KBNA / Thu Sep 17 / OFFICIAL STATION RECORD
Nashville, TNHigh ≥ 100°F
CONSENSUS FORECAST28%Sep 17 · 09:43 UTC
THE FORECAST FIELD
Who takes which side?
Probabilities derived from each source’s mean and spread. Forecasts may have different initialization times.
Head-to-head preview
ILLUSTRATIVE · NOT EXECUTED100 contracts at the midpoint of these model probabilities. Each contract pays 1u to the winning side.
HRES +74.95u · ICON −74.95u
These are current forecast comparisons, not locked entries. No credits have been committed. Read the proposed policy →
FOLLOW THE RUNS
Probability history
Recorded source probabilities; timestamps mark snapshots. Repeated values may come from the same model run.
AIFS SingleIFS EnsembleWeatherNext 2IFS HRESICON
View the forecast data
| UTC | AIFS | EPS | WN2 | HRES | ICON |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10T07:40:49+00:00 | 5.7% | 0.4% | 5.0% | 33.0% | 23.4% |
| 2026-09-10T08:26:01+00:00 | 5.7% | 0.4% | 5.0% | 33.0% | 23.4% |
| 2026-09-10T09:11:06+00:00 | 5.7% | 0.4% | 5.0% | 33.0% | 23.4% |
| 2026-09-10T09:56:10+00:00 | 5.7% | 0.4% | 5.0% | 33.0% | 23.4% |
| 2026-09-10T10:41:14+00:00 | 5.7% | 0.4% | 5.0% | 33.0% | 23.4% |
| 2026-09-10T11:26:20+00:00 | 5.7% | 1.0% | 3.3% | 33.0% | 23.4% |
| 2026-09-10T12:11:27+00:00 | 5.7% | 1.0% | 3.3% | 33.0% | 23.4% |
| 2026-09-10T12:56:32+00:00 | 5.7% | 1.0% | 3.3% | 33.0% | 23.4% |
| 2026-09-10T13:41:36+00:00 | 7.8% | 1.0% | 3.3% | 33.0% | 23.4% |
| 2026-09-10T14:26:55+00:00 | 7.8% | 1.0% | 3.3% | 33.0% | 23.8% |
| 2026-09-10T15:12:01+00:00 | 7.8% | 1.0% | 3.3% | 33.0% | 23.8% |
| 2026-09-10T15:57:11+00:00 | 7.8% | 1.0% | 3.3% | 33.0% | 23.8% |
| 2026-09-10T16:42:16+00:00 | 7.8% | 1.0% | 3.3% | 33.0% | 42.3% |
| 2026-09-10T17:27:21+00:00 | 7.8% | 1.0% | 4.2% | 33.0% | 42.3% |
| 2026-09-10T18:12:29+00:00 | 7.8% | 1.0% | 4.2% | 33.0% | 42.3% |
| 2026-09-10T18:57:34+00:00 | 7.8% | 1.0% | 4.2% | 33.0% | 42.3% |
| 2026-09-10T19:42:39+00:00 | 12.6% | 1.0% | 4.2% | 18.1% | 48.8% |
| 2026-09-10T20:27:45+00:00 | 12.6% | 1.0% | 4.2% | 18.1% | 48.8% |
| 2026-09-10T21:12:50+00:00 | 12.6% | 1.0% | 4.2% | 18.1% | 48.8% |
| 2026-09-10T21:57:55+00:00 | 12.6% | 1.0% | 4.2% | 18.1% | 48.8% |
| 2026-09-10T22:42:59+00:00 | 12.6% | 1.0% | 4.2% | 18.1% | 48.8% |
| 2026-09-10T23:28:04+00:00 | 12.6% | 1.0% | 9.5% | 18.1% | 48.8% |
| 2026-09-11T00:13:09+00:00 | 12.6% | 1.0% | 9.5% | 18.1% | 48.8% |
| 2026-09-11T00:58:16+00:00 | 12.6% | 1.0% | 9.5% | 18.1% | 48.8% |
| 2026-09-11T01:43:23+00:00 | 18.2% | 0.7% | 9.5% | 18.1% | 48.8% |
| 2026-09-11T02:28:28+00:00 | 18.2% | 0.7% | 9.5% | 18.1% | 48.8% |
| 2026-09-11T03:13:36+00:00 | 18.2% | 0.7% | 9.5% | 18.1% | 48.8% |
| 2026-09-11T03:58:45+00:00 | 18.2% | 0.7% | 9.5% | 18.1% | 48.8% |
| 2026-09-11T04:43:50+00:00 | 18.2% | 0.7% | 9.5% | 18.1% | 23.7% |
