KBOI / Sun Oct 18 / OFFICIAL STATION RECORD
Boise, IDHigh ≥ 75°F
CONSENSUS FORECAST29%Oct 18 · 07:15 UTC
THE FORECAST FIELD
Who takes which side?
Probabilities derived from each source’s mean and spread. Forecasts may have different initialization times.
Head-to-head preview
ILLUSTRATIVE · NOT EXECUTED100 contracts at the midpoint of these model probabilities. Each contract pays 1u to the winning side.
EPS +56.95u · ICON −56.95u
These are current forecast comparisons, not locked entries. No credits have been committed. Read the proposed policy →
FOLLOW THE RUNS
Probability history
Recorded source probabilities; timestamps mark snapshots. Repeated values may come from the same model run.
AIFS SingleIFS EnsembleWeatherNext 2IFS HRESICON
View the forecast data
| UTC | AIFS | EPS | WN2 | HRES | ICON |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11T07:32:36+00:00 | 22.5% | 55.6% | 7.3% | 61.2% | — |
| 2026-10-11T08:18:04+00:00 | 22.5% | 55.6% | 7.3% | 61.2% | — |
| 2026-10-11T09:03:12+00:00 | 22.5% | 55.6% | 7.3% | 61.2% | — |
| 2026-10-11T09:48:17+00:00 | 22.5% | 55.6% | 7.3% | 61.2% | — |
| 2026-10-11T10:34:16+00:00 | 22.5% | 55.6% | 7.3% | 61.2% | — |
| 2026-10-11T11:20:13+00:00 | 22.5% | 58.6% | 15.0% | 61.2% | — |
| 2026-10-11T12:05:24+00:00 | 22.5% | 58.6% | 15.0% | 61.2% | — |
| 2026-10-11T12:50:30+00:00 | 22.5% | 58.6% | 15.0% | 61.2% | — |
| 2026-10-11T13:35:56+00:00 | 43.6% | 58.6% | 15.0% | 61.2% | — |
| 2026-10-11T14:26:15+00:00 | 43.6% | 58.6% | 15.1% | 61.2% | — |
| 2026-10-11T15:12:07+00:00 | 43.6% | 58.6% | 15.1% | 61.2% | — |
| 2026-10-11T15:57:21+00:00 | 43.6% | 58.6% | 15.1% | 61.2% | — |
| 2026-10-11T16:42:27+00:00 | 43.6% | 58.6% | 15.1% | 61.2% | — |
| 2026-10-11T17:28:04+00:00 | 43.6% | 58.6% | 28.5% | 61.2% | — |
| 2026-10-11T18:13:13+00:00 | 43.6% | 58.6% | 28.5% | 61.2% | — |
| 2026-10-11T18:58:21+00:00 | 43.6% | 58.6% | 28.5% | 61.2% | — |
| 2026-10-11T19:43:34+00:00 | 21.6% | 58.6% | 28.5% | 60.6% | 66.5% |
| 2026-10-11T20:28:41+00:00 | 21.6% | 58.6% | 28.5% | 60.6% | 66.5% |
| 2026-10-11T21:13:55+00:00 | 21.6% | 58.6% | 28.5% | 60.6% | 66.5% |
| 2026-10-11T21:59:02+00:00 | 21.6% | 58.6% | 28.5% | 60.6% | 66.5% |
| 2026-10-11T22:44:16+00:00 | 21.6% | 58.6% | 28.5% | 60.6% | 66.5% |
| 2026-10-11T23:29:37+00:00 | 21.6% | 58.6% | 8.2% | 60.6% | 66.5% |
| 2026-10-12T00:14:46+00:00 | 21.6% | 58.6% | 8.2% | 60.6% | 66.5% |
| 2026-10-12T01:00:16+00:00 | 21.6% | 58.6% | 8.2% | 60.6% | 66.5% |
| 2026-10-12T01:45:24+00:00 | 13.8% | 58.6% | 8.2% | 60.6% | 66.5% |
