KMIA / Mon Oct 19 / OFFICIAL STATION RECORD
Miami, FLHigh ≥ 88°F
CONSENSUS FORECAST21%Oct 19 · 06:47 UTC
THE FORECAST FIELD
Who takes which side?
Probabilities derived from each source’s mean and spread. Forecasts may have different initialization times.
Head-to-head preview
ILLUSTRATIVE · NOT EXECUTED100 contracts at the midpoint of these model probabilities. Each contract pays 1u to the winning side.
WN2 +69.80u · ICON −69.80u
These are current forecast comparisons, not locked entries. No credits have been committed. Read the proposed policy →
FOLLOW THE RUNS
Probability history
Recorded source probabilities; timestamps mark snapshots. Repeated values may come from the same model run.
AIFS SingleIFS EnsembleWeatherNext 2IFS HRESICON
View the forecast data
| UTC | AIFS | EPS | WN2 | HRES | ICON |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12T07:48:07+00:00 | 44.3% | 39.1% | 39.6% | 30.1% | 44.4% |
| 2026-10-12T08:34:24+00:00 | 44.3% | 39.1% | 39.6% | 30.1% | 44.4% |
| 2026-10-12T09:19:37+00:00 | 44.3% | 39.1% | 39.6% | 30.1% | 44.4% |
| 2026-10-12T10:04:58+00:00 | 44.3% | 39.1% | 39.6% | 30.1% | 44.4% |
| 2026-10-12T10:50:08+00:00 | 44.3% | 39.1% | 39.6% | 30.1% | 44.4% |
| 2026-10-12T11:35:28+00:00 | 44.3% | 39.1% | 35.8% | 30.1% | 44.4% |
| 2026-10-12T12:20:48+00:00 | 44.3% | 47.7% | 35.8% | 30.1% | 44.4% |
| 2026-10-12T13:05:54+00:00 | 44.3% | 47.7% | 35.8% | 30.1% | 44.4% |
| 2026-10-12T13:51:05+00:00 | 28.4% | 47.7% | 35.8% | 30.1% | 44.4% |
| 2026-10-12T14:41:16+00:00 | 28.5% | 47.7% | 35.9% | 30.1% | 44.4% |
| 2026-10-12T15:26:52+00:00 | 28.5% | 47.7% | 35.9% | 30.1% | 44.4% |
| 2026-10-12T16:12:55+00:00 | 28.5% | 47.7% | 35.9% | 30.1% | 44.4% |
| 2026-10-12T16:58:02+00:00 | 28.5% | 47.7% | 35.9% | 30.1% | 44.4% |
| 2026-10-12T17:43:12+00:00 | 28.5% | 47.7% | 37.4% | 30.1% | 44.4% |
| 2026-10-12T18:28:19+00:00 | 28.5% | 47.7% | 37.4% | 30.1% | 44.4% |
| 2026-10-12T19:13:26+00:00 | 28.5% | 47.7% | 37.4% | 30.1% | 44.4% |
| 2026-10-12T19:58:32+00:00 | 28.5% | 47.7% | 37.4% | 21.5% | 50.0% |
| 2026-10-12T20:43:42+00:00 | 28.5% | 47.7% | 37.4% | 21.5% | 50.0% |
| 2026-10-12T21:28:49+00:00 | 28.5% | 47.7% | 37.4% | 21.5% | 50.0% |
| 2026-10-12T22:13:56+00:00 | 28.5% | 47.7% | 37.4% | 21.5% | 50.0% |
| 2026-10-12T22:59:08+00:00 | 28.5% | 47.7% | 36.6% | 21.5% | 50.0% |
| 2026-10-12T23:44:17+00:00 | 28.5% | 47.7% | 36.6% | 21.5% | 50.0% |
| 2026-10-13T00:29:23+00:00 | 28.5% | 47.7% | 36.6% | 21.5% | 50.0% |
| 2026-10-13T01:14:39+00:00 | 28.5% | 47.7% | 36.6% | 21.5% | 50.0% |
