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KSAN / Sun Oct 25 / OFFICIAL STATION RECORD

San Diego, CAHigh ≥ 82°F

CONSENSUS FORECAST24%Oct 20 · 13:55 UTC
THE FORECAST FIELD

Who takes which side?

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
ICON
70%
AIFS
20%
HRES
18%
EPS
14%
WN2
9%
Consensus
24%

Probabilities derived from each source’s mean and spread. Forecasts may have different initialization times.

HOW A MODEL CONTRACT WORKS

Head-to-head preview

ILLUSTRATIVE · NOT EXECUTED
ICONYES 39.4¢Risks 39.45u
VS
WN2NO 60.6¢Risks 60.55u

100 contracts at the midpoint of these model probabilities. Each contract pays 1u to the winning side.

ICON +60.55u · WN2 −60.55u

These are current forecast comparisons, not locked entries. No credits have been committed. Read the proposed policy →

FOLLOW THE RUNS

Probability history

RecordedReconstructed

Recorded source probabilities; timestamps mark snapshots. Repeated values may come from the same model run.

0%25%50%75%100%AIFS Single: 16.9% · 2026-10-18T08:01:58+00:00AIFS Single: 16.9% · 2026-10-18T08:47:14+00:00AIFS Single: 16.9% · 2026-10-18T09:32:22+00:00AIFS Single: 16.9% · 2026-10-18T10:17:30+00:00AIFS Single: 16.9% · 2026-10-18T11:03:03+00:00AIFS Single: 16.9% · 2026-10-18T11:48:20+00:00AIFS Single: 16.9% · 2026-10-18T12:33:57+00:00AIFS Single: 16.9% · 2026-10-18T13:19:04+00:00AIFS Single: 22.2% · 2026-10-18T14:04:16+00:00AIFS Single: 22.2% · 2026-10-18T14:56:13+00:00AIFS Single: 22.2% · 2026-10-18T15:41:41+00:00AIFS Single: 22.2% · 2026-10-18T16:27:01+00:00AIFS Single: 22.2% · 2026-10-18T17:12:11+00:00AIFS Single: 22.2% · 2026-10-18T17:57:39+00:00AIFS Single: 22.2% · 2026-10-18T18:42:49+00:00AIFS Single: 18.8% · 2026-10-18T19:28:02+00:00AIFS Single: 18.8% · 2026-10-18T20:13:11+00:00AIFS Single: 18.8% · 2026-10-18T20:58:19+00:00AIFS Single: 18.8% · 2026-10-18T21:43:28+00:00AIFS Single: 18.8% · 2026-10-18T22:28:35+00:00AIFS Single: 18.8% · 2026-10-18T23:13:47+00:00AIFS Single: 18.8% · 2026-10-18T23:58:57+00:00AIFS Single: 18.8% · 2026-10-19T00:44:11+00:00AIFS Single: 16.5% · 2026-10-19T01:29:39+00:00AIFS Single: 16.5% · 2026-10-19T02:14:48+00:00AIFS Single: 16.5% · 2026-10-19T03:00:00+00:00AIFS Single: 16.5% · 2026-10-19T03:45:08+00:00AIFS Single: 16.5% · 2026-10-19T04:31:37+00:00AIFS Single: 16.5% · 2026-10-19T05:17:09+00:00AIFS Single: 16.5% · 2026-10-19T06:02:17+00:00AIFS Single: 16.5% · 2026-10-19T06:47:24+00:00AIFS Single: 19.2% · 2026-10-19T07:33:58+00:00AIFS Single: 19.2% · 2026-10-19T08:19:25+00:00AIFS Single: 19.2% · 2026-10-19T09:04:30+00:00AIFS Single: 19.2% · 2026-10-19T09:49:37+00:00AIFS Single: 19.2% · 2026-10-19T10:35:28+00:00AIFS Single: 19.2% · 2026-10-19T11:21:22+00:00AIFS Single: 19.2% · 