KBNA / Wed Sep 30 / OFFICIAL STATION RECORD
Nashville, TNHigh ≥ 90°F
CONSENSUS FORECAST74%Sep 30 · 06:46 UTC
THE FORECAST FIELD
Who takes which side?
Probabilities derived from each source’s mean and spread. Forecasts may have different initialization times.
Head-to-head preview
ILLUSTRATIVE · NOT EXECUTED100 contracts at the midpoint of these model probabilities. Each contract pays 1u to the winning side.
EPS +53.15u · WN2 −53.15u
These are current forecast comparisons, not locked entries. No credits have been committed. Read the proposed policy →
FOLLOW THE RUNS
Probability history
Recorded source probabilities; timestamps mark snapshots. Repeated values may come from the same model run.
AIFS SingleIFS EnsembleWeatherNext 2IFS HRESICON
View the forecast data
| UTC | AIFS | EPS | WN2 | HRES | ICON |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23T08:05:39+00:00 | 0.8% | 64.6% | 16.2% | 4.8% | 12.2% |
| 2026-09-23T08:51:11+00:00 | 0.8% | 64.6% | 16.2% | 4.8% | 12.2% |
| 2026-09-23T09:36:16+00:00 | 0.8% | 64.6% | 16.2% | 4.8% | 12.2% |
| 2026-09-23T10:21:21+00:00 | 0.8% | 64.6% | 16.2% | 4.8% | 12.2% |
| 2026-09-23T11:06:27+00:00 | 0.8% | 46.4% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 12.2% |
| 2026-09-23T11:51:39+00:00 | 0.8% | 46.4% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 12.2% |
| 2026-09-23T12:36:44+00:00 | 0.8% | 46.4% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 12.2% |
| 2026-09-23T13:21:49+00:00 | 51.4% | 46.4% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 12.2% |
| 2026-09-23T14:09:06+00:00 | 51.4% | 46.4% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 12.0% |
| 2026-09-23T14:54:18+00:00 | 51.4% | 47.6% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 12.0% |
| 2026-09-23T15:39:30+00:00 | 51.4% | 47.6% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 12.0% |
| 2026-09-23T16:24:37+00:00 | 51.4% | 47.6% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 66.2% |
| 2026-09-23T17:09:47+00:00 | 51.4% | 47.6% | 17.6% | 4.9% | 66.2% |
| 2026-09-23T17:54:55+00:00 | 51.4% | 47.6% | 17.6% | 4.9% | 66.2% |
| 2026-09-23T18:40:00+00:00 | 51.4% | 47.6% | 17.6% | 4.9% | 66.2% |
| 2026-09-23T19:25:12+00:00 | 55.7% | 47.6% | 17.6% | 62.4% | 66.2% |
| 2026-09-23T20:10:19+00:00 | 55.7% | 47.6% | 17.6% | 62.4% | 66.2% |
| 2026-09-23T20:55:25+00:00 | 55.7% | 47.6% | 17.6% | 62.4% | 66.2% |
| 2026-09-23T21:40:30+00:00 | 55.7% | 47.6% | 17.6% | 62.4% | 66.2% |
| 2026-09-23T22:25:37+00:00 | 55.7% | 47.6% | 17.6% | 62.4% | 66.2% |
