO 22.0¢Risks 22.05u

100 contracts at the midpoint of these model probabilities. Each contract pays 1u to the winning side.

AIFS +22.05u · ICON −22.05u

These are current forecast comparisons, not locked entries. No credits have been committed. Read the proposed policy →

FOLLOW THE RUNS

Probability history

RecordedReconstructed

Recorded source probabilities; timestamps mark snapshots. Repeated values may come from the same model run.

0%25%50%75%100%AIFS Single: 77.5% · 2026-09-24T02:56:46+00:00AIFS Single: 77.5% · 2026-09-24T03:41:56+00:00AIFS Single: 77.5% · 2026-09-24T04:27:02+00:00AIFS Single: 77.5% · 2026-09-24T05:12:08+00:00AIFS Single: 77.5% · 2026-09-24T05:57:20+00:00AIFS Single: 77.5% · 2026-09-24T06:42:28+00:00AIFS Single: 88.1% · 2026-09-24T07:28:08+00:00AIFS Single: 88.1% · 2026-09-24T08:13:32+00:00AIFS Single: 88.1% · 2026-09-24T08:58:39+00:00AIFS Single: 88.1% · 2026-09-24T09:43:43+00:00AIFS Single: 88.1% · 2026-09-24T10:28:48+00:00AIFS Single: 88.1% · 2026-09-24T11:13:54+00:00AIFS Single: 88.1% · 2026-09-24T11:58:59+00:00AIFS Single: 88.1% · 2026-09-24T12:44:04+00:00AIFS Single: 80.1% · 2026-09-24T13:29:21+00:00AIFS Single: 79.5% · 2026-09-24T14:16:43+00:00AIFS Single: 85.8% · 2026-09-25T03:04:36+00:00AIFS Single: 85.8% · 2026-09-25T03:49:47+00:00AIFS Single: 85.8% · 2026-09-25T04:34:53+00:00AIFS Single: 85.8% · 2026-09-25T05:20:00+00:00AIFS Single: 85.8% · 2026-09-25T06:05:07+00:00AIFS Single: 85.8% · 2026-09-25T06:50:11+00:00AIFS Single: 89.5% · 2026-09-25T07:35:21+00:00AIFS Single: 89.5% · 2026-09-25T08:20:26+00:00AIFS Single: 89.5% · 2026-09-25T09:05:32+00:00AIFS Single: 89.5% · 2026-09-25T09:50:36+00:00AIFS Single: 89.5% · 2026-09-25T10:35:42+00:00AIFS Single: 89.5% · 2026-09-25T11:20:49+00:00AIFS Single: 89.5% · 2026-09-25T12:05:54+00:00AIFS Single: 89.5% · 2026-09-25T12:51:00+00:00AIFS Single: 83.4% · 2026-09-25T13:36:07+00:00AIFS Single: 83.4% · 2026-09-25T14:23:08+00:00AIFS Single: 83.4% · 2026-09-25T15:08:14+00:00AIFS Single: 83.4% · 2026-09-25T15:53:19+00:00AIFS Single: 83.4% · 2026-09-25T16:38:25+00:00AIFS Single: 83.4% · 2026-09-25T17:23:33+00:00AIFS Single: 83.4% · 2026-09-25T18:09:00+00:00AIFS Single: 83.4% · 2026-09-25T18:54:09+00:00AIFS Single: 98.8% · 2026-09-25T19:40:00+00:00AIFS Single: 98.8% · 2026-09-25T20:25:19+00:00AIFS Single: 98.8% · 2026-09-25T21:10:24+00:00AIFS Single: 98.8% · 2026-09-25T21:55:30+00:00AIFS