KBNA / Mon Sep 21 / OFFICIAL STATION RECORD
Nashville, TNHigh ≥ 100°F
CONSENSUS FORECAST8%Sep 21 · 10:06 UTC
THE FORECAST FIELD
Who takes which side?
Probabilities derived from each source’s mean and spread. Forecasts may have different initialization times.
Head-to-head preview
ILLUSTRATIVE · NOT EXECUTED50 contracts at the midpoint of these model probabilities. Each contract pays 1u to the winning side.
HRES +44.05u · WN2 −44.05u
These are current forecast comparisons, not locked entries. No credits have been committed. Read the proposed policy →
FOLLOW THE RUNS
Probability history
Recorded source probabilities; timestamps mark snapshots. Repeated values may come from the same model run.
AIFS SingleIFS EnsembleWeatherNext 2IFS HRESICON
View the forecast data
| UTC | AIFS | EPS | WN2 | HRES | ICON |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14T07:56:52+00:00 | 43.5% | 13.6% | 7.0% | 1.1% | 21.6% |
| 2026-09-14T08:42:09+00:00 | 43.5% | 13.6% | 7.0% | 1.1% | 21.6% |
| 2026-09-14T09:27:14+00:00 | 43.5% | 13.6% | 7.0% | 1.1% | 21.6% |
| 2026-09-14T10:12:19+00:00 | 43.5% | 13.6% | 7.0% | 1.1% | 21.6% |
| 2026-09-14T10:57:26+00:00 | 43.5% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 1.1% | 21.6% |
| 2026-09-14T11:42:33+00:00 | 43.5% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 1.1% | 21.6% |
| 2026-09-14T12:27:38+00:00 | 43.5% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 1.1% | 21.6% |
| 2026-09-14T13:12:43+00:00 | 43.5% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 1.1% | 21.6% |
| 2026-09-14T13:57:49+00:00 | 22.5% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 1.2% | 21.6% |
| 2026-09-14T14:43:29+00:00 | 22.5% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 1.2% | 21.6% |
| 2026-09-14T15:28:38+00:00 | 22.5% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 1.2% | 21.6% |
| 2026-09-14T16:13:51+00:00 | 22.5% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 1.2% | 21.6% |
| 2026-09-14T16:58:56+00:00 | 22.5% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 21.6% |
| 2026-09-14T17:44:02+00:00 | 22.5% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 21.6% |
| 2026-09-14T18:29:10+00:00 | 22.5% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 21.6% |
| 2026-09-14T19:14:15+00:00 | 22.5% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 21.6% |
| 2026-09-14T19:59:20+00:00 | 7.7% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 19.2% | 36.4% |
| 2026-09-14T20:44:27+00:00 | 7.7% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 19.2% | 36.4% |
| 2026-09-14T21:29:31+00:00 | 7.7% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 19.2% | 36.4% |
