KBOI / Fri Oct 16 / OFFICIAL STATION RECORD
Boise, IDHigh ≥ 77°F
CONSENSUS FORECAST24%Oct 16 · 12:42 UTC
THE FORECAST FIELD
Who takes which side?
Probabilities derived from each source’s mean and spread. Forecasts may have different initialization times.
Head-to-head preview
ILLUSTRATIVE · NOT EXECUTED100 contracts at the midpoint of these model probabilities. Each contract pays 1u to the winning side.
AIFS +64.30u · ICON −64.30u
These are current forecast comparisons, not locked entries. No credits have been committed. Read the proposed policy →
FOLLOW THE RUNS
Probability history
Recorded source probabilities; timestamps mark snapshots. Repeated values may come from the same model run.
AIFS SingleIFS EnsembleWeatherNext 2IFS HRESICON
View the forecast data
| UTC | AIFS | EPS | WN2 | HRES | ICON |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09T11:37:55+00:00 | 2.9% | 12.3% | 0.3% | 16.1% | 0.4% |
| 2026-10-09T12:23:22+00:00 | 2.9% | 14.1% | 0.3% | 16.1% | 0.4% |
| 2026-10-09T13:08:28+00:00 | 2.9% | 14.1% | 0.3% | 16.1% | 0.4% |
| 2026-10-09T13:53:35+00:00 | 7.8% | 14.1% | 0.3% | 16.1% | 0.5% |
| 2026-10-09T14:42:11+00:00 | 7.8% | 14.1% | 0.3% | 16.1% | 0.5% |
| 2026-10-09T15:28:00+00:00 | 7.8% | 14.1% | 0.3% | 16.1% | 0.5% |
| 2026-10-09T16:13:23+00:00 | 7.8% | 14.1% | 0.3% | 16.1% | 0.5% |
| 2026-10-09T16:58:30+00:00 | 7.8% | 14.1% | 0.4% | 16.1% | 0.5% |
| 2026-10-09T17:43:36+00:00 | 7.8% | 14.1% | 0.4% | 16.1% | 0.5% |
| 2026-10-09T18:28:42+00:00 | 7.8% | 14.1% | 0.4% | 16.1% | 0.5% |
| 2026-10-09T19:13:47+00:00 | 7.8% | 14.1% | 0.4% | 16.1% | 0.5% |
| 2026-10-09T19:58:59+00:00 | 57.8% | 14.1% | 0.4% | 36.4% | 39.6% |
| 2026-10-09T20:44:05+00:00 | 57.8% | 14.1% | 0.4% | 36.4% | 39.6% |
| 2026-10-09T21:29:31+00:00 | 57.8% | 14.1% | 0.4% | 36.4% | 39.6% |
| 2026-10-09T22:14:39+00:00 | 57.8% | 14.1% | 0.4% | 36.4% | 39.6% |
| 2026-10-09T22:59:45+00:00 | 57.8% | 14.1% | 0.4% | 36.4% | 39.6% |
| 2026-10-09T23:44:51+00:00 | 57.8% | 14.1% | 0.4% | 36.4% | 39.6% |
| 2026-10-10T00:30:05+00:00 | 57.8% | 14.1% | 0.4% | 36.4% | 39.6% |
| 2026-10-10T01:15:25+00:00 | 57.8% | 14.1% | 0.4% | 36.4% | 39.6% |
| 2026-10-10T02:00:51+00:00 | 79.0% | 14.1% | 0.4% | 36.4% | 39.6% |
| 2026-10-10T02:46:17+00:00 | 79.0% | 14.1% | 0.4% | 36.4% | 39.6% |
| 2026-10-10T03:31:25+00:00 | 79.0% | 14.1% | 0.4% | 36.4% | 39.6% |
| 2026-10-10T04:17:50+00:00 | 79.0% | 14.1% | 0.4% | 36.4% | 39.6% |
| 2026-10-10T05:03:10+00:00 | 79.0% | 14.1% | 22.6% | 36.4% | 39.6% |
| 2026-10-10T05:48:18+00:00 | 79.0% | 14.1% | 22.6% | 36.4% | 39.6% |
| 2026-10-10T06:33:23+00:00 | 79.0% | 14.1% | 22.6% | 36.4% | 39.6% |
| 2026-10-10T07:18:28+00:00 | 79.0% | 14.1% | 22.6% | 36.4% | 39.6% |