Single: 98.8% · 2026-09-25T22:40:34+00:00AIFS Single: 98.8% · 2026-09-25T23:25:40+00:00AIFS Single: 98.8% · 2026-09-26T00:10:46+00:00AIFS Single: 98.8% · 2026-09-26T00:55:58+00:00AIFS Single: 98.0% · 2026-09-26T01:41:07+00:00AIFS Single: 95.1% · 2026-09-26T14:32:21+00:00AIFS Single: 95.1% · 2026-09-26T15:17:32+00:00AIFS Single: 95.1% · 2026-09-26T16:02:38+00:00AIFS Single: 95.1% · 2026-09-26T16:47:46+00:00AIFS Single: 95.1% · 2026-09-26T17:32:53+00:00AIFS Single: 95.1% · 2026-09-26T18:18:04+00:00AIFS Single: 95.1% · 2026-09-26T19:03:10+00:00AIFS Single: 88.6% · 2026-09-26T19:48:22+00:00AIFS Single: 88.6% · 2026-09-26T20:33:29+00:00AIFS Single: 88.6% · 2026-09-26T21:18:35+00:00AIFS Single: 88.6% · 2026-09-26T22:03:40+00:00AIFS Single: 88.6% · 2026-09-26T22:48:50+00:00AIFS Single: 88.6% · 2026-09-26T23:33:59+00:00AIFS Single: 88.6% · 2026-09-27T00:19:05+00:00AIFS Single: 88.6% · 2026-09-27T01:04:14+00:00AIFS Single: 91.9% · 2026-09-27T01:49:28+00:00AIFS Single: 91.9% · 2026-09-27T02:34:34+00:00IFS Ensemble: 49.0% · 2026-09-24T02:56:46+00:00IFS Ensemble: 49.0% · 2026-09-24T03:41:56+00:00IFS Ensemble: 49.0% · 2026-09-24T04:27:02+00:00IFS Ensemble: 49.0% · 2026-09-24T05:12:08+00:00IFS Ensemble: 49.0% · 2026-09-24T05:57:20+00:00IFS Ensemble: 49.0% · 2026-09-24T06:42:28+00:00IFS Ensemble: 49.0% · 2026-09-24T07:28:08+00:00IFS Ensemble: 49.0% · 2026-09-24T08:13:32+00:00IFS Ensemble: 49.0% · 2026-09-24T08:58:39+00:00IFS Ensemble: 49.0% · 2026-09-24T09:43:43+00:00IFS Ensemble: 49.0% · 2026-09-24T10:28:48+00:00IFS Ensemble: 44.2% · 2026-09-24T11:13:54+00:00IFS Ensemble: 44.2% · 2026-09-24T11:58:59+00:00IFS Ensemble: 44.2% · 2026-09-24T12:44:04+00:00IFS Ensemble: 44.2% · 2026-09-24T13:29:21+00:00IFS Ensemble: 44.3% · 2026-09-24T14:16:43+00:00IFS Ensemble: 44.2% · 2026-09-25T03:04:36+00:00IFS Ensemble: 44.2% · 2026-09-25T03:49:47+00:00IFS Ensemble: 44.2% · 2026-09-25T04:34:53+00:00IFS Ensemble: 44.2% · 2026-09-25T05:20:00+00:00IFS Ensemble: 44.2% · 2026-09-25T06:05:07+00:00IFS Ensemble: 44.2% · 2026-09-25T06:50:11+00:00IFS Ensemble: 44.2% · 2026-09-25T07:35:21+00:00IFS Ensemble: 44.2% · 2026-09-25T08:20:26+00:00IFS Ensemble: 44.2% · 2026-09-25T09:05:32+00:00IFS Ensemble: 44.2% · 2026-09-25T09:50:36+00:00IFS Ensemble: 44.2% · 2026-09-25T10:35:42+00:00IFS Ensemble: 63.5% · 2026-09-25T11:20:49+00:00IFS Ensemble: 63.5% · 2026-09-25T12:05:54+00:00IFS Ensemble: 63.5% · 