Pittsburgh, PAHigh ≥ 84°F
Who takes which side?
Probabilities derived from each source’s mean and spread. Forecasts may have different initialization times.
Head-to-head preview
ILLUSTRATIVE · NOT EXECUTED100 contracts at the midpoint of these model probabilities. Each contract pays 1u to the winning side.
WN2 +60.60u · ICON −60.60u
These are current forecast comparisons, not locked entries. No credits have been committed. Read the proposed policy →
Probability history
Recorded source probabilities; timestamps mark snapshots. Repeated values may come from the same model run.
View the forecast data
| UTC | AIFS | EPS | WN2 | HRES | ICON |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10T07:40:46+00:00 | 85.0% | 12.5% | 37.6% | 82.8% | 52.9% |
| 2026-09-10T08:26:00+00:00 | 85.0% | 12.5% | 37.6% | 82.8% | 52.9% |
| 2026-09-10T09:11:05+00:00 | 85.0% | 12.5% | 37.6% | 82.8% | 52.9% |
| 2026-09-10T09:56:09+00:00 | 85.0% | 12.5% | 37.6% | 82.8% | 52.9% |
| 2026-09-10T10:41:13+00:00 | 85.0% | 12.5% | 37.6% | 82.8% | 52.9% |
| 2026-09-10T11:26:19+00:00 | 85.0% | 24.7% | 34.4% | 82.8% | 52.9% |
| 2026-09-10T12:11:26+00:00 | 85.0% | 24.7% | 34.4% | 82.8% | 52.9% |
| 2026-09-10T12:56:31+00:00 | 85.0% | 24.7% | 34.4% | 82.8% | 52.9% |
| 2026-09-10T13:41:35+00:00 | 91.4% | 24.7% | 34.4% | 82.8% | 52.9% |
| 2026-09-10T14:26:53+00:00 | 91.3% | 24.7% | 34.4% | 82.8% | 53.2% |
| 2026-09-10T15:12:00+00:00 | 91.3% | 24.7% | 34.4% | 82.8% | 53.2% |
| 2026-09-10T15:57:10+00:00 | 91.3% | 24.7% | 34.4% | 82.8% | 53.2% |
| 2026-09-10T16:42:14+00:00 | 91.3% | 24.7% | 34.4% | 82.8% | 48.8% |
| 2026-09-10T17:27:20+00:00 | 91.3% | 24.7% | 50.8% | 82.8% | 48.8% |
| 2026-09-10T18:12:27+00:00 | 91.3% | 24.7% | 50.8% | 82.8% | 48.8% |
| 2026-09-10T18:57:33+00:00 | 91.3% | 24.7% | 50.8% | 82.8% | 48.8% |
| 2026-09-10T19:42:38+00:00 | 93.9% | 24.7% | 50.8% | 88.9% | 48.8% |
| 2026-09-10T20:27:44+00:00 | 93.9% | 24.7% | 50.8% | 88.9% | 48.8% |
| 2026-09-10T21:12:49+00:00 | 93.9% | 24.7% | 50.8% | 88.9% | 48.8% |
| 2026-09-10T21:57:54+00:00 | 93.9% | 24.7% | 50.8% | 88.9% | 48.8% |
| 2026-09-10T22:42:58+00:00 | 93.9% | 24.7% | 50.8% | 88.9% | 48.8% |
| 2026-09-10T23:28:03+00:00 | 93.9% | 24.7% | 67.1% | 88.9% | 48.8% |
| 2026-09-11T00:13:08+00:00 | 93.9% | 24.7% | 67.1% | 88.9% | 48.8% |
| 2026-09-11T00:58:15+00:00 | 93.9% | 25.0% | 67.1% | 88.9% | 48.8% |
| 2026-09-11T01:43:21+00:00 | 76.0% | 21.9% | 67.1% | 88.9% | 48.8% |
| 2026-09-11T02:28:27+00:00 | 76.0% | 21.9% | 67.1% | 88.9% | 48.8% |
| 2026-09-11T03:13:34+00:00 | 76.0% | 21.9% | 67.1% | 88.9% | 48.8% |