| 2026-09-11T05:28:56+00:00 | 18.2% | 0.7% | 8.8% | 18.1% | 23.7% |
| 2026-09-11T06:14:04+00:00 | 18.2% | 0.7% | 8.8% | 18.1% | 23.7% |
| 2026-09-11T06:59:08+00:00 | 18.2% | 0.7% | 8.8% | 18.1% | 23.7% |
| 2026-09-11T07:44:19+00:00 | 25.1% | 0.7% | 8.8% | 33.2% | 23.7% |
| 2026-09-11T08:29:35+00:00 | 25.1% | 0.7% | 8.8% | 33.2% | 23.7% |
| 2026-09-11T09:14:41+00:00 | 25.1% | 0.7% | 8.8% | 33.2% | 23.7% |
| 2026-09-11T09:59:45+00:00 | 25.1% | 0.7% | 8.8% | 33.2% | 23.7% |
| 2026-09-11T10:44:50+00:00 | 25.1% | 0.7% | 8.8% | 33.2% | 23.7% |
| 2026-09-11T11:29:56+00:00 | 25.1% | 1.0% | 11.3% | 33.2% | 23.7% |
| 2026-09-11T12:15:02+00:00 | 25.1% | 1.0% | 11.3% | 33.2% | 23.7% |
| 2026-09-11T13:00:11+00:00 | 25.1% | 1.0% | 11.3% | 33.2% | 23.7% |
| 2026-09-11T13:45:23+00:00 | 30.8% | 1.0% | 11.3% | 33.2% | 23.7% |
| 2026-09-11T14:30:51+00:00 | 30.7% | 1.5% | 11.3% | 33.2% | 23.9% |
| 2026-09-11T15:15:59+00:00 | 30.7% | 1.2% | 11.3% | 33.2% | 23.9% |
| 2026-09-11T16:01:08+00:00 | 30.7% | 1.2% | 11.3% | 33.2% | 23.9% |
| 2026-09-11T16:46:13+00:00 | 30.7% | 1.2% | 11.3% | 33.2% | 30.7% |
| 2026-09-11T17:31:19+00:00 | 30.7% | 1.2% | 10.9% | 33.2% | 30.7% |
| 2026-09-11T18:16:27+00:00 | 30.7% | 1.2% | 10.9% | 33.2% | 30.7% |
| 2026-09-11T19:01:32+00:00 | 30.7% | 1.2% | 10.9% | 33.2% | 30.7% |
| 2026-09-11T19:46:37+00:00 | 29.4% | 1.2% | 10.9% | 54.2% | 30.7% |
| 2026-09-11T20:31:44+00:00 | 29.4% | 1.2% | 10.9% | 54.2% | 30.7% |
| 2026-09-11T21:16:50+00:00 | 29.4% | 1.2% | 10.9% | 54.2% | 30.7% |
| 2026-09-11T22:01:57+00:00 | 29.4% | 1.2% | 10.9% | 54.2% | 30.7% |
| 2026-09-11T22:47:03+00:00 | 29.4% | 1.2% | 10.9% | 54.2% | 30.7% |
| 2026-09-11T23:32:08+00:00 | 29.4% | 1.1% | 11.3% | 54.2% | 30.7% |
| 2026-09-12T00:17:14+00:00 | 29.4% | 1.1% | 11.3% | 54.2% | 30.7% |
| 2026-09-12T01:02:22+00:00 | 29.4% | 1.1% | 11.3% | 54.2% | 30.7% |
| 2026-09-12T01:47:28+00:00 | 25.7% | 1.1% | 11.3% | 54.2% | 30.7% |
| 2026-09-12T02:32:34+00:00 | 25.7% | 1.1% | 11.3% | 54.2% | 30.7% |
| 2026-09-12T03:17:43+00:00 | 25.7% | 1.1% | 11.3% | 54.2% | 30.7% |
| 2026-09-12T04:02:55+00:00 | 25.7% | 1.1% | 11.3% | 54.2% | 30.7% |
| 2026-09-12T04:47:59+00:00 | 25.7% | 1.1% | 11.3% | 54.2% | 30.7% |
| 2026-09-12T05:33:05+00:00 | 25.7% | 1.1% | 11.3% | 54.2% | 30.7% |
| 2026-09-12T06:18:13+00:00 | 25.7% | 1.1% | 11.3% | 54.2% | 30.7% |
| 2026-09-12T07:03:18+00:00 | 25.7% | 1.1% | 11.3% | 54.2% | 30.7% |
| 2026-09-12T07:48:29+00:00 | 25.5% | 1.1% | 11.3% | 20.6% | 44.5% |
| 2026-09-12T08:33:45+00:00 | 25.5% | 1.1% | 11.3% | 20.6% | 44.5% |
| 2026-09-12T09:18:50+00:00 | 25.5% | 1.1% | 11.3% | 20.6% | 44.5% |
| 2026-09-12T10:03:55+00:00 | 25.5% | 1.1% | 11.3% | 20.6% | 44.5% |
| 2026-09-12T10:48:59+00:00 | 25.5% | 1.1% | 11.3% | 20.6% | 44.5% |
| 2026-09-12T11:34:06+00:00 | 25.5% | 0.9% | 8.0% | 20.6% | 44.5% |