| 2026-09-14T22:14:36+00:00 | 7.7% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 19.2% | 36.4% |
| 2026-09-14T22:59:42+00:00 | 7.7% | 13.7% | 1.4% | 19.2% | 36.4% |
| 2026-09-14T23:44:50+00:00 | 7.7% | 13.7% | 1.4% | 19.2% | 36.4% |
| 2026-09-15T00:29:56+00:00 | 7.7% | 13.7% | 1.4% | 19.2% | 36.4% |
| 2026-09-15T01:15:04+00:00 | 7.7% | 13.7% | 1.4% | 19.2% | 36.4% |
| 2026-09-15T02:00:09+00:00 | 10.4% | 14.4% | 1.4% | 19.2% | 36.4% |
| 2026-09-15T02:45:15+00:00 | 10.4% | 14.4% | 1.4% | 19.2% | 36.4% |
| 2026-09-15T03:30:24+00:00 | 10.4% | 14.4% | 1.4% | 19.2% | 36.4% |
| 2026-09-15T04:15:39+00:00 | 10.4% | 14.4% | 1.4% | 19.2% | 36.4% |
| 2026-09-15T05:00:45+00:00 | 10.4% | 14.4% | 2.7% | 19.2% | 36.4% |
| 2026-09-15T05:45:51+00:00 | 10.4% | 14.4% | 2.7% | 19.2% | 36.4% |
| 2026-09-15T06:30:58+00:00 | 10.4% | 14.4% | 2.7% | 19.2% | 36.4% |
| 2026-09-15T07:16:03+00:00 | 10.4% | 14.4% | 2.7% | 19.2% | 36.4% |
| 2026-09-15T08:01:21+00:00 | 22.7% | 14.4% | 2.7% | 62.4% | 49.4% |
| 2026-09-15T08:46:42+00:00 | 22.7% | 14.4% | 2.7% | 62.4% | 49.4% |
| 2026-09-15T09:31:47+00:00 | 22.7% | 14.4% | 2.7% | 62.4% | 49.4% |
| 2026-09-15T10:16:53+00:00 | 22.7% | 14.4% | 2.7% | 62.4% | 49.4% |
| 2026-09-15T11:02:04+00:00 | 22.7% | 27.7% | 2.7% | 62.4% | 49.4% |
| 2026-09-15T11:47:16+00:00 | 22.7% | 27.7% | 2.7% | 62.4% | 49.4% |
| 2026-09-15T12:32:21+00:00 | 22.7% | 27.7% | 2.7% | 62.4% | 49.4% |
| 2026-09-15T13:17:26+00:00 | 22.7% | 27.7% | 2.7% | 62.4% | 49.4% |
| 2026-09-15T14:02:35+00:00 | 34.0% | 27.7% | 2.7% | 59.5% | 50.0% |
| 2026-09-15T14:48:53+00:00 | 34.0% | 27.7% | 2.7% | 59.5% | 50.0% |
| 2026-09-15T15:34:00+00:00 | 34.0% | 27.7% | 2.7% | 62.4% | 50.0% |
| 2026-09-15T16:19:08+00:00 | 34.0% | 27.7% | 2.7% | 62.4% | 50.0% |
| 2026-09-15T17:04:22+00:00 | 34.0% | 27.7% | 2.7% | 62.4% | 50.0% |
| 2026-09-15T17:49:29+00:00 | 34.0% | 27.7% | 2.7% | 62.4% | 50.0% |
| 2026-09-15T18:34:38+00:00 | 34.0% | 27.7% | 2.7% | 62.4% | 50.0% |
| 2026-09-15T19:19:43+00:00 | 34.0% | 27.7% | 2.7% | 62.4% | 50.0% |
| 2026-09-15T20:04:49+00:00 | 32.0% | 27.7% | 2.7% | 62.4% | 41.8% |
| 2026-09-15T20:49:54+00:00 | 32.0% | 27.7% | 2.7% | 62.4% | 41.8% |
| 2026-09-15T21:35:04+00:00 | 32.0% | 27.7% | 2.7% | 62.4% | 41.8% |
| 2026-09-15T22:20:09+00:00 | 32.0% | 27.7% | 2.7% | 62.4% | 41.8% |
| 2026-09-15T23:05:15+00:00 | 32.0% | 27.7% | 4.0% | 50.6% | 41.8% |
| 2026-09-15T23:50:22+00:00 | 32.0% | 27.7% | 4.0% | 50.6% | 41.8% |
| 2026-09-16T00:35:28+00:00 | 32.0% | 27.7% | 4.0% | 50.6% | 41.8% |
| 2026-09-16T01:20:36+00:00 | 32.0% | 27.7% | 4.0% | 50.6% | 41.8% |
| 2026-09-16T02:05:48+00:00 | 20.0% | 27.7% | 4.0% | 50.6% | 41.8% |
