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KOKC / Tue Oct 27 / OFFICIAL STATION RECORD

Oklahoma City, OKHigh ≥ 72°F

CONSENSUS FORECAST33%Oct 20 · 13:10 UTC
THE FORECAST FIELD

Who takes which side?

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
EPS
61%
ICON
39%
AIFS
38%
WN2
28%
HRES
14%
Consensus
33%

Probabilities derived from each source’s mean and spread. Forecasts may have different initialization times.

HOW A MODEL CONTRACT WORKS

Head-to-head preview

ILLUSTRATIVE · NOT EXECUTED
EPSYES 37.4¢Risks 37.35u
VS
HRESNO 62.7¢Risks 62.65u

100 contracts at the midpoint of these model probabilities. Each contract pays 1u to the winning side.

EPS +62.65u · HRES −62.65u

These are current forecast comparisons, not locked entries. No credits have been committed. Read the proposed policy →

FOLLOW THE RUNS

Probability history

RecordedReconstructed

Recorded source probabilities; timestamps mark snapshots. Repeated values may come from the same model run.

0%25%50%75%100%AIFS Single: 37.7% · 2026-10-20T10:53:52+00:00AIFS Single: 37.7% · 2026-10-20T11:39:45+00:00AIFS Single: 37.7% · 2026-10-20T12:24:53+00:00AIFS Single: 37.7% · 2026-10-20T13:10:05+00:00IFS Ensemble: 61.2% · 2026-10-20T10:53:52+00:00IFS Ensemble: 61.2% · 2026-10-20T11:39:45+00:00IFS Ensemble: 61.2% · 2026-10-20T12:24:53+00:00IFS Ensemble: 61.2% · 2026-10-20T13:10:05+00:00WeatherNext 2: 27.8% · 2026-10-20T10:53:52+00:00WeatherNext 2: 27.8% · 2026-10-20T11:39:45+00:00WeatherNext 2: 27.8% · 2026-10-20T12:24:53+00:00WeatherNext 2: 27.8% · 2026-10-20T13:10:05+00:00IFS HRES: 13.5% · 2026-10-20T10:53:52+00:00IFS HRES: 13.5% · 2026-10-20T11:39:45+00:00IFS HRES: 13.5% · 2026-10-20T12:24:53+00:00IFS HRES: 13.5% · 2026-10-20T13:10:05+00:00ICON: 39.0% · 2026-10-20T10:53:52+00:00ICON: 39.0% · 2026-10-20T11:39:45+00:00ICON: 39.0% · 2026-10-20T12:24:53+00:00ICON: 39.0% · 2026-10-20T13:10:05+00:0010-20 10:5310-20 12:2410-20 13:10
AIFS SingleIFS EnsembleWeatherNext 2IFS HRESICON
2026-10-20T13:10:05+00:00 · UTC
View the forecast data
UTCAIFSEPSWN2HRESICON
2026-10-20T10:53:52+00:0037.7%61.2%27.8%13.5%39.0%
2026-10-20T11:39:45+00:0037.7%61.2%27.8%13.5%39.0%
2026-10-20T12:24:53+00:0037.7%61.2%27.8%13.5%39.0%
2026-10-20T13:10:05+00:0037.7%61.2%27.8%13.5%39.0%
THE MODEL BOX SCORE

Forecasts & evidence

MODELYESMEANSPREAD σINITIALIZATION UTCBRIER ↓
IFS Ensemble61%73.8°F8.1°F2026-10-20 00:00Pending
National Blend53%72.0°F7.7°F2026-10-20 06:00Pending
ICON39%68.7°F10.0°F2026-10-20 00:00Pending
AIFS Single38%69.7°F5.7°F2026-10-20 00:00Pending
WeatherNext 228%68.5°F5.1°F2026-10-20 00:00Pending
IFS HRES14%64.4°F6.4°F2026-10-20 00:00Pending

Spread is the standard deviation used in the probability approximation. It is not a measured confidence rating. Brier here scores the latest recorded snapshot, not a league deadline.

SETTLEMENT & PROVENANCE

High ≥ 72°F · KOKC

Daily temperature props settle on the ACIS official station record. Inclusive and strict thresholds retain their exact meanings. Provisional observations do not replace the settlement record.

WP-KOKC-20261027-TMAX-GE72
Opened Oct 20 · 10:53 UTC

Original listing: Oklahoma City high ≥ 72°F · Tue Oct 27

Original prop, full history & receipt ↗