2026-10-19T12:06:41+00:00AIFS Single: 19.2% · 2026-10-19T12:51:53+00:00AIFS Single: 19.2% · 2026-10-19T13:37:08+00:00AIFS Single: 19.2% · 2026-10-19T14:28:06+00:00AIFS Single: 19.2% · 2026-10-19T15:14:00+00:00AIFS Single: 19.2% · 2026-10-19T15:59:10+00:00AIFS Single: 19.2% · 2026-10-19T16:44:24+00:00AIFS Single: 19.2% · 2026-10-19T17:29:35+00:00AIFS Single: 19.2% · 2026-10-19T18:14:42+00:00AIFS Single: 19.2% · 2026-10-19T19:00:23+00:00AIFS Single: 16.8% · 2026-10-19T19:45:33+00:00AIFS Single: 16.8% · 2026-10-19T20:30:42+00:00AIFS Single: 16.8% · 2026-10-19T21:15:56+00:00AIFS Single: 16.8% · 2026-10-19T22:01:05+00:00AIFS Single: 16.8% · 2026-10-19T22:46:17+00:00AIFS Single: 16.8% · 2026-10-19T23:31:31+00:00AIFS Single: 16.8% · 2026-10-20T00:17:11+00:00AIFS Single: 16.8% · 2026-10-20T01:02:40+00:00AIFS Single: 15.4% · 2026-10-20T01:47:51+00:00AIFS Single: 15.4% · 2026-10-20T02:33:00+00:00AIFS Single: 15.4% · 2026-10-20T03:18:08+00:00AIFS Single: 15.4% · 2026-10-20T04:05:50+00:00AIFS Single: 15.4% · 2026-10-20T04:51:24+00:00AIFS Single: 15.4% · 2026-10-20T05:36:36+00:00AIFS Single: 15.4% · 2026-10-20T06:21:43+00:00AIFS Single: 15.4% · 2026-10-20T07:06:50+00:00AIFS Single: 19.8% · 2026-10-20T07:52:02+00:00AIFS Single: 19.8% · 2026-10-20T08:37:11+00:00AIFS Single: 19.8% · 2026-10-20T09:22:43+00:00AIFS Single: 19.8% · 2026-10-20T10:07:49+00:00AIFS Single: 19.8% · 2026-10-20T10:54:26+00:00AIFS Single: 19.8% · 2026-10-20T11:39:49+00:00AIFS Single: 19.8% · 2026-10-20T12:24:54+00:00AIFS Single: 19.8% · 2026-10-20T13:10:06+00:00AIFS Single: 19.7% · 2026-10-20T13:55:25+00:00IFS Ensemble: 3.5% · 2026-10-18T08:01:58+00:00IFS Ensemble: 3.5% · 2026-10-18T08:47:14+00:00IFS Ensemble: 3.5% · 2026-10-18T09:32:22+00:00IFS Ensemble: 3.5% · 2026-10-18T10:17:30+00:00IFS Ensemble: 14.6% · 2026-10-18T11:03:03+00:00IFS Ensemble: 14.6% · 2026-10-18T11:48:20+00:00IFS Ensemble: 14.6% · 2026-10-18T12:33:57+00:00IFS Ensemble: 14.6% · 2026-10-18T13:19:04+00:00IFS Ensemble: 14.6% · 2026-10-18T14:04:16+00:00IFS Ensemble: 14.6% · 2026-10-18T14:56:13+00:00IFS Ensemble: 15.6% · 2026-10-18T15:41:41+00:00IFS Ensemble: 15.6% · 2026-10-18T16:27:01+00:00IFS Ensemble: 15.6% · 2026-10-18T17:12:11+00:00IFS Ensemble: 15.6% · 2026-10-18T17:57:39+00:00IFS Ensemble: 15.6% · 2026-10-18T18:42:49+00:00IFS Ensemble: 15.6% · 2026-10-18T19:28:02+00:00IFS Ensemble: 15.6% · 2026-10-18T20:13:11+00:00IFS Ensemble: 15.6% · 2026-10-18T20:58:19+00:00IFS Ensemble: 15.6% · 2026-10-18T21:43:28+00:00IFS Ensemble: 15.6% · 2026-10-18T22:28:35+00:00IFS Ensemble: 15.6% · 2026-10-18T23:13:47+00:00IFS Ensemble: 15.6% · 2026-10-18T23:58:57+00:00IFS Ensemble: 15.6% · 2026-10-19T00:44:11+00:00IFS Ensemble: 15.6% · 2026-10-19T01:29:39+00:00IFS Ensemble: 15.6% · 