| 2026-09-12T12:19:14+00:00 | 25.5% | 0.9% | 8.0% | 20.6% | 44.5% |
| 2026-09-12T13:04:22+00:00 | 25.5% | 0.9% | 8.0% | 20.6% | 44.5% |
| 2026-09-12T13:49:29+00:00 | 27.4% | 0.9% | 8.0% | 20.6% | 44.5% |
| 2026-09-12T14:34:59+00:00 | 27.4% | 0.9% | 8.0% | 25.8% | 44.5% |
| 2026-09-12T15:20:10+00:00 | 27.4% | 1.6% | 8.0% | 20.6% | 44.5% |
| 2026-09-12T16:05:21+00:00 | 27.4% | 1.6% | 8.0% | 20.6% | 44.5% |
| 2026-09-12T16:50:27+00:00 | 27.4% | 1.6% | 8.0% | 20.6% | 44.5% |
| 2026-09-12T17:35:32+00:00 | 27.4% | 1.6% | 7.0% | 20.6% | 44.5% |
| 2026-09-12T18:20:41+00:00 | 27.4% | 1.6% | 7.0% | 20.6% | 44.5% |
| 2026-09-12T19:05:46+00:00 | 27.4% | 1.6% | 7.0% | 20.6% | 44.5% |
| 2026-09-12T19:50:51+00:00 | 24.2% | 1.6% | 7.0% | 20.6% | 45.9% |
| 2026-09-12T20:35:57+00:00 | 24.2% | 1.6% | 7.0% | 20.6% | 45.9% |
| 2026-09-12T21:21:02+00:00 | 24.2% | 1.6% | 7.0% | 20.6% | 45.9% |
| 2026-09-12T22:06:08+00:00 | 24.2% | 1.6% | 7.0% | 20.6% | 45.9% |
| 2026-09-12T22:51:13+00:00 | 24.2% | 1.6% | 7.0% | 37.3% | 45.9% |
| 2026-09-12T23:36:19+00:00 | 24.2% | 1.4% | 7.7% | 37.3% | 45.9% |
| 2026-09-13T00:21:26+00:00 | 24.2% | 1.4% | 7.7% | 37.3% | 45.9% |
| 2026-09-13T01:06:32+00:00 | 24.2% | 1.4% | 7.7% | 37.3% | 45.9% |
| 2026-09-13T01:51:43+00:00 | 29.4% | 1.4% | 7.7% | 37.3% | 45.9% |
| 2026-09-13T02:36:52+00:00 | 29.4% | 1.4% | 7.7% | 37.3% | 45.9% |
| 2026-09-13T03:21:58+00:00 | 29.4% | 1.4% | 7.7% | 37.3% | 45.9% |
| 2026-09-13T04:07:06+00:00 | 29.4% | 1.4% | 7.7% | 37.3% | 45.9% |
| 2026-09-13T04:52:18+00:00 | 29.4% | 1.4% | 7.7% | 37.3% | 45.9% |
| 2026-09-13T05:37:24+00:00 | 29.4% | 1.4% | 7.7% | 37.3% | 45.9% |
| 2026-09-13T06:22:32+00:00 | 29.4% | 1.4% | 7.7% | 37.3% | 45.9% |
| 2026-09-13T07:07:37+00:00 | 29.4% | 1.4% | 7.7% | 37.3% | 45.9% |
| 2026-09-13T07:52:50+00:00 | 26.9% | 1.4% | 7.7% | 48.4% | 39.1% |
| 2026-09-13T08:38:12+00:00 | 26.9% | 1.4% | 7.7% | 48.4% | 39.1% |
| 2026-09-13T09:23:17+00:00 | 26.9% | 1.4% | 7.7% | 48.4% | 39.1% |
| 2026-09-13T10:08:22+00:00 | 26.9% | 1.4% | 7.7% | 48.4% | 39.1% |
| 2026-09-13T10:53:30+00:00 | 26.9% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 48.4% | 39.1% |
| 2026-09-13T11:38:38+00:00 | 26.9% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 48.4% | 39.1% |
| 2026-09-13T12:23:44+00:00 | 26.9% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 48.4% | 39.1% |
| 2026-09-13T13:08:49+00:00 | 26.9% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 48.4% | 39.1% |
| 2026-09-13T13:53:54+00:00 | 31.3% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 48.4% | 39.1% |
| 2026-09-13T14:39:25+00:00 | 31.3% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 48.4% | 39.1% |
| 2026-09-13T15:24:31+00:00 | 31.3% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 48.4% | 39.1% |
| 2026-09-13T16:09:35+00:00 | 31.3% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 48.4% | 39.1% |