| 2026-10-10T08:03:37+00:00 | 79.3% | 14.1% | 22.6% | 36.4% | 1.7% |
| 2026-10-10T08:48:42+00:00 | 79.3% | 14.1% | 22.6% | 36.4% | 1.7% |
| 2026-10-10T09:33:47+00:00 | 79.3% | 14.1% | 22.6% | 36.4% | 1.7% |
| 2026-10-10T10:19:01+00:00 | 79.3% | 14.1% | 22.6% | 36.4% | 1.7% |
| 2026-10-10T11:04:11+00:00 | 79.3% | 10.9% | 22.6% | 36.4% | 1.7% |
| 2026-10-10T11:49:17+00:00 | 79.3% | 10.9% | 22.6% | 36.4% | 1.7% |
| 2026-10-10T12:34:22+00:00 | 79.3% | 10.9% | 22.6% | 36.4% | 1.7% |
| 2026-10-10T13:19:28+00:00 | 79.3% | 10.9% | 22.6% | 36.4% | 1.7% |
| 2026-10-10T14:05:00+00:00 | 73.4% | 11.1% | 22.6% | 36.4% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-10T14:54:11+00:00 | 73.4% | 11.4% | 22.6% | 36.4% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-10T15:39:33+00:00 | 73.4% | 11.3% | 22.6% | 36.4% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-10T16:24:40+00:00 | 73.4% | 11.3% | 22.6% | 36.4% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-10T17:09:48+00:00 | 73.4% | 11.3% | 24.7% | 36.4% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-10T17:55:11+00:00 | 73.4% | 11.3% | 24.7% | 36.4% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-10T18:40:23+00:00 | 73.4% | 11.3% | 24.7% | 36.4% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-10T19:25:37+00:00 | 75.2% | 11.3% | 24.7% | 36.4% | 38.6% |
| 2026-10-10T20:10:47+00:00 | 75.2% | 11.3% | 24.7% | 36.4% | 38.6% |
| 2026-10-10T20:56:24+00:00 | 75.2% | 11.3% | 24.7% | 36.4% | 38.6% |
| 2026-10-10T21:41:31+00:00 | 75.2% | 11.3% | 24.7% | 36.4% | 38.6% |
| 2026-10-10T22:27:58+00:00 | 75.2% | 11.3% | 24.7% | 41.0% | 38.6% |
| 2026-10-10T23:13:34+00:00 | 75.2% | 11.3% | 24.7% | 41.0% | 38.6% |
| 2026-10-10T23:58:41+00:00 | 75.2% | 11.3% | 24.7% | 41.0% | 38.6% |
| 2026-10-11T00:43:47+00:00 | 75.2% | 11.3% | 24.7% | 41.0% | 38.6% |
| 2026-10-11T01:29:03+00:00 | 78.1% | 11.3% | 24.7% | 41.0% | 38.6% |
| 2026-10-11T02:14:14+00:00 | 78.1% | 11.3% | 24.7% | 41.0% | 38.6% |
| 2026-10-11T02:59:22+00:00 | 78.1% | 11.3% | 24.7% | 41.0% | 38.6% |
| 2026-10-11T03:45:21+00:00 | 78.1% | 11.3% | 24.7% | 41.0% | 38.6% |
| 2026-10-11T04:30:54+00:00 | 78.1% | 11.3% | 24.7% | 41.0% | 38.6% |
| 2026-10-11T05:16:08+00:00 | 78.1% | 11.3% | 33.7% | 41.0% | 38.6% |
| 2026-10-11T06:01:17+00:00 | 78.1% | 11.3% | 33.7% | 41.0% | 38.6% |
| 2026-10-11T06:46:28+00:00 | 78.1% | 11.3% | 33.7% | 41.0% | 38.6% |
| 2026-10-11T07:32:35+00:00 | 75.0% | 11.3% | 33.7% | 37.1% | 38.6% |
| 2026-10-11T08:18:04+00:00 | 75.0% | 11.3% | 33.7% | 37.1% | 38.6% |
| 2026-10-11T09:03:12+00:00 | 75.0% | 11.3% | 33.7% | 37.1% | 38.6% |
| 2026-10-11T09:48:17+00:00 | 75.0% | 11.3% | 33.7% | 37.1% | 38.6% |
| 2026-10-11T10:34:16+00:00 | 75.0% | 11.3% | 33.7% | 37.1% | 38.6% |
