Nashville, TNHigh ≥ 90°F
Who takes which side?
Probabilities derived from each source’s mean and spread. Forecasts may have different initialization times.
Head-to-head preview
ILLUSTRATIVE · NOT EXECUTED100 contracts at the midpoint of these model probabilities. Each contract pays 1u to the winning side.
WN2 +34.65u · EPS −34.65u
These are current forecast comparisons, not locked entries. No credits have been committed. Read the proposed policy →
Probability history
Recorded source probabilities; timestamps mark snapshots. Repeated values may come from the same model run.
View the forecast data
| UTC | AIFS | EPS | WN2 | HRES | ICON |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08T07:38:32+00:00 | 56.4% | 5.0% | 10.4% | 43.8% | 4.2% |
| 2026-10-08T08:24:44+00:00 | 56.4% | 5.0% | 10.4% | 43.8% | 4.2% |
| 2026-10-08T09:09:50+00:00 | 56.4% | 5.0% | 10.4% | 43.8% | 4.2% |
| 2026-10-08T09:54:57+00:00 | 56.4% | 5.0% | 10.4% | 43.8% | 4.2% |
| 2026-10-08T10:40:04+00:00 | 56.4% | 5.0% | 10.4% | 43.8% | 4.2% |
| 2026-10-08T11:25:22+00:00 | 56.4% | 19.2% | 44.4% | 43.8% | 4.2% |
| 2026-10-08T12:10:43+00:00 | 56.4% | 19.2% | 44.4% | 43.8% | 4.2% |
| 2026-10-08T12:55:50+00:00 | 56.4% | 19.2% | 44.4% | 43.8% | 4.2% |
| 2026-10-08T13:41:04+00:00 | 56.4% | 19.2% | 44.4% | 43.8% | 4.2% |
| 2026-10-08T14:30:26+00:00 | 68.6% | 19.2% | 44.3% | 43.7% | 4.4% |
| 2026-10-08T15:15:58+00:00 | 68.6% | 19.7% | 44.3% | 43.7% | 4.4% |
| 2026-10-08T16:01:33+00:00 | 68.6% | 19.7% | 44.3% | 43.7% | 4.4% |
| 2026-10-08T16:46:39+00:00 | 68.6% | 19.7% | 44.3% | 43.7% | 4.4% |
| 2026-10-08T17:31:45+00:00 | 68.6% | 19.7% | 44.3% | 43.7% | 4.4% |
| 2026-10-08T18:16:51+00:00 | 68.6% | 19.7% | 44.3% | 43.7% | 4.4% |
| 2026-10-08T19:01:55+00:00 | 68.6% | 19.7% | 44.3% | 43.7% | 4.4% |
| 2026-10-08T19:47:02+00:00 | 60.6% | 19.7% | 44.3% | 51.3% | 28.4% |
| 2026-10-08T20:32:13+00:00 | 60.6% | 19.7% | 44.3% | 51.3% | 28.4% |
| 2026-10-08T21:17:25+00:00 | 60.6% | 19.7% | 44.3% | 51.3% | 28.4% |
| 2026-10-08T22:02:31+00:00 | 60.6% | 19.7% | 44.3% | 51.3% | 28.4% |
| 2026-10-08T22:47:37+00:00 | 60.6% | 19.7% | 44.3% | 51.3% | 28.4% |
| 2026-10-08T23:32:49+00:00 | 60.6% | 20.6% | 41.9% | 51.3% | 28.4% |
| 2026-10-09T00:17:56+00:00 | 60.6% | 20.6% | 41.9% | 51.3% | 28.4% |
| 2026-10-09T01:03:08+00:00 | 60.6% | 20.6% | 41.9% | 51.3% | 28.4% |
| 2026-10-09T01:48:18+00:00 | 2.1% | 20.6% | 41.9% | 51.3% | 28.4% |
| 2026-10-09T02:33:34+00:00 | 2.1% | 20.6% | 41.9% | 51.3% | 28.4% |
| 2026-10-09T03:19:04+00:00 | 2.1% | 20.6% | 41.9% | 51.3% | 28.4% |
| 2026-10-09T04:05:07+00:00 | 2.1% | 20.6% | 41.9% | 51.3% | 28.4% |