| 2026-10-13T01:59:47+00:00 | 32.8% | 47.7% | 36.6% | 21.5% | 50.0% |
| 2026-10-13T02:44:55+00:00 | 32.8% | 47.7% | 36.6% | 21.5% | 50.0% |
| 2026-10-13T03:30:01+00:00 | 32.8% | 47.7% | 36.6% | 21.5% | 50.0% |
| 2026-10-13T04:15:44+00:00 | 32.8% | 47.7% | 36.6% | 21.5% | 50.0% |
| 2026-10-13T05:01:44+00:00 | 32.8% | 47.7% | 36.6% | 21.5% | 50.0% |
| 2026-10-13T05:46:51+00:00 | 32.8% | 47.7% | 33.6% | 21.5% | 50.0% |
| 2026-10-13T06:32:10+00:00 | 32.8% | 47.7% | 33.6% | 21.5% | 50.0% |
| 2026-10-13T07:17:17+00:00 | 32.8% | 47.7% | 33.6% | 21.5% | 50.0% |
| 2026-10-13T08:03:11+00:00 | 29.9% | 47.7% | 33.6% | 28.1% | 41.0% |
| 2026-10-13T08:49:39+00:00 | 29.9% | 47.7% | 33.6% | 28.1% | 41.0% |
| 2026-10-13T09:34:45+00:00 | 29.9% | 47.7% | 33.6% | 28.1% | 41.0% |
| 2026-10-13T10:19:54+00:00 | 29.9% | 47.7% | 33.6% | 28.1% | 41.0% |
| 2026-10-13T11:05:16+00:00 | 29.9% | 47.7% | 33.6% | 28.1% | 41.0% |
| 2026-10-13T11:50:35+00:00 | 29.9% | 15.9% | 31.5% | 28.1% | 41.0% |
| 2026-10-13T12:35:48+00:00 | 29.9% | 15.9% | 31.5% | 28.1% | 41.0% |
| 2026-10-13T13:20:54+00:00 | 29.9% | 15.9% | 31.5% | 28.1% | 41.0% |
| 2026-10-13T14:06:02+00:00 | 26.7% | 15.9% | 31.5% | 28.1% | 41.6% |
| 2026-10-13T14:56:03+00:00 | 26.7% | 15.9% | 31.5% | 28.1% | 41.6% |
| 2026-10-13T15:41:23+00:00 | 26.7% | 14.5% | 31.5% | 28.1% | 41.6% |
| 2026-10-13T16:27:02+00:00 | 26.7% | 14.5% | 31.5% | 28.1% | 41.6% |
| 2026-10-13T17:12:09+00:00 | 26.7% | 14.5% | 30.8% | 28.1% | 41.6% |
| 2026-10-13T17:57:17+00:00 | 26.7% | 14.5% | 30.8% | 28.1% | 41.6% |
| 2026-10-13T18:42:22+00:00 | 26.7% | 14.5% | 30.8% | 28.1% | 41.6% |
| 2026-10-13T19:27:27+00:00 | 26.7% | 14.5% | 30.8% | 28.1% | 41.6% |
| 2026-10-13T20:12:34+00:00 | 28.6% | 14.5% | 30.8% | 28.1% | 58.4% |
| 2026-10-13T20:57:42+00:00 | 28.6% | 14.5% | 30.8% | 28.1% | 58.4% |
| 2026-10-13T21:43:12+00:00 | 28.6% | 14.5% | 30.8% | 28.1% | 58.4% |
| 2026-10-13T22:28:23+00:00 | 28.6% | 14.5% | 30.8% | 28.1% | 58.4% |
| 2026-10-13T23:13:34+00:00 | 28.6% | 14.5% | 29.3% | 23.2% | 58.4% |
| 2026-10-13T23:58:44+00:00 | 28.6% | 14.5% | 29.3% | 23.2% | 58.4% |
| 2026-10-14T00:43:52+00:00 | 28.6% | 14.5% | 29.3% | 23.2% | 58.4% |
| 2026-10-14T01:29:09+00:00 | 31.2% | 14.5% | 29.3% | 23.2% | 58.4% |
| 2026-10-14T02:14:18+00:00 | 31.2% | 14.5% | 29.3% | 23.2% | 58.4% |
| 2026-10-14T02:59:40+00:00 | 31.2% | 14.5% | 29.3% | 23.2% | 58.4% |
| 2026-10-14T03:45:28+00:00 | 31.2% | 14.5% | 29.3% | 23.2% | 58.4% |
| 2026-10-14T04:30:45+00:00 | 31.2% | 14.5% | 29.3% | 23.2% | 58.4% |
