KBOI / Thu Sep 24 / OFFICIAL STATION RECORD
Boise, IDHigh ≥ 90°F
FINAL OUTCOMEYESSep 24 · 06:42 UTC
THE FORECAST FIELD
Who takes which side?
Probabilities derived from each source’s mean and spread. Forecasts may have different initialization times.
Head-to-head preview
ILLUSTRATIVE · NOT EXECUTED100 contracts at the midpoint of these model probabilities. Each contract pays 1u to the winning side.
AIFS +40.10u · EPS −40.10u
These are current forecast comparisons, not locked entries. No credits have been committed. Read the proposed policy →
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Probability history
Recorded source probabilities; timestamps mark snapshots. Repeated values may come from the same model run.
AIFS SingleIFS EnsembleWeatherNext 2IFS HRESICON
View the forecast data
| UTC | AIFS | EPS | WN2 | HRES | ICON |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17T10:28:53+00:00 | 73.0% | 25.7% | 20.5% | 46.1% | 0.1% |
| 2026-09-17T11:14:09+00:00 | 73.0% | 22.7% | 25.1% | 46.1% | 0.1% |
| 2026-09-17T11:59:14+00:00 | 73.0% | 22.7% | 25.1% | 46.1% | 0.1% |
| 2026-09-17T12:44:19+00:00 | 73.0% | 22.7% | 25.1% | 46.1% | 0.1% |
| 2026-09-17T13:29:24+00:00 | 81.7% | 22.7% | 25.1% | 46.1% | 0.1% |
| 2026-09-17T14:15:38+00:00 | 81.7% | 22.7% | 25.1% | 46.1% | 0.1% |
| 2026-09-17T15:00:56+00:00 | 81.7% | 23.1% | 25.1% | 46.1% | 0.1% |
| 2026-09-17T15:46:04+00:00 | 81.7% | 23.1% | 25.1% | 46.1% | 0.1% |
| 2026-09-17T16:31:16+00:00 | 81.7% | 23.1% | 25.1% | 46.1% | 68.1% |
| 2026-09-17T17:16:22+00:00 | 81.7% | 23.1% | 24.4% | 46.1% | 68.1% |
| 2026-09-17T18:01:26+00:00 | 81.7% | 23.1% | 24.4% | 46.1% | 68.1% |
| 2026-09-17T18:46:35+00:00 | 81.7% | 23.1% | 24.4% | 46.1% | 68.1% |
| 2026-09-17T19:31:41+00:00 | 88.3% | 23.1% | 24.4% | 46.1% | 68.1% |
| 2026-09-17T20:16:46+00:00 | 88.3% | 23.1% | 24.4% | 46.1% | 68.1% |
| 2026-09-17T21:01:51+00:00 | 88.3% | 23.1% | 24.4% | 46.1% | 68.1% |
| 2026-09-17T21:46:56+00:00 | 88.3% | 23.1% | 24.4% | 46.1% | 68.1% |
| 2026-09-17T22:32:01+00:00 | 88.3% | 23.1% | 24.4% | 66.3% | 68.1% |
| 2026-09-17T23:17:06+00:00 | 88.3% | 23.1% | 21.8% | 66.3% | 68.1% |
| 2026-09-18T00:02:11+00:00 | 88.3% | 23.1% | 21.8% | 66.3% | 68.1% |
| 2026-09-18T00:47:19+00:00 | 88.3% | 23.1% | 21.8% | 66.3% | 68.1% |
| 2026-09-18T01:32:25+00:00 | 83.1% | 23.1% | 21.8% | 66.3% | 68.1% |
| 2026-09-18T02:17:30+00:00 | 83.1% | 23.1% | 21.8% | 66.3% | 68.1% |
| 2026-09-18T03:02:57+00:00 | 83.1% | 23.1% | 21.8% | 66.3% | 68.1% |
| 2026-09-18T03:48:05+00:00 | 83.1% | 23.1% | 21.8% | 66.3% | 68.1% |
| 2026-09-18T04:33:10+00:00 | 83.1% | 23.1% | 21.8% | 66.3% | 61.0% |
| 2026-09-18T05:18:16+00:00 | 83.1% | 23.1% | 21.8% | 66.3% | 61.0% |
| 2026-09-18T06:03:20+00:00 | 83.1% | 23.1% | 21.8% | 66.3% | 61.0% |
| 2026-09-18T06:48:28+00:00 | 83.1% | 23.1% | 21.8% | 66.3% | 61.0% |