| 2026-10-12T02:30:31+00:00 | 13.8% | 58.6% | 8.2% | 60.6% | 66.5% |
| 2026-10-12T03:15:39+00:00 | 13.8% | 58.6% | 8.2% | 60.6% | 66.5% |
| 2026-10-12T04:01:57+00:00 | 13.8% | 58.6% | 8.2% | 60.6% | 66.5% |
| 2026-10-12T04:47:16+00:00 | 13.8% | 58.6% | 8.2% | 60.6% | 66.5% |
| 2026-10-12T05:32:23+00:00 | 13.8% | 58.6% | 6.2% | 60.6% | 66.5% |
| 2026-10-12T06:17:30+00:00 | 13.8% | 58.6% | 6.2% | 60.6% | 66.5% |
| 2026-10-12T07:02:36+00:00 | 13.8% | 58.6% | 6.2% | 60.6% | 66.5% |
| 2026-10-12T07:48:58+00:00 | 23.7% | 58.6% | 6.2% | 64.8% | 48.3% |
| 2026-10-12T08:34:32+00:00 | 23.7% | 58.6% | 6.2% | 64.8% | 48.3% |
| 2026-10-12T09:19:40+00:00 | 23.7% | 58.6% | 6.2% | 64.8% | 48.3% |
| 2026-10-12T10:05:01+00:00 | 23.7% | 58.6% | 6.2% | 64.8% | 48.3% |
| 2026-10-12T10:50:13+00:00 | 23.7% | 58.6% | 6.2% | 64.8% | 48.3% |
| 2026-10-12T11:35:39+00:00 | 23.7% | 58.6% | 5.7% | 64.8% | 48.3% |
| 2026-10-12T12:20:51+00:00 | 23.7% | 53.0% | 5.7% | 64.8% | 48.3% |
| 2026-10-12T13:05:59+00:00 | 23.7% | 53.0% | 5.7% | 64.8% | 48.3% |
| 2026-10-12T13:51:09+00:00 | 61.9% | 53.0% | 5.7% | 64.8% | 48.3% |
| 2026-10-12T14:41:19+00:00 | 61.8% | 53.0% | 5.8% | 64.8% | 48.3% |
| 2026-10-12T15:27:44+00:00 | 61.8% | 53.0% | 5.8% | 64.8% | 48.3% |
| 2026-10-12T16:12:58+00:00 | 61.8% | 45.4% | 5.8% | 64.8% | 48.3% |
| 2026-10-12T16:58:07+00:00 | 61.8% | 45.4% | 15.7% | 64.8% | 48.3% |
| 2026-10-12T17:43:15+00:00 | 61.8% | 45.4% | 15.7% | 64.8% | 48.3% |
| 2026-10-12T18:28:22+00:00 | 61.8% | 45.4% | 15.7% | 64.8% | 48.3% |
| 2026-10-12T19:13:28+00:00 | 61.8% | 45.4% | 15.7% | 64.8% | 48.3% |
| 2026-10-12T19:58:38+00:00 | 54.5% | 45.4% | 15.7% | 71.4% | 62.8% |
| 2026-10-12T20:43:45+00:00 | 54.5% | 45.4% | 15.7% | 71.4% | 62.8% |
| 2026-10-12T21:28:51+00:00 | 54.5% | 45.4% | 15.7% | 71.4% | 62.8% |
| 2026-10-12T22:13:58+00:00 | 54.5% | 45.4% | 15.7% | 71.4% | 62.8% |
| 2026-10-12T22:59:13+00:00 | 54.5% | 45.4% | 15.7% | 71.4% | 62.8% |
| 2026-10-12T23:44:20+00:00 | 54.5% | 45.4% | 15.7% | 71.4% | 62.8% |
| 2026-10-13T00:29:26+00:00 | 54.5% | 45.4% | 15.7% | 71.4% | 62.8% |
| 2026-10-13T01:14:42+00:00 | 54.5% | 45.4% | 15.7% | 71.4% | 62.8% |
| 2026-10-13T01:59:50+00:00 | 44.8% | 45.4% | 15.7% | 71.4% | 62.8% |
| 2026-10-13T02:44:58+00:00 | 44.8% | 45.4% | 15.7% | 71.4% | 62.8% |
| 2026-10-13T03:30:04+00:00 | 44.8% | 45.4% | 15.7% | 71.4% | 62.8% |
| 2026-10-13T04:16:21+00:00 | 44.8% | 45.4% | 15.7% | 71.4% | 62.8% |
| 2026-10-13T05:01:47+00:00 | 44.8% | 45.4% | 9.8% | 71.4% | 62.8% |