2026-10-19T02:14:48+00:00IFS Ensemble: 15.6% · 2026-10-19T03:00:00+00:00IFS Ensemble: 15.6% · 2026-10-19T03:45:08+00:00IFS Ensemble: 15.6% · 2026-10-19T04:31:37+00:00IFS Ensemble: 15.6% · 2026-10-19T05:17:09+00:00IFS Ensemble: 15.6% · 2026-10-19T06:02:17+00:00IFS Ensemble: 15.6% · 2026-10-19T06:47:24+00:00IFS Ensemble: 15.6% · 2026-10-19T07:33:58+00:00IFS Ensemble: 15.6% · 2026-10-19T08:19:25+00:00IFS Ensemble: 15.6% · 2026-10-19T09:04:30+00:00IFS Ensemble: 15.6% · 2026-10-19T09:49:37+00:00IFS Ensemble: 15.6% · 2026-10-19T10:35:28+00:00IFS Ensemble: 12.1% · 2026-10-19T11:21:22+00:00IFS Ensemble: 12.1% · 2026-10-19T12:06:41+00:00IFS Ensemble: 12.1% · 2026-10-19T12:51:53+00:00IFS Ensemble: 12.1% · 2026-10-19T13:37:08+00:00IFS Ensemble: 12.2% · 2026-10-19T14:28:06+00:00IFS Ensemble: 12.6% · 2026-10-19T15:14:00+00:00IFS Ensemble: 12.6% · 2026-10-19T15:59:10+00:00IFS Ensemble: 12.6% · 2026-10-19T16:44:24+00:00IFS Ensemble: 12.6% · 2026-10-19T17:29:35+00:00IFS Ensemble: 12.6% · 2026-10-19T18:14:42+00:00IFS Ensemble: 12.6% · 2026-10-19T19:00:23+00:00IFS Ensemble: 12.6% · 2026-10-19T19:45:33+00:00IFS Ensemble: 12.6% · 2026-10-19T20:30:42+00:00IFS Ensemble: 12.6% · 2026-10-19T21:15:56+00:00IFS Ensemble: 12.6% · 2026-10-19T22:01:05+00:00IFS Ensemble: 12.6% · 2026-10-19T22:46:17+00:00IFS Ensemble: 12.6% · 2026-10-19T23:31:31+00:00IFS Ensemble: 12.6% · 2026-10-20T00:17:11+00:00IFS Ensemble: 12.6% · 2026-10-20T01:02:40+00:00IFS Ensemble: 12.6% · 2026-10-20T01:47:51+00:00IFS Ensemble: 12.6% · 2026-10-20T02:33:00+00:00IFS Ensemble: 12.6% · 2026-10-20T03:18:08+00:00IFS Ensemble: 12.6% · 2026-10-20T04:05:50+00:00IFS Ensemble: 12.6% · 2026-10-20T04:51:24+00:00IFS Ensemble: 12.6% · 2026-10-20T05:36:36+00:00IFS Ensemble: 12.6% · 2026-10-20T06:21:43+00:00IFS Ensemble: 12.6% · 2026-10-20T07:06:50+00:00IFS Ensemble: 12.6% · 2026-10-20T07:52:02+00:00IFS Ensemble: 12.6% · 2026-10-20T08:37:11+00:00IFS Ensemble: 12.6% · 2026-10-20T09:22:43+00:00IFS Ensemble: 12.6% · 2026-10-20T10:07:49+00:00IFS Ensemble: 13.7% · 2026-10-20T10:54:26+00:00IFS Ensemble: 13.7% · 2026-10-20T11:39:49+00:00IFS Ensemble: 13.7% · 2026-10-20T12:24:54+00:00IFS Ensemble: 13.7% · 2026-10-20T13:10:06+00:00IFS Ensemble: 13.7% · 2026-10-20T13:55:25+00:00WeatherNext 2: 10.1% · 2026-10-18T08:01:58+00:00WeatherNext 2: 10.1% · 2026-10-18T08:47:14+00:00WeatherNext 2: 10.1% · 2026-10-18T09:32:22+00:00WeatherNext 2: 10.1% · 2026-10-18T10:17:30+00:00WeatherNext 2: 13.2% · 2026-10-18T11:03:03+00:00WeatherNext 2: 13.2% · 2026-10-18T11:48:20+00:00WeatherNext 2: 13.2% · 2026-10-18T12:33:57+00:00WeatherNext 2: 13.2% · 2026-10-18T13:19:04+00:00WeatherNext 2: 13.2% · 2026-10-18T14:04:16+00:00WeatherNext 2: 13.2% · 2026-10-18T14:56:13+00:00WeatherNext 2: 13.2% · 