| 2026-10-14T05:15:52+00:00 | 31.2% | 14.5% | 29.3% | 23.2% | 58.4% |
| 2026-10-14T06:00:59+00:00 | 31.2% | 14.5% | 29.3% | 23.2% | 58.4% |
| 2026-10-14T06:46:13+00:00 | 31.2% | 14.5% | 29.3% | 23.2% | 58.4% |
| 2026-10-14T07:31:27+00:00 | 27.2% | 14.5% | 29.3% | 23.2% | 32.9% |
| 2026-10-14T08:16:35+00:00 | 27.2% | 14.5% | 29.3% | 23.2% | 32.9% |
| 2026-10-14T09:01:45+00:00 | 27.2% | 14.5% | 29.3% | 23.2% | 32.9% |
| 2026-10-14T09:46:52+00:00 | 27.2% | 14.5% | 29.3% | 23.2% | 32.9% |
| 2026-10-14T10:32:39+00:00 | 27.2% | 14.5% | 29.3% | 23.3% | 32.9% |
| 2026-10-14T11:20:48+00:00 | 27.2% | 27.1% | 35.8% | 23.3% | 32.9% |
| 2026-10-14T12:06:12+00:00 | 27.2% | 27.1% | 35.8% | 23.3% | 32.9% |
| 2026-10-14T12:51:19+00:00 | 27.2% | 27.1% | 35.8% | 23.3% | 32.9% |
| 2026-10-14T13:36:27+00:00 | 36.6% | 27.1% | 35.8% | 23.3% | 32.9% |
| 2026-10-14T14:26:49+00:00 | 36.6% | 27.1% | 35.8% | 23.3% | 33.1% |
| 2026-10-14T15:12:09+00:00 | 36.6% | 25.2% | 35.8% | 23.3% | 33.1% |
| 2026-10-14T15:57:55+00:00 | 36.6% | 25.2% | 35.8% | 23.3% | 33.1% |
| 2026-10-14T16:43:03+00:00 | 36.6% | 25.2% | 35.8% | 23.3% | 33.1% |
| 2026-10-14T17:28:11+00:00 | 36.6% | 25.2% | 33.1% | 23.3% | 33.1% |
| 2026-10-14T18:13:19+00:00 | 36.6% | 25.2% | 33.1% | 23.3% | 33.1% |
| 2026-10-14T18:58:26+00:00 | 36.6% | 25.2% | 33.1% | 23.3% | 33.1% |
| 2026-10-14T19:43:33+00:00 | 39.7% | 25.2% | 33.1% | 23.3% | 43.3% |
| 2026-10-14T20:28:48+00:00 | 39.7% | 25.2% | 33.1% | 23.3% | 43.3% |
| 2026-10-14T21:13:55+00:00 | 39.7% | 25.2% | 33.1% | 23.3% | 43.3% |
| 2026-10-14T21:59:01+00:00 | 39.7% | 25.2% | 33.1% | 23.3% | 43.3% |
| 2026-10-14T22:44:08+00:00 | 39.7% | 25.2% | 33.1% | 23.3% | 43.3% |
| 2026-10-14T23:29:32+00:00 | 39.7% | 25.2% | 37.6% | 23.3% | 43.3% |
| 2026-10-15T00:14:40+00:00 | 39.7% | 25.2% | 37.6% | 23.3% | 43.3% |
| 2026-10-15T01:01:10+00:00 | 39.7% | 25.2% | 37.6% | 23.3% | 43.3% |
| 2026-10-15T01:46:17+00:00 | 38.9% | 25.2% | 37.6% | 23.3% | 43.3% |
| 2026-10-15T02:31:29+00:00 | 38.9% | 25.2% | 37.6% | 23.3% | 43.3% |
| 2026-10-15T03:16:36+00:00 | 38.9% | 25.2% | 37.6% | 23.3% | 43.3% |
| 2026-10-15T04:02:04+00:00 | 38.9% | 25.2% | 37.6% | 23.3% | 43.3% |
| 2026-10-15T04:47:53+00:00 | 38.9% | 25.2% | 37.6% | 23.3% | 43.3% |
| 2026-10-15T05:33:16+00:00 | 38.9% | 25.2% | 37.6% | 23.3% | 43.3% |
| 2026-10-15T06:18:26+00:00 | 38.9% | 25.2% | 37.6% | 23.3% | 43.3% |
| 2026-10-15T07:03:35+00:00 | 38.9% | 25.2% | 37.6% | 23.3% | 43.3% |
| 2026-10-15T07:49:29+00:00 | 35.6% | 25.2% | 37.6% | 31.6% | 46.7% |