| 2026-09-11T03:58:44+00:00 | 76.0% | 21.9% | 67.1% | 88.9% | 48.8% |
| 2026-09-11T04:43:49+00:00 | 76.0% | 21.9% | 67.1% | 88.9% | 41.7% |
| 2026-09-11T05:28:54+00:00 | 76.0% | 21.9% | 73.7% | 88.9% | 41.7% |
| 2026-09-11T06:14:03+00:00 | 76.0% | 21.9% | 73.7% | 88.9% | 41.7% |
| 2026-09-11T06:59:07+00:00 | 76.0% | 21.9% | 73.7% | 88.9% | 41.7% |
| 2026-09-11T07:44:15+00:00 | 73.7% | 21.9% | 73.7% | 18.0% | 41.7% |
| 2026-09-11T08:29:33+00:00 | 73.7% | 21.9% | 73.7% | 18.0% | 41.7% |
| 2026-09-11T09:14:39+00:00 | 73.7% | 21.9% | 73.7% | 18.0% | 41.7% |
| 2026-09-11T09:59:44+00:00 | 73.7% | 21.9% | 73.7% | 18.0% | 41.7% |
| 2026-09-11T10:44:49+00:00 | 73.7% | 21.9% | 73.7% | 18.0% | 41.7% |
| 2026-09-11T11:29:54+00:00 | 73.7% | 32.8% | 79.0% | 18.0% | 41.7% |
| 2026-09-11T12:15:02+00:00 | 73.7% | 32.8% | 79.0% | 18.0% | 41.7% |
| 2026-09-11T13:00:08+00:00 | 73.7% | 32.8% | 79.0% | 18.0% | 41.7% |
| 2026-09-11T13:45:21+00:00 | 36.9% | 32.8% | 79.0% | 18.0% | 41.7% |
| 2026-09-11T14:30:49+00:00 | 36.9% | 37.4% | 79.0% | 18.0% | 41.8% |
| 2026-09-11T15:15:56+00:00 | 36.9% | 33.5% | 79.0% | 18.0% | 41.8% |
| 2026-09-11T16:01:07+00:00 | 36.9% | 33.5% | 79.0% | 18.0% | 41.8% |
| 2026-09-11T16:46:12+00:00 | 36.9% | 33.5% | 79.0% | 18.0% | 79.2% |
| 2026-09-11T17:31:18+00:00 | 36.9% | 33.5% | 77.0% | 18.0% | 79.2% |
| 2026-09-11T18:16:26+00:00 | 36.9% | 33.5% | 77.0% | 18.0% | 79.2% |
| 2026-09-11T19:01:31+00:00 | 36.9% | 33.5% | 77.0% | 18.0% | 79.2% |
| 2026-09-11T19:46:36+00:00 | 27.5% | 33.5% | 77.0% | 16.5% | 79.2% |
| 2026-09-11T20:31:43+00:00 | 27.5% | 33.5% | 77.0% | 16.5% | 79.2% |
| 2026-09-11T21:16:48+00:00 | 27.5% | 33.5% | 77.0% | 16.5% | 79.2% |
| 2026-09-11T22:01:56+00:00 | 27.5% | 33.5% | 77.0% | 16.5% | 79.2% |
| 2026-09-11T22:47:02+00:00 | 27.5% | 33.5% | 77.0% | 16.5% | 79.2% |
| 2026-09-11T23:32:06+00:00 | 27.5% | 33.5% | 78.4% | 16.5% | 79.2% |
| 2026-09-12T00:17:13+00:00 | 27.5% | 33.5% | 78.4% | 16.5% | 79.2% |
| 2026-09-12T01:02:21+00:00 | 27.5% | 33.5% | 78.4% | 16.5% | 79.2% |
| 2026-09-12T01:47:26+00:00 | 16.6% | 33.5% | 78.4% | 16.5% | 79.2% |
| 2026-09-12T02:32:33+00:00 | 16.6% | 33.5% | 78.4% | 16.5% | 79.2% |
| 2026-09-12T03:17:41+00:00 | 16.6% | 33.5% | 78.4% | 16.5% | 79.2% |
| 2026-09-12T04:02:54+00:00 | 16.6% | 33.5% | 78.4% | 16.5% | 79.2% |
| 2026-09-12T04:47:59+00:00 | 16.6% | 33.5% | 78.4% | 16.5% | 79.2% |
| 2026-09-12T05:33:03+00:00 | 16.6% | 33.5% | 69.7% | 16.5% | 79.2% |
| 2026-09-12T06:18:12+00:00 | 16.6% | 33.5% | 69.7% | 16.5% | 79.2% |
| 2026-09-12T07:03:17+00:00 | 16.6% | 33.5% | 69.7% | 16.5% | 79.2% |