| 2026-09-16T02:50:59+00:00 | 20.0% | 27.7% | 4.0% | 50.6% | 41.8% |
| 2026-09-16T03:36:14+00:00 | 20.0% | 27.7% | 4.0% | 50.6% | 41.8% |
| 2026-09-16T04:21:32+00:00 | 20.0% | 27.7% | 4.0% | 50.6% | 41.8% |
| 2026-09-16T05:06:38+00:00 | 20.0% | 27.7% | 5.4% | 50.6% | 41.8% |
| 2026-09-16T05:51:45+00:00 | 20.0% | 27.7% | 5.4% | 50.6% | 41.8% |
| 2026-09-16T06:36:55+00:00 | 20.0% | 27.7% | 5.4% | 50.6% | 41.8% |
| 2026-09-16T07:22:07+00:00 | 17.3% | 27.7% | 5.4% | 64.0% | 14.2% |
| 2026-09-16T08:07:30+00:00 | 17.3% | 27.7% | 5.4% | 64.0% | 14.2% |
| 2026-09-16T08:52:39+00:00 | 17.3% | 27.7% | 5.4% | 64.0% | 14.2% |
| 2026-09-16T09:37:49+00:00 | 17.3% | 27.7% | 5.4% | 64.0% | 14.2% |
| 2026-09-16T10:22:59+00:00 | 17.3% | 27.7% | 5.4% | 64.0% | 14.2% |
| 2026-09-16T11:08:06+00:00 | 17.3% | 36.0% | 6.4% | 64.0% | 14.2% |
| 2026-09-16T11:53:15+00:00 | 17.3% | 36.0% | 6.4% | 64.0% | 14.2% |
| 2026-09-16T12:38:21+00:00 | 17.3% | 36.0% | 6.4% | 64.0% | 14.2% |
| 2026-09-16T13:23:26+00:00 | 22.3% | 36.0% | 6.4% | 64.0% | 14.2% |
| 2026-09-16T14:09:45+00:00 | 22.3% | 36.0% | 6.4% | 64.0% | 14.2% |
| 2026-09-16T14:54:54+00:00 | 22.3% | 37.4% | 6.4% | 64.0% | 14.2% |
| 2026-09-16T15:40:07+00:00 | 22.3% | 37.4% | 6.4% | 64.0% | 14.2% |
| 2026-09-16T16:25:13+00:00 | 22.3% | 37.4% | 6.4% | 61.0% | 28.2% |
| 2026-09-16T17:10:20+00:00 | 22.3% | 37.4% | 4.8% | 61.0% | 28.2% |
| 2026-09-16T17:55:35+00:00 | 22.3% | 37.4% | 4.8% | 61.0% | 28.2% |
| 2026-09-16T18:40:45+00:00 | 22.3% | 37.4% | 4.8% | 61.0% | 28.2% |
| 2026-09-16T19:25:50+00:00 | 20.5% | 37.4% | 4.8% | 61.0% | 28.2% |
| 2026-09-16T20:10:56+00:00 | 20.5% | 37.4% | 4.8% | 61.0% | 28.2% |
| 2026-09-16T20:56:01+00:00 | 20.5% | 37.4% | 4.8% | 61.0% | 28.2% |
| 2026-09-16T21:41:05+00:00 | 20.5% | 37.4% | 4.8% | 61.0% | 28.2% |
| 2026-09-16T22:26:10+00:00 | 20.5% | 37.4% | 4.8% | 61.0% | 28.2% |
| 2026-09-16T23:11:17+00:00 | 20.5% | 45.6% | 3.4% | 64.0% | 28.7% |
| 2026-09-16T23:56:28+00:00 | 20.5% | 45.6% | 3.4% | 64.0% | 28.7% |
| 2026-09-17T00:41:33+00:00 | 20.5% | 45.6% | 3.4% | 64.0% | 28.7% |
| 2026-09-17T01:26:47+00:00 | 25.3% | 45.6% | 3.4% | 64.0% | 28.7% |
| 2026-09-17T02:12:06+00:00 | 25.3% | 45.6% | 3.4% | 64.0% | 28.7% |
| 2026-09-17T02:57:15+00:00 | 25.3% | 45.6% | 3.4% | 64.0% | 28.7% |
| 2026-09-17T03:42:32+00:00 | 25.3% | 45.6% | 3.4% | 64.0% | 28.7% |
| 2026-09-17T04:27:40+00:00 | 25.3% | 45.6% | 3.4% | 64.0% | 35.2% |
| 2026-09-17T05:12:46+00:00 | 25.3% | 45.6% | 8.1% | 64.0% | 35.2% |
| 2026-09-17T05:57:53+00:00 | 25.3% | 45.6% | 8.1% | 64.0% | 35.2% |
| 2026-09-17T06:43:01+00:00 | 25.3% | 45.6% | 8.1% | 64.0% | 35.2% |