| 2026-10-15T08:35:50+00:00 | 35.6% | 25.2% | 37.6% | 31.6% | 46.7% |
| 2026-10-15T09:21:44+00:00 | 35.6% | 25.2% | 37.6% | 31.6% | 46.7% |
| 2026-10-15T10:07:30+00:00 | 35.6% | 25.2% | 37.6% | 31.6% | 46.7% |
| 2026-10-15T10:52:50+00:00 | 35.6% | 25.2% | 37.6% | 31.6% | 46.7% |
| 2026-10-15T11:39:14+00:00 | 35.6% | 25.2% | 34.3% | 31.6% | 46.7% |
| 2026-10-15T12:24:50+00:00 | 35.6% | 18.5% | 34.3% | 31.6% | 46.7% |
| 2026-10-15T13:10:14+00:00 | 35.6% | 18.5% | 34.3% | 31.6% | 46.7% |
| 2026-10-15T13:55:49+00:00 | 38.0% | 18.5% | 34.3% | 31.6% | 46.7% |
| 2026-10-15T14:48:24+00:00 | 38.0% | 18.5% | 34.3% | 31.6% | 46.7% |
| 2026-10-15T15:33:59+00:00 | 38.0% | 15.9% | 34.3% | 31.6% | 46.7% |
| 2026-10-15T16:19:58+00:00 | 38.0% | 15.9% | 34.3% | 31.6% | 46.7% |
| 2026-10-15T17:05:22+00:00 | 38.0% | 15.9% | 36.3% | 31.6% | 46.7% |
| 2026-10-15T17:50:42+00:00 | 38.0% | 15.9% | 36.3% | 31.6% | 46.7% |
| 2026-10-15T18:35:58+00:00 | 38.0% | 15.9% | 36.3% | 31.6% | 46.7% |
| 2026-10-15T19:21:07+00:00 | 38.0% | 15.9% | 36.3% | 31.6% | 46.7% |
| 2026-10-15T20:06:16+00:00 | 38.0% | 15.9% | 36.3% | 30.2% | 57.3% |
| 2026-10-15T20:51:28+00:00 | 38.0% | 15.9% | 36.3% | 30.2% | 57.3% |
| 2026-10-15T21:36:43+00:00 | 38.0% | 15.9% | 36.3% | 30.2% | 57.3% |
| 2026-10-15T22:21:49+00:00 | 38.0% | 15.9% | 36.3% | 30.2% | 57.3% |
| 2026-10-15T23:07:02+00:00 | 38.0% | 15.9% | 36.3% | 30.2% | 57.3% |
| 2026-10-15T23:52:13+00:00 | 38.0% | 15.9% | 36.3% | 30.2% | 57.3% |
| 2026-10-16T00:37:22+00:00 | 38.0% | 15.9% | 36.3% | 30.2% | 57.3% |
| 2026-10-16T01:22:43+00:00 | 37.2% | 15.9% | 36.3% | 30.2% | 57.3% |
| 2026-10-16T02:08:18+00:00 | 37.2% | 15.9% | 36.3% | 30.2% | 57.3% |
| 2026-10-16T02:53:28+00:00 | 37.2% | 15.9% | 36.3% | 30.2% | 57.3% |
| 2026-10-16T03:38:40+00:00 | 37.2% | 15.9% | 36.3% | 30.2% | 57.3% |
| 2026-10-16T04:23:59+00:00 | 37.2% | 15.9% | 36.3% | 30.2% | 57.3% |
| 2026-10-16T05:10:26+00:00 | 37.2% | 15.9% | 43.6% | 30.2% | 57.3% |
| 2026-10-16T05:55:55+00:00 | 37.2% | 15.9% | 43.6% | 30.2% | 57.3% |
| 2026-10-16T06:41:03+00:00 | 37.2% | 15.9% | 43.6% | 30.2% | 57.3% |
| 2026-10-16T07:26:13+00:00 | 37.2% | 15.9% | 43.6% | 30.2% | 57.3% |
| 2026-10-16T08:11:23+00:00 | 38.1% | 15.9% | 43.6% | 30.2% | 29.0% |
| 2026-10-16T08:56:33+00:00 | 38.1% | 15.9% | 43.6% | 30.2% | 29.0% |
| 2026-10-16T09:41:41+00:00 | 38.1% | 15.9% | 43.6% | 30.2% | 29.0% |
| 2026-10-16T10:26:56+00:00 | 38.1% | 15.9% | 43.6% | 30.2% | 29.0% |
| 2026-10-16T11:12:13+00:00 | 38.1% | 19.1% | 39.5% | 30.2% | 29.0% |
| 2026-10-16T11:57:37+00:00 | 38.1% | 19.1% | 39.5% | 30.2% | 29.0% |