| 2026-09-23T23:10:42+00:00 | 55.7% | 47.6% | 25.4% | 62.4% | 66.2% |
| 2026-09-23T23:55:48+00:00 | 55.7% | 47.6% | 25.4% | 62.4% | 66.2% |
| 2026-09-24T00:40:54+00:00 | 55.7% | 47.6% | 25.4% | 62.4% | 66.2% |
| 2026-09-24T01:26:06+00:00 | 24.7% | 47.6% | 25.4% | 62.4% | 66.2% |
| 2026-09-24T02:11:12+00:00 | 24.7% | 47.6% | 25.4% | 62.4% | 66.2% |
| 2026-09-24T02:56:28+00:00 | 24.7% | 47.6% | 25.4% | 62.4% | 66.2% |
| 2026-09-24T03:41:53+00:00 | 24.7% | 47.6% | 25.4% | 62.4% | 66.2% |
| 2026-09-24T04:26:59+00:00 | 24.7% | 47.6% | 25.4% | 62.4% | 61.4% |
| 2026-09-24T05:12:05+00:00 | 24.7% | 47.6% | 21.0% | 62.4% | 61.4% |
| 2026-09-24T05:57:14+00:00 | 24.7% | 47.6% | 21.0% | 62.4% | 61.4% |
| 2026-09-24T06:42:25+00:00 | 24.7% | 47.6% | 21.0% | 62.4% | 61.4% |
| 2026-09-24T07:27:47+00:00 | 50.7% | 47.6% | 21.0% | 71.1% | 61.4% |
| 2026-09-24T08:13:25+00:00 | 50.7% | 47.6% | 21.0% | 71.1% | 61.4% |
| 2026-09-24T08:58:36+00:00 | 50.7% | 47.6% | 21.0% | 71.1% | 61.4% |
| 2026-09-24T09:43:41+00:00 | 50.7% | 47.6% | 21.0% | 71.1% | 61.4% |
| 2026-09-24T10:28:46+00:00 | 50.7% | 47.6% | 21.0% | 71.1% | 61.4% |
| 2026-09-24T11:13:52+00:00 | 50.7% | 73.8% | 21.3% | 71.1% | 61.4% |
| 2026-09-24T11:58:57+00:00 | 50.7% | 73.8% | 21.3% | 71.1% | 61.4% |
| 2026-09-24T12:44:02+00:00 | 50.7% | 73.8% | 21.3% | 71.1% | 61.4% |
| 2026-09-24T13:29:17+00:00 | 45.5% | 73.8% | 21.3% | 71.1% | 61.4% |
| 2026-09-24T14:16:41+00:00 | 44.8% | 73.8% | 21.4% | 71.1% | 61.4% |
| 2026-09-24T15:01:53+00:00 | 44.8% | 66.8% | 21.4% | 71.1% | 61.4% |
| 2026-09-24T15:47:18+00:00 | 44.8% | 66.8% | 21.4% | 71.1% | 61.4% |
| 2026-09-24T16:32:28+00:00 | 44.8% | 66.8% | 21.4% | 71.1% | 61.4% |
| 2026-09-24T17:17:33+00:00 | 44.8% | 66.8% | 12.2% | 71.1% | 61.4% |
| 2026-09-24T18:02:39+00:00 | 44.8% | 66.8% | 12.2% | 71.1% | 61.4% |
| 2026-09-24T18:47:43+00:00 | 44.8% | 66.8% | 12.2% | 71.1% | 61.4% |
| 2026-09-24T19:32:53+00:00 | 53.0% | 66.8% | 12.2% | 71.1% | 51.2% |
| 2026-09-24T20:18:01+00:00 | 53.0% | 66.8% | 12.2% | 71.1% | 51.2% |
| 2026-09-24T21:03:07+00:00 | 53.0% | 66.8% | 12.2% | 71.1% | 51.2% |
| 2026-09-24T21:48:12+00:00 | 53.0% | 66.8% | 12.2% | 71.1% | 51.2% |
| 2026-09-24T22:33:17+00:00 | 53.0% | 66.8% | 12.2% | 73.1% | 51.2% |
| 2026-09-24T23:18:23+00:00 | 53.0% | 58.3% | 12.6% | 73.1% | 51.2% |
| 2026-09-25T00:03:30+00:00 | 53.0% | 58.3% | 12.6% | 73.1% | 51.2% |
| 2026-09-25T00:48:42+00:00 | 53.0% | 58.3% | 12.6% | 73.1% | 51.2% |
| 2026-09-25T01:33:51+00:00 | 50.7% | 58.3% | 12.6% | 73.1% | 51.2% |