2026-09-25T12:51:00+00:00IFS Ensemble: 63.5% · 2026-09-25T13:36:07+00:00IFS Ensemble: 63.5% · 2026-09-25T14:23:08+00:00IFS Ensemble: 64.7% · 2026-09-25T15:08:14+00:00IFS Ensemble: 64.7% · 2026-09-25T15:53:19+00:00IFS Ensemble: 64.7% · 2026-09-25T16:38:25+00:00IFS Ensemble: 64.7% · 2026-09-25T17:23:33+00:00IFS Ensemble: 64.7% · 2026-09-25T18:09:00+00:00IFS Ensemble: 64.7% · 2026-09-25T18:54:09+00:00IFS Ensemble: 64.7% · 2026-09-25T19:40:00+00:00IFS Ensemble: 64.7% · 2026-09-25T20:25:19+00:00IFS Ensemble: 64.7% · 2026-09-25T21:10:24+00:00IFS Ensemble: 64.7% · 2026-09-25T21:55:30+00:00IFS Ensemble: 64.7% · 2026-09-25T22:40:34+00:00IFS Ensemble: 64.7% · 2026-09-25T23:25:40+00:00IFS Ensemble: 64.7% · 2026-09-26T00:10:46+00:00IFS Ensemble: 64.7% · 2026-09-26T00:55:58+00:00IFS Ensemble: 64.7% · 2026-09-26T01:41:07+00:00IFS Ensemble: 73.4% · 2026-09-26T14:32:21+00:00IFS Ensemble: 74.8% · 2026-09-26T15:17:32+00:00IFS Ensemble: 74.8% · 2026-09-26T16:02:38+00:00IFS Ensemble: 74.8% · 2026-09-26T16:47:46+00:00IFS Ensemble: 74.8% · 2026-09-26T17:32:53+00:00IFS Ensemble: 74.8% · 2026-09-26T18:18:04+00:00IFS Ensemble: 74.8% · 2026-09-26T19:03:10+00:00IFS Ensemble: 74.8% · 2026-09-26T19:48:22+00:00IFS Ensemble: 74.8% · 2026-09-26T20:33:29+00:00IFS Ensemble: 74.8% · 2026-09-26T21:18:35+00:00IFS Ensemble: 74.8% · 2026-09-26T22:03:40+00:00IFS Ensemble: 74.8% · 2026-09-26T22:48:50+00:00IFS Ensemble: 74.8% · 2026-09-26T23:33:59+00:00IFS Ensemble: 74.8% · 2026-09-27T00:19:05+00:00IFS Ensemble: 74.8% · 2026-09-27T01:04:14+00:00IFS Ensemble: 74.8% · 2026-09-27T01:49:28+00:00IFS Ensemble: 74.8% · 2026-09-27T02:34:34+00:00WeatherNext 2: 64.5% · 2026-09-24T02:56:46+00:00WeatherNext 2: 64.5% · 2026-09-24T03:41:56+00:00WeatherNext 2: 64.5% · 2026-09-24T04:27:02+00:00WeatherNext 2: 67.6% · 2026-09-24T05:12:08+00:00WeatherNext 2: 67.6% · 2026-09-24T05:57:20+00:00WeatherNext 2: 67.6% · 2026-09-24T06:42:28+00:00WeatherNext 2: 67.6% · 2026-09-24T07:28:08+00:00WeatherNext 2: 67.6% · 2026-09-24T08:13:32+00:00WeatherNext 2: 67.6% · 2026-09-24T08:58:39+00:00WeatherNext 2: 67.6% · 2026-09-24T09:43:43+00:00WeatherNext 2: 67.6% · 2026-09-24T10:28:48+00:00WeatherNext 2: 67.1% · 2026-09-24T11:13:54+00:00WeatherNext 2: 67.1% · 2026-09-24T11:58:59+00:00WeatherNext 2: 67.1% · 2026-09-24T12:44:04+00:00WeatherNext 2: 67.1% · 2026-09-24T13:29:21+00:00WeatherNext 2: 67.0% · 2026-09-24T14:16:43+00:00WeatherNext 