KLAX / Sat Oct 24 / OFFICIAL STATION RECORD

Los Angeles, CAHigh ≥ 84°F

CONSENSUS FORECAST—Time unavailable

THE FORECAST FIELD

Who takes which side?

0% · NO50%YES · 100%

Probabilities derived from each source’s mean and spread. Forecasts may have different initialization times.

HOW A MODEL CONTRACT WORKS

Head-to-head preview

ILLUSTRATIVE · NOT EXECUTED

Two model forecasts are needed to illustrate an opposing contract.

These are current forecast comparisons, not locked entries. No credits have been committed. Read the proposed policy →

FOLLOW THE RUNS

Probability history

Recorded Reconstructed

Recorded source probabilities; timestamps mark snapshots. Repeated values may come from the same model run.

AIFS SingleIFS EnsembleWeatherNext 2IFS HRESICON

Inspect a forecast 2026-10-19T12:06:41+00:00 · UTC

View the forecast data

UTC	AIFS	EPS	WN2	HRES	ICON
2026-10-17T07:45:16+00:00	18.3%	1.2%	11.3%	6.1%	6.6%
2026-10-17T08:31:05+00:00	18.3%	1.2%	11.3%	6.1%	6.6%
2026-10-17T09:16:45+00:00	18.3%	1.2%	11.3%	6.1%	6.6%
2026-10-17T10:01:51+00:00	18.3%	1.2%	11.3%	6.1%	6.6%
2026-10-17T10:46:56+00:00	18.3%	1.2%	11.3%	6.1%	6.6%
2026-10-17T11:32:18+00:00	18.3%	0.7%	6.1%	6.1%	6.6%
2026-10-17T12:17:30+00:00	18.3%	0.7%	6.1%	6.1%	6.6%
2026-10-17T13:02:38+00:00	18.3%	0.7%	6.1%	6.1%	6.6%
2026-10-17T13:47:57+00:00	21.2%	0.7%	6.1%	6.1%	6.6%
2026-10-17T14:39:20+00:00	21.2%	0.7%	6.1%	6.1%	6.7%
2026-10-17T15:25:20+00:00	21.2%	1.4%	6.1%	6.1%	6.7%
2026-10-17T16:10:35+00:00	21.2%	1.4%	6.1%	6.1%	6.7%
2026-10-17T16:55:43+00:00	21.2%	1.4%	6.1%	6.1%	6.7%
2026-10-17T17:40:52+00:00	21.2%	1.4%	14.1%	6.1%	6.7%
2026-10-17T18:25:59+00:00	21.2%	1.4%	14.1%	6.1%	6.7%
2026-10-17T19:11:06+00:00	21.2%	1.4%	14.1%	6.1%	6.7%
2026-10-17T19:56:20+00:00	16.9%	1.4%	14.1%	7.7%	42.4%
2026-10-17T20:41:33+00:00	16.9%	1.4%	14.1%	7.7%	42.4%
2026-10-17T21:26:40+00:00	16.9%	1.4%	14.1%	7.7%	42.4%
2026-10-17T22:11:57+00:00	16.9%	1.4%	14.1%	7.7%	42.4%
2026-10-17T22:57:07+00:00	16.9%	1.4%	14.1%	7.7%	42.4%
2026-10-17T23:42:15+00:00	16.9%	1.4%	7.7%	7.7%	42.4%
2026-10-18T00:27:28+00:00	16.9%	1.4%	7.7%	7.7%	42.4%
2026-10-18T01:12:58+00:00	16.9%	1.4%	7.7%	7.7%	42.4%
2026-10-18T01:58:16+00:00	16.9%	1.4%	7.7%	7.7%	42.4%
2026-10-18T02:43:24+00:00	16.9%	1.4%	7.7%	7.7%	42.4%
2026-10-18T03:28:32+00:00	16.9%	1.4%	7.7%	7.7%	42.4%
2026-10-18T04:14:58+00:00	16.9%	1.4%	7.7%	7.7%	42.4%
2026-10-18T05:00:16+00:00	16.9%	1.4%	6.1%	7.7%	42.4%
2026-10-18T05:45:23+00:00	16.9%	1.4%	6.1%	7.7%	42.4%
2026-10-18T06:30:29+00:00	16.9%	1.4%	6.1%	7.7%	42.4%
2026-10-18T07:15:40+00:00	16.9%	1.4%	6.1%	7.7%	42.4%
2026-10-18T08:01:56+00:00	29.0%	1.4%	6.1%	11.6%	30.8%
2026-10-18T08:47:14+00:00	29.0%	1.4%	6.1%	11.6%	30.8%