| 2026-09-25T02:18:58+00:00 | 50.7% | 58.3% | 12.6% | 73.1% | 51.2% |
| 2026-09-25T03:04:18+00:00 | 50.7% | 58.3% | 12.6% | 73.1% | 51.2% |
| 2026-09-25T03:49:45+00:00 | 50.7% | 58.3% | 12.6% | 73.1% | 51.2% |
| 2026-09-25T04:34:50+00:00 | 50.7% | 58.3% | 12.6% | 73.1% | 22.6% |
| 2026-09-25T05:19:58+00:00 | 50.7% | 58.3% | 11.3% | 73.1% | 22.6% |
| 2026-09-25T06:05:05+00:00 | 50.7% | 58.3% | 11.3% | 73.1% | 22.6% |
| 2026-09-25T06:50:10+00:00 | 50.7% | 58.3% | 11.3% | 73.1% | 22.6% |
| 2026-09-25T07:35:17+00:00 | 54.0% | 58.3% | 11.3% | 73.1% | 22.6% |
| 2026-09-25T08:20:24+00:00 | 54.0% | 58.3% | 11.3% | 73.1% | 22.6% |
| 2026-09-25T09:05:29+00:00 | 54.0% | 58.3% | 11.3% | 73.1% | 22.6% |
| 2026-09-25T09:50:34+00:00 | 54.0% | 58.3% | 11.3% | 73.1% | 22.6% |
| 2026-09-25T10:35:40+00:00 | 54.0% | 58.3% | 11.3% | 73.1% | 22.6% |
| 2026-09-25T11:20:46+00:00 | 54.0% | 69.1% | 11.3% | 73.1% | 22.6% |
| 2026-09-25T12:05:52+00:00 | 54.0% | 69.1% | 11.3% | 73.1% | 22.6% |
| 2026-09-25T12:50:57+00:00 | 54.0% | 69.1% | 11.3% | 73.1% | 22.6% |
| 2026-09-25T13:36:04+00:00 | 53.2% | 69.1% | 11.3% | 73.1% | 22.6% |
| 2026-09-25T14:23:06+00:00 | 53.2% | 69.1% | 10.9% | 73.1% | 22.6% |
| 2026-09-25T15:08:11+00:00 | 53.2% | 69.1% | 10.9% | 73.1% | 22.6% |
| 2026-09-25T15:53:17+00:00 | 53.2% | 69.1% | 10.9% | 73.1% | 22.6% |
| 2026-09-25T16:38:23+00:00 | 53.2% | 69.1% | 10.9% | 73.1% | 45.2% |
| 2026-09-25T17:23:30+00:00 | 53.2% | 69.1% | 12.7% | 73.1% | 45.2% |
| 2026-09-25T18:08:46+00:00 | 53.2% | 69.1% | 12.7% | 73.1% | 45.2% |
| 2026-09-25T18:54:07+00:00 | 53.2% | 69.1% | 12.7% | 73.1% | 45.2% |
| 2026-09-25T19:39:33+00:00 | 55.6% | 69.1% | 12.7% | 63.4% | 45.2% |
| 2026-09-25T20:25:17+00:00 | 55.6% | 69.1% | 12.7% | 63.4% | 45.2% |
| 2026-09-25T21:10:22+00:00 | 55.6% | 69.1% | 12.7% | 63.4% | 45.2% |
| 2026-09-25T21:55:28+00:00 | 55.6% | 69.1% | 12.7% | 63.4% | 45.2% |
| 2026-09-25T22:40:32+00:00 | 55.6% | 69.1% | 12.7% | 63.4% | 45.2% |
| 2026-09-25T23:25:38+00:00 | 55.6% | 69.1% | 9.5% | 63.4% | 45.2% |
| 2026-09-26T00:10:44+00:00 | 55.6% | 69.1% | 9.5% | 63.4% | 45.2% |
| 2026-09-26T00:55:52+00:00 | 55.6% | 69.1% | 9.5% | 63.4% | 45.2% |
| 2026-09-26T01:41:04+00:00 | 58.8% | 69.1% | 9.5% | 63.4% | 45.2% |
| 2026-09-26T02:26:22+00:00 | 58.8% | 69.1% | 9.5% | 63.4% | 45.2% |
| 2026-09-26T03:11:44+00:00 | 58.8% | 69.1% | 9.5% | 63.4% | 45.2% |
| 2026-09-26T03:56:57+00:00 | 58.8% | 69.1% | 9.5% | 63.4% | 45.2% |
| 2026-09-26T04:42:05+00:00 | 58.8% | 69.1% | 9.5% | 63.4% | 40.8% |
| 2026-09-26T05:27:18+00:00 | 58.8% | 69.1% | 15.9% | 63.4% | 40.8% |