2026-10-18T15:41:41+00:00WeatherNext 2: 13.2% · 2026-10-18T16:27:01+00:00WeatherNext 2: 13.2% · 2026-10-18T17:12:11+00:00WeatherNext 2: 13.2% · 2026-10-18T17:57:39+00:00WeatherNext 2: 13.2% · 2026-10-18T18:42:49+00:00WeatherNext 2: 13.2% · 2026-10-18T19:28:02+00:00WeatherNext 2: 13.2% · 2026-10-18T20:13:11+00:00WeatherNext 2: 13.2% · 2026-10-18T20:58:19+00:00WeatherNext 2: 13.2% · 2026-10-18T21:43:28+00:00WeatherNext 2: 13.2% · 2026-10-18T22:28:35+00:00WeatherNext 2: 15.4% · 2026-10-18T23:13:47+00:00WeatherNext 2: 15.4% · 2026-10-18T23:58:57+00:00WeatherNext 2: 15.4% · 2026-10-19T00:44:11+00:00WeatherNext 2: 15.4% · 2026-10-19T01:29:39+00:00WeatherNext 2: 15.4% · 2026-10-19T02:14:48+00:00WeatherNext 2: 15.4% · 2026-10-19T03:00:00+00:00WeatherNext 2: 15.4% · 2026-10-19T03:45:08+00:00WeatherNext 2: 15.4% · 2026-10-19T04:31:37+00:00WeatherNext 2: 14.5% · 2026-10-19T05:17:09+00:00WeatherNext 2: 14.5% · 2026-10-19T06:02:17+00:00WeatherNext 2: 14.5% · 2026-10-19T06:47:24+00:00WeatherNext 2: 14.5% · 2026-10-19T07:33:58+00:00WeatherNext 2: 14.5% · 2026-10-19T08:19:25+00:00WeatherNext 2: 14.5% · 2026-10-19T09:04:30+00:00WeatherNext 2: 14.5% · 2026-10-19T09:49:37+00:00WeatherNext 2: 14.5% · 2026-10-19T10:35:28+00:00WeatherNext 2: 14.2% · 2026-10-19T11:21:22+00:00WeatherNext 2: 14.2% · 2026-10-19T12:06:41+00:00WeatherNext 2: 14.2% · 2026-10-19T12:51:53+00:00WeatherNext 2: 14.2% · 2026-10-19T13:37:08+00:00WeatherNext 2: 14.2% · 2026-10-19T14:28:06+00:00WeatherNext 2: 14.2% · 2026-10-19T15:14:00+00:00WeatherNext 2: 14.2% · 2026-10-19T15:59:10+00:00WeatherNext 2: 14.2% · 2026-10-19T16:44:24+00:00WeatherNext 2: 13.7% · 2026-10-19T17:29:35+00:00WeatherNext 2: 13.7% · 2026-10-19T18:14:42+00:00WeatherNext 2: 13.7% · 2026-10-19T19:00:23+00:00WeatherNext 2: 13.7% · 2026-10-19T19:45:33+00:00WeatherNext 2: 13.7% · 2026-10-19T20:30:42+00:00WeatherNext 2: 13.7% · 2026-10-19T21:15:56+00:00WeatherNext 2: 13.7% · 2026-10-19T22:01:05+00:00WeatherNext 2: 13.7% · 2026-10-19T22:46:17+00:00WeatherNext 2: 12.8% · 2026-10-19T23:31:31+00:00WeatherNext 2: 12.8% · 2026-10-20T00:17:11+00:00WeatherNext 2: 12.8% · 2026-10-20T01:02:40+00:00WeatherNext 2: 12.8% · 2026-10-20T01:47:51+00:00WeatherNext 2: 12.8% · 2026-10-20T02:33:00+00:00WeatherNext 2: 12.8% · 2026-10-20T03:18:08+00:00WeatherNext 2: 12.8% · 2026-10-20T04:05:50+00:00WeatherNext 2: 12.8% · 2026-10-20T04:51:24+00:00WeatherNext 2: 12.4% · 2026-10-20T05:36:36+00:00WeatherNext 2: 12.4% · 2026-10-20T06:21:43+00:00WeatherNext 2: 12.4% · 2026-10-20T07:06:50+00:00WeatherNext 2: 12.4% · 2026-10-20T07:52:02+00:00WeatherNext 2: 12.4% · 2026-10-20T08:37:11+00:00WeatherNext 2: 12.4% · 2026-10-20T09:22:43+00:00WeatherNext 2: 12.4% · 2026-10-20T10:07:49+00:00WeatherNext 2: 9.4% · 