| 2026-10-13T05:46:54+00:00 | 44.8% | 45.4% | 9.8% | 71.4% | 62.8% |
| 2026-10-13T06:32:13+00:00 | 44.8% | 45.4% | 9.8% | 71.4% | 62.8% |
| 2026-10-13T07:17:20+00:00 | 44.8% | 45.4% | 9.8% | 71.4% | 62.8% |
| 2026-10-13T08:04:14+00:00 | 46.8% | 45.4% | 9.8% | 50.7% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-13T08:49:41+00:00 | 46.8% | 45.4% | 9.8% | 50.7% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-13T09:34:47+00:00 | 46.8% | 45.4% | 9.8% | 50.7% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-13T10:19:59+00:00 | 46.8% | 45.4% | 9.8% | 50.7% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-13T11:05:25+00:00 | 46.8% | 58.4% | 8.5% | 50.7% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-13T11:50:42+00:00 | 46.8% | 58.4% | 8.5% | 50.7% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-13T12:35:51+00:00 | 46.8% | 58.4% | 8.5% | 50.7% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-13T13:20:57+00:00 | 46.8% | 58.4% | 8.5% | 50.7% | 56.8% |
| 2026-10-13T14:06:04+00:00 | 50.0% | 58.4% | 8.7% | 50.7% | 56.7% |
| 2026-10-13T14:56:06+00:00 | 50.0% | 53.6% | 8.7% | 50.7% | 56.7% |
| 2026-10-13T15:41:50+00:00 | 50.0% | 53.6% | 8.7% | 50.7% | 56.7% |
| 2026-10-13T16:27:05+00:00 | 50.0% | 53.6% | 8.7% | 50.7% | 56.7% |
| 2026-10-13T17:12:13+00:00 | 50.0% | 53.6% | 17.1% | 50.7% | 56.7% |
| 2026-10-13T17:57:19+00:00 | 50.0% | 53.6% | 17.1% | 50.7% | 56.7% |
| 2026-10-13T18:42:25+00:00 | 50.0% | 53.6% | 17.1% | 50.7% | 56.7% |
| 2026-10-13T19:27:30+00:00 | 39.6% | 53.6% | 17.1% | 50.7% | 63.3% |
| 2026-10-13T20:12:39+00:00 | 39.6% | 53.6% | 17.1% | 50.7% | 63.3% |
| 2026-10-13T20:57:44+00:00 | 39.6% | 53.6% | 17.1% | 50.7% | 63.3% |
| 2026-10-13T21:43:20+00:00 | 39.6% | 53.6% | 17.1% | 50.7% | 63.3% |
| 2026-10-13T22:28:26+00:00 | 39.6% | 53.6% | 17.1% | 23.2% | 63.3% |
| 2026-10-13T23:13:39+00:00 | 39.6% | 53.6% | 5.5% | 22.8% | 63.3% |
| 2026-10-13T23:58:47+00:00 | 39.6% | 53.6% | 5.5% | 22.8% | 63.3% |
| 2026-10-14T00:43:55+00:00 | 39.6% | 53.6% | 5.5% | 22.8% | 63.3% |
| 2026-10-14T01:29:12+00:00 | 43.6% | 53.6% | 5.5% | 22.8% | 63.3% |
| 2026-10-14T02:14:21+00:00 | 43.6% | 53.6% | 5.5% | 22.8% | 63.3% |
| 2026-10-14T03:00:03+00:00 | 43.6% | 53.6% | 5.5% | 22.8% | 63.3% |
| 2026-10-14T03:45:40+00:00 | 43.6% | 53.6% | 5.5% | 22.8% | 63.3% |
| 2026-10-14T04:30:47+00:00 | 43.6% | 53.6% | 5.5% | 22.8% | 63.3% |
| 2026-10-14T05:15:55+00:00 | 43.6% | 53.6% | 5.5% | 22.8% | 63.3% |
| 2026-10-14T06:01:02+00:00 | 43.6% | 53.6% | 5.5% | 22.8% | 63.3% |