2: 74.6% · 2026-09-25T03:04:36+00:00WeatherNext 2: 74.6% · 2026-09-25T03:49:47+00:00WeatherNext 2: 74.6% · 2026-09-25T04:34:53+00:00WeatherNext 2: 71.7% · 2026-09-25T05:20:00+00:00WeatherNext 2: 71.7% · 2026-09-25T06:05:07+00:00WeatherNext 2: 71.7% · 2026-09-25T06:50:11+00:00WeatherNext 2: 71.7% · 2026-09-25T07:35:21+00:00WeatherNext 2: 71.7% · 2026-09-25T08:20:26+00:00WeatherNext 2: 71.7% · 2026-09-25T09:05:32+00:00WeatherNext 2: 71.7% · 2026-09-25T09:50:36+00:00WeatherNext 2: 71.7% · 2026-09-25T10:35:42+00:00WeatherNext 2: 71.7% · 2026-09-25T11:20:49+00:00WeatherNext 2: 71.7% · 2026-09-25T12:05:54+00:00WeatherNext 2: 71.7% · 2026-09-25T12:51:00+00:00WeatherNext 2: 71.7% · 2026-09-25T13:36:07+00:00WeatherNext 2: 70.9% · 2026-09-25T14:23:08+00:00WeatherNext 2: 70.9% · 2026-09-25T15:08:14+00:00WeatherNext 2: 70.9% · 2026-09-25T15:53:19+00:00WeatherNext 2: 70.9% · 2026-09-25T16:38:25+00:00WeatherNext 2: 67.5% · 2026-09-25T17:23:33+00:00WeatherNext 2: 67.5% · 2026-09-25T18:09:00+00:00WeatherNext 2: 67.5% · 2026-09-25T18:54:09+00:00WeatherNext 2: 67.5% · 2026-09-25T19:40:00+00:00WeatherNext 2: 67.5% · 2026-09-25T20:25:19+00:00WeatherNext 2: 67.5% · 2026-09-25T21:10:24+00:00WeatherNext 2: 67.5% · 2026-09-25T21:55:30+00:00WeatherNext 2: 67.5% · 2026-09-25T22:40:34+00:00WeatherNext 2: 81.7% · 2026-09-25T23:25:40+00:00WeatherNext 2: 81.7% · 2026-09-26T00:10:46+00:00WeatherNext 2: 81.7% · 2026-09-26T00:55:58+00:00WeatherNext 2: 81.7% · 2026-09-26T01:41:07+00:00WeatherNext 2: 84.5% · 2026-09-26T14:32:21+00:00WeatherNext 2: 84.5% · 2026-09-26T15:17:32+00:00WeatherNext 2: 84.5% · 2026-09-26T16:02:38+00:00WeatherNext 2: 84.5% · 2026-09-26T16:47:46+00:00WeatherNext 2: 84.5% · 2026-09-26T17:32:53+00:00WeatherNext 2: 84.5% · 2026-09-26T18:18:04+00:00WeatherNext 2: 84.5% · 2026-09-26T19:03:10+00:00WeatherNext 2: 84.5% · 2026-09-26T19:48:22+00:00WeatherNext 2: 84.5% · 2026-09-26T20:33:29+00:00WeatherNext 2: 84.5% · 2026-09-26T21:18:35+00:00WeatherNext 2: 84.5% · 2026-09-26T22:03:40+00:00WeatherNext 2: 84.5% · 2026-09-26T22:48:50+00:00WeatherNext 2: 76.9% · 2026-09-26T23:33:59+00:00WeatherNext 2: 76.9% · 2026-09-27T00:19:05+00:00WeatherNext 2: 76.9% · 2026-09-27T01:04:14+00:00WeatherNext 2: 76.9% · 2026-09-27T01:49:28+00:00WeatherNext 2: 76.9% · 2026-09-27T02:34:34+00:00IFS HRES: 67.0% · 2026-09-24T02:56:46+00:00IFS HRES: 67.0% · 2026-09-24T03:41:56+00:00IFS