| 2026-09-13T16:54:42+00:00 | 31.3% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 48.4% | 39.1% |
| 2026-09-13T17:39:51+00:00 | 31.3% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 48.4% | 39.1% |
| 2026-09-13T18:24:59+00:00 | 31.3% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 48.4% | 39.1% |
| 2026-09-13T19:10:04+00:00 | 31.3% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 48.4% | 39.1% |
| 2026-09-13T19:55:09+00:00 | 32.8% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 44.5% | 39.1% |
| 2026-09-13T20:40:15+00:00 | 32.8% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 44.5% | 39.1% |
| 2026-09-13T21:25:19+00:00 | 32.8% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 44.5% | 39.1% |
| 2026-09-13T22:10:24+00:00 | 32.8% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 44.5% | 39.1% |
| 2026-09-13T22:55:28+00:00 | 32.8% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 44.5% | 39.1% |
| 2026-09-13T23:40:34+00:00 | 32.8% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 44.5% | 39.1% |
| 2026-09-14T00:25:39+00:00 | 32.8% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 44.5% | 39.1% |
| 2026-09-14T01:10:47+00:00 | 32.8% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 44.5% | 39.1% |
| 2026-09-14T01:55:51+00:00 | 31.3% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 44.5% | 39.1% |
| 2026-09-14T02:40:57+00:00 | 31.3% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 44.5% | 39.1% |
| 2026-09-14T03:26:02+00:00 | 31.3% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 44.5% | 39.1% |
| 2026-09-14T04:11:09+00:00 | 31.3% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 44.5% | 39.1% |
| 2026-09-14T04:56:22+00:00 | 31.3% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 44.5% | 39.1% |
| 2026-09-14T05:41:27+00:00 | 31.3% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 44.5% | 39.1% |
| 2026-09-14T06:26:35+00:00 | 31.3% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 44.5% | 39.1% |
| 2026-09-14T07:11:39+00:00 | 31.3% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 44.5% | 39.1% |
| 2026-09-14T07:56:51+00:00 | 35.9% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 44.7% | 6.1% |
| 2026-09-14T08:42:09+00:00 | 35.9% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 44.7% | 6.1% |
| 2026-09-14T09:27:14+00:00 | 35.9% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 44.7% | 6.1% |
| 2026-09-14T10:12:19+00:00 | 35.9% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 44.7% | 6.1% |
| 2026-09-14T10:57:26+00:00 | 35.9% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 44.7% | 6.1% |
| 2026-09-14T11:42:33+00:00 | 35.9% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 44.7% | 6.1% |
| 2026-09-14T12:27:38+00:00 | 35.9% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 44.7% | 6.1% |
