Nashville, TNHigh ≥ 86°F
Who takes which side?
Probabilities derived from each source’s mean and spread. Forecasts may have different initialization times.
Head-to-head preview
ILLUSTRATIVE · NOT EXECUTED50 contracts at the midpoint of these model probabilities. Each contract pays 1u to the winning side.
AIFS +46.55u · WN2 −46.55u
These are current forecast comparisons, not locked entries. No credits have been committed. Read the proposed policy →
Probability history
Recorded source probabilities; timestamps mark snapshots. Repeated values may come from the same model run.
View the forecast data
| UTC | AIFS | EPS | WN2 | HRES | ICON |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29T07:22:29+00:00 | 6.5% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 19.8% |
| 2026-09-29T08:08:16+00:00 | 6.5% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 19.8% |
| 2026-09-29T08:53:32+00:00 | 6.5% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 19.8% |
| 2026-09-29T09:38:37+00:00 | 6.5% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 19.8% |
| 2026-09-29T10:23:42+00:00 | 6.5% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 19.8% |
| 2026-09-29T11:08:51+00:00 | 6.5% | 6.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 19.8% |
| 2026-09-29T11:54:06+00:00 | 6.5% | 6.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 19.8% |
| 2026-09-29T12:39:11+00:00 | 6.5% | 6.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 19.8% |
| 2026-09-29T13:24:16+00:00 | 2.8% | 6.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 19.8% |
| 2026-09-29T14:11:41+00:00 | 2.8% | 6.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 19.8% |
| 2026-09-29T14:56:55+00:00 | 2.8% | 6.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 19.8% |
| 2026-09-29T15:42:16+00:00 | 2.8% | 6.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 19.8% |
| 2026-09-29T16:27:41+00:00 | 2.8% | 6.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 4.5% |
| 2026-09-29T17:12:51+00:00 | 2.8% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.5% |
| 2026-09-29T17:57:58+00:00 | 2.8% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.5% |
| 2026-09-29T18:43:06+00:00 | 2.8% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.5% |
| 2026-09-29T19:28:13+00:00 | 10.7% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 30.4% |
| 2026-09-29T20:13:35+00:00 | 10.7% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 30.4% |
| 2026-09-29T20:58:47+00:00 | 10.7% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 30.4% |
| 2026-09-29T21:43:55+00:00 | 10.7% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 30.4% |
| 2026-09-29T22:29:02+00:00 | 10.7% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 30.4% |
| 2026-09-29T23:14:14+00:00 | 10.7% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 30.4% |
| 2026-09-29T23:59:27+00:00 | 10.7% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 30.4% |
| 2026-09-30T00:44:33+00:00 | 10.7% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 30.4% |
| 2026-09-30T01:29:51+00:00 | 14.8% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 30.4% |
| 2026-09-30T02:14:59+00:00 | 14.8% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 30.4% |
| 2026-09-30T03:00:08+00:00 | 14.8% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 30.4% |
| 2026-09-30T03:45:22+00:00 | 14.8% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 30.4% |
| 2026-09-30T04:30:39+00:00 | 14.8% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 16.5% |
| 2026-09-30T05:16:19+00:00 | 14.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 16.5% |
| 2026-09-30T06:01:28+00:00 | 14.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 16.5% |
| 2026-09-30T06:46:37+00:00 | 14.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 16.5% |
| 2026-09-30T07:31:59+00:00 | 14.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 17.1% | 16.5% |
| 2026-09-30T08:18:13+00:00 | 14.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 17.1% | 16.5% |
| 2026-09-30T09:03:35+00:00 | 14.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 17.1% | 16.5% |
| 2026-09-30T09:48:41+00:00 | 14.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 17.1% | 16.5% |
| 2026-09-30T10:34:41+00:00 | 28.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 17.1% | 16.5% |
| 2026-09-30T11:19:59+00:00 | 28.6% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 17.1% | 16.5% |
| 2026-09-30T12:05:14+00:00 | 28.6% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 17.1% | 16.5% |
| 2026-09-30T12:50:19+00:00 | 28.6% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 17.1% | 16.5% |
| 2026-09-30T13:35:29+00:00 | 15.0% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 17.1% | 16.5% |
| 2026-09-30T14:23:08+00:00 | 15.0% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 17.0% | 16.8% |
| 2026-09-30T15:08:15+00:00 | 15.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 17.0% | 16.8% |
| 2026-09-30T15:53:29+00:00 | 15.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 17.0% | 16.8% |
| 2026-09-30T16:38:49+00:00 | 15.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 17.0% | 17.6% |
| 2026-09-30T17:23:57+00:00 | 15.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 17.0% | 17.6% |
| 2026-09-30T18:09:04+00:00 | 15.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 17.0% | 17.6% |
| 2026-09-30T18:54:13+00:00 | 15.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 17.0% | 17.6% |