| 2026-09-18T07:33:57+00:00 | 89.9% | 23.1% | 21.8% | 68.0% | 61.0% |
| 2026-09-18T08:19:09+00:00 | 89.9% | 23.1% | 21.8% | 68.0% | 61.0% |
| 2026-09-18T09:04:17+00:00 | 89.9% | 23.1% | 21.8% | 68.0% | 61.0% |
| 2026-09-18T09:49:21+00:00 | 89.9% | 23.1% | 21.8% | 68.0% | 61.0% |
| 2026-09-18T10:34:52+00:00 | 89.9% | 23.1% | 21.8% | 68.0% | 61.0% |
| 2026-09-18T11:20:10+00:00 | 89.9% | 17.5% | 21.8% | 68.0% | 61.0% |
| 2026-09-18T12:05:16+00:00 | 89.9% | 17.5% | 21.8% | 68.0% | 61.0% |
| 2026-09-18T12:50:21+00:00 | 89.9% | 17.5% | 21.8% | 68.0% | 61.0% |
| 2026-09-18T13:35:28+00:00 | 85.8% | 17.5% | 21.8% | 68.0% | 61.0% |
| 2026-09-18T14:21:57+00:00 | 85.8% | 17.5% | 21.9% | 68.0% | 61.0% |
| 2026-09-18T15:07:20+00:00 | 85.8% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 68.0% | 61.0% |
| 2026-09-18T15:52:27+00:00 | 85.8% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 68.0% | 61.0% |
| 2026-09-18T16:37:33+00:00 | 85.8% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 68.0% | 70.6% |
| 2026-09-18T17:22:38+00:00 | 85.8% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 68.0% | 70.6% |
| 2026-09-18T18:07:43+00:00 | 85.8% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 68.0% | 70.6% |
| 2026-09-18T18:52:52+00:00 | 85.8% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 68.0% | 70.6% |
| 2026-09-18T19:37:57+00:00 | 80.6% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 68.0% | 70.6% |
| 2026-09-18T20:23:02+00:00 | 80.6% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 68.0% | 70.6% |
| 2026-09-18T21:08:06+00:00 | 80.6% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 68.0% | 70.6% |
| 2026-09-18T21:53:12+00:00 | 80.6% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 68.0% | 70.6% |
| 2026-09-18T22:38:17+00:00 | 80.6% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 71.7% | 70.6% |
| 2026-09-18T23:23:22+00:00 | 80.6% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 71.7% | 70.6% |
| 2026-09-19T00:08:27+00:00 | 80.6% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 71.7% | 70.6% |
| 2026-09-19T00:53:34+00:00 | 80.6% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 71.7% | 70.6% |
| 2026-09-19T01:38:40+00:00 | 34.0% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 71.7% | 70.6% |
| 2026-09-19T02:23:45+00:00 | 34.0% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 71.7% | 70.6% |
| 2026-09-19T03:09:08+00:00 | 34.0% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 71.7% | 70.6% |
| 2026-09-19T03:54:16+00:00 | 34.0% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 71.7% | 70.6% |
| 2026-09-19T04:39:21+00:00 | 34.0% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 71.7% | 49.3% |
| 2026-09-19T05:24:26+00:00 | 34.0% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 71.7% | 49.3% |