| 2026-09-14T13:12:43+00:00 | 35.9% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 44.7% | 6.1% |
| 2026-09-14T13:57:49+00:00 | 35.9% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 44.7% | 6.1% |
| 2026-09-14T14:43:29+00:00 | 35.9% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 44.7% | 6.1% |
| 2026-09-14T15:28:38+00:00 | 35.9% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 44.7% | 6.1% |
| 2026-09-14T16:13:51+00:00 | 35.9% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 44.7% | 6.1% |
| 2026-09-14T16:58:56+00:00 | 35.9% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 44.7% | 6.1% |
| 2026-09-14T17:44:02+00:00 | 35.9% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 44.7% | 6.1% |
| 2026-09-14T18:29:10+00:00 | 35.9% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 44.7% | 6.1% |
| 2026-09-14T19:14:15+00:00 | 35.9% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 44.7% | 6.1% |
| 2026-09-14T19:59:20+00:00 | 35.1% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 51.8% | 12.9% |
| 2026-09-14T20:44:27+00:00 | 35.1% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 51.8% | 12.9% |
| 2026-09-14T21:29:31+00:00 | 35.1% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 51.8% | 12.9% |
| 2026-09-14T22:14:36+00:00 | 35.1% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 51.8% | 12.9% |
| 2026-09-14T22:59:42+00:00 | 35.1% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 51.8% | 12.9% |
| 2026-09-14T23:44:50+00:00 | 35.1% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 51.8% | 12.9% |
| 2026-09-15T00:29:56+00:00 | 35.1% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 51.8% | 12.9% |
| 2026-09-15T01:15:04+00:00 | 35.1% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 51.8% | 12.9% |
| 2026-09-15T02:00:09+00:00 | 34.3% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 51.8% | 12.9% |
| 2026-09-15T02:45:15+00:00 | 34.3% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 51.8% | 12.9% |
| 2026-09-15T03:30:24+00:00 | 34.3% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 51.8% | 12.9% |
| 2026-09-15T04:15:39+00:00 | 34.3% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 51.8% | 12.9% |
| 2026-09-15T05:00:45+00:00 | 34.3% | 14.9% | 22.2% | 51.8% | 12.9% |
| 2026-09-15T05:45:51+00:00 | 34.3% | 14.9% | 22.2% | 51.8% | 12.9% |
| 2026-09-15T06:30:58+00:00 | 34.3% | 14.9% | 22.2% | 51.8% | 12.9% |
| 2026-09-15T07:16:03+00:00 | 34.3% | 14.9% | 22.2% | 51.8% | 12.9% |
| 2026-09-15T08:01:21+00:00 | 37.1% | 14.9% | 22.2% | 51.0% | 25.0% |
| 2026-09-15T08:46:42+00:00 | 37.1% | 14.9% | 22.2% | 51.0% | 25.0% |
| 2026-09-15T09:31:47+00:00 | 37.1% | 14.9% | 22.2% | 51.0% | 25.0% |
| 2026-09-15T10:16:53+00:00 | 37.1% | 14.9% | 22.2% | 51.0% | 25.0% |