| 2026-10-16T12:42:48+00:00 | 38.1% | 19.1% | 39.5% | 30.2% | 29.0% |
| 2026-10-16T13:28:20+00:00 | 38.1% | 19.1% | 39.5% | 30.2% | 29.0% |
| 2026-10-16T14:19:41+00:00 | 39.9% | 19.2% | 39.5% | 28.8% | 29.0% |
| 2026-10-16T15:05:25+00:00 | 39.9% | 19.2% | 39.5% | 28.8% | 29.0% |
| 2026-10-16T15:50:54+00:00 | 39.9% | 19.2% | 39.5% | 28.8% | 29.0% |
| 2026-10-16T16:36:10+00:00 | 39.9% | 19.2% | 39.5% | 28.8% | 29.0% |
| 2026-10-16T17:21:18+00:00 | 39.9% | 19.2% | 27.6% | 28.8% | 29.0% |
| 2026-10-16T18:06:36+00:00 | 39.9% | 19.2% | 27.6% | 28.8% | 29.0% |
| 2026-10-16T18:51:42+00:00 | 39.9% | 19.2% | 27.6% | 28.8% | 29.0% |
| 2026-10-16T19:36:57+00:00 | 38.1% | 19.2% | 27.6% | 28.8% | 30.7% |
| 2026-10-16T20:22:22+00:00 | 38.1% | 19.2% | 27.6% | 28.8% | 30.7% |
| 2026-10-16T21:07:45+00:00 | 38.1% | 19.2% | 27.6% | 28.8% | 30.7% |
| 2026-10-16T21:52:53+00:00 | 38.1% | 19.2% | 27.6% | 28.8% | 30.7% |
| 2026-10-16T22:38:02+00:00 | 38.1% | 19.2% | 27.6% | 24.4% | 30.7% |
| 2026-10-16T23:23:25+00:00 | 38.1% | 19.2% | 30.7% | 24.4% | 30.7% |
| 2026-10-17T00:09:17+00:00 | 38.1% | 19.2% | 30.7% | 24.4% | 30.7% |
| 2026-10-17T00:54:57+00:00 | 38.1% | 19.2% | 30.7% | 24.4% | 30.7% |
| 2026-10-17T01:40:06+00:00 | 39.0% | 19.2% | 30.7% | 24.4% | 30.7% |
| 2026-10-17T02:25:18+00:00 | 39.0% | 19.2% | 30.7% | 24.4% | 30.7% |
| 2026-10-17T03:10:27+00:00 | 39.0% | 19.2% | 30.7% | 24.4% | 30.7% |
| 2026-10-17T03:55:37+00:00 | 39.0% | 19.2% | 30.7% | 24.4% | 30.7% |
| 2026-10-17T04:41:32+00:00 | 39.0% | 19.2% | 30.7% | 24.4% | 30.7% |
| 2026-10-17T05:28:22+00:00 | 39.0% | 19.2% | 44.1% | 24.4% | 30.7% |
| 2026-10-17T06:13:35+00:00 | 39.0% | 19.2% | 44.1% | 24.4% | 30.7% |
| 2026-10-17T06:58:45+00:00 | 39.0% | 19.2% | 44.1% | 24.4% | 30.7% |
| 2026-10-17T07:44:15+00:00 | 37.5% | 19.2% | 44.1% | 24.0% | 24.9% |
| 2026-10-17T08:30:38+00:00 | 37.5% | 19.2% | 44.1% | 24.0% | 24.9% |
| 2026-10-17T09:16:33+00:00 | 37.5% | 19.2% | 44.1% | 24.0% | 24.9% |
| 2026-10-17T10:01:48+00:00 | 37.5% | 19.2% | 44.1% | 24.0% | 24.9% |
| 2026-10-17T10:46:54+00:00 | 37.5% | 19.2% | 44.1% | 24.0% | 24.9% |
| 2026-10-17T11:32:01+00:00 | 37.5% | 27.8% | 44.9% | 24.0% | 24.9% |
| 2026-10-17T12:17:27+00:00 | 37.5% | 27.8% | 44.9% | 24.0% | 24.9% |
| 2026-10-17T13:02:32+00:00 | 37.5% | 27.8% | 44.9% | 24.0% | 24.9% |
| 2026-10-17T13:47:50+00:00 | 36.5% | 27.8% | 44.9% | 24.0% | 24.9% |
| 2026-10-17T14:39:16+00:00 | 36.5% | 27.8% | 44.9% | 24.0% | 24.9% |
| 2026-10-17T15:24:33+00:00 | 36.5% | 30.9% | 44.9% | 24.0% | 24.9% |