| 2026-09-19T06:09:30+00:00 | 34.0% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 71.7% | 49.3% |
| 2026-09-19T06:54:39+00:00 | 34.0% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 71.7% | 49.3% |
| 2026-09-19T07:40:11+00:00 | 58.0% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 70.2% | 49.3% |
| 2026-09-19T08:25:31+00:00 | 58.0% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 70.2% | 49.3% |
| 2026-09-19T09:10:38+00:00 | 58.0% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 70.2% | 49.3% |
| 2026-09-19T09:55:43+00:00 | 58.0% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 70.2% | 49.3% |
| 2026-09-19T10:40:48+00:00 | 58.0% | 17.6% | 21.9% | 70.2% | 49.3% |
| 2026-09-19T11:25:59+00:00 | 58.0% | 32.1% | 21.9% | 70.2% | 49.3% |
| 2026-09-19T12:11:06+00:00 | 58.0% | 32.1% | 21.9% | 70.2% | 49.3% |
| 2026-09-19T12:56:10+00:00 | 58.0% | 32.1% | 21.9% | 70.2% | 49.3% |
| 2026-09-19T13:41:17+00:00 | 42.0% | 32.1% | 21.9% | 70.2% | 49.3% |
| 2026-09-19T14:27:52+00:00 | 42.0% | 32.1% | 21.9% | 70.3% | 49.3% |
| 2026-09-19T15:13:08+00:00 | 42.0% | 32.4% | 21.9% | 70.3% | 49.3% |
| 2026-09-19T15:58:16+00:00 | 42.0% | 32.4% | 21.9% | 70.3% | 49.3% |
| 2026-09-19T16:43:21+00:00 | 42.0% | 32.4% | 21.9% | 70.3% | 32.3% |
| 2026-09-19T17:28:26+00:00 | 42.0% | 32.4% | 21.9% | 70.3% | 32.3% |
| 2026-09-19T18:13:31+00:00 | 42.0% | 32.4% | 21.9% | 70.3% | 32.3% |
| 2026-09-19T18:58:40+00:00 | 42.0% | 32.4% | 21.9% | 70.3% | 32.3% |
| 2026-09-19T19:43:45+00:00 | 66.4% | 32.4% | 21.9% | 65.3% | 32.3% |
| 2026-09-19T20:28:50+00:00 | 66.4% | 32.4% | 21.9% | 65.3% | 32.3% |
| 2026-09-19T21:13:54+00:00 | 66.4% | 32.4% | 21.9% | 65.3% | 32.3% |
| 2026-09-19T21:58:59+00:00 | 66.4% | 32.4% | 21.9% | 65.3% | 32.3% |
| 2026-09-19T22:44:04+00:00 | 66.4% | 32.4% | 21.9% | 65.3% | 32.3% |
| 2026-09-19T23:29:10+00:00 | 66.4% | 32.4% | 21.9% | 65.3% | 32.3% |
| 2026-09-20T00:14:16+00:00 | 66.4% | 32.4% | 21.9% | 65.3% | 32.3% |
| 2026-09-20T00:59:25+00:00 | 66.4% | 32.4% | 21.9% | 65.3% | 32.3% |
| 2026-09-20T01:44:33+00:00 | 82.4% | 32.4% | 21.9% | 65.3% | 32.3% |
| 2026-09-20T02:29:39+00:00 | 82.4% | 32.4% | 21.9% | 65.3% | 32.3% |
| 2026-09-20T03:14:58+00:00 | 82.4% | 32.4% | 21.9% | 65.3% | 32.3% |
| 2026-09-20T04:00:05+00:00 | 82.4% | 32.4% | 21.9% | 65.3% | 32.3% |
| 2026-09-20T04:45:11+00:00 | 82.4% | 32.4% | 21.9% | 65.3% | 64.8% |
| 2026-09-20T05:30:16+00:00 | 82.4% | 32.4% | 21.9% | 65.3% | 64.8% |
| 2026-09-20T06:15:21+00:00 | 82.4% | 32.4% | 21.9% | 65.3% | 64.8% |
| 2026-09-20T07:00:29+00:00 | 82.4% | 32.4% | 21.9% | 65.3% | 64.8% |
| 2026-09-20T07:46:00+00:00 | 87.2% | 32.4% | 21.9% | 60.1% | 64.8% |
| 2026-09-20T08:31:14+00:00 | 87.2% | 32.4% | 21.9% | 60.1% | 64.8% |
| 2026-09-20T09:16:19+00:00 | 87.2% | 32.4% | 21.9% | 60.1% | 64.8% |
| 2026-09-20T10:01:24+00:00 | 87.2% | 32.4% | 21.9% | 60.1% | 64.8% |