2026-10-20T10:54:26+00:00WeatherNext 2: 9.4% · 2026-10-20T11:39:49+00:00WeatherNext 2: 9.4% · 2026-10-20T12:24:54+00:00WeatherNext 2: 9.4% · 2026-10-20T13:10:06+00:00WeatherNext 2: 9.4% · 2026-10-20T13:55:25+00:00IFS HRES: 11.6% · 2026-10-18T08:01:58+00:00IFS HRES: 11.6% · 2026-10-18T08:47:14+00:00IFS HRES: 11.6% · 2026-10-18T09:32:22+00:00IFS HRES: 11.6% · 2026-10-18T10:17:30+00:00IFS HRES: 11.6% · 2026-10-18T11:03:03+00:00IFS HRES: 11.6% · 2026-10-18T11:48:20+00:00IFS HRES: 11.6% · 2026-10-18T12:33:57+00:00IFS HRES: 11.6% · 2026-10-18T13:19:04+00:00IFS HRES: 11.6% · 2026-10-18T14:04:16+00:00IFS HRES: 11.6% · 2026-10-18T14:56:13+00:00IFS HRES: 11.6% · 2026-10-18T15:41:41+00:00IFS HRES: 11.6% · 2026-10-18T16:27:01+00:00IFS HRES: 11.6% · 2026-10-18T17:12:11+00:00IFS HRES: 11.6% · 2026-10-18T17:57:39+00:00IFS HRES: 11.6% · 2026-10-18T18:42:49+00:00IFS HRES: 25.7% · 2026-10-18T19:28:02+00:00IFS HRES: 25.7% · 2026-10-18T20:13:11+00:00IFS HRES: 25.7% · 2026-10-18T20:58:19+00:00IFS HRES: 25.7% · 2026-10-18T21:43:28+00:00IFS HRES: 25.7% · 2026-10-18T22:28:35+00:00IFS HRES: 25.7% · 2026-10-18T23:13:47+00:00IFS HRES: 25.7% · 2026-10-18T23:58:57+00:00IFS HRES: 25.7% · 2026-10-19T00:44:11+00:00IFS HRES: 25.7% · 2026-10-19T01:29:39+00:00IFS HRES: 25.7% · 2026-10-19T02:14:48+00:00IFS HRES: 25.7% · 2026-10-19T03:00:00+00:00IFS HRES: 25.7% · 2026-10-19T03:45:08+00:00IFS HRES: 25.7% · 2026-10-19T04:31:37+00:00IFS HRES: 25.7% · 2026-10-19T05:17:09+00:00IFS HRES: 25.7% · 2026-10-19T06:02:17+00:00IFS HRES: 25.7% · 2026-10-19T06:47:24+00:00IFS HRES: 22.9% · 2026-10-19T07:33:58+00:00IFS HRES: 22.9% · 2026-10-19T08:19:25+00:00IFS HRES: 22.9% · 2026-10-19T09:04:30+00:00IFS HRES: 22.9% · 2026-10-19T09:49:37+00:00IFS HRES: 22.9% · 2026-10-19T10:35:28+00:00IFS HRES: 22.9% · 2026-10-19T11:21:22+00:00IFS HRES: 22.9% · 2026-10-19T12:06:41+00:00IFS HRES: 22.9% · 2026-10-19T12:51:53+00:00IFS HRES: 22.9% · 2026-10-19T13:37:08+00:00IFS HRES: 22.9% · 2026-10-19T14:28:06+00:00IFS HRES: 22.9% · 2026-10-19T15:14:00+00:00IFS HRES: 22.9% · 2026-10-19T15:59:10+00:00IFS HRES: 22.9% · 2026-10-19T16:44:24+00:00IFS HRES: 22.9% · 2026-10-19T17:29:35+00:00IFS HRES: 22.9% · 2026-10-19T18:14:42+00:00IFS HRES: 22.9% · 2026-10-19T19:00:23+00:00IFS HRES: 25.2% · 2026-10-19T19:45:33+00:00IFS HRES: 25.2% · 2026-10-19T20:30:42+00:00IFS HRES: 25.2% · 2026-10-19T21:15:56+00:00IFS HRES: 25.2% · 2026-10-19T22:01:05+00:00IFS HRES: 25.2% · 2026-10-19T22:46:17+00:00IFS HRES: 25.2% · 2026-10-19T23:31:31+00:00IFS HRES: 25.2% · 2026-10-20T00:17:11+00:00IFS HRES: 25.2% · 2026-10-20T01:02:40+00:00IFS HRES: 25.2% · 2026-10-20T01:47:51+00:00IFS HRES: 25.2% · 2026-10-20T02:33:00+00:00IFS HRES: 25.2% · 2026-10-20T03:18:08+00:00IFS HRES: 25.2% · 2026-10-20T04:05:50+00:00IFS