| 2026-10-17T16:10:31+00:00 | 36.5% | 30.9% | 44.9% | 24.0% | 24.9% |
| 2026-10-17T16:55:39+00:00 | 36.5% | 30.9% | 44.9% | 24.0% | 24.9% |
| 2026-10-17T17:40:48+00:00 | 36.5% | 30.9% | 43.6% | 24.0% | 24.9% |
| 2026-10-17T18:25:55+00:00 | 36.5% | 30.9% | 43.6% | 24.0% | 24.9% |
| 2026-10-17T19:11:02+00:00 | 36.5% | 30.9% | 43.6% | 24.0% | 24.9% |
| 2026-10-17T19:56:10+00:00 | 37.4% | 30.9% | 43.6% | 22.5% | 22.3% |
| 2026-10-17T20:41:27+00:00 | 37.4% | 30.9% | 43.6% | 22.5% | 22.3% |
| 2026-10-17T21:26:37+00:00 | 37.4% | 30.9% | 43.6% | 22.5% | 22.3% |
| 2026-10-17T22:11:53+00:00 | 37.4% | 30.9% | 43.6% | 22.5% | 22.3% |
| 2026-10-17T22:57:00+00:00 | 37.4% | 30.9% | 43.6% | 22.5% | 22.3% |
| 2026-10-17T23:42:11+00:00 | 37.4% | 30.9% | 39.8% | 22.5% | 22.3% |
| 2026-10-18T00:27:23+00:00 | 37.4% | 30.9% | 39.8% | 22.5% | 22.3% |
| 2026-10-18T01:12:52+00:00 | 37.4% | 30.9% | 39.8% | 22.5% | 22.3% |
| 2026-10-18T01:58:12+00:00 | 36.5% | 30.9% | 39.8% | 22.5% | 22.3% |
| 2026-10-18T02:43:20+00:00 | 36.5% | 30.9% | 39.8% | 22.5% | 22.3% |
| 2026-10-18T03:28:28+00:00 | 36.5% | 30.9% | 39.8% | 22.5% | 22.3% |
| 2026-10-18T04:13:52+00:00 | 36.5% | 30.9% | 39.8% | 22.5% | 22.3% |
| 2026-10-18T05:00:12+00:00 | 36.5% | 30.9% | 41.1% | 22.5% | 22.3% |
| 2026-10-18T05:45:19+00:00 | 36.5% | 30.9% | 41.1% | 22.5% | 22.3% |
| 2026-10-18T06:30:25+00:00 | 36.5% | 30.9% | 41.1% | 22.5% | 22.3% |
| 2026-10-18T07:15:35+00:00 | 36.5% | 30.9% | 41.1% | 22.5% | 22.3% |
| 2026-10-18T08:01:06+00:00 | 39.0% | 30.9% | 41.1% | 21.8% | 17.4% |
| 2026-10-18T08:47:09+00:00 | 39.0% | 30.9% | 41.1% | 21.8% | 17.4% |
| 2026-10-18T09:32:17+00:00 | 39.0% | 30.9% | 41.1% | 21.8% | 17.4% |
| 2026-10-18T10:17:25+00:00 | 39.0% | 30.9% | 41.1% | 21.8% | 17.4% |
| 2026-10-18T11:02:40+00:00 | 39.0% | 30.9% | 41.1% | 21.8% | 17.4% |
| 2026-10-18T11:48:12+00:00 | 39.0% | 29.9% | 48.6% | 21.8% | 17.4% |
| 2026-10-18T12:33:26+00:00 | 39.0% | 29.9% | 48.6% | 21.8% | 17.4% |
| 2026-10-18T13:19:00+00:00 | 39.0% | 29.9% | 48.6% | 21.8% | 17.4% |
| 2026-10-18T14:04:09+00:00 | 36.1% | 29.9% | 48.6% | 21.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-18T14:55:40+00:00 | 36.1% | 29.9% | 48.6% | 21.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-18T15:41:28+00:00 | 36.1% | 30.9% | 48.6% | 21.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-18T16:26:53+00:00 | 36.1% | 30.9% | 48.6% | 21.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-18T17:12:05+00:00 | 36.1% | 30.9% | 41.8% | 21.