| 2026-10-14T06:46:19+00:00 | 43.6% | 53.6% | 5.5% | 22.8% | 63.3% |
| 2026-10-14T07:31:29+00:00 | 56.0% | 53.6% | 5.5% | 22.8% | 50.8% |
| 2026-10-14T08:16:39+00:00 | 56.0% | 53.6% | 5.5% | 22.8% | 50.8% |
| 2026-10-14T09:01:49+00:00 | 56.0% | 53.6% | 5.5% | 22.8% | 50.8% |
| 2026-10-14T09:46:55+00:00 | 56.0% | 53.6% | 5.5% | 22.8% | 50.8% |
| 2026-10-14T10:34:31+00:00 | 56.0% | 53.6% | 5.5% | 64.8% | 50.8% |
| 2026-10-14T11:21:01+00:00 | 56.0% | 56.8% | 25.9% | 64.8% | 50.8% |
| 2026-10-14T12:06:15+00:00 | 56.0% | 56.8% | 25.9% | 64.8% | 50.8% |
| 2026-10-14T12:51:23+00:00 | 56.0% | 56.8% | 25.9% | 64.8% | 50.8% |
| 2026-10-14T13:36:31+00:00 | 47.4% | 56.8% | 25.9% | 64.8% | 50.8% |
| 2026-10-14T14:26:52+00:00 | 47.4% | 56.8% | 25.9% | 64.8% | 51.7% |
| 2026-10-14T15:12:43+00:00 | 47.4% | 54.7% | 25.9% | 64.8% | 51.7% |
| 2026-10-14T15:57:58+00:00 | 47.4% | 54.7% | 25.9% | 64.8% | 51.7% |
| 2026-10-14T16:43:07+00:00 | 47.4% | 54.7% | 25.9% | 64.8% | 51.7% |
| 2026-10-14T17:28:14+00:00 | 47.4% | 54.7% | 25.1% | 64.8% | 51.7% |
| 2026-10-14T18:13:22+00:00 | 47.4% | 54.7% | 25.1% | 64.8% | 51.7% |
| 2026-10-14T18:58:29+00:00 | 47.4% | 54.7% | 25.1% | 64.8% | 51.7% |
| 2026-10-14T19:43:39+00:00 | 50.9% | 54.7% | 25.1% | 64.8% | 56.6% |
| 2026-10-14T20:28:52+00:00 | 50.9% | 54.7% | 25.1% | 64.8% | 56.6% |
| 2026-10-14T21:13:58+00:00 | 50.9% | 54.7% | 25.1% | 64.8% | 56.6% |
| 2026-10-14T21:59:04+00:00 | 50.9% | 54.7% | 25.1% | 64.8% | 56.6% |
| 2026-10-14T22:44:10+00:00 | 50.9% | 54.7% | 25.1% | 64.8% | 56.6% |
| 2026-10-14T23:29:35+00:00 | 50.9% | 54.7% | 24.2% | 64.8% | 56.6% |
| 2026-10-15T00:15:27+00:00 | 50.9% | 54.7% | 24.2% | 64.8% | 56.6% |
| 2026-10-15T01:01:13+00:00 | 50.9% | 54.7% | 24.2% | 64.8% | 56.6% |
| 2026-10-15T01:46:21+00:00 | 56.9% | 54.7% | 24.2% | 64.8% | 56.6% |
| 2026-10-15T02:31:31+00:00 | 56.9% | 54.7% | 24.2% | 64.8% | 56.6% |
| 2026-10-15T03:16:39+00:00 | 56.9% | 54.7% | 24.2% | 64.8% | 56.6% |
| 2026-10-15T04:02:33+00:00 | 56.9% | 54.7% | 24.2% | 64.8% | 56.6% |
| 2026-10-15T04:48:06+00:00 | 56.9% | 54.7% | 24.2% | 64.8% | 56.6% |
| 2026-10-15T05:33:23+00:00 | 56.9% | 54.7% | 38.4% | 64.8% | 56.6% |
| 2026-10-15T06:18:29+00:00 | 56.9% | 54.7% | 38.4% | 64.8% | 56.6% |
| 2026-10-15T07:03:40+00:00 | 56.9% | 54.7% | 38.4% | 64.8% | 56.6% |
| 2026-10-15T07:50:23+00:00 | 52.8% | 54.7% | 38.4% | 64.0% | 56.0% |
| 2026-10-15T08:35:52+00:00 | 52.8% | 54.7% | 38.4% | 64.0% | 56.0% |
| 2026-10-15T09:21:47+00:00 | 52.8% | 54.7% | 38.4% | 64.0% | 56.0% |
| 2026-10-15T10:07:42+00:00 | 52.8% | 54.7% | 38.4% | 64.0% | 56.0% |