2026-10-18T09:32:22+00:00	29.0%	1.4%	6.1%	11.6%	30.8%
2026-10-18T10:17:30+00:00	29.0%	1.4%	6.1%	11.6%	30.8%
2026-10-18T11:03:02+00:00	29.0%	1.4%	6.1%	11.6%	30.8%
2026-10-18T11:48:19+00:00	29.0%	1.6%	7.3%	11.6%	30.8%
2026-10-18T12:33:57+00:00	29.0%	1.6%	7.3%	11.6%	30.8%
2026-10-18T13:19:04+00:00	29.0%	1.6%	7.3%	11.6%	30.8%
2026-10-18T14:04:15+00:00	32.2%	1.7%	7.3%	11.6%	30.7%
2026-10-18T14:56:13+00:00	32.2%	1.7%	7.3%	11.6%	30.7%
2026-10-18T15:41:41+00:00	32.2%	1.7%	7.3%	11.6%	30.7%
2026-10-18T16:27:01+00:00	32.2%	1.7%	7.3%	11.6%	30.7%
2026-10-18T17:12:11+00:00	32.2%	1.7%	6.2%	11.6%	30.7%
2026-10-18T17:57:35+00:00	32.2%	1.7%	6.2%	11.6%	30.7%
2026-10-18T18:42:49+00:00	32.2%	1.7%	6.2%	11.6%	30.7%
2026-10-18T19:28:02+00:00	32.2%	1.7%	6.2%	11.6%	30.7%
2026-10-18T20:13:10+00:00	22.4%	1.7%	6.2%	28.2%	31.7%
2026-10-18T20:58:19+00:00	22.4%	1.7%	6.2%	28.2%	31.7%
2026-10-18T21:43:28+00:00	22.4%	1.7%	6.2%	28.2%	31.7%
2026-10-18T22:28:35+00:00	22.4%	1.7%	6.2%	28.2%	31.7%
2026-10-18T23:13:45+00:00	22.4%	1.7%	8.5%	28.2%	31.7%
2026-10-18T23:58:57+00:00	22.4%	1.7%	8.5%	28.2%	31.7%
2026-10-19T00:44:11+00:00	22.4%	1.7%	8.5%	28.2%	31.7%
2026-10-19T01:29:39+00:00	22.4%	1.7%	8.5%	28.2%	31.7%
2026-10-19T02:14:48+00:00	22.4%	1.7%	8.5%	28.2%	31.7%
2026-10-19T03:00:00+00:00	22.4%	1.7%	8.5%	28.2%	31.7%
2026-10-19T03:45:06+00:00	22.4%	1.7%	8.5%	28.2%	31.7%
2026-10-19T04:31:34+00:00	22.4%	1.7%	8.5%	28.2%	31.7%
2026-10-19T05:17:08+00:00	22.4%	1.7%	15.7%	28.2%	31.7%
2026-10-19T06:02:16+00:00	22.4%	1.7%	15.7%	28.2%	31.7%
2026-10-19T06:47:24+00:00	22.4%	1.7%	15.7%	28.2%	31.7%
2026-10-19T07:33:53+00:00	25.2%	1.7%	15.7%	7.3%	39.1%
2026-10-19T08:19:25+00:00	25.2%	1.7%	15.7%	7.3%	39.1%
2026-10-19T09:04:30+00:00	25.2%	1.7%	15.7%	7.3%	39.1%
2026-10-19T09:49:37+00:00	25.2%	1.7%	15.7%	7.3%	39.1%
2026-10-19T10:35:27+00:00	25.2%	1.7%	15.7%	7.3%	39.1%
2026-10-19T11:21:20+00:00	25.2%	7.3%	9.4%	7.3%	39.1%
2026-10-19T12:06:41+00:00	25.2%	7.3%	9.4%	7.3%	39.1%

THE MODEL BOX SCORE

Forecasts & evidence

MODEL	YES	MEAN	SPREAD σ	INITIALIZATION UTC	BRIER ↓

Spread is the standard deviation used in the probability approximation. It is not a measured confidence rating. Brier here scores the latest recorded snapshot, not a league deadline.

SETTLEMENT & PROVENANCE

High ≥ 84°F · KLAX

Daily temperature props settle on the ACIS official station record. Inclusive and strict thresholds retain their exact meanings. Provisional observations do not replace the settlement record.

WP-KLAX-20261024-TMAX-GE84
Opened Oct 17 · 07:45 UTC

Original listing: Los Angeles runs hot-for-here: 84°F+ · Sat Oct 24

Original prop, full history & receipt ↗