| 2026-09-30T19:39:19+00:00 | 29.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 20.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-09-30T20:24:32+00:00 | 29.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 20.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-09-30T21:09:38+00:00 | 29.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 20.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-09-30T21:54:44+00:00 | 29.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 20.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-09-30T22:39:50+00:00 | 29.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 20.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-09-30T23:24:55+00:00 | 29.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 20.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-01T00:10:15+00:00 | 29.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 20.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-01T00:55:50+00:00 | 29.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 20.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-01T01:40:55+00:00 | 23.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 20.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-01T02:26:03+00:00 | 23.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 20.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-01T03:11:23+00:00 | 23.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 20.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-01T03:57:03+00:00 | 23.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 20.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-01T04:42:09+00:00 | 23.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 20.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-01T05:27:14+00:00 | 23.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 20.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-01T06:12:19+00:00 | 23.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 20.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-01T06:57:24+00:00 | 23.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 20.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-01T07:42:48+00:00 | 18.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 18.0% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-01T08:28:45+00:00 | 18.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 18.0% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-01T09:13:50+00:00 | 18.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 18.0% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-01T09:58:54+00:00 | 18.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 18.0% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-01T10:43:58+00:00 | 18.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 18.0% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-01T11:29:09+00:00 | 18.0% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 18.0% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-01T12:14:28+00:00 | 18.0% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 18.0% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-01T12:59:34+00:00 | 18.0% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 18.0% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-01T13:44:45+00:00 | 15.5% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 18.0% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-01T14:32:56+00:00 | 15.5% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 18.0% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-01T15:18:11+00:00 | 15.5% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 18.0% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-01T16:03:42+00:00 | 15.5% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 18.0% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-01T16:48:49+00:00 | 15.5% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 18.0% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-01T17:33:57+00:00 | 15.5% | 8.4% | 2.4% | 18.0% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-01T18:19:03+00:00 | 15.5% | 8.4% | 2.4% | 18.0% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-01T19:04:08+00:00 | 15.5% | 8.4% | 2.4% | 18.0% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-01T19:49:13+00:00 | 9.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | 11.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-01T20:34:24+00:00 | 9.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | 11.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-01T21:19:30+00:00 | 9.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | 11.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-01T22:04:40+00:00 | 9.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | 11.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-01T22:49:47+00:00 | 9.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | 11.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-01T23:34:53+00:00 | 9.7% | 7.8% | 2.2% | 11.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-02T00:19:58+00:00 | 9.7% | 7.8% | 2.2% | 11.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-02T01:05:07+00:00 | 9.7% | 7.8% | 2.2% | 11.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-02T01:50:22+00:00 | 11.1% | 7.8% | 2.2% | 11.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-02T02:35:39+00:00 | 11.1% | 7.8% | 2.2% | 11.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-02T03:20:55+00:00 | 11.1% | 7.8% | 2.2% | 11.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-02T04:06:24+00:00 | 11.1% | 7.8% | 2.2% | 11.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-02T04:51:30+00:00 | 11.1% | 7.8% | 2.2% | 11.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-02T05:36:46+00:00 | 11.1% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-02T06:22:01+00:00 | 11.1% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-02T07:07:11+00:00 | 11.1% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-02T07:52:21+00:00 | 13.0% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-02T08:37:31+00:00 | 13.0% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-02T09:22:36+00:00 | 13.0% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-02T10:07:43+00:00 | 13.0% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-02T10:53:18+00:00 | 13.0% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-02T11:39:23+00:00 | 13.0% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-02T12:25:21+00:00 | 13.0% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-02T13:10:27+00:00 | 13.0% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 17.6% |
| 2026-10-02T13:55:56+00:00 | 12.1% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 17.7% |
| 2026-10-02T14:44:22+00:00 | 12.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 17.7% |
| 2026-10-02T15:29:52+00:00 | 12.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 17.7% |
| 2026-10-02T16:15:00+00:00 | 12.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 17.7% |
| 2026-10-02T17:00:11+00:00 | 12.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% |
| 2026-10-02T17:45:22+00:00 | 12.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% |