| 2026-10-15T10:53:44+00:00 | 52.8% | 54.7% | 32.8% | 64.0% | 56.0% |
| 2026-10-15T11:39:34+00:00 | 52.8% | 54.7% | 32.8% | 64.0% | 56.0% |
| 2026-10-15T12:24:58+00:00 | 52.8% | 55.6% | 32.8% | 64.0% | 56.0% |
| 2026-10-15T13:10:36+00:00 | 52.8% | 55.6% | 32.8% | 64.0% | 56.0% |
| 2026-10-15T13:55:55+00:00 | 44.4% | 55.5% | 32.8% | 64.0% | 56.0% |
| 2026-10-15T14:48:27+00:00 | 44.4% | 55.5% | 32.8% | 64.0% | 56.0% |
| 2026-10-15T15:34:38+00:00 | 44.4% | 56.7% | 32.8% | 64.0% | 56.0% |
| 2026-10-15T16:20:15+00:00 | 44.4% | 56.7% | 32.8% | 64.0% | 56.0% |
| 2026-10-15T17:05:25+00:00 | 44.4% | 56.7% | 38.3% | 64.0% | 56.0% |
| 2026-10-15T17:50:48+00:00 | 44.4% | 56.7% | 38.3% | 64.0% | 56.0% |
| 2026-10-15T18:36:01+00:00 | 44.4% | 56.7% | 38.3% | 64.0% | 56.0% |
| 2026-10-15T19:21:10+00:00 | 44.4% | 56.7% | 38.3% | 64.0% | 56.0% |
| 2026-10-15T20:06:22+00:00 | 44.4% | 56.7% | 38.3% | 44.7% | 32.5% |
| 2026-10-15T20:51:34+00:00 | 44.4% | 56.7% | 38.3% | 44.7% | 32.5% |
| 2026-10-15T21:36:45+00:00 | 44.4% | 56.7% | 38.3% | 44.7% | 32.5% |
| 2026-10-15T22:21:55+00:00 | 44.4% | 56.7% | 38.3% | 44.7% | 32.5% |
| 2026-10-15T23:07:05+00:00 | 44.4% | 56.7% | 26.7% | 44.7% | 32.5% |
| 2026-10-15T23:52:17+00:00 | 44.4% | 56.7% | 26.7% | 44.7% | 32.5% |
| 2026-10-16T00:37:27+00:00 | 44.4% | 56.7% | 26.7% | 44.7% | 32.5% |
| 2026-10-16T01:22:51+00:00 | 46.3% | 56.7% | 26.7% | 44.7% | 32.5% |
| 2026-10-16T02:08:21+00:00 | 46.3% | 56.7% | 26.7% | 44.7% | 32.5% |
| 2026-10-16T02:53:35+00:00 | 46.3% | 56.7% | 26.7% | 44.7% | 32.5% |
| 2026-10-16T03:38:43+00:00 | 46.3% | 56.7% | 26.7% | 44.7% | 32.5% |
| 2026-10-16T04:24:57+00:00 | 46.3% | 56.7% | 26.7% | 44.7% | 32.5% |
| 2026-10-16T05:10:33+00:00 | 46.3% | 56.7% | 28.6% | 44.7% | 32.5% |
| 2026-10-16T05:55:59+00:00 | 46.3% | 56.7% | 28.6% | 44.7% | 32.5% |
| 2026-10-16T06:41:08+00:00 | 46.3% | 56.7% | 28.6% | 44.7% | 32.5% |
| 2026-10-16T07:26:18+00:00 | 46.1% | 56.7% | 28.6% | 44.7% | 13.5% |
| 2026-10-16T08:11:29+00:00 | 46.1% | 56.7% | 28.6% | 44.7% | 13.5% |
| 2026-10-16T08:56:38+00:00 | 46.1% | 56.7% | 28.6% | 44.7% | 13.5% |
| 2026-10-16T09:41:44+00:00 | 46.1% | 56.7% | 28.6% | 44.7% | 13.5% |
| 2026-10-16T10:26:59+00:00 | 46.1% | 56.7% | 28.6% | 44.7% | 13.5% |
| 2026-10-16T11:12:26+00:00 | 46.1% | 56.1% | 28.1% | 44.7% | 13.5% |
| 2026-10-16T11:57:43+00:00 | 46.1% | 56.1% | 28.1% | 44.7% | 13.5% |
| 2026-10-16T12:42:51+00:00 | 46.1% | 56.1% | 28.1% | 44.7% | 13.5% |
| 2026-10-16T13:28:54+00:00 | 42.2% | 56.1% | 28.1% | 45.1% | 13.5% |