| 2026-09-26T06:12:25+00:00 | 58.8% | 69.1% | 15.9% | 63.4% | 40.8% |
| 2026-09-26T06:57:30+00:00 | 58.8% | 69.1% | 15.9% | 63.4% | 40.8% |
| 2026-09-26T07:42:58+00:00 | 62.7% | 69.1% | 15.9% | 78.6% | 40.8% |
| 2026-09-26T08:28:40+00:00 | 62.7% | 69.1% | 15.9% | 78.6% | 40.8% |
| 2026-09-26T09:13:46+00:00 | 62.7% | 69.1% | 15.9% | 78.6% | 40.8% |
| 2026-09-26T09:58:52+00:00 | 62.7% | 69.1% | 15.9% | 78.6% | 40.8% |
| 2026-09-26T10:44:04+00:00 | 62.7% | 69.1% | 15.9% | 78.6% | 40.8% |
| 2026-09-26T11:29:16+00:00 | 62.7% | 84.1% | 13.2% | 78.6% | 40.8% |
| 2026-09-26T12:14:30+00:00 | 62.7% | 84.1% | 13.2% | 78.6% | 40.8% |
| 2026-09-26T12:59:35+00:00 | 62.7% | 84.1% | 13.2% | 78.6% | 40.8% |
| 2026-09-26T13:44:43+00:00 | 60.2% | 84.1% | 13.2% | 78.6% | 40.8% |
| 2026-09-26T14:32:08+00:00 | 60.2% | 84.1% | 13.2% | 78.7% | 40.8% |
| 2026-09-26T15:17:30+00:00 | 60.2% | 84.1% | 13.2% | 78.7% | 40.8% |
| 2026-09-26T16:02:36+00:00 | 60.2% | 84.1% | 13.2% | 78.7% | 40.8% |
| 2026-09-26T16:47:42+00:00 | 60.2% | 84.1% | 13.2% | 78.7% | 44.1% |
| 2026-09-26T17:32:51+00:00 | 60.2% | 84.1% | 13.2% | 78.7% | 44.1% |
| 2026-09-26T18:17:59+00:00 | 60.2% | 84.1% | 13.2% | 78.7% | 44.1% |
| 2026-09-26T19:03:07+00:00 | 60.2% | 84.1% | 13.2% | 78.7% | 44.1% |
| 2026-09-26T19:48:18+00:00 | 56.8% | 84.1% | 13.2% | 71.1% | 44.1% |
| 2026-09-26T20:33:26+00:00 | 56.8% | 84.1% | 13.2% | 71.1% | 44.1% |
| 2026-09-26T21:18:32+00:00 | 56.8% | 84.1% | 13.2% | 71.1% | 44.1% |
| 2026-09-26T22:03:38+00:00 | 56.8% | 84.1% | 13.2% | 71.1% | 44.1% |
| 2026-09-26T22:48:45+00:00 | 56.8% | 84.1% | 13.2% | 71.1% | 44.1% |
| 2026-09-26T23:33:55+00:00 | 56.8% | 84.1% | 5.8% | 71.1% | 44.1% |
| 2026-09-27T00:19:03+00:00 | 56.8% | 84.1% | 5.8% | 71.1% | 44.1% |
| 2026-09-27T01:04:12+00:00 | 56.8% | 84.1% | 5.8% | 71.1% | 44.1% |
| 2026-09-27T01:49:25+00:00 | 61.0% | 84.1% | 5.8% | 71.1% | 44.1% |
| 2026-09-27T02:34:31+00:00 | 61.0% | 84.1% | 5.8% | 71.1% | 44.1% |
| 2026-09-27T03:19:46+00:00 | 61.0% | 84.1% | 5.8% | 71.1% | 44.1% |
| 2026-09-27T04:05:13+00:00 | 61.0% | 84.1% | 5.8% | 71.1% | 44.1% |
| 2026-09-27T04:50:19+00:00 | 61.0% | 84.1% | 5.8% | 71.1% | 63.0% |
| 2026-09-27T05:35:28+00:00 | 61.0% | 84.1% | 16.1% | 71.1% | 63.0% |
| 2026-09-27T06:20:38+00:00 | 61.0% | 84.1% | 16.1% | 71.1% | 63.0% |
| 2026-09-27T07:05:44+00:00 | 61.0% | 84.1% | 16.1% | 71.1% | 63.0% |
| 2026-09-27T07:51:10+00:00 | 60.8% | 84.1% | 16.1% | 78.8% | 63.0% |
| 2026-09-27T08:36:52+00:00 | 60.8% | 84.1% | 16.1% | 78.8% | 63.0% |