HRES: 67.0% · 2026-09-24T04:27:02+00:00IFS HRES: 67.0% · 2026-09-24T05:12:08+00:00IFS HRES: 67.0% · 2026-09-24T05:57:20+00:00IFS HRES: 67.0% · 2026-09-24T06:42:28+00:00IFS HRES: 64.7% · 2026-09-24T07:28:08+00:00IFS HRES: 64.7% · 2026-09-24T08:13:32+00:00IFS HRES: 64.7% · 2026-09-24T08:58:39+00:00IFS HRES: 64.7% · 2026-09-24T09:43:43+00:00IFS HRES: 64.7% · 2026-09-24T10:28:48+00:00IFS HRES: 64.7% · 2026-09-24T11:13:54+00:00IFS HRES: 64.7% · 2026-09-24T11:58:59+00:00IFS HRES: 64.7% · 2026-09-24T12:44:04+00:00IFS HRES: 64.7% · 2026-09-24T13:29:21+00:00IFS HRES: 64.7% · 2026-09-24T14:16:43+00:00IFS HRES: 88.0% · 2026-09-25T03:04:36+00:00IFS HRES: 88.0% · 2026-09-25T03:49:47+00:00IFS HRES: 88.0% · 2026-09-25T04:34:53+00:00IFS HRES: 88.0% · 2026-09-25T05:20:00+00:00IFS HRES: 88.0% · 2026-09-25T06:05:07+00:00IFS HRES: 88.0% · 2026-09-25T06:50:11+00:00IFS HRES: 88.0% · 2026-09-25T07:35:21+00:00IFS HRES: 88.0% · 2026-09-25T08:20:26+00:00IFS HRES: 88.0% · 2026-09-25T09:05:32+00:00IFS HRES: 88.0% · 2026-09-25T09:50:36+00:00IFS HRES: 88.0% · 2026-09-25T10:35:42+00:00IFS HRES: 88.0% · 2026-09-25T11:20:49+00:00IFS HRES: 88.0% · 2026-09-25T12:05:54+00:00IFS HRES: 88.0% · 2026-09-25T12:51:00+00:00IFS HRES: 88.0% · 2026-09-25T13:36:07+00:00IFS HRES: 88.0% · 2026-09-25T14:23:08+00:00IFS HRES: 88.0% · 2026-09-25T15:08:14+00:00IFS HRES: 88.0% · 2026-09-25T15:53:19+00:00IFS HRES: 88.0% · 2026-09-25T16:38:25+00:00IFS HRES: 88.0% · 2026-09-25T17:23:33+00:00IFS HRES: 88.0% · 2026-09-25T18:09:00+00:00IFS HRES: 88.0% · 2026-09-25T18:54:09+00:00IFS HRES: 79.0% · 2026-09-25T19:40:00+00:00IFS HRES: 79.0% · 2026-09-25T20:25:19+00:00IFS HRES: 79.0% · 2026-09-25T21:10:24+00:00IFS HRES: 79.0% · 2026-09-25T21:55:30+00:00IFS HRES: 79.0% · 2026-09-25T22:40:34+00:00IFS HRES: 79.0% · 2026-09-25T23:25:40+00:00IFS HRES: 79.0% · 2026-09-26T00:10:46+00:00IFS HRES: 79.0% · 2026-09-26T00:55:58+00:00IFS HRES: 79.0% · 2026-09-26T01:41:07+00:00IFS HRES: 79.2% · 2026-09-26T14:32:21+00:00IFS HRES: 79.2% · 2026-09-26T15:17:32+00:00IFS HRES: 79.2% · 2026-09-26T16:02:38+00:00IFS HRES: 79.2% · 2026-09-26T16:47:46+00:00IFS HRES: 79.2% · 2026-09-26T17:32:53+00:00IFS HRES: 79.2% · 2026-09-26T18:18:04+00:00IFS HRES: 79.2% · 2026-09-26T19:03:10+00:00IFS HRES: 75.0% · 2026-09-26T19:48:22+00:00IFS HRES: 75.0% · 2026-09-26T20:33:29+00:00IFS HRES: 75.0% · 2026-09-26T21:18:35+00:00IFS HRES: 75.0% · 