HRES: 25.2% · 2026-10-20T04:51:24+00:00IFS HRES: 25.2% · 2026-10-20T05:36:36+00:00IFS HRES: 25.2% · 2026-10-20T06:21:43+00:00IFS HRES: 25.2% · 2026-10-20T07:06:50+00:00IFS HRES: 25.2% · 2026-10-20T07:52:02+00:00IFS HRES: 25.2% · 2026-10-20T08:37:11+00:00IFS HRES: 25.2% · 2026-10-20T09:22:43+00:00IFS HRES: 25.2% · 2026-10-20T10:07:49+00:00IFS HRES: 18.0% · 2026-10-20T10:54:26+00:00IFS HRES: 18.0% · 2026-10-20T11:39:49+00:00IFS HRES: 18.0% · 2026-10-20T12:24:54+00:00IFS HRES: 18.0% · 2026-10-20T13:10:06+00:00IFS HRES: 17.9% · 2026-10-20T13:55:25+00:00ICON: 10.3% · 2026-10-18T08:01:58+00:00ICON: 10.3% · 2026-10-18T08:47:14+00:00ICON: 10.3% · 2026-10-18T09:32:22+00:00ICON: 10.3% · 2026-10-18T10:17:30+00:00ICON: 10.3% · 2026-10-18T11:03:03+00:00ICON: 10.3% · 2026-10-18T11:48:20+00:00ICON: 10.3% · 2026-10-18T12:33:57+00:00ICON: 10.3% · 2026-10-18T13:19:04+00:00ICON: 10.2% · 2026-10-18T14:04:16+00:00ICON: 10.2% · 2026-10-18T14:56:13+00:00ICON: 10.2% · 2026-10-18T15:41:41+00:00ICON: 10.2% · 2026-10-18T16:27:01+00:00ICON: 10.2% · 2026-10-18T17:12:11+00:00ICON: 10.2% · 2026-10-18T17:57:39+00:00ICON: 10.2% · 2026-10-18T18:42:49+00:00ICON: 41.7% · 2026-10-18T19:28:02+00:00ICON: 41.7% · 2026-10-18T20:13:11+00:00ICON: 41.7% · 2026-10-18T20:58:19+00:00ICON: 41.7% · 2026-10-18T21:43:28+00:00ICON: 41.7% · 2026-10-18T22:28:35+00:00ICON: 41.7% · 2026-10-18T23:13:47+00:00ICON: 41.7% · 2026-10-18T23:58:57+00:00ICON: 41.7% · 2026-10-19T00:44:11+00:00ICON: 41.7% · 2026-10-19T01:29:39+00:00ICON: 41.7% · 2026-10-19T02:14:48+00:00ICON: 41.7% · 2026-10-19T03:00:00+00:00ICON: 41.7% · 2026-10-19T03:45:08+00:00ICON: 41.7% · 2026-10-19T04:31:37+00:00ICON: 41.7% · 2026-10-19T05:17:09+00:00ICON: 41.7% · 2026-10-19T06:02:17+00:00ICON: 41.7% · 2026-10-19T06:47:24+00:00ICON: 74.0% · 2026-10-19T07:33:58+00:00ICON: 74.0% · 2026-10-19T08:19:25+00:00ICON: 74.0% · 2026-10-19T09:04:30+00:00ICON: 74.0% · 2026-10-19T09:49:37+00:00ICON: 74.0% · 2026-10-19T10:35:28+00:00ICON: 74.0% · 2026-10-19T11:21:22+00:00ICON: 74.0% · 2026-10-19T12:06:41+00:00ICON: 74.0% · 2026-10-19T12:51:53+00:00ICON: 74.0% · 2026-10-19T13:37:08+00:00ICON: 73.6% · 2026-10-19T14:28:06+00:00ICON: 73.6% · 2026-10-19T15:14:00+00:00ICON: 73.6% · 2026-10-19T15:59:10+00:00ICON: 73.6% · 2026-10-19T16:44:24+00:00ICON: 73.6% · 2026-10-19T17:29:35+00:00ICON: 73.6% · 2026-10-19T18:14:42+00:00ICON: 73.6% · 2026-10-19T19:00:23+00:00ICON: 56.7% · 2026-10-19T19:45:33+00:00ICON: 56.7% · 2026-10-19T20:30:42+00:00ICON: 56.7% · 2026-10-19T21:15:56+00:00ICON: 56.7% · 2026-10-19T22:01:05+00:00ICON: 56.7% · 2026-10-19T22:46:17+00:00ICON: 56.7% · 2026-10-19T23:31:31+00:00ICON: 56.7% · 2026-10-20T00:17:11+00:00ICON: 56.7% · 2026-10-20T01:02:40+00:00ICON: 56.7% · 