| 2026-10-09T04:50:13+00:00 | 2.1% | 20.6% | 41.9% | 51.3% | 28.4% |
| 2026-10-09T05:35:20+00:00 | 2.1% | 20.6% | 25.1% | 51.3% | 28.4% |
| 2026-10-09T06:20:27+00:00 | 2.1% | 20.6% | 25.1% | 51.3% | 28.4% |
| 2026-10-09T07:05:33+00:00 | 2.1% | 20.6% | 25.1% | 51.3% | 28.4% |
| 2026-10-09T07:51:08+00:00 | 47.0% | 20.6% | 25.1% | 50.0% | 67.3% |
| 2026-10-09T08:37:13+00:00 | 47.0% | 20.6% | 25.1% | 50.0% | 67.3% |
| 2026-10-09T09:22:18+00:00 | 47.0% | 20.6% | 25.1% | 50.0% | 67.3% |
| 2026-10-09T10:07:25+00:00 | 47.0% | 20.6% | 25.1% | 50.0% | 67.3% |
| 2026-10-09T10:52:31+00:00 | 47.0% | 20.6% | 25.1% | 50.0% | 67.3% |
| 2026-10-09T11:37:40+00:00 | 47.0% | 20.6% | 25.1% | 50.0% | 67.3% |
| 2026-10-09T12:23:18+00:00 | 47.0% | 24.2% | 25.1% | 50.0% | 67.3% |
| 2026-10-09T13:08:26+00:00 | 47.0% | 24.2% | 25.1% | 50.0% | 67.3% |
| 2026-10-09T13:53:32+00:00 | 50.8% | 24.3% | 25.1% | 50.0% | 67.8% |
| 2026-10-09T14:42:08+00:00 | 50.8% | 24.3% | 25.1% | 50.0% | 67.8% |
| 2026-10-09T15:27:28+00:00 | 50.8% | 24.6% | 25.1% | 50.0% | 67.8% |
| 2026-10-09T16:13:15+00:00 | 50.8% | 24.6% | 25.1% | 50.0% | 67.8% |
| 2026-10-09T16:58:26+00:00 | 50.8% | 24.6% | 47.4% | 50.0% | 67.8% |
| 2026-10-09T17:43:33+00:00 | 50.8% | 24.6% | 47.4% | 50.0% | 67.8% |
| 2026-10-09T18:28:39+00:00 | 50.8% | 24.6% | 47.4% | 50.0% | 67.8% |
| 2026-10-09T19:13:44+00:00 | 50.8% | 24.6% | 47.4% | 50.0% | 67.8% |
| 2026-10-09T19:58:51+00:00 | 47.0% | 24.6% | 47.4% | 21.5% | 70.9% |
| 2026-10-09T20:44:02+00:00 | 47.0% | 24.6% | 47.4% | 21.5% | 70.9% |
| 2026-10-09T21:29:15+00:00 | 47.0% | 24.6% | 47.4% | 21.5% | 70.9% |
| 2026-10-09T22:14:37+00:00 | 47.0% | 24.6% | 47.4% | 21.5% | 70.9% |
| 2026-10-09T22:59:43+00:00 | 47.0% | 24.7% | 47.4% | 21.5% | 70.9% |
| 2026-10-09T23:44:49+00:00 | 47.0% | 24.7% | 47.4% | 21.5% | 70.9% |
| 2026-10-10T00:30:02+00:00 | 47.0% | 24.7% | 47.4% | 21.5% | 70.9% |
| 2026-10-10T01:15:15+00:00 | 47.0% | 24.7% | 47.4% | 21.5% | 70.9% |
| 2026-10-10T02:00:44+00:00 | 11.6% | 24.7% | 47.4% | 21.5% | 70.9% |
| 2026-10-10T02:46:09+00:00 | 11.6% | 24.7% | 47.4% | 21.5% | 70.9% |
| 2026-10-10T03:31:22+00:00 | 11.6% | 24.7% | 47.4% | 21.5% | 70.9% |
| 2026-10-10T04:17:05+00:00 | 11.6% | 24.7% | 47.4% | 21.5% | 70.9% |
| 2026-10-10T05:03:05+00:00 | 11.6% | 24.7% | 19.4% | 21.5% | 70.9% |
| 2026-10-10T05:48:14+00:00 | 11.6% | 24.7% | 19.4% | 21.5% | 70.9% |
| 2026-10-10T06:33:21+00:00 | 11.6% | 24.7% | 19.4% | 21.5% | 70.9% |
| 2026-10-10T07:18:26+00:00 | 11.6% | 24.7% | 19.4% | 21.5% | 70.9% |
| 2026-10-10T08:03:33+00:00 | 56.5% | 24.7% | 19.4% | 21.5% | 39.8% |
| 2026-10-10T08:48:40+00:00 | 56.5% | 24.7% | 19.4% | 21.5% | 39.8% |