| 2026-09-17T07:28:05+00:00 | 28.2% | 45.6% | 8.1% | 64.0% | 35.2% |
| 2026-09-17T08:13:10+00:00 | 28.2% | 45.6% | 8.1% | 64.0% | 35.2% |
| 2026-09-17T08:58:15+00:00 | 28.2% | 45.6% | 8.1% | 64.0% | 35.2% |
| 2026-09-17T09:43:23+00:00 | 28.2% | 45.6% | 8.1% | 64.0% | 35.2% |
| 2026-09-17T10:28:36+00:00 | 28.2% | 45.6% | 8.1% | 53.9% | 35.2% |
| 2026-09-17T11:14:04+00:00 | 28.2% | 24.8% | 6.2% | 53.9% | 35.2% |
| 2026-09-17T11:59:12+00:00 | 28.2% | 24.8% | 6.2% | 53.9% | 35.2% |
| 2026-09-17T12:44:17+00:00 | 28.2% | 24.8% | 6.2% | 53.9% | 35.2% |
| 2026-09-17T13:29:22+00:00 | 22.8% | 24.8% | 6.2% | 53.9% | 35.2% |
| 2026-09-17T14:15:36+00:00 | 22.7% | 24.8% | 6.1% | 53.9% | 35.2% |
| 2026-09-17T15:00:48+00:00 | 22.7% | 24.8% | 6.1% | 53.9% | 35.2% |
| 2026-09-17T15:46:03+00:00 | 22.7% | 24.8% | 6.1% | 53.9% | 35.2% |
| 2026-09-17T16:31:11+00:00 | 22.7% | 24.8% | 6.1% | 53.9% | 33.7% |
| 2026-09-17T17:16:20+00:00 | 22.7% | 24.8% | 3.6% | 53.9% | 33.7% |
| 2026-09-17T18:01:24+00:00 | 22.7% | 24.8% | 3.6% | 53.9% | 33.7% |
| 2026-09-17T18:46:33+00:00 | 22.7% | 24.8% | 3.6% | 53.9% | 33.7% |
| 2026-09-17T19:31:38+00:00 | 12.4% | 24.8% | 3.6% | 53.9% | 33.7% |
| 2026-09-17T20:16:44+00:00 | 12.4% | 24.8% | 3.6% | 53.9% | 33.7% |
| 2026-09-17T21:01:49+00:00 | 12.4% | 24.8% | 3.6% | 53.9% | 33.7% |
| 2026-09-17T21:46:54+00:00 | 12.4% | 24.8% | 3.6% | 53.9% | 33.7% |
| 2026-09-17T22:31:59+00:00 | 12.4% | 24.8% | 3.6% | 44.5% | 33.7% |
| 2026-09-17T23:17:04+00:00 | 12.4% | 26.2% | 4.0% | 44.5% | 33.7% |
| 2026-09-18T00:02:09+00:00 | 12.4% | 26.2% | 4.0% | 44.5% | 33.7% |
| 2026-09-18T00:47:16+00:00 | 12.4% | 26.2% | 4.0% | 44.5% | 33.7% |
| 2026-09-18T01:32:22+00:00 | 15.3% | 26.2% | 4.0% | 44.5% | 33.7% |
| 2026-09-18T02:17:28+00:00 | 15.3% | 26.2% | 4.0% | 44.5% | 33.7% |
| 2026-09-18T03:02:40+00:00 | 15.3% | 26.2% | 4.0% | 44.5% | 33.7% |
| 2026-09-18T03:48:03+00:00 | 15.3% | 26.2% | 4.0% | 44.5% | 33.7% |
| 2026-09-18T04:33:08+00:00 | 15.3% | 26.2% | 4.0% | 44.5% | 19.0% |
| 2026-09-18T05:18:13+00:00 | 15.3% | 26.2% | 4.0% | 44.5% | 19.0% |
| 2026-09-18T06:03:18+00:00 | 15.3% | 26.2% | 4.0% | 44.5% | 19.0% |
| 2026-09-18T06:48:26+00:00 | 15.3% | 26.2% | 4.0% | 44.5% | 19.0% |
| 2026-09-18T07:33:40+00:00 | 16.5% | 26.2% | 4.0% | 51.8% | 19.0% |
| 2026-09-18T08:19:07+00:00 | 16.5% | 26.2% | 4.0% | 51.8% | 19.0% |
| 2026-09-18T09:04:14+00:00 | 16.5% | 26.2% | 4.0% | 51.8% | 19.0% |
| 2026-09-18T09:49:19+00:00 | 16.5% | 26.2% | 4.0% | 51.8% | 19.0% |
| 2026-09-18T10:34:35+00:00 | 16.5% | 26.2% | 4.0% | 51.8% | 19.0% |
| 2026-09-18T11:20:03+00:00 | 16.5% | 26.2% | 4.0% | 51.8% | 19.0% |