| 2026-10-16T14:19:56+00:00 | 42.2% | 56.1% | 28.1% | 45.1% | 13.5% |
| 2026-10-16T15:05:45+00:00 | 42.2% | 57.1% | 28.1% | 45.1% | 13.5% |
| 2026-10-16T15:50:58+00:00 | 42.2% | 57.1% | 28.1% | 45.1% | 13.5% |
| 2026-10-16T16:36:13+00:00 | 42.2% | 57.1% | 28.1% | 45.1% | 13.5% |
| 2026-10-16T17:21:30+00:00 | 42.2% | 57.1% | 27.0% | 45.1% | 13.5% |
| 2026-10-16T18:06:39+00:00 | 42.2% | 57.1% | 27.0% | 45.1% | 13.5% |
| 2026-10-16T18:51:46+00:00 | 42.2% | 57.1% | 27.0% | 45.1% | 13.5% |
| 2026-10-16T19:37:15+00:00 | 44.1% | 57.1% | 27.0% | 45.1% | 18.3% |
| 2026-10-16T20:22:41+00:00 | 44.1% | 57.1% | 27.0% | 45.1% | 18.3% |
| 2026-10-16T21:07:48+00:00 | 44.1% | 57.1% | 27.0% | 45.1% | 18.3% |
| 2026-10-16T21:52:56+00:00 | 44.1% | 57.1% | 27.0% | 45.1% | 18.3% |
| 2026-10-16T22:38:10+00:00 | 44.1% | 57.1% | 27.0% | 29.6% | 18.3% |
| 2026-10-16T23:23:36+00:00 | 44.1% | 57.1% | 18.3% | 29.6% | 18.3% |
| 2026-10-17T00:09:44+00:00 | 44.1% | 57.1% | 18.3% | 29.6% | 18.3% |
| 2026-10-17T00:55:00+00:00 | 44.1% | 57.1% | 18.3% | 29.6% | 18.3% |
| 2026-10-17T01:40:10+00:00 | 48.0% | 57.1% | 18.3% | 29.6% | 18.3% |
| 2026-10-17T02:25:24+00:00 | 48.0% | 57.1% | 18.3% | 29.6% | 18.3% |
| 2026-10-17T03:10:30+00:00 | 48.0% | 57.1% | 18.3% | 29.6% | 18.3% |
| 2026-10-17T03:55:42+00:00 | 48.0% | 57.1% | 18.3% | 29.6% | 18.3% |
| 2026-10-17T04:42:23+00:00 | 48.0% | 57.1% | 18.3% | 29.6% | 18.3% |
| 2026-10-17T05:28:29+00:00 | 48.0% | 57.1% | 27.0% | 29.6% | 18.3% |
| 2026-10-17T06:13:40+00:00 | 48.0% | 57.1% | 27.0% | 29.6% | 18.3% |
| 2026-10-17T06:58:49+00:00 | 48.0% | 57.1% | 27.0% | 29.6% | 18.3% |
| 2026-10-17T07:45:01+00:00 | 57.0% | 57.1% | 27.0% | 38.4% | 12.3% |
| 2026-10-17T08:30:41+00:00 | 57.0% | 57.1% | 27.0% | 38.4% | 12.3% |
| 2026-10-17T09:16:41+00:00 | 57.0% | 57.1% | 27.0% | 38.4% | 12.3% |
| 2026-10-17T10:01:51+00:00 | 57.0% | 57.1% | 27.0% | 38.4% | 12.3% |
| 2026-10-17T10:46:56+00:00 | 57.0% | 57.1% | 27.0% | 38.4% | 12.3% |
| 2026-10-17T11:32:15+00:00 | 57.0% | 62.1% | 35.3% | 38.4% | 12.3% |
| 2026-10-17T12:17:29+00:00 | 57.0% | 62.1% | 35.3% | 38.4% | 12.3% |
| 2026-10-17T13:02:35+00:00 | 57.0% | 62.1% | 35.3% | 38.4% | 12.3% |
| 2026-10-17T13:47:57+00:00 | 61.9% | 62.1% | 35.3% | 38.4% | 12.3% |
| 2026-10-17T14:39:19+00:00 | 62.0% | 61.9% | 35.3% | 38.4% | 12.2% |
| 2026-10-17T15:25:13+00:00 | 62.0% | 63.9% | 35.3% | 38.4% | 12.2% |
| 2026-10-17T16:10:34+00:00 | 62.0% | 63.9% | 35.3% | 38.4% | 12.2% |
| 2026-10-17T16:55:42+00:00 | 62.0% | 63.9% | 36.6% | 38.4% | 12.2% |