| 2026-09-15T11:02:04+00:00 | 37.1% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 51.0% | 25.0% |
| 2026-09-15T11:47:16+00:00 | 37.1% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 51.0% | 25.0% |
| 2026-09-15T12:32:21+00:00 | 37.1% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 51.0% | 25.0% |
| 2026-09-15T13:17:26+00:00 | 37.1% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 51.0% | 25.0% |
| 2026-09-15T14:02:35+00:00 | 33.6% | 18.0% | 13.9% | 50.7% | 25.0% |
| 2026-09-15T14:48:53+00:00 | 33.6% | 18.0% | 13.9% | 50.7% | 25.0% |
| 2026-09-15T15:34:00+00:00 | 33.6% | 18.0% | 13.9% | 51.0% | 25.0% |
| 2026-09-15T16:19:08+00:00 | 33.6% | 18.0% | 13.9% | 51.0% | 25.0% |
| 2026-09-15T17:04:22+00:00 | 33.6% | 18.0% | 8.6% | 51.0% | 25.0% |
| 2026-09-15T17:49:29+00:00 | 33.6% | 18.0% | 8.6% | 51.0% | 25.0% |
| 2026-09-15T18:34:38+00:00 | 33.6% | 18.0% | 8.6% | 51.0% | 25.0% |
| 2026-09-15T19:19:43+00:00 | 33.6% | 18.0% | 8.6% | 51.0% | 25.0% |
| 2026-09-15T20:04:48+00:00 | 35.3% | 18.0% | 8.6% | 51.0% | 20.7% |
| 2026-09-15T20:49:54+00:00 | 35.3% | 18.0% | 8.6% | 51.0% | 20.7% |
| 2026-09-15T21:35:04+00:00 | 35.3% | 18.0% | 8.6% | 51.0% | 20.7% |
| 2026-09-15T22:20:09+00:00 | 35.3% | 18.0% | 8.6% | 51.0% | 20.7% |
| 2026-09-15T23:05:15+00:00 | 35.3% | 19.0% | 9.0% | 39.5% | 20.7% |
| 2026-09-15T23:50:22+00:00 | 35.3% | 19.0% | 9.0% | 39.5% | 20.7% |
| 2026-09-16T00:35:28+00:00 | 35.3% | 19.0% | 9.0% | 39.5% | 20.7% |
| 2026-09-16T01:20:36+00:00 | 35.3% | 19.0% | 9.0% | 39.5% | 20.7% |
| 2026-09-16T02:05:48+00:00 | 36.2% | 19.0% | 9.0% | 39.5% | 20.7% |
| 2026-09-16T02:50:59+00:00 | 36.2% | 19.0% | 9.0% | 39.5% | 20.7% |
| 2026-09-16T03:36:14+00:00 | 36.2% | 19.0% | 9.0% | 39.5% | 20.7% |
| 2026-09-16T04:21:32+00:00 | 36.2% | 19.0% | 9.0% | 39.5% | 20.7% |
| 2026-09-16T05:06:38+00:00 | 36.2% | 19.0% | 18.9% | 39.5% | 20.7% |
| 2026-09-16T05:51:45+00:00 | 36.2% | 19.0% | 18.9% | 39.5% | 20.7% |
| 2026-09-16T06:36:55+00:00 | 36.2% | 19.0% | 18.9% | 39.5% | 20.7% |
| 2026-09-16T07:22:07+00:00 | 39.5% | 19.0% | 18.9% | 53.2% | 12.5% |
| 2026-09-16T08:07:30+00:00 | 39.5% | 19.0% | 18.9% | 53.2% | 12.5% |
| 2026-09-16T08:52:39+00:00 | 39.5% | 19.0% | 18.9% | 53.2% | 12.5% |
| 2026-09-16T09:37:49+00:00 | 39.5% | 19.0% | 18.9% | 53.2% | 12.5% |
| 2026-09-16T10:22:59+00:00 | 39.5% | 19.0% | 18.9% | 53.2% | 12.5% |
| 2026-09-16T11:08:06+00:00 | 39.5% | 20.8% | 15.8% | 53.2% | 12.5% |
| 2026-09-16T11:53:15+00:00 | 39.5% | 20.8% | 15.8% | 53.2% | 12.5% |
| 2026-09-16T12:38:21+00:00 | 39.5% | 20.8% | 15.8% | 53.2% | 12.5% |
| 2026-09-16T13:23:26+00:00 | 37.6% | 20.8% | 15.8% | 53.2% | 12.5% |
| 2026-09-16T14:09:45+00:00 | 37.6% | 20.9% | 15.8% | 53.2% | 12.4% |
| 2026-09-16T14:54:54+00:00 | 37.6% | 22.0% | 15.8% | 53.2% | 12.4% |
| 2026-09-16T15:40:07+00:00 | 37.6% | 22.0% | 15.8% | 53.2% | 12.4% |