| 2026-09-27T09:21:59+00:00 | 60.8% | 84.1% | 16.1% | 78.8% | 63.0% |
| 2026-09-27T10:07:04+00:00 | 60.8% | 84.1% | 16.1% | 78.8% | 63.0% |
| 2026-09-27T10:52:09+00:00 | 60.8% | 84.1% | 16.1% | 78.8% | 63.0% |
| 2026-09-27T11:37:17+00:00 | 60.8% | 93.8% | 11.7% | 78.8% | 63.0% |
| 2026-09-27T12:22:26+00:00 | 60.8% | 93.8% | 11.7% | 78.8% | 63.0% |
| 2026-09-27T13:07:33+00:00 | 60.8% | 93.8% | 11.7% | 78.8% | 63.0% |
| 2026-09-27T13:52:42+00:00 | 55.5% | 93.8% | 11.7% | 78.8% | 63.1% |
| 2026-09-27T14:40:05+00:00 | 55.5% | 93.8% | 11.7% | 78.8% | 63.1% |
| 2026-09-27T15:25:29+00:00 | 55.5% | 93.2% | 11.7% | 78.8% | 63.1% |
| 2026-09-27T16:10:34+00:00 | 55.5% | 93.2% | 11.7% | 78.8% | 63.1% |
| 2026-09-27T16:55:40+00:00 | 55.5% | 93.2% | 6.5% | 78.8% | 52.0% |
| 2026-09-27T17:40:47+00:00 | 55.5% | 93.2% | 6.5% | 78.8% | 52.0% |
| 2026-09-27T18:25:58+00:00 | 55.5% | 93.2% | 6.5% | 78.8% | 52.0% |
| 2026-09-27T19:11:08+00:00 | 55.5% | 93.2% | 6.5% | 78.8% | 52.0% |
| 2026-09-27T19:56:18+00:00 | 54.6% | 93.2% | 6.5% | 70.3% | 52.0% |
| 2026-09-27T20:41:27+00:00 | 54.6% | 93.2% | 6.5% | 70.3% | 52.0% |
| 2026-09-27T21:26:32+00:00 | 54.6% | 93.2% | 6.5% | 70.3% | 52.0% |
| 2026-09-27T22:11:36+00:00 | 54.6% | 93.2% | 6.5% | 70.3% | 52.0% |
| 2026-09-27T22:56:44+00:00 | 54.6% | 93.8% | 5.8% | 70.3% | 52.0% |
| 2026-09-27T23:41:50+00:00 | 54.6% | 93.8% | 5.8% | 70.3% | 52.0% |
| 2026-09-28T00:26:56+00:00 | 54.6% | 93.8% | 5.8% | 70.3% | 52.0% |
| 2026-09-28T01:12:04+00:00 | 54.6% | 93.8% | 5.8% | 70.3% | 52.0% |
| 2026-09-28T01:57:11+00:00 | 57.3% | 93.8% | 5.8% | 70.3% | 52.0% |
| 2026-09-28T02:42:17+00:00 | 57.3% | 93.8% | 5.8% | 70.3% | 52.0% |
| 2026-09-28T03:27:34+00:00 | 57.3% | 93.8% | 5.8% | 70.3% | 52.0% |
| 2026-09-28T04:13:29+00:00 | 57.3% | 93.8% | 5.8% | 70.3% | 52.0% |
| 2026-09-28T04:58:35+00:00 | 57.3% | 93.8% | 13.9% | 70.3% | 51.1% |
| 2026-09-28T05:43:44+00:00 | 57.3% | 93.8% | 13.9% | 70.3% | 51.1% |
| 2026-09-28T06:28:55+00:00 | 57.3% | 93.8% | 13.9% | 70.3% | 51.1% |
| 2026-09-28T07:14:00+00:00 | 57.3% | 93.8% | 13.9% | 70.3% | 51.1% |
| 2026-09-28T07:59:29+00:00 | 57.6% | 93.8% | 13.9% | 75.2% | 51.1% |
| 2026-09-28T08:45:28+00:00 | 57.6% | 93.8% | 13.9% | 75.2% | 51.1% |
| 2026-09-28T09:30:33+00:00 | 57.6% | 93.8% | 13.9% | 75.2% | 51.1% |
| 2026-09-28T10:15:39+00:00 | 57.6% | 93.8% | 13.9% | 75.2% | 51.1% |
| 2026-09-28T11:00:49+00:00 | 57.6% | 84.7% | 7.5% | 75.2% | 51.1% |
| 2026-09-28T11:46:05+00:00 | 57.6% | 84.7% | 7.5% | 75.2% | 51.1% |
| 2026-09-28T12:31:12+00:00 | 57.6% | 84.7% | 7.5% | 75.2% | 51.1% |