| 2026-10-11T11:20:12+00:00 | 75.0% | 25.5% | 29.3% | 37.1% | 38.6% |
| 2026-10-11T12:05:24+00:00 | 75.0% | 25.5% | 29.3% | 37.1% | 38.6% |
| 2026-10-11T12:50:30+00:00 | 75.0% | 25.5% | 29.3% | 37.1% | 38.6% |
| 2026-10-11T13:35:56+00:00 | 78.1% | 25.5% | 29.3% | 37.1% | 38.6% |
| 2026-10-11T14:26:15+00:00 | 78.1% | 25.7% | 29.3% | 37.1% | 38.7% |
| 2026-10-11T15:12:07+00:00 | 78.1% | 25.7% | 29.3% | 37.1% | 38.7% |
| 2026-10-11T15:57:21+00:00 | 78.1% | 25.7% | 29.3% | 37.1% | 38.7% |
| 2026-10-11T16:42:27+00:00 | 78.1% | 25.7% | 29.3% | 37.1% | 38.7% |
| 2026-10-11T17:28:04+00:00 | 78.1% | 25.7% | 22.9% | 37.1% | 38.7% |
| 2026-10-11T18:13:13+00:00 | 78.1% | 25.7% | 22.9% | 37.1% | 38.7% |
| 2026-10-11T18:58:21+00:00 | 78.1% | 25.7% | 22.9% | 37.1% | 38.7% |
| 2026-10-11T19:43:34+00:00 | 58.1% | 25.7% | 22.9% | 39.7% | 35.4% |
| 2026-10-11T20:28:41+00:00 | 58.1% | 25.7% | 22.9% | 39.7% | 35.4% |
| 2026-10-11T21:13:55+00:00 | 58.1% | 25.7% | 22.9% | 39.7% | 35.4% |
| 2026-10-11T21:59:02+00:00 | 58.1% | 25.7% | 22.9% | 39.7% | 35.4% |
| 2026-10-11T22:44:16+00:00 | 58.1% | 25.7% | 22.9% | 39.7% | 35.4% |
| 2026-10-11T23:29:37+00:00 | 58.1% | 25.5% | 13.9% | 39.7% | 35.4% |
| 2026-10-12T00:14:46+00:00 | 58.1% | 25.5% | 13.9% | 39.7% | 35.4% |
| 2026-10-12T01:00:16+00:00 | 58.1% | 25.5% | 13.9% | 39.7% | 35.4% |
| 2026-10-12T01:45:24+00:00 | 54.1% | 25.5% | 13.9% | 39.7% | 35.4% |
| 2026-10-12T02:30:31+00:00 | 54.1% | 25.5% | 13.9% | 39.7% | 35.4% |
| 2026-10-12T03:15:39+00:00 | 54.1% | 25.5% | 13.9% | 39.7% | 35.4% |
| 2026-10-12T04:01:56+00:00 | 54.1% | 25.5% | 13.9% | 39.7% | 35.4% |
| 2026-10-12T04:47:16+00:00 | 54.1% | 25.5% | 13.9% | 39.7% | 35.4% |
| 2026-10-12T05:32:23+00:00 | 54.1% | 25.5% | 19.4% | 39.7% | 35.4% |
| 2026-10-12T06:17:30+00:00 | 54.1% | 25.5% | 19.4% | 39.7% | 35.4% |
| 2026-10-12T07:02:36+00:00 | 54.1% | 25.5% | 19.4% | 39.7% | 35.4% |
| 2026-10-12T07:48:58+00:00 | 44.8% | 25.5% | 19.4% | 33.7% | 31.6% |
| 2026-10-12T08:34:32+00:00 | 44.8% | 25.5% | 19.4% | 33.7% | 31.6% |
| 2026-10-12T09:19:40+00:00 | 44.8% | 25.5% | 19.4% | 33.7% | 31.6% |
| 2026-10-12T10:05:01+00:00 | 44.8% | 25.5% | 19.4% | 33.7% | 31.6% |
| 2026-10-12T10:50:13+00:00 | 44.8% | 25.5% | 19.4% | 33.7% | 31.6% |
| 2026-10-12T11:35:39+00:00 | 44.8% | 25.5% | 18.0% | 33.7% | 31.6% |
| 2026-10-12T12:20:51+00:00 | 44.8% | 21.9% | 18.0% | 33.7% | 31.6% |
| 2026-10-12T13:05:59+00:00 | 44.8% | 21.9% | 18.0% | 33.7% | 31.6% |
| 2026-10-12T13:51:09+00:00 | 65.2% | 21.9% | 18.0% | 33.7% | 31.6% |
| 2026-10-12T14:41:19+00:00 | 65.2% | 22.2% | 18.1% | 33.7% | 31.6% |
| 2026-10-12T15:27:44+00:00 | 65.2% | 22.2% | 18.1% | 33.7% | 31.6% |