| 2026-10-10T09:33:45+00:00 | 56.5% | 24.7% | 19.4% | 21.5% | 39.8% |
| 2026-10-10T10:18:58+00:00 | 56.5% | 24.7% | 19.4% | 21.5% | 39.8% |
| 2026-10-10T11:04:05+00:00 | 56.5% | 29.0% | 19.4% | 21.5% | 39.8% |
| 2026-10-10T11:49:14+00:00 | 56.5% | 29.0% | 19.4% | 21.5% | 39.8% |
| 2026-10-10T12:34:20+00:00 | 56.5% | 29.0% | 19.4% | 21.5% | 39.8% |
| 2026-10-10T13:19:26+00:00 | 56.5% | 29.0% | 19.4% | 21.5% | 39.8% |
| 2026-10-10T14:04:56+00:00 | 48.4% | 29.2% | 19.5% | 21.4% | 40.6% |
| 2026-10-10T14:53:51+00:00 | 48.4% | 29.2% | 19.5% | 21.4% | 40.6% |
| 2026-10-10T15:39:27+00:00 | 48.4% | 29.2% | 19.5% | 21.4% | 40.6% |
| 2026-10-10T16:24:38+00:00 | 48.4% | 29.2% | 19.5% | 21.4% | 40.6% |
| 2026-10-10T17:09:45+00:00 | 48.4% | 29.2% | 51.0% | 21.4% | 40.6% |
| 2026-10-10T17:54:57+00:00 | 48.4% | 29.2% | 51.0% | 21.4% | 40.6% |
| 2026-10-10T18:40:21+00:00 | 48.4% | 29.2% | 51.0% | 21.4% | 40.6% |
| 2026-10-10T19:25:33+00:00 | 56.5% | 29.2% | 51.0% | 21.4% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-10T20:10:42+00:00 | 56.5% | 29.2% | 51.0% | 21.4% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-10T20:56:00+00:00 | 56.5% | 29.2% | 51.0% | 21.4% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-10T21:41:28+00:00 | 56.5% | 29.2% | 51.0% | 21.4% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-10T22:27:13+00:00 | 56.5% | 29.2% | 51.0% | 50.7% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-10T23:13:31+00:00 | 56.5% | 29.2% | 59.8% | 50.7% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-10T23:58:38+00:00 | 56.5% | 29.2% | 59.8% | 50.7% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-11T00:43:45+00:00 | 56.5% | 29.2% | 59.8% | 50.7% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-11T01:29:00+00:00 | 44.3% | 29.2% | 59.8% | 50.7% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-11T02:14:12+00:00 | 44.3% | 29.2% | 59.8% | 50.7% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-11T02:59:19+00:00 | 44.3% | 29.2% | 59.8% | 50.7% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-11T03:44:49+00:00 | 44.3% | 29.2% | 59.8% | 50.7% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-11T04:30:44+00:00 | 44.3% | 29.2% | 59.8% | 50.7% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-11T05:16:02+00:00 | 44.3% | 29.2% | 51.0% | 50.7% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-11T06:01:15+00:00 | 44.3% | 29.2% | 51.0% | 50.7% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-11T06:46:26+00:00 | 44.3% | 29.2% | 51.0% | 50.7% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-11T07:31:55+00:00 | 54.3% | 29.2% | 51.0% | 