| 2026-09-18T12:05:14+00:00 | 16.5% | 26.2% | 4.0% | 51.8% | 19.0% |
| 2026-09-18T12:50:19+00:00 | 16.5% | 26.2% | 4.0% | 51.8% | 19.0% |
| 2026-09-18T13:35:25+00:00 | 14.8% | 26.2% | 4.0% | 51.8% | 19.0% |
| 2026-09-18T14:21:55+00:00 | 14.8% | 26.2% | 4.0% | 51.8% | 19.1% |
| 2026-09-18T15:07:08+00:00 | 14.8% | 26.2% | 4.0% | 51.8% | 19.1% |
| 2026-09-18T15:52:25+00:00 | 14.8% | 26.2% | 4.0% | 51.8% | 19.1% |
| 2026-09-18T16:37:30+00:00 | 14.8% | 26.2% | 4.0% | 51.8% | 21.3% |
| 2026-09-18T17:22:36+00:00 | 14.8% | 26.2% | 4.0% | 51.8% | 21.3% |
| 2026-09-18T18:07:41+00:00 | 14.8% | 26.2% | 4.0% | 51.8% | 21.3% |
| 2026-09-18T18:52:50+00:00 | 14.8% | 26.2% | 4.0% | 51.8% | 21.3% |
| 2026-09-18T19:37:55+00:00 | 12.8% | 26.2% | 4.0% | 51.8% | 21.3% |
| 2026-09-18T20:23:00+00:00 | 12.8% | 26.2% | 4.0% | 51.8% | 21.3% |
| 2026-09-18T21:08:04+00:00 | 12.8% | 26.2% | 4.0% | 51.8% | 21.3% |
| 2026-09-18T21:53:09+00:00 | 12.8% | 26.2% | 4.0% | 51.8% | 21.3% |
| 2026-09-18T22:38:15+00:00 | 12.8% | 26.2% | 4.0% | 29.8% | 21.3% |
| 2026-09-18T23:23:20+00:00 | 12.8% | 28.5% | 4.0% | 29.8% | 21.3% |
| 2026-09-19T00:08:25+00:00 | 12.8% | 28.5% | 4.0% | 29.8% | 21.3% |
| 2026-09-19T00:53:32+00:00 | 12.8% | 28.5% | 4.0% | 29.8% | 21.3% |
| 2026-09-19T01:38:37+00:00 | 15.9% | 28.5% | 4.0% | 29.8% | 21.3% |
| 2026-09-19T02:23:43+00:00 | 15.9% | 28.5% | 4.0% | 29.8% | 21.3% |
| 2026-09-19T03:08:55+00:00 | 15.9% | 28.5% | 4.0% | 29.8% | 21.3% |
| 2026-09-19T03:54:13+00:00 | 15.9% | 28.5% | 4.0% | 29.8% | 21.3% |
| 2026-09-19T04:39:19+00:00 | 15.9% | 28.5% | 4.0% | 29.8% | 8.2% |
| 2026-09-19T05:24:24+00:00 | 15.9% | 28.5% | 4.0% | 29.8% | 8.2% |
| 2026-09-19T06:09:28+00:00 | 15.9% | 28.5% | 4.0% | 29.8% | 8.2% |
| 2026-09-19T06:54:37+00:00 | 15.9% | 28.5% | 4.0% | 29.8% | 8.2% |
| 2026-09-19T07:39:53+00:00 | 24.5% | 28.5% | 4.0% | 19.2% | 8.2% |
| 2026-09-19T08:25:24+00:00 | 24.5% | 28.5% | 4.0% | 19.2% | 8.2% |
| 2026-09-19T09:10:36+00:00 | 24.5% | 28.5% | 4.0% | 19.2% | 8.2% |
| 2026-09-19T09:55:41+00:00 | 24.5% | 28.5% | 4.0% | 19.2% | 8.2% |
| 2026-09-19T10:40:46+00:00 | 24.5% | 28.5% | 4.0% | 19.2% | 8.2% |
| 2026-09-19T11:25:54+00:00 | 24.5% | 18.0% | 4.0% | 19.2% | 8.2% |
| 2026-09-19T12:11:04+00:00 | 24.5% | 18.0% | 4.0% | 19.2% | 8.2% |
| 2026-09-19T12:56:08+00:00 | 24.5% | 18.0% | 4.0% | 19.2% | 8.2% |
| 2026-09-19T13:41:14+00:00 | 23.1% | 18.0% | 4.0% | 19.2% | 8.2% |
| 2026-09-19T14:27:50+00:00 | 23.1% | 18.0% | 4.0% | 19.2% | 8.6% |
| 2026-09-19T15:13:01+00:00 | 23.1% | 17.9% | 4.0% | 19.2% | 8.6% |
| 2026-09-19T15:58:14+00:00 | 23.1% | 17.9% | 4.0% | 19.2% | 8.6% |
| 2026-09-19T16:43:19+00:00 | 23.1% | 17.9% | 4.0% | 19.2% | 8.6% |