| 2026-09-28T13:16:21+00:00 | 57.6% | 84.7% | 7.5% | 75.2% | 51.1% |
| 2026-09-28T14:01:27+00:00 | 50.0% | 84.7% | 7.5% | 75.2% | 51.1% |
| 2026-09-28T14:48:35+00:00 | 50.0% | 84.7% | 7.5% | 75.2% | 51.1% |
| 2026-09-28T15:34:02+00:00 | 50.0% | 84.7% | 7.5% | 75.2% | 51.1% |
| 2026-09-28T16:19:08+00:00 | 50.0% | 84.7% | 7.5% | 75.2% | 51.1% |
| 2026-09-28T17:04:14+00:00 | 50.0% | 84.7% | 4.0% | 75.2% | 39.9% |
| 2026-09-28T17:49:22+00:00 | 50.0% | 84.7% | 4.0% | 75.2% | 39.9% |
| 2026-09-28T18:34:28+00:00 | 50.0% | 84.7% | 4.0% | 75.2% | 39.9% |
| 2026-09-28T19:19:34+00:00 | 50.0% | 84.7% | 4.0% | 75.2% | 39.9% |
| 2026-09-28T20:04:44+00:00 | 55.7% | 84.7% | 4.0% | 63.3% | 39.9% |
| 2026-09-28T20:49:50+00:00 | 55.7% | 84.7% | 4.0% | 63.3% | 39.9% |
| 2026-09-28T21:34:54+00:00 | 55.7% | 84.7% | 4.0% | 63.3% | 39.9% |
| 2026-09-28T22:19:58+00:00 | 55.7% | 84.7% | 4.0% | 63.3% | 39.9% |
| 2026-09-28T23:05:04+00:00 | 55.7% | 84.7% | 4.2% | 63.3% | 39.9% |
| 2026-09-28T23:50:11+00:00 | 55.7% | 84.7% | 4.2% | 63.3% | 39.9% |
| 2026-09-29T00:35:17+00:00 | 55.7% | 84.7% | 4.2% | 63.3% | 39.9% |
| 2026-09-29T01:20:27+00:00 | 55.7% | 84.7% | 4.2% | 63.3% | 39.9% |
| 2026-09-29T02:05:44+00:00 | 60.4% | 84.7% | 4.2% | 63.3% | 39.9% |
| 2026-09-29T02:51:01+00:00 | 60.4% | 84.7% | 4.2% | 63.3% | 39.9% |
| 2026-09-29T03:36:06+00:00 | 60.4% | 84.7% | 4.2% | 63.3% | 39.9% |
| 2026-09-29T04:21:23+00:00 | 60.4% | 84.7% | 4.2% | 63.3% | 39.9% |
| 2026-09-29T05:06:54+00:00 | 60.4% | 84.7% | 12.9% | 63.3% | 36.7% |
| 2026-09-29T05:52:03+00:00 | 60.4% | 84.7% | 12.9% | 63.3% | 36.7% |
| 2026-09-29T06:37:09+00:00 | 60.4% | 84.7% | 12.9% | 63.3% | 36.7% |
| 2026-09-29T07:22:29+00:00 | 63.5% | 84.7% | 12.9% | 76.5% | 36.7% |
| 2026-09-29T08:08:16+00:00 | 63.5% | 84.7% | 12.9% | 76.5% | 36.7% |
| 2026-09-29T08:53:32+00:00 | 63.5% | 84.7% | 12.9% | 76.5% | 36.7% |
| 2026-09-29T09:38:37+00:00 | 63.5% | 84.7% | 12.9% | 76.5% | 36.7% |
| 2026-09-29T10:23:42+00:00 | 63.5% | 84.7% | 12.9% | 76.5% | 36.7% |
| 2026-09-29T11:08:51+00:00 | 63.5% | 81.0% | 12.9% | 76.5% | 36.7% |
| 2026-09-29T11:54:06+00:00 | 63.5% | 81.0% | 12.9% | 76.5% | 36.7% |
| 2026-09-29T12:39:11+00:00 | 63.5% | 81.0% | 12.9% | 76.5% | 36.7% |
| 2026-09-29T13:24:16+00:00 | 53.9% | 81.0% | 12.9% | 76.5% | 36.7% |
| 2026-09-29T14:11:40+00:00 | 53.0% | 80.9% | 13.0% | 76.5% | 36.7% |
| 2026-09-29T14:56:55+00:00 | 53.0% | 80.9% | 13.0% | 76.5% | 36.7% |
| 2026-09-29T15:42:15+00:00 | 53.0% | 81.0% | 13.0% | 76.5% | 36.7% |