| 2026-10-12T16:12:58+00:00 | 65.2% | 20.1% | 18.1% | 33.7% | 31.6% |
| 2026-10-12T16:58:07+00:00 | 65.2% | 20.1% | 17.4% | 33.7% | 31.6% |
| 2026-10-12T17:43:15+00:00 | 65.2% | 20.1% | 17.4% | 33.7% | 31.6% |
| 2026-10-12T18:28:22+00:00 | 65.2% | 20.1% | 17.4% | 33.7% | 31.6% |
| 2026-10-12T19:13:28+00:00 | 65.2% | 20.1% | 17.4% | 33.7% | 31.6% |
| 2026-10-12T19:58:38+00:00 | 69.9% | 20.1% | 17.4% | 45.2% | 23.9% |
| 2026-10-12T20:43:45+00:00 | 69.9% | 20.1% | 17.4% | 45.2% | 23.9% |
| 2026-10-12T21:28:51+00:00 | 69.9% | 20.1% | 17.4% | 45.2% | 23.9% |
| 2026-10-12T22:13:58+00:00 | 69.9% | 20.1% | 17.4% | 45.2% | 23.9% |
| 2026-10-12T22:59:13+00:00 | 69.9% | 20.1% | 21.1% | 45.2% | 23.9% |
| 2026-10-12T23:44:20+00:00 | 69.9% | 20.1% | 21.1% | 45.2% | 23.9% |
| 2026-10-13T00:29:26+00:00 | 69.9% | 20.1% | 21.1% | 45.2% | 23.9% |
| 2026-10-13T01:14:42+00:00 | 69.9% | 20.1% | 21.1% | 45.2% | 23.9% |
| 2026-10-13T01:59:50+00:00 | 67.6% | 20.1% | 21.1% | 45.2% | 23.9% |
| 2026-10-13T02:44:58+00:00 | 67.6% | 20.1% | 21.1% | 45.2% | 23.9% |
| 2026-10-13T03:30:04+00:00 | 67.6% | 20.1% | 21.1% | 45.2% | 23.9% |
| 2026-10-13T04:16:21+00:00 | 67.6% | 20.1% | 21.1% | 45.2% | 23.9% |
| 2026-10-13T05:01:47+00:00 | 67.6% | 20.1% | 22.6% | 45.2% | 23.9% |
| 2026-10-13T05:46:54+00:00 | 67.6% | 20.1% | 22.6% | 45.2% | 23.9% |
| 2026-10-13T06:32:13+00:00 | 67.6% | 20.1% | 22.6% | 45.2% | 23.9% |
| 2026-10-13T07:17:20+00:00 | 67.6% | 20.1% | 22.6% | 45.2% | 23.9% |
| 2026-10-13T08:04:14+00:00 | 69.5% | 20.1% | 22.6% | 55.3% | 21.7% |
| 2026-10-13T08:49:41+00:00 | 69.5% | 20.1% | 22.6% | 55.3% | 21.7% |
| 2026-10-13T09:34:47+00:00 | 69.5% | 20.1% | 22.6% | 55.3% | 21.7% |
| 2026-10-13T10:19:59+00:00 | 69.5% | 20.1% | 22.6% | 55.3% | 21.7% |
| 2026-10-13T11:05:25+00:00 | 69.5% | 22.1% | 17.9% | 55.3% | 21.7% |
| 2026-10-13T11:50:42+00:00 | 69.5% | 22.1% | 17.9% | 55.3% | 21.7% |
| 2026-10-13T12:35:51+00:00 | 69.5% | 22.1% | 17.9% | 55.3% | 21.7% |
| 2026-10-13T13:20:57+00:00 | 69.5% | 22.1% | 17.9% | 55.3% | 21.7% |
| 2026-10-13T14:06:04+00:00 | 66.2% | 22.1% | 17.9% | 55.3% | 21.7% |
| 2026-10-13T14:56:06+00:00 | 66.2% | 19.3% | 17.9% | 55.3% | 21.7% |
| 2026-10-13T15:41:50+00:00 | 66.2% | 19.3% | 17.9% | 55.3% | 21.7% |
| 2026-10-13T16:27:05+00:00 | 66.2% | 19.3% | 17.9% | 55.3% | 21.7% |
| 2026-10-13T17:12:13+00:00 | 66.2% | 19.3% | 16.4% | 55.3% | 21.7% |
| 2026-10-13T17:57:19+00:00 | 66.2% | 19.3% | 16.4% | 55.3% | 21.7% |
| 2026-10-13T18:42:25+00:00 | 66.2% | 19.3% | 16.4% | 55.3% | 21.7% |
| 2026-10-13T19:27:30+00:00 | 70.4% | 19.3% | 16.4% | 55.3% | 25.6% |
| 2026-10-13T20:12:39+00:00 | 70.4% | 19.3% | 16.4% | 55.3% | 25.6% |
| 2026-10-13T20:57:44+00:00 | 70.4% | 19.3% | 16.4% | 55.3% | 25.6% |