2026-10-20T01:47:51+00:00ICON: 56.7% · 2026-10-20T02:33:00+00:00ICON: 56.7% · 2026-10-20T03:18:08+00:00ICON: 56.7% · 2026-10-20T04:05:50+00:00ICON: 56.7% · 2026-10-20T04:51:24+00:00ICON: 56.7% · 2026-10-20T05:36:36+00:00ICON: 56.7% · 2026-10-20T06:21:43+00:00ICON: 56.7% · 2026-10-20T07:06:50+00:00ICON: 69.4% · 2026-10-20T07:52:02+00:00ICON: 69.4% · 2026-10-20T08:37:11+00:00ICON: 69.4% · 2026-10-20T09:22:43+00:00ICON: 69.4% · 2026-10-20T10:07:49+00:00ICON: 69.4% · 2026-10-20T10:54:26+00:00ICON: 69.4% · 2026-10-20T11:39:49+00:00ICON: 69.4% · 2026-10-20T12:24:54+00:00ICON: 69.4% · 2026-10-20T13:10:06+00:00ICON: 69.5% · 2026-10-20T13:55:25+00:0010-18 08:0110-19 11:2110-20 13:55
AIFS SingleIFS EnsembleWeatherNext 2IFS HRESICON
2026-10-20T13:55:25+00:00 · UTC
View the forecast data
UTCAIFSEPSWN2HRESICON
2026-10-18T08:01:58+00:0016.9%3.5%10.1%11.6%10.3%
2026-10-18T08:47:14+00:0016.9%3.5%10.1%11.6%10.3%
2026-10-18T09:32:22+00:0016.9%3.5%10.1%11.6%10.3%
2026-10-18T10:17:30+00:0016.9%3.5%10.1%11.6%10.3%
2026-10-18T11:03:03+00:0016.9%14.6%13.2%11.6%10.3%
2026-10-18T11:48:20+00:0016.9%14.6%13.2%11.6%10.3%
2026-10-18T12:33:57+00:0016.9%14.6%13.2%11.6%10.3%
2026-10-18T13:19:04+00:0016.9%14.6%13.2%11.6%10.3%
2026-10-18T14:04:16+00:0022.2%14.6%13.2%11.6%10.2%
2026-10-18T14:56:13+00:0022.2%14.6%13.2%11.6%10.2%
2026-10-18T15:41:41+00:0022.2%15.6%13.2%11.6%10.2%
2026-10-18T16:27:01+00:0022.2%15.6%13.2%11.6%10.2%
2026-10-18T17:12:11+00:0022.2%15.6%13.2%11.6%10.2%
2026-10-18T17:57:39+00:0022.2%15.6%13.2%11.6%10.2%
2026-10-18T18:42:49+00:0022.2%15.6%13.2%11.6%10.2%
2026-10-18T19:28:02+00:0018.8%15.6%13.2%25.7%41.7%
2026-10-18T20:13:11+00:0018.8%15.6%13.2%25.7%41.7%
2026-10-18T20:58:19+00:0018.8%15.6%13.2%25.7%41.7%
2026-10-18T21:43:28+00:0018.8%15.6%13.2%25.7%41.7%
2026-10-18T22:28:35+00:0018.8%15.6%13.2%25.7%41.7%
2026-10-18T23:13:47+00:0018.8%15.6%15.4%25.7%41.7%
2026-10-18T23:58:57+00:0018.8%15.6%15.4%25.7%41.7%
2026-10-19T00:44:11+00:0018.8%15.6%15.4%25.7%41.7%
2026-10-19T01:29:39+00:0016.5%15.6%15.4%25.7%41.7%
2026-10-19T02:14:48+00:0016.5%15.6%15.4%25.7%41.7%
2026-10-19T03:00:00+00:0016.5%15.6%15.4%25.7%41.7%
2026-10-19T03:45:08+00:0016.5%15.6%15.4%25.7%41.7%
2026-10-19T04:31:37+00:0016.5%15.6%15.4%25.7%41.7%
2026-10-19T05:17:09+00:0016.5%15.6%14.5%25.7%41.7%
2026-10-19T06:02:17+00:0016.5%15.6%14.5%25.7%41.7%
2026-10-19T06:47:24+00:0016.5%15.6%14.5%25.7%41.7%
2026-10-19T07:33:58+00:0019.2%15.6%14.5%22.9%74.0%
2026-10-19T08:19:25+00:0019.2%15.6%14.5%22.9%74.0%
2026-10-19T09:04:30+00:0019.2%15.6%14.5%22.9%74.0%
2026-10-19T09:49:37+00:0019.2%15.6%14.5%22.9%74.0%
2026-10-19T10:35:28+00:0019.2%15.6%14.5%22.9%74.0%
2026-10-19T11:21:22+00:0019.2%12.1%14.2%22.9%74.0%
2026-10-19T12:06:41+00:0019.2%12.1%14.2%22.9%74.0%