| 2026-09-29T16:27:41+00:00 | 53.0% | 81.0% | 13.0% | 76.5% | 30.5% |
| 2026-09-29T17:12:51+00:00 | 53.0% | 81.0% | 4.3% | 76.5% | 30.5% |
| 2026-09-29T17:57:58+00:00 | 53.0% | 81.0% | 4.3% | 76.5% | 30.5% |
| 2026-09-29T18:43:06+00:00 | 53.0% | 81.0% | 4.3% | 76.5% | 30.5% |
| 2026-09-29T19:28:13+00:00 | 57.8% | 81.0% | 4.3% | 67.5% | 30.5% |
| 2026-09-29T20:13:35+00:00 | 57.8% | 81.0% | 4.3% | 67.5% | 30.5% |
| 2026-09-29T20:58:47+00:00 | 57.8% | 81.0% | 4.3% | 67.5% | 30.5% |
| 2026-09-29T21:43:55+00:00 | 57.8% | 81.0% | 4.3% | 67.5% | 30.5% |
| 2026-09-29T22:29:02+00:00 | 57.8% | 81.0% | 4.3% | 67.5% | 30.5% |
| 2026-09-29T23:14:14+00:00 | 57.8% | 80.9% | 3.3% | 67.5% | 30.5% |
| 2026-09-29T23:59:27+00:00 | 57.8% | 80.9% | 3.3% | 67.5% | 30.5% |
| 2026-09-30T00:44:33+00:00 | 57.8% | 80.9% | 3.3% | 67.5% | 30.5% |
| 2026-09-30T01:29:51+00:00 | 63.6% | 80.9% | 3.3% | 67.5% | 30.5% |
| 2026-09-30T02:14:59+00:00 | 63.6% | 80.9% | 3.3% | 67.5% | 30.5% |
| 2026-09-30T03:00:08+00:00 | 63.6% | 80.9% | 3.3% | 67.5% | 30.5% |
| 2026-09-30T03:45:22+00:00 | 63.6% | 80.9% | 3.3% | 67.5% | 30.5% |
| 2026-09-30T04:30:38+00:00 | 63.6% | 80.9% | 3.3% | 67.5% | 33.0% |
| 2026-09-30T05:16:19+00:00 | 63.6% | 80.9% | 12.8% | 67.5% | 33.0% |
| 2026-09-30T06:01:28+00:00 | 63.6% | 80.9% | 12.8% | 67.5% | 33.0% |
| 2026-09-30T06:46:37+00:00 | 63.6% | 80.9% | 12.8% | 67.5% | 33.0% |
THE MODEL BOX SCORE
Forecasts & evidence
| MODEL | YES | MEAN | SPREAD σ | INITIALIZATION UTC | BRIER ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS forecast | 94% | 93.0°F | 2.2°F | 2026-09-30 04:00 | Pending |
| National Blend | 88% | 92.1°F | 2.2°F | 2026-09-30 00:00 | Pending |
| IFS Ensemble | 81% | 91.7°F | 2.5°F | 2026-09-29 00:00 | Pending |
| IFS HRES | 68% | 91.2°F | 3.7°F | 2026-09-29 12:00 | Pending |
| AIFS Single | 64% | 90.9°F | 4.0°F | 2026-09-29 18:00 | Pending |
| ICON | 33% | 88.0°F | 3.4°F | 2026-09-30 00:00 | Pending |
| WeatherNext 2 | 13% | 85.6°F | 3.4°F | 2026-09-29 18:00 | Pending |
Spread is the standard deviation used in the probability approximation. It is not a measured confidence rating. Brier here scores the latest recorded snapshot, not a league deadline.
High ≥ 90°F · KBNA
Daily temperature props settle on the ACIS official station record. Inclusive and strict thresholds retain their exact meanings. Provisional observations do not replace the settlement record.
WP-KBNA-20260930-TMAX-GE90
Opened Sep 23 · 08:05 UTC
Original listing: Nashville high ≥ 90°F · Wed Sep 30
Original prop, full history & receipt ↗