| 2026-10-13T21:43:20+00:00 | 70.4% | 19.3% | 16.4% | 55.3% | 25.6% |
| 2026-10-13T22:28:26+00:00 | 70.4% | 19.3% | 16.4% | 53.6% | 25.6% |
| 2026-10-13T23:13:39+00:00 | 70.4% | 19.3% | 21.2% | 53.6% | 25.6% |
| 2026-10-13T23:58:47+00:00 | 70.4% | 19.3% | 21.2% | 53.6% | 25.6% |
| 2026-10-14T00:43:55+00:00 | 70.4% | 19.3% | 21.2% | 53.6% | 25.6% |
| 2026-10-14T01:29:12+00:00 | 66.2% | 19.3% | 21.2% | 53.6% | 25.6% |
| 2026-10-14T02:14:21+00:00 | 66.2% | 19.3% | 21.2% | 53.6% | 25.6% |
| 2026-10-14T03:00:03+00:00 | 66.2% | 19.3% | 21.2% | 53.6% | 25.6% |
| 2026-10-14T03:45:40+00:00 | 66.2% | 19.3% | 21.2% | 53.6% | 25.6% |
| 2026-10-14T04:30:47+00:00 | 66.2% | 19.3% | 21.2% | 53.6% | 25.6% |
| 2026-10-14T05:15:55+00:00 | 66.2% | 19.3% | 21.2% | 53.6% | 25.6% |
| 2026-10-14T06:01:02+00:00 | 66.2% | 19.3% | 21.2% | 53.6% | 25.6% |
| 2026-10-14T06:46:19+00:00 | 66.2% | 19.3% | 21.2% | 53.6% | 25.6% |
| 2026-10-14T07:31:29+00:00 | 63.4% | 19.3% | 21.2% | 53.6% | 14.2% |
| 2026-10-14T08:16:39+00:00 | 63.4% | 19.3% | 21.2% | 53.6% | 14.2% |
| 2026-10-14T09:01:49+00:00 | 63.4% | 19.3% | 21.2% | 53.6% | 14.2% |
| 2026-10-14T09:46:55+00:00 | 63.4% | 19.3% | 21.2% | 53.6% | 14.2% |
| 2026-10-14T10:34:31+00:00 | 63.4% | 19.3% | 21.2% | 43.2% | 14.2% |
| 2026-10-14T11:21:01+00:00 | 63.4% | 18.5% | 17.5% | 43.2% | 14.2% |
| 2026-10-14T12:06:15+00:00 | 63.4% | 18.5% | 17.5% | 43.2% | 14.2% |
| 2026-10-14T12:51:23+00:00 | 63.4% | 18.5% | 17.5% | 43.2% | 14.2% |
| 2026-10-14T13:36:31+00:00 | 63.4% | 18.5% | 17.5% | 43.2% | 14.2% |
| 2026-10-14T14:26:52+00:00 | 63.4% | 18.6% | 17.5% | 43.2% | 14.2% |
| 2026-10-14T15:12:42+00:00 | 63.4% | 16.3% | 17.5% | 43.2% | 14.2% |
| 2026-10-14T15:57:58+00:00 | 63.4% | 16.3% | 17.5% | 43.2% | 14.2% |
| 2026-10-14T16:43:07+00:00 | 63.4% | 16.3% | 17.5% | 43.2% | 14.2% |
| 2026-10-14T17:28:14+00:00 | 63.4% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 43.2% | 14.2% |
| 2026-10-14T18:13:22+00:00 | 63.4% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 43.2% | 14.2% |
| 2026-10-14T18:58:29+00:00 | 63.4% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 43.2% | 14.2% |
| 2026-10-14T19:43:39+00:00 | 58.7% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 37.6% | 13.5% |
| 2026-10-14T20:28:52+00:00 | 58.7% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 37.6% | 13.5% |
| 2026-10-14T21:13:58+00:00 | 58.7% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 37.6% | 13.5% |
| 2026-10-14T21:59:04+00:00 | 58.7% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 37.6% | 13.5% |
| 2026-10-14T22:44:10+00:00 | 58.7% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 37.6% | 13.5% |