| 2026-09-12T07:48:24+00:00 | 38.2% | 33.5% | 69.7% | 80.3% | 89.4% |
| 2026-09-12T08:33:44+00:00 | 38.2% | 33.5% | 69.7% | 80.3% | 89.4% |
| 2026-09-12T09:18:48+00:00 | 38.2% | 33.5% | 69.7% | 80.3% | 89.4% |
| 2026-09-12T10:03:54+00:00 | 38.2% | 33.5% | 69.7% | 80.3% | 89.4% |
| 2026-09-12T10:48:58+00:00 | 38.2% | 33.5% | 69.7% | 80.3% | 89.4% |
| 2026-09-12T11:34:05+00:00 | 38.2% | 60.4% | 77.4% | 80.3% | 89.4% |
| 2026-09-12T12:19:13+00:00 | 38.2% | 60.4% | 77.4% | 80.3% | 89.4% |
| 2026-09-12T13:04:21+00:00 | 38.2% | 60.4% | 77.4% | 80.3% | 89.4% |
| 2026-09-12T13:49:26+00:00 | 18.9% | 60.4% | 77.4% | 80.3% | 89.4% |
| 2026-09-12T14:34:57+00:00 | 18.9% | 60.4% | 77.4% | 75.0% | 89.4% |
| 2026-09-12T15:20:07+00:00 | 18.9% | 59.4% | 77.4% | 80.4% | 89.4% |
| 2026-09-12T16:05:20+00:00 | 18.9% | 59.4% | 77.4% | 80.4% | 89.4% |
| 2026-09-12T16:50:26+00:00 | 18.9% | 59.4% | 77.4% | 80.4% | 89.4% |
| 2026-09-12T17:35:31+00:00 | 18.9% | 59.4% | 77.4% | 80.4% | 89.4% |
| 2026-09-12T18:20:40+00:00 | 18.9% | 59.4% | 77.4% | 80.4% | 89.4% |
| 2026-09-12T19:05:45+00:00 | 18.9% | 59.4% | 77.4% | 80.4% | 89.4% |
| 2026-09-12T19:50:50+00:00 | 49.2% | 59.4% | 77.4% | 80.4% | 77.8% |
| 2026-09-12T20:35:56+00:00 | 49.2% | 59.4% | 77.4% | 80.4% | 77.8% |
| 2026-09-12T21:21:01+00:00 | 49.2% | 59.4% | 77.4% | 80.4% | 77.8% |
| 2026-09-12T22:06:07+00:00 | 49.2% | 59.4% | 77.4% | 80.4% | 77.8% |
| 2026-09-12T22:51:12+00:00 | 49.2% | 59.4% | 77.4% | 62.1% | 77.8% |
| 2026-09-12T23:36:18+00:00 | 49.2% | 59.4% | 73.6% | 62.1% | 77.7% |
| 2026-09-13T00:21:24+00:00 | 49.2% | 59.4% | 73.6% | 62.1% | 77.7% |
| 2026-09-13T01:06:31+00:00 | 49.2% | 59.4% | 73.6% | 62.1% | 77.7% |
| 2026-09-13T01:51:41+00:00 | 59.5% | 59.4% | 73.6% | 62.1% | 77.7% |
| 2026-09-13T02:36:51+00:00 | 59.5% | 59.4% | 73.6% | 62.1% | 77.7% |
| 2026-09-13T03:21:56+00:00 | 59.5% | 59.4% | 73.6% | 62.1% | 77.7% |
| 2026-09-13T04:07:03+00:00 | 59.5% | 59.4% | 73.6% | 62.1% | 77.7% |
| 2026-09-13T04:52:17+00:00 | 59.5% | 59.4% | 73.6% | 62.1% | 77.7% |
| 2026-09-13T05:37:22+00:00 | 59.5% | 59.4% | 73.6% | 62.1% | 77.7% |
| 2026-09-13T06:22:31+00:00 | 59.5% | 59.4% | 73.6% | 62.1% | 77.7% |
| 2026-09-13T07:07:36+00:00 | 59.5% | 59.4% | 73.6% | 62.1% | 77.7% |
| 2026-09-13T07:52:43+00:00 | 85.0% | 59.4% | 73.6% | 93.3% | 68.8% |
| 2026-09-13T08:38:10+00:00 | 85.0% | 59.4% | 73.6% | 93.3% | 68.8% |
| 2026-09-13T09:23:16+00:00 | 85.0% | 59.4% | 73.6% | 93.3% | 68.8% |
| 2026-09-13T10:08:21+00:00 | 85.0% | 59.4% | 73.6% | 93.3% | 68.8% |
| 2026-09-13T10:53:27+00:00 | 85.0% | 55.5% | 81.0% | 93.3% | 68.8% |