| 2026-09-19T17:28:24+00:00 | 23.1% | 17.9% | 4.0% | 19.2% | 8.6% |
| 2026-09-19T18:13:29+00:00 | 23.1% | 17.9% | 4.0% | 19.2% | 8.6% |
| 2026-09-19T18:58:38+00:00 | 23.1% | 17.9% | 4.0% | 19.2% | 8.6% |
| 2026-09-19T19:43:43+00:00 | 19.6% | 17.9% | 4.0% | 34.0% | 8.6% |
| 2026-09-19T20:28:48+00:00 | 19.6% | 17.9% | 4.0% | 34.0% | 8.6% |
| 2026-09-19T21:13:52+00:00 | 19.6% | 17.9% | 4.0% | 34.0% | 8.6% |
| 2026-09-19T21:58:57+00:00 | 19.6% | 17.9% | 4.0% | 34.0% | 8.6% |
| 2026-09-19T22:44:03+00:00 | 19.6% | 17.9% | 4.0% | 34.0% | 8.6% |
| 2026-09-19T23:29:08+00:00 | 19.6% | 19.0% | 4.0% | 34.0% | 8.6% |
| 2026-09-20T00:14:13+00:00 | 19.6% | 19.0% | 4.0% | 34.0% | 8.6% |
| 2026-09-20T00:59:23+00:00 | 19.6% | 19.0% | 4.0% | 34.0% | 8.6% |
| 2026-09-20T01:44:30+00:00 | 27.6% | 19.0% | 4.0% | 34.0% | 8.6% |
| 2026-09-20T02:29:37+00:00 | 27.6% | 19.0% | 4.0% | 34.0% | 8.6% |
| 2026-09-20T03:14:46+00:00 | 27.6% | 19.0% | 4.0% | 34.0% | 8.6% |
| 2026-09-20T04:00:03+00:00 | 27.6% | 19.0% | 4.0% | 34.0% | 8.6% |
| 2026-09-20T04:45:09+00:00 | 27.6% | 19.0% | 4.0% | 34.0% | 9.2% |
| 2026-09-20T05:30:14+00:00 | 27.6% | 19.0% | 4.0% | 34.0% | 9.2% |
| 2026-09-20T06:15:19+00:00 | 27.6% | 19.0% | 4.0% | 34.0% | 9.2% |
| 2026-09-20T07:00:27+00:00 | 27.6% | 19.0% | 4.0% | 34.0% | 9.2% |
| 2026-09-20T07:45:42+00:00 | 27.9% | 19.0% | 4.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% |
| 2026-09-20T08:31:12+00:00 | 27.9% | 19.0% | 4.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% |
| 2026-09-20T09:16:17+00:00 | 27.9% | 19.0% | 4.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% |
| 2026-09-20T10:01:21+00:00 | 27.9% | 19.0% | 4.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% |
| 2026-09-20T10:46:26+00:00 | 27.9% | 19.0% | 4.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% |
| 2026-09-20T11:31:33+00:00 | 27.9% | 15.2% | 4.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% |
| 2026-09-20T12:16:52+00:00 | 27.9% | 15.2% | 4.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% |
| 2026-09-20T13:01:57+00:00 | 27.9% | 15.2% | 4.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% |
| 2026-09-20T13:47:03+00:00 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 4.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% |
| 2026-09-20T14:33:34+00:00 | 26.2% | 15.3% | 4.1% | 11.0% | 9.2% |
| 2026-09-20T15:18:48+00:00 | 26.2% | 16.1% | 4.1% | 11.0% | 9.2% |
| 2026-09-20T16:04:07+00:00 | 26.2% | 16.1% | 4.1% | 11.0% | 9.2% |
| 2026-09-20T16:49:12+00:00 | 26.2% | 16.1% | 4.1% | 11.0% | 11.2% |
| 2026-09-20T17:34:18+00:00 | 26.2% | 16.1% | 4.1% | 11.0% | 11.2% |