| 2026-09-20T10:46:29+00:00 | 87.2% | 32.4% | 21.9% | 60.1% | 64.8% |
| 2026-09-20T11:31:45+00:00 | 87.2% | 28.0% | 21.9% | 60.1% | 64.8% |
| 2026-09-20T12:16:54+00:00 | 87.2% | 28.0% | 21.9% | 60.1% | 64.8% |
| 2026-09-20T13:01:59+00:00 | 87.2% | 28.0% | 21.9% | 60.1% | 64.8% |
| 2026-09-20T13:47:06+00:00 | 88.5% | 28.0% | 21.9% | 60.1% | 64.8% |
| 2026-09-20T14:33:37+00:00 | 88.5% | 28.0% | 22.0% | 60.2% | 64.8% |
| 2026-09-20T15:19:00+00:00 | 88.5% | 26.6% | 22.0% | 60.2% | 64.8% |
| 2026-09-20T16:04:09+00:00 | 88.5% | 26.6% | 22.0% | 60.2% | 64.8% |
| 2026-09-20T16:49:15+00:00 | 88.5% | 26.6% | 22.0% | 60.2% | 60.0% |
| 2026-09-20T17:34:20+00:00 | 88.5% | 26.6% | 22.0% | 60.2% | 60.0% |
| 2026-09-20T18:19:24+00:00 | 88.5% | 26.6% | 22.0% | 60.2% | 60.0% |
| 2026-09-20T19:04:33+00:00 | 88.5% | 26.6% | 22.0% | 60.2% | 60.0% |
| 2026-09-20T19:49:38+00:00 | 86.3% | 26.6% | 22.0% | 60.2% | 60.0% |
| 2026-09-20T20:34:43+00:00 | 86.3% | 26.6% | 22.0% | 60.2% | 60.0% |
| 2026-09-20T21:19:47+00:00 | 86.3% | 26.6% | 22.0% | 60.2% | 60.0% |
| 2026-09-20T22:04:52+00:00 | 86.3% | 26.6% | 22.0% | 60.2% | 60.0% |
| 2026-09-20T22:50:02+00:00 | 86.3% | 26.6% | 22.0% | 60.9% | 60.0% |
| 2026-09-20T23:35:07+00:00 | 86.3% | 26.6% | 22.0% | 60.9% | 60.0% |
| 2026-09-21T00:20:16+00:00 | 86.3% | 26.6% | 22.0% | 60.9% | 60.0% |
| 2026-09-21T01:05:26+00:00 | 86.3% | 26.6% | 22.0% | 60.9% | 60.0% |
| 2026-09-21T01:50:32+00:00 | 83.8% | 26.6% | 22.0% | 60.9% | 60.0% |
| 2026-09-21T02:35:36+00:00 | 83.8% | 26.6% | 22.0% | 60.9% | 60.0% |
| 2026-09-21T03:20:54+00:00 | 83.8% | 26.6% | 22.0% | 60.9% | 60.0% |
| 2026-09-21T04:06:03+00:00 | 83.8% | 26.6% | 22.0% | 60.9% | 60.0% |
| 2026-09-21T04:51:13+00:00 | 83.8% | 26.6% | 22.0% | 60.9% | 78.0% |
| 2026-09-21T05:36:20+00:00 | 83.8% | 26.6% | 22.0% | 60.9% | 78.0% |
| 2026-09-21T06:21:25+00:00 | 83.8% | 26.6% | 22.0% | 60.9% | 78.0% |
| 2026-09-21T07:06:33+00:00 | 83.8% | 26.6% | 22.0% | 60.9% | 78.0% |
| 2026-09-21T07:51:38+00:00 | 84.1% | 26.6% | 22.0% | 60.9% | 78.0% |
| 2026-09-21T08:36:43+00:00 | 84.1% | 26.6% | 22.0% | 60.9% | 78.0% |
| 2026-09-21T09:21:47+00:00 | 84.1% | 26.6% | 22.0% | 60.9% | 78.0% |
| 2026-09-21T10:06:52+00:00 | 84.1% | 26.6% | 22.0% | 60.9% | 78.0% |
| 2026-09-21T10:52:29+00:00 | 84.1% | 26.6% | 22.0% | 57.9% | 78.0% |
| 2026-09-21T11:37:57+00:00 | 84.1% | 25.6% | 22.0% | 57.9% | 78.0% |
| 2026-09-21T12:23:03+00:00 | 84.1% | 25.6% | 22.0% | 57.9% | 78.0% |
| 2026-09-21T13:08:08+00:00 | 84.1% | 25.6% | 22.0% | 57.9% | 78.0% |
| 2026-09-21T13:53:16+00:00 | 85.8% | 25.6% | 22.1% | 57.9% | 78.0% |
| 2026-09-21T14:40:21+00:00 | 85.8% | 25.6% | 22.1% | 57.9% | 78.0% |
| 2026-09-21T15:25:40+00:00 | 85.8% | 24.7% | 22.1% | 57.9% | 78.0% |
| 2026-09-21T16:10:49+00:00 | 85.8% | 24.7% | 22.1% | 57.9% | 78.0% |