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-18T17:57:21+00:00 | 36.1% | 30.9% | 41.8% | 21.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-18T18:42:46+00:00 | 36.1% | 30.9% | 41.8% | 21.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-18T19:27:57+00:00 | 36.1% | 30.9% | 41.8% | 21.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-18T20:13:05+00:00 | 40.0% | 30.9% | 41.8% | 19.4% | 11.8% |
| 2026-10-18T20:58:14+00:00 | 40.0% | 30.9% | 41.8% | 19.4% | 11.8% |
| 2026-10-18T21:43:24+00:00 | 40.0% | 30.9% | 41.8% | 19.4% | 11.8% |
| 2026-10-18T22:28:31+00:00 | 40.0% | 30.9% | 41.8% | 19.4% | 11.8% |
| 2026-10-18T23:13:40+00:00 | 40.0% | 30.9% | 45.9% | 19.4% | 11.8% |
| 2026-10-18T23:58:51+00:00 | 40.0% | 30.9% | 45.9% | 19.4% | 11.8% |
| 2026-10-19T00:44:05+00:00 | 40.0% | 30.9% | 45.9% | 19.4% | 11.8% |
| 2026-10-19T01:29:31+00:00 | 42.9% | 30.9% | 45.9% | 19.4% | 11.8% |
| 2026-10-19T02:14:45+00:00 | 42.9% | 30.9% | 45.9% | 19.4% | 11.8% |
| 2026-10-19T02:59:55+00:00 | 42.9% | 30.9% | 45.9% | 19.4% | 11.8% |
| 2026-10-19T03:45:04+00:00 | 42.9% | 30.9% | 45.9% | 19.4% | 11.8% |
| 2026-10-19T04:30:35+00:00 | 42.9% | 30.9% | 45.9% | 19.4% | 11.8% |
| 2026-10-19T05:17:01+00:00 | 42.9% | 30.9% | 48.6% | 19.4% | 11.8% |
| 2026-10-19T06:02:12+00:00 | 42.9% | 30.9% | 48.6% | 19.4% | 11.8% |
| 2026-10-19T06:47:19+00:00 | 42.9% | 30.9% | 48.6% | 19.4% | 11.8% |
THE MODEL BOX SCORE
Forecasts & evidence
| MODEL | YES | MEAN | SPREAD σ | INITIALIZATION UTC | BRIER ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WeatherNext 2 | 49% | 87.4°F | 2.9°F | 2026-10-18 18:00 | Pending |
| AIFS Single | 43% | 86.8°F | 3.9°F | 2026-10-18 18:00 | Pending |
| IFS Ensemble | 31% | 86.5°F | 2.0°F | 2026-10-18 00:00 | Pending |
| NWS forecast | 25% | 86.0°F | 2.2°F | 2026-10-19 03:00 | Pending |
| IFS HRES | 19% | 84.3°F | 3.7°F | 2026-10-18 12:00 | Pending |
| National Blend | 13% | 85.0°F | 2.2°F | 2026-10-19 00:00 | Pending |
| ICON | 12% | 83.3°F | 3.5°F | 2026-10-18 12:00 | Pending |
Spread is the standard deviation used in the probability approximation. It is not a measured confidence rating. Brier here scores the latest recorded snapshot, not a league deadline.
High ≥ 88°F · KMIA
Daily temperature props settle on the ACIS official station record. Inclusive and strict thresholds retain their exact meanings. Provisional observations do not replace the settlement record.
WP-KMIA-20261019-TMAX-GE88
Opened Oct 12 · 07:48 UTC
Original listing: Miami runs hot-for-here: 88°F+ · Mon Oct 19
Original prop, full history & receipt ↗