2026-09-26T22:03:40+00:00IFS HRES: 75.0% · 2026-09-26T22:48:50+00:00IFS HRES: 75.0% · 2026-09-26T23:33:59+00:00IFS HRES: 75.0% · 2026-09-27T00:19:05+00:00IFS HRES: 75.0% · 2026-09-27T01:04:14+00:00IFS HRES: 75.0% · 2026-09-27T01:49:28+00:00IFS HRES: 75.0% · 2026-09-27T02:34:34+00:00ICON: 71.3% · 2026-09-24T02:56:46+00:00ICON: 71.3% · 2026-09-24T03:41:56+00:00ICON: 89.3% · 2026-09-24T04:27:02+00:00ICON: 89.3% · 2026-09-24T05:12:08+00:00ICON: 89.3% · 2026-09-24T05:57:20+00:00ICON: 89.3% · 2026-09-24T06:42:28+00:00ICON: 89.3% · 2026-09-24T07:28:08+00:00ICON: 89.3% · 2026-09-24T08:13:32+00:00ICON: 89.3% · 2026-09-24T08:58:39+00:00ICON: 89.3% · 2026-09-24T09:43:43+00:00ICON: 89.3% · 2026-09-24T10:28:48+00:00ICON: 89.3% · 2026-09-24T11:13:54+00:00ICON: 89.3% · 2026-09-24T11:58:59+00:00ICON: 89.3% · 2026-09-24T12:44:04+00:00ICON: 89.3% · 2026-09-24T13:29:21+00:00ICON: 89.3% · 2026-09-24T14:16:43+00:00ICON: 52.9% · 2026-09-25T03:04:36+00:00ICON: 52.9% · 2026-09-25T03:49:47+00:00ICON: 91.7% · 2026-09-25T04:34:53+00:00ICON: 91.7% · 2026-09-25T05:20:00+00:00ICON: 91.7% · 2026-09-25T06:05:07+00:00ICON: 91.7% · 2026-09-25T06:50:11+00:00ICON: 91.7% · 2026-09-25T07:35:21+00:00ICON: 91.7% · 2026-09-25T08:20:26+00:00ICON: 91.7% · 2026-09-25T09:05:32+00:00ICON: 91.7% · 2026-09-25T09:50:36+00:00ICON: 91.7% · 2026-09-25T10:35:42+00:00ICON: 91.7% · 2026-09-25T11:20:49+00:00ICON: 91.7% · 2026-09-25T12:05:54+00:00ICON: 91.7% · 2026-09-25T12:51:00+00:00ICON: 91.7% · 2026-09-25T13:36:07+00:00ICON: 91.7% · 2026-09-25T14:23:08+00:00ICON: 91.7% · 2026-09-25T15:08:14+00:00ICON: 91.7% · 2026-09-25T15:53:19+00:00ICON: 64.7% · 2026-09-25T16:38:25+00:00ICON: 64.7% · 2026-09-25T17:23:33+00:00ICON: 64.7% · 2026-09-25T18:09:00+00:00ICON: 64.7% · 2026-09-25T18:54:09+00:00ICON: 64.7% · 2026-09-25T19:40:00+00:00ICON: 64.7% · 2026-09-25T20:25:19+00:00ICON: 64.7% · 2026-09-25T21:10:24+00:00ICON: 64.7% · 2026-09-25T21:55:30+00:00ICON: 64.7% · 2026-09-25T22:40:34+00:00ICON: 64.7% · 2026-09-25T23:25:40+00:00ICON: 64.7% · 2026-09-26T00:10:46+00:00ICON: 64.7% · 2026-09-26T00:55:58+00:00ICON: 64.7% · 2026-09-26T01:41:07+00:00ICON: 56.7% · 2026-09-26T14:32:21+00:00ICON: 56.7% · 2026-09-26T15:17:32+00:00ICON: 56.7% · 2026-09-26T16:02:38+00:00ICON: 64.0% · 2026-09-26T16:47:46+00:00ICON: 64.0% · 2026-09-26T17:32:53+00:00ICON: 64.0% · 2026-09-26T18:18:04+00:00ICON: 64.0% · 2026-09-26T19:03:10+00:00ICON: 64.0% · 