| 2026-10-14T23:29:35+00:00 | 58.7% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 37.6% | 13.5% |
| 2026-10-15T00:15:27+00:00 | 58.7% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 37.6% | 13.5% |
| 2026-10-15T01:01:13+00:00 | 58.7% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 37.6% | 13.5% |
| 2026-10-15T01:46:21+00:00 | 57.8% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 37.6% | 13.5% |
| 2026-10-15T02:31:31+00:00 | 57.8% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 37.6% | 13.5% |
| 2026-10-15T03:16:39+00:00 | 57.8% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 37.6% | 13.5% |
| 2026-10-15T04:02:33+00:00 | 57.8% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 37.6% | 13.5% |
| 2026-10-15T04:48:06+00:00 | 57.8% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 37.6% | 13.5% |
| 2026-10-15T05:33:23+00:00 | 57.8% | 16.3% | 21.0% | 37.6% | 13.5% |
| 2026-10-15T06:18:29+00:00 | 57.8% | 16.3% | 21.0% | 37.6% | 13.5% |
| 2026-10-15T07:03:40+00:00 | 57.8% | 16.3% | 21.0% | 37.6% | 13.5% |
| 2026-10-15T07:50:23+00:00 | 58.0% | 16.3% | 21.0% | 40.4% | 7.8% |
| 2026-10-15T08:35:52+00:00 | 58.0% | 16.3% | 21.0% | 40.4% | 7.8% |
| 2026-10-15T09:21:47+00:00 | 58.0% | 16.3% | 21.0% | 40.4% | 7.8% |
| 2026-10-15T10:07:42+00:00 | 58.0% | 16.3% | 21.0% | 40.4% | 7.8% |
| 2026-10-15T10:53:44+00:00 | 58.0% | 16.3% | 19.6% | 40.4% | 7.8% |
| 2026-10-15T11:39:34+00:00 | 58.0% | 16.3% | 19.6% | 40.4% | 7.8% |
| 2026-10-15T12:24:58+00:00 | 58.0% | 16.3% | 19.6% | 40.4% | 7.8% |
| 2026-10-15T13:10:36+00:00 | 58.0% | 16.3% | 19.6% | 40.4% | 7.8% |
| 2026-10-15T13:55:55+00:00 | 56.0% | 16.6% | 18.6% | 40.4% | 7.4% |
| 2026-10-15T14:48:27+00:00 | 56.0% | 16.6% | 18.6% | 40.4% | 7.4% |
| 2026-10-15T15:34:38+00:00 | 56.0% | 16.9% | 18.6% | 40.4% | 7.4% |
| 2026-10-15T16:20:15+00:00 | 56.0% | 16.9% | 18.6% | 40.4% | 7.4% |
| 2026-10-15T17:05:25+00:00 | 56.0% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 40.4% | 7.4% |
| 2026-10-15T17:50:48+00:00 | 56.0% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 40.4% | 7.4% |
| 2026-10-15T18:36:01+00:00 | 56.0% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 40.4% | 7.4% |
| 2026-10-15T19:21:10+00:00 | 56.0% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 40.4% | 7.4% |
| 2026-10-15T20:06:22+00:00 | 57.0% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 37.4% | 7.8% |
| 2026-10-15T20:51:34+00:00 | 57.0% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 37.4% | 7.8% |
| 2026-10-15T21:36:45+00:00 | 57.0% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 37.4% | 7.8% |
| 2026-10-15T22:21:55+00:00 | 57.0% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 37.4% | 7.8% |