| 2026-10-17T17:40:51+00:00 | 62.0% | 63.9% | 36.6% | 38.4% | 12.2% |
| 2026-10-17T18:25:58+00:00 | 62.0% | 63.9% | 36.6% | 38.4% | 12.2% |
| 2026-10-17T19:11:06+00:00 | 62.0% | 63.9% | 36.6% | 38.4% | 12.2% |
| 2026-10-17T19:56:17+00:00 | 60.0% | 63.9% | 36.6% | 38.4% | 22.2% |
| 2026-10-17T20:41:32+00:00 | 60.0% | 63.9% | 36.6% | 38.4% | 22.2% |
| 2026-10-17T21:26:40+00:00 | 60.0% | 63.9% | 36.6% | 38.4% | 22.2% |
| 2026-10-17T22:11:56+00:00 | 60.0% | 63.9% | 36.6% | 38.4% | 22.2% |
| 2026-10-17T22:57:06+00:00 | 60.0% | 63.9% | 34.0% | 38.4% | 22.2% |
| 2026-10-17T23:42:14+00:00 | 60.0% | 63.9% | 34.0% | 38.4% | 22.2% |
| 2026-10-18T00:27:27+00:00 | 60.0% | 63.9% | 34.0% | 38.4% | 22.2% |
| 2026-10-18T01:12:57+00:00 | 60.0% | 63.9% | 34.0% | 38.4% | 22.2% |
| 2026-10-18T01:58:15+00:00 | 61.0% | 63.9% | 34.0% | 38.4% | 22.2% |
| 2026-10-18T02:43:23+00:00 | 61.0% | 63.9% | 34.0% | 38.4% | 22.2% |
| 2026-10-18T03:28:31+00:00 | 61.0% | 63.9% | 34.0% | 38.4% | 22.2% |
| 2026-10-18T04:14:37+00:00 | 61.0% | 63.9% | 34.0% | 38.4% | 22.2% |
| 2026-10-18T05:00:15+00:00 | 61.0% | 63.9% | 36.6% | 38.4% | 22.2% |
| 2026-10-18T05:45:22+00:00 | 61.0% | 63.9% | 36.6% | 38.4% | 22.2% |
| 2026-10-18T06:30:28+00:00 | 61.0% | 63.9% | 36.6% | 38.4% | 22.2% |
| 2026-10-18T07:15:39+00:00 | 61.0% | 63.9% | 36.6% | 38.4% | 22.2% |
THE MODEL BOX SCORE
Forecasts & evidence
| MODEL | YES | MEAN | SPREAD σ | INITIALIZATION UTC | BRIER ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFS Ensemble | 64% | 76.0°F | 4.2°F | 2026-10-17 00:00 | Pending |
| AIFS Single | 61% | 75.6°F | 3.9°F | 2026-10-17 18:00 | Pending |
| IFS HRES | 38% | 73.4°F | 3.7°F | 2026-10-17 12:00 | Pending |
| WeatherNext 2 | 37% | 73.5°F | 2.9°F | 2026-10-17 18:00 | Pending |
| NWS forecast | 24% | 73.0°F | 2.1°F | 2026-10-18 03:00 | Pending |
| ICON | 22% | 71.8°F | 3.5°F | 2026-10-17 12:00 | Pending |
| National Blend | 13% | 72.0°F | 2.2°F | 2026-10-18 00:00 | Pending |
Spread is the standard deviation used in the probability approximation. It is not a measured confidence rating. Brier here scores the latest recorded snapshot, not a league deadline.
High ≥ 75°F · KBOI
Daily temperature props settle on the ACIS official station record. Inclusive and strict thresholds retain their exact meanings. Provisional observations do not replace the settlement record.
WP-KBOI-20261018-TMAX-GE75
Opened Oct 11 · 07:32 UTC
Original listing: Boise runs hot-for-here: 75°F+ · Sun Oct 18
Original prop, full history & receipt ↗