2026-09-26T19:48:22+00:00ICON: 64.0% · 2026-09-26T20:33:29+00:00ICON: 64.0% · 2026-09-26T21:18:35+00:00ICON: 64.0% · 2026-09-26T22:03:40+00:00ICON: 64.0% · 2026-09-26T22:48:50+00:00ICON: 64.0% · 2026-09-26T23:33:59+00:00ICON: 64.0% · 2026-09-27T00:19:05+00:00ICON: 64.0% · 2026-09-27T01:04:14+00:00ICON: 64.0% · 2026-09-27T01:49:28+00:00ICON: 64.0% · 2026-09-27T02:34:34+00:0009-24 02:5609-25 15:0809-27 02:34
AIFS SingleIFS EnsembleWeatherNext 2IFS HRESICON
2026-09-27T02:34:34+00:00 · UTC
View the forecast data
UTCAIFSEPSWN2HRESICON
2026-09-24T02:56:46+00:0077.5%49.0%64.5%67.0%71.3%
2026-09-24T03:41:56+00:0077.5%49.0%64.5%67.0%71.3%
2026-09-24T04:27:02+00:0077.5%49.0%64.5%67.0%89.3%
2026-09-24T05:12:08+00:0077.5%49.0%67.6%67.0%89.3%
2026-09-24T05:57:20+00:0077.5%49.0%67.6%67.0%89.3%
2026-09-24T06:42:28+00:0077.5%49.0%67.6%67.0%89.3%
2026-09-24T07:28:08+00:0088.1%49.0%67.6%64.7%89.3%
2026-09-24T08:13:32+00:0088.1%49.0%67.6%64.7%89.3%
2026-09-24T08:58:39+00:0088.1%49.0%67.6%64.7%89.3%
2026-09-24T09:43:43+00:0088.1%49.0%67.6%64.7%89.3%
2026-09-24T10:28:48+00:0088.1%49.0%67.6%64.7%89.3%
2026-09-24T11:13:54+00:0088.1%44.2%67.1%64.7%89.3%
2026-09-24T11:58:59+00:0088.1%44.2%67.1%64.7%89.3%
2026-09-24T12:44:04+00:0088.1%44.2%67.1%64.7%89.3%
2026-09-24T13:29:21+00:0080.1%44.2%67.1%64.7%89.3%
2026-09-24T14:16:43+00:0079.5%44.3%67.0%64.7%89.3%
2026-09-25T03:04:36+00:0085.8%44.2%74.6%88.0%52.9%
2026-09-25T03:49:47+00:0085.8%44.2%74.6%88.0%52.9%
2026-09-25T04:34:53+00:0085.8%44.2%74.6%88.0%91.7%
2026-09-25T05:20:00+00:0085.8%44.2%71.7%88.0%91.7%
2026-09-25T06:05:07+00:0085.8%44.2%71.7%88.0%91.7%
2026-09-25T06:50:11+00:0085.8%44.2%71.7%88.0%91.7%
2026-09-25T07:35:21+00:0089.5%44.2%71.7%88.0%91.7%
2026-09-25T08:20:26+00:0089.5%44.2%71.7%88.0%91.7%
2026-09-25T09:05:32+00:0089.5%44.2%71.7%88.0%91.7%
2026-09-25T09:50:36+00:0089.5%44.2%71.7%88.0%91.7%
2026-09-25T10:35:42+00:0089.5%44.2%71.7%88.0%91.7%
2026-09-25T11:20:49+00:0089.5%63.5%71.7%88.0%91.7%
2026-09-25T12:05:54+00:0089.5%63.5%71.7%88.0%91.7%
2026-09-25T12:51:00+00:0089.5%63.5%71.7%88.0%91.7%
2026-09-25T13:36:07+00:0083.4%63.5%71.7%88.0%91.7%
2026-09-25T14:23:08+00:0083.4%63.5%70.9%88.0%91.7%
2026-09-25T15:08:14+00:0083.4%64.7%70.9%88.0%91.7%
2026-09-25T15:53:19+00:0083.4%64.7%70.9%88.0%91.7%
2026-09-25T16:38:25+00:0083.4%64.7%70.9%88.0%64.7%
2026-09-25T17:23:33+00:0083.4%64.7%67.5%88.0%64.7%