| 2026-09-13T11:38:37+00:00 | 85.0% | 55.5% | 81.0% | 93.3% | 68.8% |
| 2026-09-13T12:23:43+00:00 | 85.0% | 55.5% | 81.0% | 93.3% | 68.8% |
| 2026-09-13T13:08:48+00:00 | 85.0% | 55.5% | 81.0% | 93.3% | 68.8% |
| 2026-09-13T13:53:53+00:00 | 79.6% | 55.5% | 81.0% | 93.3% | 68.8% |
| 2026-09-13T14:39:24+00:00 | 79.6% | 55.5% | 81.0% | 93.3% | 68.8% |
| 2026-09-13T15:24:29+00:00 | 79.6% | 55.5% | 81.0% | 93.3% | 68.8% |
| 2026-09-13T16:09:35+00:00 | 79.6% | 55.5% | 81.0% | 93.3% | 68.8% |
| 2026-09-13T16:54:40+00:00 | 79.6% | 55.5% | 75.7% | 93.3% | 68.8% |
| 2026-09-13T17:39:49+00:00 | 79.6% | 55.5% | 75.7% | 93.3% | 68.8% |
| 2026-09-13T18:24:58+00:00 | 79.6% | 55.5% | 75.7% | 93.3% | 68.8% |
| 2026-09-13T19:10:03+00:00 | 79.6% | 55.5% | 75.7% | 93.3% | 68.8% |
| 2026-09-13T19:55:07+00:00 | 75.1% | 55.5% | 75.7% | 82.8% | 68.8% |
| 2026-09-13T20:40:14+00:00 | 75.1% | 55.5% | 75.7% | 82.8% | 68.8% |
| 2026-09-13T21:25:18+00:00 | 75.1% | 55.5% | 75.7% | 82.8% | 68.8% |
| 2026-09-13T22:10:23+00:00 | 75.1% | 55.5% | 75.7% | 82.8% | 68.8% |
| 2026-09-13T22:55:27+00:00 | 75.1% | 55.5% | 76.5% | 82.8% | 68.8% |
| 2026-09-13T23:40:33+00:00 | 75.1% | 55.5% | 76.5% | 82.8% | 68.8% |
| 2026-09-14T00:25:38+00:00 | 75.1% | 55.5% | 76.5% | 82.8% | 68.8% |
| 2026-09-14T01:10:45+00:00 | 75.1% | 55.5% | 76.5% | 82.8% | 68.8% |
| 2026-09-14T01:55:50+00:00 | 74.4% | 55.5% | 76.5% | 82.8% | 68.8% |
| 2026-09-14T02:40:55+00:00 | 74.4% | 55.5% | 76.5% | 82.8% | 68.8% |
| 2026-09-14T03:26:01+00:00 | 74.4% | 55.5% | 76.5% | 82.8% | 68.8% |
| 2026-09-14T04:11:06+00:00 | 74.4% | 55.5% | 76.5% | 82.8% | 68.8% |
| 2026-09-14T04:56:20+00:00 | 74.4% | 55.5% | 77.3% | 82.8% | 68.8% |
| 2026-09-14T05:41:26+00:00 | 74.4% | 55.5% | 77.3% | 82.8% | 68.8% |
| 2026-09-14T06:26:33+00:00 | 74.4% | 55.5% | 77.3% | 82.8% | 68.8% |
| 2026-09-14T07:11:37+00:00 | 74.4% | 55.5% | 77.3% | 82.8% | 68.8% |
| 2026-09-14T07:56:44+00:00 | 48.2% | 55.5% | 77.3% | 83.9% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-14T08:42:08+00:00 | 48.2% | 55.5% | 77.3% | 83.9% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-14T09:27:12+00:00 | 48.2% | 55.5% | 77.3% | 83.9% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-14T10:12:17+00:00 | 48.2% | 55.5% | 77.3% | 83.9% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-14T10:57:23+00:00 | 48.2% | 50.0% | 77.3% | 83.9% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-14T11:42:32+00:00 | 48.2% | 50.0% | 77.3% | 83.9% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-14T12:27:37+00:00 | 48.2% | 50.0% | 77.3% | 83.9% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-14T13:12:42+00:00 | 48.2% | 50.0% | 77.3% | 83.9% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-14T13:57:47+00:00 | 41.1% | 50.0% | 77.1% | 83.9% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-14T14:43:28+00:00 | 41.1% | 50.0% | 77.1% | 83.9% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-14T15:28:35+00:00 | 41.1% | 53.6% | 77.1% | 83.9% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-14T16:13:49+00:00 | 41.1% | 53.6% | 77.1% | 83.9% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-14T16:58:55+00:00 | 41.1% | 53.6% | 71.7% | 83.9% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-14T17:44:01+00:00 | 41.1% | 53.6% | 71.7% | 83.9% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-14T18:29:09+00:00 | 41.1% | 53.6% | 71.7% | 83.9% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-14T19:14:14+00:00 | 41.1% | 53.6% | 71.7% | 83.9% | 60.1% |
| 2026-09-14T19:59:19+00:00 | 74.3% | 53.6% | 71.7% | 76.6% | 25.2% |
| 2026-09-14T20:44:25+00:00 | 74.3% | 53.6% | 71.7% | 76.6% | 25.2% |
| 2026-09-14T21:29:30+00:00 | 74.3% | 53.6% | 71.7% | 76.6% | 25.2% |
| 2026-09-14T22:14:35+00:00 | 74.3% | 53.6% | 71.7% | 76.6% | 25.2% |
| 2026-09-14T22:59:40+00:00 | 74.3% | 53.6% | 75.3% | 76.6% | 25.2% |
| 2026-09-14T23:44:48+00:00 | 74.3% | 53.6% | 75.3% | 76.6% | 25.2% |
| 2026-09-15T00:29:55+00:00 | 74.3% | 53.6% | 75.3% | 76.6% | 25.2% |
| 2026-09-15T01:15:03+00:00 | 74.3% | 53.6% | 75.3% | 76.6% | 25.2% |
| 2026-09-15T02:00:08+00:00 | 71.3% | 53.6% | 75.3% | 76.6% | 25.2% |
| 2026-09-15T02:45:13+00:00 | 71.3% | 53.6% | 75.3% | 76.6% | 25.2% |
| 2026-09-15T03:30:20+00:00 | 71.3% | 53.6% | 75.3% | 76.6% | 25.2% |
| 2026-09-15T04:15:38+00:00 | 71.3% | 53.6% | 75.3% | 76.6% | 25.2% |
| 2026-09-15T05:00:43+00:00 | 71.3% | 53.6% | 79.4% | 76.6% | 25.2% |
| 2026-09-15T05:45:49+00:00 | 71.3% | 53.6% | 79.4% | 76.6% | 25.2% |
| 2026-09-15T06:30:58+00:00 | 71.3% | 53.6% | 79.4% | 76.6% | 25.2% |
| 2026-09-15T07:16:02+00:00 | 71.3% | 53.6% | 79.4% | 76.6% | 25.2% |
| 2026-09-15T08:01:13+00:00 | 37.1% | 53.6% | 79.4% | 73.4% | 1.5% |
| 2026-09-15T08:46:41+00:00 | 37.1% | 53.6% | 79.4% | 73.4% | 1.5% |
| 2026-09-15T09:31:46+00:00 | 37.1% | 53.6% | 79.4% | 73.4% | 1.5% |
| 2026-09-15T10:16:50+00:00 | 37.1% | 53.6% | 79.4% | 73.4% | 1.5% |
| 2026-09-15T11:02:01+00:00 | 37.1% | 39.8% | 74.4% | 73.4% | 1.5% |
| 2026-09-15T11:47:15+00:00 | 37.1% | 39.8% | 74.4% | 73.4% | 1.5% |
| 2026-09-15T12:32:20+00:00 | 37.1% | 39.8% | 74.4% | 73.4% | 1.5% |
| 2026-09-15T13:17:25+00:00 | 37.1% | 39.8% | 74.4% | 73.4% | 1.5% |
| 2026-09-15T14:02:32+00:00 | 32.7% | 39.8% | 74.4% | 67.2% | 1.5% |