| 2026-10-15T23:07:05+00:00 | 57.0% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 37.4% | 7.8% |
| 2026-10-15T23:52:17+00:00 | 57.0% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 37.4% | 7.8% |
| 2026-10-16T00:37:27+00:00 | 57.0% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 37.4% | 7.8% |
| 2026-10-16T01:22:51+00:00 | 62.9% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 37.4% | 7.8% |
| 2026-10-16T02:08:21+00:00 | 62.9% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 37.4% | 7.8% |
| 2026-10-16T02:53:35+00:00 | 62.9% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 37.4% | 7.8% |
| 2026-10-16T03:38:43+00:00 | 62.9% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 37.4% | 7.8% |
| 2026-10-16T04:24:57+00:00 | 62.9% | 16.9% | 12.8% | 37.4% | 7.8% |
| 2026-10-16T05:10:33+00:00 | 62.9% | 16.9% | 28.0% | 37.4% | 7.8% |
| 2026-10-16T05:55:59+00:00 | 62.9% | 16.9% | 28.0% | 37.4% | 7.8% |
| 2026-10-16T06:41:08+00:00 | 62.9% | 16.9% | 28.0% | 37.4% | 7.8% |
| 2026-10-16T07:26:18+00:00 | 65.3% | 16.9% | 28.0% | 37.4% | 6.1% |
| 2026-10-16T08:11:29+00:00 | 65.3% | 16.9% | 28.0% | 37.4% | 6.1% |
| 2026-10-16T08:56:38+00:00 | 65.3% | 16.9% | 28.0% | 37.4% | 6.1% |
| 2026-10-16T09:41:44+00:00 | 65.3% | 16.9% | 28.0% | 37.4% | 6.1% |
| 2026-10-16T10:26:59+00:00 | 65.3% | 16.9% | 28.0% | 37.4% | 6.1% |
| 2026-10-16T11:12:26+00:00 | 65.3% | 18.5% | 31.8% | 37.4% | 6.1% |
| 2026-10-16T11:57:43+00:00 | 65.3% | 18.5% | 31.8% | 37.4% | 6.1% |
| 2026-10-16T12:42:51+00:00 | 65.3% | 18.5% | 31.8% | 37.4% | 6.1% |
THE MODEL BOX SCORE
Forecasts & evidence
| MODEL | YES | MEAN | SPREAD σ | INITIALIZATION UTC | BRIER ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIFS Single | 65% | 77.7°F | 3.1°F | 2026-10-16 00:00 | Pending |
| IFS HRES | 37% | 75.3°F | 3.7°F | 2026-10-15 12:00 | Pending |
| WeatherNext 2 | 32% | 75.3°F | 2.5°F | 2026-10-16 00:00 | Pending |
| National Blend | 25% | 75.0°F | 2.2°F | 2026-10-16 06:00 | Pending |
| NWS forecast | 25% | 75.0°F | 2.2°F | 2026-10-16 02:00 | Pending |
| IFS Ensemble | 18% | 73.0°F | 3.9°F | 2026-10-16 00:00 | Pending |
| ICON | 6% | 71.1°F | 3.5°F | 2026-10-16 00:00 | Pending |
Spread is the standard deviation used in the probability approximation. It is not a measured confidence rating. Brier here scores the latest recorded snapshot, not a league deadline.
High ≥ 77°F · KBOI
Daily temperature props settle on the ACIS official station record. Inclusive and strict thresholds retain their exact meanings. Provisional observations do not replace the settlement record.
WP-KBOI-20261016-TMAX-GE77
Opened Oct 09 · 11:37 UTC
Original listing: Boise runs hot-for-here: 77°F+ · Fri Oct 16
Original prop, full history & receipt ↗