| 2026-09-20T18:19:23+00:00 | 26.2% | 16.1% | 4.1% | 11.0% | 11.2% |
| 2026-09-20T19:04:30+00:00 | 26.2% | 16.1% | 4.1% | 11.0% | 11.2% |
| 2026-09-20T19:49:36+00:00 | 24.7% | 16.1% | 4.1% | 11.0% | 11.2% |
| 2026-09-20T20:34:41+00:00 | 24.7% | 16.1% | 4.1% | 11.0% | 11.2% |
| 2026-09-20T21:19:46+00:00 | 24.7% | 16.1% | 4.1% | 11.0% | 11.2% |
| 2026-09-20T22:04:50+00:00 | 24.7% | 16.1% | 4.1% | 11.0% | 11.2% |
| 2026-09-20T22:49:58+00:00 | 24.7% | 16.1% | 4.1% | 19.7% | 11.2% |
| 2026-09-20T23:35:04+00:00 | 24.7% | 17.9% | 4.1% | 19.7% | 11.2% |
| 2026-09-21T00:20:13+00:00 | 24.7% | 17.9% | 4.1% | 19.7% | 11.2% |
| 2026-09-21T01:05:23+00:00 | 24.7% | 17.9% | 4.1% | 19.7% | 11.2% |
| 2026-09-21T01:50:29+00:00 | 28.7% | 17.9% | 4.1% | 19.7% | 11.2% |
| 2026-09-21T02:35:35+00:00 | 28.7% | 17.9% | 4.1% | 19.7% | 11.2% |
| 2026-09-21T03:20:45+00:00 | 28.7% | 17.9% | 4.1% | 19.7% | 11.2% |
| 2026-09-21T04:06:01+00:00 | 28.7% | 17.9% | 4.1% | 19.7% | 11.2% |
| 2026-09-21T04:51:09+00:00 | 28.7% | 17.9% | 4.1% | 19.7% | 7.6% |
| 2026-09-21T05:36:17+00:00 | 28.7% | 17.9% | 4.1% | 19.7% | 7.6% |
| 2026-09-21T06:21:22+00:00 | 28.7% | 17.9% | 4.1% | 19.7% | 7.6% |
| 2026-09-21T07:06:30+00:00 | 28.7% | 17.9% | 4.1% | 19.7% | 7.6% |
| 2026-09-21T07:51:35+00:00 | 15.5% | 17.9% | 4.1% | 19.7% | 7.6% |
| 2026-09-21T08:36:41+00:00 | 15.5% | 17.9% | 4.1% | 19.7% | 7.6% |
| 2026-09-21T09:21:46+00:00 | 15.5% | 17.9% | 4.1% | 19.7% | 7.6% |
| 2026-09-21T10:06:50+00:00 | 15.5% | 17.9% | 4.1% | 19.7% | 7.6% |
THE MODEL BOX SCORE
Forecasts & evidence
| MODEL | YES | MEAN | SPREAD σ | INITIALIZATION UTC | BRIER ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS forecast | 25% | 98.0°F | 2.2°F | 2026-09-21 02:00 | Pending |
| IFS HRES | 20% | 96.3°F | 3.8°F | 2026-09-20 12:00 | Pending |
| IFS Ensemble | 18% | 97.0°F | 2.7°F | 2026-09-20 00:00 | Pending |
| AIFS Single | 16% | 96.4°F | 3.0°F | 2026-09-21 00:00 | Pending |
| ICON | 8% | 94.6°F | 3.4°F | 2026-09-21 00:00 | Pending |
| National Blend | 6% | 96.0°F | 2.2°F | 2026-09-21 00:00 | Pending |
| WeatherNext 2 | 4% | 92.7°F | 3.9°F | 2026-09-17 12:00 | Pending |
Spread is the standard deviation used in the probability approximation. It is not a measured confidence rating. Brier here scores the latest recorded snapshot, not a league deadline.
High ≥ 100°F · KBNA
Daily temperature props settle on the ACIS official station record. Inclusive and strict thresholds retain their exact meanings. Provisional observations do not replace the settlement record.
WP-KBNA-20260921-TMAX-GE100
Opened Sep 14 · 07:56 UTC
Original listing: Triple digits in Nashville · Mon Sep 21
Original prop, full history & receipt ↗