| 2026-09-15T14:48:51+00:00 | 32.7% | 39.8% | 74.4% | 67.2% | 1.5% |
| 2026-09-15T15:33:58+00:00 | 32.7% | 40.9% | 74.4% | 73.5% | 1.5% |
| 2026-09-15T16:19:06+00:00 | 32.7% | 40.9% | 74.4% | 73.5% | 1.5% |
| 2026-09-15T17:04:21+00:00 | 32.7% | 40.9% | 72.5% | 73.5% | 1.5% |
| 2026-09-15T17:49:28+00:00 | 32.7% | 40.9% | 72.5% | 73.5% | 1.5% |
| 2026-09-15T18:34:37+00:00 | 32.7% | 40.9% | 72.5% | 73.5% | 1.5% |
| 2026-09-15T19:19:42+00:00 | 32.7% | 40.9% | 72.5% | 73.5% | 1.5% |
| 2026-09-15T20:04:47+00:00 | 29.4% | 40.9% | 72.5% | 73.5% | 4.0% |
| 2026-09-15T20:49:53+00:00 | 29.4% | 40.9% | 72.5% | 73.5% | 4.0% |
| 2026-09-15T21:35:01+00:00 | 29.4% | 40.9% | 72.5% | 73.5% | 4.0% |
| 2026-09-15T22:20:08+00:00 | 29.4% | 40.9% | 72.5% | 73.5% | 4.0% |
| 2026-09-15T23:05:14+00:00 | 29.4% | 40.9% | 69.6% | 39.5% | 4.0% |
| 2026-09-15T23:50:20+00:00 | 29.4% | 40.9% | 69.6% | 39.5% | 4.0% |
| 2026-09-16T00:35:27+00:00 | 29.4% | 40.9% | 69.6% | 39.5% | 4.0% |
| 2026-09-16T01:20:35+00:00 | 29.4% | 40.9% | 69.6% | 39.5% | 4.0% |
| 2026-09-16T02:05:44+00:00 | 32.7% | 40.9% | 69.6% | 39.5% | 4.0% |
| 2026-09-16T02:50:57+00:00 | 32.7% | 40.9% | 69.6% | 39.5% | 4.0% |
| 2026-09-16T03:36:09+00:00 | 32.7% | 40.9% | 69.6% | 39.5% | 4.0% |
| 2026-09-16T04:21:31+00:00 | 32.7% | 40.9% | 69.6% | 39.5% | 4.0% |
| 2026-09-16T05:06:36+00:00 | 32.7% | 40.9% | 75.3% | 39.5% | 4.0% |
| 2026-09-16T05:51:44+00:00 | 32.7% | 40.9% | 75.3% | 39.5% | 4.0% |
| 2026-09-16T06:36:53+00:00 | 32.7% | 40.9% | 75.3% | 39.5% | 4.0% |
| 2026-09-16T07:22:01+00:00 | 40.4% | 40.9% | 75.3% | 65.5% | 1.9% |
| 2026-09-16T08:07:27+00:00 | 40.4% | 40.9% | 75.3% | 65.5% | 1.9% |
| 2026-09-16T08:52:38+00:00 | 40.4% | 40.9% | 75.3% | 65.5% | 1.9% |
| 2026-09-16T09:37:45+00:00 | 40.4% | 40.9% | 75.3% | 65.5% | 1.9% |
| 2026-09-16T10:22:58+00:00 | 40.4% | 40.9% | 75.3% | 65.5% | 1.9% |
| 2026-09-16T11:08:04+00:00 | 40.4% | 34.0% | 76.1% | 65.5% | 1.9% |
| 2026-09-16T11:53:15+00:00 | 40.4% | 34.0% | 76.1% | 65.5% | 1.9% |
| 2026-09-16T12:38:20+00:00 | 40.4% | 34.0% | 76.1% | 65.5% | 1.9% |
| 2026-09-16T13:23:25+00:00 | 29.7% | 34.0% | 76.1% | 65.5% | 1.9% |
| 2026-09-16T14:09:43+00:00 | 29.7% | 34.0% | 76.1% | 65.5% | 1.9% |
| 2026-09-16T14:54:51+00:00 | 29.7% | 30.4% | 76.1% | 65.5% | 1.9% |
| 2026-09-16T15:40:06+00:00 | 29.7% | 30.3% | 76.1% | 65.5% | 1.9% |
| 2026-09-16T16:25:12+00:00 | 29.7% | 30.3% | 76.1% | 66.4% | 4.3% |
| 2026-09-16T17:10:18+00:00 | 29.7% | 30.3% | 70.2% | 66.4% | 4.3% |
| 2026-09-16T17:55:34+00:00 | 29.7% | 30.3% | 70.2% | 66.4% | 4.3% |