42.9% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-11T08:18:01+00:00 | 54.3% | 29.2% | 51.0% | 42.9% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-11T09:03:08+00:00 | 54.3% | 29.2% | 51.0% | 42.9% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-11T09:48:15+00:00 | 54.3% | 29.2% | 51.0% | 42.9% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-11T10:33:45+00:00 | 54.3% | 29.2% | 51.0% | 42.9% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-11T11:19:48+00:00 | 54.3% | 35.6% | 65.7% | 42.9% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-11T12:05:21+00:00 | 54.3% | 35.6% | 65.7% | 42.9% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-11T12:50:27+00:00 | 54.3% | 35.6% | 65.7% | 42.9% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-11T13:35:44+00:00 | 38.0% | 35.6% | 65.7% | 42.9% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-11T14:26:12+00:00 | 38.0% | 35.6% | 65.7% | 42.9% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-11T15:11:31+00:00 | 38.0% | 35.6% | 65.7% | 42.9% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-11T15:57:18+00:00 | 38.0% | 35.6% | 65.7% | 42.9% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-11T16:42:25+00:00 | 38.0% | 35.6% | 65.7% | 42.9% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-11T17:28:00+00:00 | 38.0% | 35.6% | 57.5% | 42.9% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-11T18:13:09+00:00 | 38.0% | 35.6% | 57.5% | 42.9% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-11T18:58:19+00:00 | 38.0% | 35.6% | 57.5% | 42.9% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-11T19:43:30+00:00 | 43.1% | 35.6% | 57.5% | 46.0% | 42.5% |
| 2026-10-11T20:28:39+00:00 | 43.1% | 35.6% | 57.5% | 46.0% | 42.5% |
| 2026-10-11T21:13:52+00:00 | 43.1% | 35.6% | 57.5% | 46.0% | 42.5% |
| 2026-10-11T21:58:59+00:00 | 43.1% | 35.6% | 57.5% | 46.0% | 42.5% |
| 2026-10-11T22:44:12+00:00 | 43.1% | 35.6% | 57.5% | 46.0% | 42.5% |
| 2026-10-11T23:29:31+00:00 | 43.1% | 30.9% | 65.7% | 46.0% | 42.6% |
| 2026-10-12T00:14:43+00:00 | 43.1% | 30.9% | 65.7% | 46.0% | 42.6% |
| 2026-10-12T01:00:12+00:00 | 43.1% | 30.9% | 65.7% | 46.0% | 42.6% |
| 2026-10-12T01:45:20+00:00 | 58.6% | 30.9% | 65.7% | 46.0% | 42.6% |
| 2026-10-12T02:30:28+00:00 | 58.6% | 30.9% | 65.7% | 46.0% | 42.6% |
| 2026-10-12T03:15:37+00:00 | 58.6% | 30.9% | 65.7% | 46.0% | 42.6% |
| 2026-10-12T04:01:18+00:00 | 58.6% | 30.9% | 65.7% | 46.0% | 42.6% |
| 2026-10-12T04:47:14+00:00 | 58.6% | 30.9% | 65.7% | 46.0% | 42.6% |
| 2026-10-12T05:32:20+00:00 | 58.6% | 30.9% | 72.3% | 46.0% | 42.6% |
| 2026-10-12T06:17:28+00:00 | 58.6% | 30.9% | 72.3% | 46.0% | 42.6% |