| 2026-09-16T16:25:13+00:00 | 37.6% | 22.0% | 15.8% | 53.4% | 11.8% |
| 2026-09-16T17:10:20+00:00 | 37.6% | 22.0% | 9.2% | 53.4% | 11.8% |
| 2026-09-16T17:55:35+00:00 | 37.6% | 22.0% | 9.2% | 53.4% | 11.8% |
| 2026-09-16T18:40:45+00:00 | 37.6% | 22.0% | 9.2% | 53.4% | 11.8% |
| 2026-09-16T19:25:50+00:00 | 44.2% | 22.0% | 9.2% | 41.1% | 11.8% |
| 2026-09-16T20:10:56+00:00 | 44.2% | 22.0% | 9.2% | 41.1% | 11.8% |
| 2026-09-16T20:56:01+00:00 | 44.2% | 22.0% | 9.2% | 41.1% | 11.8% |
| 2026-09-16T21:41:05+00:00 | 44.2% | 22.0% | 9.2% | 41.1% | 11.8% |
| 2026-09-16T22:26:10+00:00 | 44.2% | 22.0% | 9.2% | 41.1% | 11.8% |
| 2026-09-16T23:11:17+00:00 | 44.2% | 28.3% | 9.2% | 41.6% | 11.8% |
| 2026-09-16T23:56:28+00:00 | 44.2% | 28.3% | 9.2% | 41.6% | 11.8% |
| 2026-09-17T00:41:33+00:00 | 44.2% | 28.3% | 9.2% | 41.6% | 11.8% |
| 2026-09-17T01:26:47+00:00 | 42.3% | 28.3% | 9.2% | 41.6% | 11.8% |
| 2026-09-17T02:12:06+00:00 | 42.3% | 28.3% | 9.2% | 41.6% | 11.8% |
| 2026-09-17T02:57:15+00:00 | 42.3% | 28.3% | 9.2% | 41.6% | 11.8% |
| 2026-09-17T03:42:32+00:00 | 42.3% | 28.3% | 9.2% | 41.6% | 11.8% |
| 2026-09-17T04:27:40+00:00 | 42.3% | 28.3% | 9.2% | 41.6% | 8.5% |
| 2026-09-17T05:12:46+00:00 | 42.3% | 28.3% | 24.9% | 41.6% | 8.5% |
| 2026-09-17T05:57:53+00:00 | 42.3% | 28.3% | 24.9% | 41.6% | 8.5% |
| 2026-09-17T06:43:01+00:00 | 42.3% | 28.3% | 24.9% | 41.6% | 8.5% |
| 2026-09-17T07:28:05+00:00 | 35.9% | 28.3% | 24.9% | 41.6% | 8.5% |
| 2026-09-17T08:13:10+00:00 | 35.9% | 28.3% | 24.9% | 41.6% | 8.5% |
| 2026-09-17T08:58:15+00:00 | 35.9% | 28.3% | 24.9% | 41.6% | 8.5% |
| 2026-09-17T09:43:23+00:00 | 35.9% | 28.3% | 24.9% | 41.6% | 8.5% |
THE MODEL BOX SCORE
Forecasts & evidence
| MODEL | YES | MEAN | SPREAD σ | INITIALIZATION UTC | BRIER ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS forecast | 59% | 100.0°F | 2.2°F | 2026-09-17 02:00 | Pending |
| IFS HRES | 42% | 98.7°F | 3.8°F | 2026-09-16 12:00 | Pending |
| AIFS Single | 36% | 98.4°F | 3.0°F | 2026-09-17 00:00 | Pending |
| IFS Ensemble | 28% | 98.0°F | 2.6°F | 2026-09-16 00:00 | Pending |
| National Blend | 25% | 98.0°F | 2.2°F | 2026-09-17 00:00 | Pending |
| WeatherNext 2 | 25% | 97.2°F | 3.4°F | 2026-09-16 18:00 | Pending |
| ICON | 8% | 94.8°F | 3.4°F | 2026-09-17 00:00 | Pending |
Spread is the standard deviation used in the probability approximation. It is not a measured confidence rating. Brier here scores the latest recorded snapshot, not a league deadline.
High ≥ 100°F · KBNA
Daily temperature props settle on the ACIS official station record. Inclusive and strict thresholds retain their exact meanings. Provisional observations do not replace the settlement record.
WP-KBNA-20260917-TMAX-GE100
Opened Sep 10 · 07:40 UTC
Original listing: Triple digits in Nashville · Thu Sep 17
Original prop, full history & receipt ↗