| 2026-09-16T18:40:44+00:00 | 29.7% | 30.3% | 70.2% | 66.4% | 4.3% |
| 2026-09-16T19:25:49+00:00 | 40.4% | 30.3% | 70.2% | 16.1% | 4.3% |
| 2026-09-16T20:10:55+00:00 | 40.4% | 30.3% | 70.2% | 16.1% | 4.3% |
| 2026-09-16T20:56:00+00:00 | 40.4% | 30.3% | 70.2% | 16.1% | 4.3% |
| 2026-09-16T21:41:04+00:00 | 40.4% | 30.3% | 70.2% | 16.1% | 4.3% |
| 2026-09-16T22:26:09+00:00 | 40.4% | 30.3% | 70.2% | 16.1% | 4.3% |
| 2026-09-16T23:11:15+00:00 | 40.4% | 30.3% | 72.2% | 17.6% | 4.3% |
| 2026-09-16T23:56:27+00:00 | 40.4% | 30.3% | 72.2% | 17.6% | 4.3% |
| 2026-09-17T00:41:32+00:00 | 40.4% | 30.3% | 72.2% | 17.6% | 4.3% |
| 2026-09-17T01:26:42+00:00 | 42.3% | 30.3% | 72.2% | 17.6% | 4.3% |
| 2026-09-17T02:12:03+00:00 | 42.3% | 30.3% | 72.2% | 17.6% | 4.3% |
| 2026-09-17T02:57:11+00:00 | 42.3% | 30.3% | 72.2% | 17.6% | 4.3% |
| 2026-09-17T03:42:30+00:00 | 42.3% | 30.3% | 72.2% | 17.6% | 4.3% |
| 2026-09-17T04:27:39+00:00 | 42.3% | 30.3% | 72.2% | 17.6% | 3.7% |
| 2026-09-17T05:12:45+00:00 | 42.3% | 30.3% | 75.1% | 17.6% | 3.7% |
| 2026-09-17T05:57:52+00:00 | 42.3% | 30.3% | 75.1% | 17.6% | 3.7% |
| 2026-09-17T06:42:59+00:00 | 42.3% | 30.3% | 75.1% | 17.6% | 3.7% |
| 2026-09-17T07:28:04+00:00 | 33.5% | 30.3% | 75.1% | 17.6% | 3.7% |
| 2026-09-17T08:13:09+00:00 | 33.5% | 30.3% | 75.1% | 17.6% | 3.7% |
| 2026-09-17T08:58:13+00:00 | 33.5% | 30.3% | 75.1% | 17.6% | 3.7% |
| 2026-09-17T09:43:23+00:00 | 33.5% | 30.3% | 75.1% | 17.6% | 3.7% |
Forecasts & evidence
| MODEL | YES | MEAN | SPREAD σ | INITIALIZATION UTC | BRIER ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WeatherNext 2 | 75% | 85.8°F | 3.4°F | 2026-09-16 18:00 | Pending |
| AIFS Single | 34% | 82.2°F | 3.0°F | 2026-09-17 00:00 | Pending |
| IFS Ensemble | 30% | 82.0°F | 2.9°F | 2026-09-16 00:00 | Pending |
| National Blend | 25% | 82.0°F | 2.2°F | 2026-09-17 00:00 | Pending |
| NWS forecast | 25% | 82.0°F | 2.2°F | 2026-09-17 02:00 | Pending |
| IFS HRES | 18% | 80.0°F | 3.8°F | 2026-09-16 12:00 | Pending |
| ICON | 4% | 77.4°F | 3.4°F | 2026-09-17 00:00 | Pending |
Spread is the standard deviation used in the probability approximation. It is not a measured confidence rating. Brier here scores the latest recorded snapshot, not a league deadline.
High ≥ 84°F · KPIT
Daily temperature props settle on the ACIS official station record. Inclusive and strict thresholds retain their exact meanings. Provisional observations do not replace the settlement record.
WP-KPIT-20260917-TMAX-GE84
Opened Sep 10 · 07:40 UTC
Original listing: Pittsburgh runs hot-for-here: 84°F+ · Thu Sep 17
Original prop, full history & receipt ↗