| 2026-10-12T07:02:34+00:00 | 58.6% | 30.9% | 72.3% | 46.0% | 42.6% |
| 2026-10-12T07:48:09+00:00 | 58.3% | 30.9% | 72.3% | 57.1% | 44.0% |
| 2026-10-12T08:34:24+00:00 | 58.3% | 30.9% | 72.3% | 57.1% | 44.0% |
| 2026-10-12T09:19:37+00:00 | 58.3% | 30.9% | 72.3% | 57.1% | 44.0% |
| 2026-10-12T10:04:58+00:00 | 58.3% | 30.9% | 72.3% | 57.1% | 44.0% |
| 2026-10-12T10:50:08+00:00 | 58.3% | 30.9% | 72.3% | 57.1% | 44.0% |
| 2026-10-12T11:35:28+00:00 | 58.3% | 30.9% | 63.9% | 57.1% | 44.0% |
| 2026-10-12T12:20:48+00:00 | 58.3% | 35.8% | 63.9% | 57.1% | 44.0% |
| 2026-10-12T13:05:55+00:00 | 58.3% | 35.8% | 63.9% | 57.1% | 44.0% |
| 2026-10-12T13:51:05+00:00 | 62.7% | 35.8% | 63.9% | 57.1% | 44.0% |
| 2026-10-12T14:41:16+00:00 | 62.7% | 35.8% | 63.9% | 57.1% | 44.0% |
| 2026-10-12T15:26:52+00:00 | 62.7% | 35.8% | 63.9% | 57.1% | 44.0% |
| 2026-10-12T16:12:56+00:00 | 62.7% | 33.7% | 63.9% | 57.1% | 44.0% |
| 2026-10-12T16:58:03+00:00 | 62.7% | 33.7% | 66.1% | 57.1% | 44.0% |
| 2026-10-12T17:43:13+00:00 | 62.7% | 33.7% | 66.1% | 57.1% | 44.0% |
| 2026-10-12T18:28:19+00:00 | 62.7% | 33.7% | 66.1% | 57.1% | 44.0% |
| 2026-10-12T19:13:26+00:00 | 62.7% | 33.7% | 66.1% | 57.1% | 44.0% |
| 2026-10-12T19:58:32+00:00 | 64.5% | 33.7% | 66.1% | 48.2% | 46.0% |
| 2026-10-12T20:43:42+00:00 | 64.5% | 33.7% | 66.1% | 48.2% | 46.0% |
| 2026-10-12T21:28:49+00:00 | 64.5% | 33.7% | 66.1% | 48.2% | 46.0% |
| 2026-10-12T22:13:56+00:00 | 64.5% | 33.7% | 66.1% | 48.2% | 46.0% |
| 2026-10-12T22:59:09+00:00 | 64.5% | 33.7% | 57.1% | 48.2% | 46.0% |
| 2026-10-12T23:44:17+00:00 | 64.5% | 33.7% | 57.1% | 48.2% | 46.0% |
| 2026-10-13T00:29:24+00:00 | 64.5% | 33.7% | 57.1% | 48.2% | 46.0% |
| 2026-10-13T01:14:39+00:00 | 64.5% | 33.1% | 57.1% | 48.2% | 46.0% |
| 2026-10-13T01:59:47+00:00 | 60.1% | 33.1% | 57.1% | 48.2% | 46.0% |
| 2026-10-13T02:44:55+00:00 | 60.1% | 33.1% | 57.1% | 48.2% | 46.0% |
| 2026-10-13T03:30:01+00:00 | 60.1% | 33.1% | 57.1% | 48.2% | 46.0% |
| 2026-10-13T04:15:44+00:00 | 60.1% | 33.1% | 57.1% | 48.2% | 46.0% |
| 2026-10-13T05:01:44+00:00 | 60.1% | 33.1% | 59.4% | 48.2% | 46.0% |
| 2026-10-13T05:46:51+00:00 | 60.1% | 33.1% | 59.4% | 48.2% | 46.0% |
| 2026-10-13T06:32:10+00:00 | 60.1% | 33.1% | 59.4% | 48.2% | 46.0% |
| 2026-10-13T07:17:17+00:00 | 60.1% | 33.1% | 59.4% | 48.2% | 46.0% |
| 2026-10-13T08:03:14+00:00 | 52.9% | 33.1% | 59.4% | 60.6% | 51.1% |
| 2026-10-13T08:49:39+00:00 | 52.9% | 33.1% | 59.4% | 60.6% | 51.1% |
| 2026-10-13T09:34:45+00:00 | 52.9% | 33.1% | 59.4% | 60.6% | 51.1% |
| 2026-10-13T10:19:55+00:00 | 52.9% | 33.1% | 59.4% | 60.6% | 51.1% |