| 2026-10-02T18:30:28+00:00 | 12.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% |
| 2026-10-02T19:15:34+00:00 | 12.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% |
| 2026-10-02T20:00:41+00:00 | 14.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% |
| 2026-10-02T20:45:52+00:00 | 14.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% |
| 2026-10-02T21:30:57+00:00 | 14.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% |
| 2026-10-02T22:16:30+00:00 | 14.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% |
| 2026-10-02T23:01:44+00:00 | 14.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% |
| 2026-10-02T23:46:53+00:00 | 14.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% |
| 2026-10-03T00:31:59+00:00 | 14.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% |
| 2026-10-03T01:17:14+00:00 | 14.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% |
| 2026-10-03T02:02:31+00:00 | 17.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% |
| 2026-10-03T02:47:42+00:00 | 17.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% |
| 2026-10-03T03:33:05+00:00 | 17.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% |
| 2026-10-03T04:18:36+00:00 | 17.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% |
| 2026-10-03T05:03:42+00:00 | 17.5% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% |
| 2026-10-03T05:48:49+00:00 | 17.5% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% |
| 2026-10-03T06:33:54+00:00 | 17.5% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% |
| 2026-10-03T07:18:59+00:00 | 17.5% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% |
| 2026-10-03T08:04:26+00:00 | 21.7% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 20.5% | 3.6% |
| 2026-10-03T08:50:21+00:00 | 21.7% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 20.5% | 3.6% |
| 2026-10-03T09:35:25+00:00 | 21.7% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 20.5% | 3.6% |
| 2026-10-03T10:20:30+00:00 | 21.7% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 20.5% | 3.6% |
| 2026-10-03T11:05:43+00:00 | 21.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 20.5% | 3.6% |
| 2026-10-03T11:51:01+00:00 | 21.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 20.5% | 3.6% |
| 2026-10-03T12:36:05+00:00 | 21.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 20.5% | 3.6% |
| 2026-10-03T13:21:11+00:00 | 21.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 20.5% | 3.6% |
| 2026-10-03T14:09:36+00:00 | 25.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 20.5% | 3.6% |
| 2026-10-03T14:54:57+00:00 | 25.2% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 20.5% | 3.6% |
| 2026-10-03T15:40:19+00:00 | 25.2% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 20.5% | 3.6% |
| 2026-10-03T16:25:24+00:00 | 25.2% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 20.5% | 3.6% |
| 2026-10-03T17:10:31+00:00 | 25.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 20.5% | 3.6% |
| 2026-10-03T17:55:38+00:00 | 25.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 20.5% | 3.6% |
| 2026-10-03T18:40:45+00:00 | 25.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 20.5% | 3.6% |
| 2026-10-03T19:25:55+00:00 | 27.5% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 5.5% |
| 2026-10-03T20:11:06+00:00 | 27.5% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 5.5% |
| 2026-10-03T20:56:18+00:00 | 27.5% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 5.5% |
| 2026-10-03T21:41:25+00:00 | 27.5% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 5.5% |
| 2026-10-03T22:26:31+00:00 | 27.5% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 5.5% |
| 2026-10-03T23:11:37+00:00 | 27.5% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 5.5% |
| 2026-10-03T23:56:43+00:00 | 27.5% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 5.5% |
| 2026-10-04T00:41:49+00:00 | 27.5% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 5.5% |
| 2026-10-04T01:27:00+00:00 | 29.0% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 5.5% |
| 2026-10-04T02:12:18+00:00 | 29.0% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 5.5% |
| 2026-10-04T02:57:28+00:00 | 29.0% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 5.5% |
| 2026-10-04T03:43:01+00:00 | 29.0% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 5.5% |
| 2026-10-04T04:28:40+00:00 | 29.0% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 5.5% |
| 2026-10-04T05:13:57+00:00 | 29.0% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 5.5% |
| 2026-10-04T05:59:04+00:00 | 29.0% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 5.5% |
| 2026-10-04T06:44:10+00:00 | 29.0% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 5.5% |
| 2026-10-04T07:29:37+00:00 | 27.3% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| 2026-10-04T08:15:42+00:00 | 27.3% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| 2026-10-04T09:00:53+00:00 | 27.3% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| 2026-10-04T09:45:58+00:00 | 27.3% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| 2026-10-04T10:31:04+00:00 | 27.3% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| 2026-10-04T11:16:18+00:00 | 27.3% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| 2026-10-04T12:01:36+00:00 | 27.3% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| 2026-10-04T12:47:04+00:00 | 27.3% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| 2026-10-04T13:32:24+00:00 | 28.1% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| 2026-10-04T14:21:28+00:00 | 28.1% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| 2026-10-04T15:06:52+00:00 | 28.1% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| 2026-10-04T15:52:32+00:00 | 28.1% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| 2026-10-04T16:37:47+00:00 | 28.1% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| 2026-10-04T17:23:01+00:00 | 28.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| 2026-10-04T18:08:21+00:00 | 28.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| 2026-10-04T18:53:28+00:00 | 28.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| 2026-10-04T19:38:36+00:00 | 28.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-04T20:23:45+00:00 | 28.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-04T21:08:55+00:00 | 28.