2026-10-19T12:51:53+00:0019.2%12.1%14.2%22.9%74.0%
2026-10-19T13:37:08+00:0019.2%12.1%14.2%22.9%74.0%
2026-10-19T14:28:06+00:0019.2%12.2%14.2%22.9%73.6%
2026-10-19T15:14:00+00:0019.2%12.6%14.2%22.9%73.6%
2026-10-19T15:59:10+00:0019.2%12.6%14.2%22.9%73.6%
2026-10-19T16:44:24+00:0019.2%12.6%14.2%22.9%73.6%
2026-10-19T17:29:35+00:0019.2%12.6%13.7%22.9%73.6%
2026-10-19T18:14:42+00:0019.2%12.6%13.7%22.9%73.6%
2026-10-19T19:00:23+00:0019.2%12.6%13.7%22.9%73.6%
2026-10-19T19:45:33+00:0016.8%12.6%13.7%25.2%56.7%
2026-10-19T20:30:42+00:0016.8%12.6%13.7%25.2%56.7%
2026-10-19T21:15:56+00:0016.8%12.6%13.7%25.2%56.7%
2026-10-19T22:01:05+00:0016.8%12.6%13.7%25.2%56.7%
2026-10-19T22:46:17+00:0016.8%12.6%13.7%25.2%56.7%
2026-10-19T23:31:31+00:0016.8%12.6%12.8%25.2%56.7%
2026-10-20T00:17:11+00:0016.8%12.6%12.8%25.2%56.7%
2026-10-20T01:02:40+00:0016.8%12.6%12.8%25.2%56.7%
2026-10-20T01:47:51+00:0015.4%12.6%12.8%25.2%56.7%
2026-10-20T02:33:00+00:0015.4%12.6%12.8%25.2%56.7%
2026-10-20T03:18:08+00:0015.4%12.6%12.8%25.2%56.7%
2026-10-20T04:05:50+00:0015.4%12.6%12.8%25.2%56.7%
2026-10-20T04:51:24+00:0015.4%12.6%12.8%25.2%56.7%
2026-10-20T05:36:36+00:0015.4%12.6%12.4%25.2%56.7%
2026-10-20T06:21:43+00:0015.4%12.6%12.4%25.2%56.7%
2026-10-20T07:06:50+00:0015.4%12.6%12.4%25.2%56.7%
2026-10-20T07:52:02+00:0019.8%12.6%12.4%25.2%69.4%
2026-10-20T08:37:11+00:0019.8%12.6%12.4%25.2%69.4%
2026-10-20T09:22:43+00:0019.8%12.6%12.4%25.2%69.4%
2026-10-20T10:07:49+00:0019.8%12.6%12.4%25.2%69.4%
2026-10-20T10:54:26+00:0019.8%13.7%9.4%18.0%69.4%
2026-10-20T11:39:49+00:0019.8%13.7%9.4%18.0%69.4%
2026-10-20T12:24:54+00:0019.8%13.7%9.4%18.0%69.4%
2026-10-20T13:10:06+00:0019.8%13.7%9.4%18.0%69.4%
2026-10-20T13:55:25+00:0019.7%13.7%9.4%17.9%69.5%
THE MODEL BOX SCORE

Forecasts & evidence

MODELYESMEANSPREAD σINITIALIZATION UTCBRIER ↓
ICON70%84.6°F6.1°F2026-10-20 00:00Pending
NWS forecast54%82.0°F5.2°F2026-10-20 03:00Pending
National Blend41%80.0°F6.6°F2026-10-20 06:00Pending
AIFS Single20%77.3°F4.9°F2026-10-20 00:00Pending
IFS HRES18%76.2°F5.8°F2026-10-20 00:00Pending
IFS Ensemble14%76.8°F4.3°F2026-10-20 00:00Pending
WeatherNext 29%76.1°F4.1°F2026-10-20 00:00Pending

Spread is the standard deviation used in the probability approximation. It is not a measured confidence rating. Brier here scores the latest recorded snapshot, not a league deadline.

SETTLEMENT & PROVENANCE

High ≥ 82°F · KSAN

Daily temperature props settle on the ACIS official station record. Inclusive and strict thresholds retain their exact meanings. Provisional observations do not replace the settlement record.

WP-KSAN-20261025-TMAX-GE82
Opened Oct 18 · 08:01 UTC

Original listing: San Diego runs hot-for-here: 82°F+ · Sun Oct 25

Original prop, full history & receipt ↗