2026-09-25T18:09:00+00:0083.4%64.7%67.5%88.0%64.7%
2026-09-25T18:54:09+00:0083.4%64.7%67.5%88.0%64.7%
2026-09-25T19:40:00+00:0098.8%64.7%67.5%79.0%64.7%
2026-09-25T20:25:19+00:0098.8%64.7%67.5%79.0%64.7%
2026-09-25T21:10:24+00:0098.8%64.7%67.5%79.0%64.7%
2026-09-25T21:55:30+00:0098.8%64.7%67.5%79.0%64.7%
2026-09-25T22:40:34+00:0098.8%64.7%67.5%79.0%64.7%
2026-09-25T23:25:40+00:0098.8%64.7%81.7%79.0%64.7%
2026-09-26T00:10:46+00:0098.8%64.7%81.7%79.0%64.7%
2026-09-26T00:55:58+00:0098.8%64.7%81.7%79.0%64.7%
2026-09-26T01:41:07+00:0098.0%64.7%81.7%79.0%64.7%
2026-09-26T14:32:21+00:0095.1%73.4%84.5%79.2%56.7%
2026-09-26T15:17:32+00:0095.1%74.8%84.5%79.2%56.7%
2026-09-26T16:02:38+00:0095.1%74.8%84.5%79.2%56.7%
2026-09-26T16:47:46+00:0095.1%74.8%84.5%79.2%64.0%
2026-09-26T17:32:53+00:0095.1%74.8%84.5%79.2%64.0%
2026-09-26T18:18:04+00:0095.1%74.8%84.5%79.2%64.0%
2026-09-26T19:03:10+00:0095.1%74.8%84.5%79.2%64.0%
2026-09-26T19:48:22+00:0088.6%74.8%84.5%75.0%64.0%
2026-09-26T20:33:29+00:0088.6%74.8%84.5%75.0%64.0%
2026-09-26T21:18:35+00:0088.6%74.8%84.5%75.0%64.0%
2026-09-26T22:03:40+00:0088.6%74.8%84.5%75.0%64.0%
2026-09-26T22:48:50+00:0088.6%74.8%84.5%75.0%64.0%
2026-09-26T23:33:59+00:0088.6%74.8%76.9%75.0%64.0%
2026-09-27T00:19:05+00:0088.6%74.8%76.9%75.0%64.0%
2026-09-27T01:04:14+00:0088.6%74.8%76.9%75.0%64.0%
2026-09-27T01:49:28+00:0091.9%74.8%76.9%75.0%64.0%
2026-09-27T02:34:34+00:0091.9%74.8%76.9%75.0%64.0%
THE MODEL BOX SCORE

Forecasts & evidence

MODELYESMEANSPREAD σINITIALIZATION UTCBRIER ↓
AIFS Single92%81.0°F4.6°F2026-09-26 18:000.0066
WeatherNext 277%77.4°F3.9°F2026-09-26 12:000.0534
IFS HRES75%77.9°F5.0°F2026-09-26 12:000.0625
IFS Ensemble75%77.8°F4.9°F2026-09-26 00:000.0635
ICON64%76.2°F4.8°F2026-09-26 12:000.1296
NWS forecast55%75.0°F4.5°F2026-09-26 14:000.2070
National Blend52%74.7°F5.1°F2026-09-26 06:000.2343

Spread is the standard deviation used in the probability approximation. It is not a measured confidence rating. Brier here scores the latest recorded snapshot, not a league deadline.

SETTLEMENT & PROVENANCE

High ≥ 75°F · KBOI

Daily temperature props settle on the ACIS official station record. Inclusive and strict thresholds retain their exact meanings. Provisional observations do not replace the settlement record.

WP-KBOI-20260930-TMAX-GE75
Opened Sep 24 · 02:56 UTC

Original listing: Boise high ≥ 75°F · Wed Sep 30

Original prop, full history & receipt ↗