| 2026-10-13T11:05:17+00:00 | 52.9% | 35.9% | 52.6% | 60.6% | 51.1% |
| 2026-10-13T11:50:36+00:00 | 52.9% | 35.9% | 52.6% | 60.6% | 51.1% |
| 2026-10-13T12:35:48+00:00 | 52.9% | 35.9% | 52.6% | 60.6% | 51.1% |
| 2026-10-13T13:20:54+00:00 | 52.9% | 35.9% | 52.6% | 60.6% | 51.1% |
| 2026-10-13T14:06:02+00:00 | 59.7% | 35.9% | 52.6% | 60.6% | 51.1% |
| 2026-10-13T14:56:03+00:00 | 59.7% | 35.9% | 52.6% | 60.6% | 51.1% |
| 2026-10-13T15:41:25+00:00 | 59.7% | 35.9% | 52.6% | 60.6% | 51.1% |
| 2026-10-13T16:27:02+00:00 | 59.7% | 35.9% | 52.6% | 60.6% | 51.1% |
| 2026-10-13T17:12:09+00:00 | 59.7% | 35.9% | 39.8% | 60.6% | 51.1% |
| 2026-10-13T17:57:17+00:00 | 59.7% | 35.9% | 39.8% | 60.6% | 51.1% |
| 2026-10-13T18:42:22+00:00 | 59.7% | 35.9% | 39.8% | 60.6% | 51.1% |
| 2026-10-13T19:27:27+00:00 | 62.5% | 35.9% | 39.8% | 60.6% | 47.7% |
| 2026-10-13T20:12:34+00:00 | 62.5% | 35.9% | 39.8% | 60.6% | 47.7% |
| 2026-10-13T20:57:43+00:00 | 62.5% | 35.9% | 39.8% | 60.6% | 47.7% |
| 2026-10-13T21:43:14+00:00 | 62.5% | 35.9% | 39.8% | 60.6% | 47.7% |
| 2026-10-13T22:28:23+00:00 | 62.5% | 35.9% | 39.8% | 51.9% | 47.7% |
| 2026-10-13T23:13:34+00:00 | 62.5% | 38.2% | 50.0% | 51.9% | 47.7% |
| 2026-10-13T23:58:44+00:00 | 62.5% | 38.2% | 50.0% | 51.9% | 47.7% |
| 2026-10-14T00:43:52+00:00 | 62.5% | 38.2% | 50.0% | 51.9% | 47.7% |
| 2026-10-14T01:29:09+00:00 | 69.6% | 38.2% | 50.0% | 51.9% | 47.7% |
| 2026-10-14T02:14:18+00:00 | 69.6% | 38.2% | 50.0% | 51.9% | 47.7% |
| 2026-10-14T02:59:40+00:00 | 69.6% | 38.2% | 50.0% | 51.9% | 47.7% |
| 2026-10-14T03:45:28+00:00 | 69.6% | 38.2% | 50.0% | 51.9% | 47.7% |
| 2026-10-14T04:30:45+00:00 | 69.6% | 38.2% | 50.0% | 51.9% | 47.7% |
| 2026-10-14T05:15:52+00:00 | 69.6% | 38.2% | 50.0% | 51.9% | 47.7% |
| 2026-10-14T06:00:59+00:00 | 69.6% | 38.2% | 50.0% | 51.9% | 47.7% |
| 2026-10-14T06:46:14+00:00 | 69.6% | 38.2% | 50.0% | 51.9% | 47.7% |
| 2026-10-14T07:31:27+00:00 | 73.6% | 38.2% | 50.0% | 51.9% | 51.1% |
| 2026-10-14T08:16:35+00:00 | 73.6% | 38.2% | 50.0% | 51.9% | 51.1% |
| 2026-10-14T09:01:46+00:00 | 73.6% | 38.2% | 50.0% | 51.9% | 51.1% |
| 2026-10-14T09:46:52+00:00 | 73.6% | 38.2% | 50.0% | 51.9% | 51.1% |
| 2026-10-14T10:32:42+00:00 | 73.6% | 38.2% | 50.0% | 54.3% | 51.1% |
| 2026-10-14T11:20:48+00:00 | 73.6% | 42.6% | 68.4% | 54.3% | 51.1% |
| 2026-10-14T12:06:13+00:00 | 73.6% | 42.6% | 68.4% | 54.3% | 51.1% |
| 2026-10-14T12:51:19+00:00 | 73.6% | 42.6% | 68.4% | 54.3% | 51.1% |
| 2026-10-14T13:36:27+00:00 | 72.7% | 42.6% | 68.4% | 54.3% | 51.1% |
| 2026-10-14T14:26:50+00:00 | 72.8% | 42.6% | 68.4% | 54.3% | 51.1% |
| 2026-10-14T15:12:10+00:00 | 72.8% | 43.8% | 68.4% | 54.3% | 51.1% |