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-04T21:54:02+00:00 | 28.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-04T22:39:09+00:00 | 28.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-04T23:24:16+00:00 | 28.1% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-05T00:09:27+00:00 | 28.1% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-05T00:54:37+00:00 | 28.1% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-05T01:39:44+00:00 | 26.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-05T02:24:53+00:00 | 26.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-05T03:10:00+00:00 | 26.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-05T03:55:23+00:00 | 26.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-05T04:41:07+00:00 | 26.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-05T05:26:21+00:00 | 26.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-05T06:11:28+00:00 | 26.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-05T06:56:33+00:00 | 26.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-05T07:42:14+00:00 | 23.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-05T08:28:16+00:00 | 23.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-05T09:13:30+00:00 | 23.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-05T09:58:36+00:00 | 23.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-05T10:43:42+00:00 | 23.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-05T11:28:53+00:00 | 23.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-05T12:14:16+00:00 | 23.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-05T12:59:29+00:00 | 23.5% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-05T13:44:47+00:00 | 24.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-05T14:34:13+00:00 | 24.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-05T15:19:22+00:00 | 24.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-05T16:04:39+00:00 | 24.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-05T16:50:28+00:00 | 24.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-05T17:35:35+00:00 | 24.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-05T18:20:43+00:00 | 24.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-05T19:05:49+00:00 | 24.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| 2026-10-05T19:50:56+00:00 | 21.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 0.5% |
| 2026-10-05T20:36:05+00:00 | 21.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 0.5% |
| 2026-10-05T21:21:24+00:00 | 21.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 0.5% |
| 2026-10-05T22:06:31+00:00 | 21.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 0.5% |
| 2026-10-05T22:51:36+00:00 | 21.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 0.5% |
| 2026-10-05T23:36:43+00:00 | 21.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 0.5% |
| 2026-10-06T00:21:51+00:00 | 21.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 0.5% |
| 2026-10-06T01:07:03+00:00 | 21.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 0.5% |
| 2026-10-06T01:52:09+00:00 | 22.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 0.5% |
| 2026-10-06T02:37:19+00:00 | 22.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 0.5% |
| 2026-10-06T03:22:27+00:00 | 22.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 0.5% |
| 2026-10-06T04:07:49+00:00 | 22.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 0.5% |
| 2026-10-06T04:53:30+00:00 | 22.0% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 0.5% |
| 2026-10-06T05:38:46+00:00 | 22.0% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 0.5% |
| 2026-10-06T06:23:52+00:00 | 22.0% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 0.5% |
| 2026-10-06T07:08:58+00:00 | 22.0% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 0.5% |
| 2026-10-06T07:54:05+00:00 | 20.5% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| 2026-10-06T08:39:12+00:00 | 20.5% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| 2026-10-06T09:24:22+00:00 | 20.5% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| 2026-10-06T10:09:28+00:00 | 20.5% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| 2026-10-06T10:54:35+00:00 | 20.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| 2026-10-06T11:39:42+00:00 | 20.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| 2026-10-06T12:24:48+00:00 | 20.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| 2026-10-06T13:09:55+00:00 | 20.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| 2026-10-06T13:55:03+00:00 | 12.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| 2026-10-06T14:43:56+00:00 | 12.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| 2026-10-06T15:29:20+00:00 | 12.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| 2026-10-06T16:15:03+00:00 | 12.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| 2026-10-06T17:00:13+00:00 | 12.5% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| 2026-10-06T17:45:22+00:00 | 12.5% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| 2026-10-06T18:30:30+00:00 | 12.5% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| 2026-10-06T19:15:37+00:00 | 12.5% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
Forecasts & evidence
| MODEL | YES | MEAN | SPREAD σ | INITIALIZATION UTC | BRIER ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS forecast | 25% | 84.0°F | 2.2°F | 2026-10-06 14:00 | Pending |
| National Blend | 23% | 83.0°F | 3.4°F | 2026-10-06 06:00 | Pending |
| AIFS Single | 12% | 82.0°F | 3.0°F | 2026-10-06 06:00 | Pending |
| IFS HRES | 6% | 79.6°F | 3.7°F | 2026-10-05 00:00 | Pending |
| IFS Ensemble | 4% | 81.1°F | 2.5°F | 2026-10-06 00:00 | Pending |
| ICON | 1% | 78.0°F | 3.4°F | 2026-10-06 00:00 | Pending |
| WeatherNext 2 | 1% | 80.0°F | 2.5°F | 2026-10-06 06:00 | Pending |
Spread is the standard deviation used in the probability approximation. It is not a measured confidence rating. Brier here scores the latest recorded snapshot, not a league deadline.
High ≥ 86°F · KBNA
Daily temperature props settle on the ACIS official station record. Inclusive and strict thresholds retain their exact meanings. Provisional observations do not replace the settlement record.
WP-KBNA-20261006-TMAX-GE86
Opened Sep 29 · 07:22 UTC
Original listing: Nashville runs hot-for-here: 86°F+ · Tue Oct 6
Original prop, full history & receipt ↗