| 2026-10-14T15:57:55+00:00 | 72.8% | 43.8% | 68.4% | 54.3% | 51.1% |
| 2026-10-14T16:43:03+00:00 | 72.8% | 43.8% | 68.4% | 54.4% | 51.1% |
| 2026-10-14T17:28:11+00:00 | 72.8% | 43.8% | 62.1% | 54.4% | 51.1% |
| 2026-10-14T18:13:19+00:00 | 72.8% | 43.8% | 62.1% | 54.4% | 51.1% |
| 2026-10-14T18:58:26+00:00 | 72.8% | 43.8% | 62.1% | 54.4% | 51.1% |
| 2026-10-14T19:43:33+00:00 | 72.8% | 43.8% | 62.1% | 56.6% | 53.4% |
| 2026-10-14T20:28:48+00:00 | 72.8% | 43.8% | 62.1% | 56.6% | 53.4% |
| 2026-10-14T21:13:55+00:00 | 72.8% | 43.8% | 62.1% | 56.6% | 53.4% |
| 2026-10-14T21:59:02+00:00 | 72.8% | 43.8% | 62.1% | 56.6% | 53.4% |
| 2026-10-14T22:44:08+00:00 | 72.8% | 43.8% | 62.1% | 56.6% | 53.4% |
| 2026-10-14T23:29:32+00:00 | 72.8% | 45.1% | 69.6% | 56.4% | 53.4% |
| 2026-10-15T00:14:41+00:00 | 72.8% | 45.1% | 69.6% | 56.4% | 53.4% |
| 2026-10-15T01:01:10+00:00 | 72.8% | 45.1% | 69.6% | 56.4% | 53.4% |
| 2026-10-15T01:46:17+00:00 | 74.4% | 45.1% | 69.6% | 56.4% | 53.4% |
| 2026-10-15T02:31:29+00:00 | 74.4% | 45.1% | 69.6% | 56.4% | 53.4% |
| 2026-10-15T03:16:37+00:00 | 74.4% | 45.1% | 69.6% | 56.4% | 53.4% |
| 2026-10-15T04:02:04+00:00 | 74.4% | 45.1% | 69.6% | 56.4% | 53.4% |
| 2026-10-15T04:47:53+00:00 | 74.4% | 45.1% | 69.6% | 56.4% | 53.4% |
| 2026-10-15T05:33:16+00:00 | 74.4% | 45.1% | 85.6% | 56.4% | 53.4% |
| 2026-10-15T06:18:26+00:00 | 74.4% | 45.1% | 85.6% | 56.4% | 53.4% |
| 2026-10-15T07:03:35+00:00 | 74.4% | 45.1% | 85.6% | 56.4% | 53.4% |
Forecasts & evidence
| MODEL | YES | MEAN | SPREAD σ | INITIALIZATION UTC | BRIER ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WeatherNext 2 | 86% | 92.6°F | 2.9°F | 2026-10-14 18:00 | Pending |
| NWS forecast | 75% | 91.0°F | 2.2°F | 2026-10-15 03:00 | Pending |
| National Blend | 75% | 91.0°F | 2.2°F | 2026-10-15 00:00 | Pending |
| AIFS Single | 74% | 92.1°F | 4.0°F | 2026-10-14 18:00 | Pending |
| IFS HRES | 56% | 90.1°F | 3.7°F | 2026-10-14 12:00 | Pending |
| ICON | 53% | 89.8°F | 3.5°F | 2026-10-14 12:00 | Pending |
| IFS Ensemble | 45% | 89.1°F | 3.2°F | 2026-10-14 00:00 | Pending |
Spread is the standard deviation used in the probability approximation. It is not a measured confidence rating. Brier here scores the latest recorded snapshot, not a league deadline.
High ≥ 90°F · KBNA
Daily temperature props settle on the ACIS official station record. Inclusive and strict thresholds retain their exact meanings. Provisional observations do not replace the settlement record.
WP-KBNA-20261015-TMAX-GE90
Opened Oct 08 · 07:38 UTC
Original listing: A 90° day in Nashville · Thu Oct 15
Original prop, full history & receipt ↗