| 2026-09-21T16:55:54+00:00 | 85.8% | 24.7% | 22.1% | 57.9% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-21T17:40:59+00:00 | 85.8% | 24.7% | 22.1% | 57.9% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-21T18:26:04+00:00 | 85.8% | 24.7% | 22.1% | 57.9% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-21T19:11:14+00:00 | 85.8% | 24.7% | 22.1% | 57.9% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-21T19:56:26+00:00 | 83.6% | 24.7% | 22.1% | 57.0% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-21T20:41:33+00:00 | 83.6% | 24.7% | 22.1% | 57.0% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-21T21:26:39+00:00 | 83.6% | 24.7% | 22.1% | 57.0% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-21T22:11:45+00:00 | 83.6% | 24.7% | 22.1% | 57.0% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-21T22:56:50+00:00 | 83.6% | 24.7% | 22.1% | 57.0% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-21T23:41:55+00:00 | 83.7% | 24.7% | 22.1% | 57.0% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-22T00:27:00+00:00 | 83.7% | 24.7% | 22.1% | 57.0% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-22T01:12:09+00:00 | 83.7% | 24.7% | 22.1% | 57.0% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-22T01:57:15+00:00 | 83.7% | 24.7% | 22.1% | 57.0% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-22T02:42:38+00:00 | 83.7% | 24.7% | 22.1% | 57.0% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-22T03:27:47+00:00 | 83.7% | 24.7% | 22.1% | 57.0% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-22T04:12:51+00:00 | 83.7% | 24.7% | 22.1% | 57.0% | 66.9% |
| 2026-09-22T04:58:05+00:00 | 83.7% | 24.7% | 22.1% | 57.0% | 59.0% |
| 2026-09-22T05:43:30+00:00 | 83.7% | 24.7% | 22.1% | 57.0% | 59.0% |
| 2026-09-22T06:28:43+00:00 | 83.7% | 24.7% | 22.1% | 57.0% | 59.0% |
| 2026-09-22T07:13:51+00:00 | 83.7% | 24.7% | 22.1% | 57.0% | 59.0% |
| 2026-09-22T07:59:28+00:00 | 86.3% | 24.7% | 22.1% | 54.8% | 59.0% |
| 2026-09-22T08:44:42+00:00 | 86.3% | 24.7% | 22.1% | 54.8% | 59.0% |
| 2026-09-22T09:29:48+00:00 | 86.3% | 24.7% | 22.1% | 54.8% | 59.0% |
| 2026-09-22T10:14:53+00:00 | 86.3% | 24.7% | 22.1% | 54.8% | 59.0% |
| 2026-09-22T11:00:06+00:00 | 86.3% | 27.3% | 22.1% | 54.8% | 59.0% |
| 2026-09-22T11:45:12+00:00 | 86.3% | 27.3% | 22.1% | 54.8% | 59.0% |
| 2026-09-22T12:30:17+00:00 | 86.3% | 27.3% | 22.1% | 54.8% | 59.0% |
| 2026-09-22T13:15:22+00:00 | 86.3% | 27.3% | 22.1% | 54.8% | 59.0% |
| 2026-09-22T14:00:32+00:00 | 88.4% | 27.3% | 21.5% | 54.8% | 59.0% |
| 2026-09-22T14:47:15+00:00 | 88.4% | 27.3% | 21.5% | 54.8% | 59.0% |
| 2026-09-22T15:32:31+00:00 | 88.4% | 26.7% | 21.5% | 54.8% | 59.0% |
| 2026-09-22T16:17:42+00:00 | 88.4% | 26.7% | 21.5% | 54.8% | 59.0% |
| 2026-09-22T17:02:48+00:00 | 88.4% | 26.7% | 21.5% | 54.8% | 62.3% |
| 2026-09-22T17:47:53+00:00 | 88.4% | 26.7% | 21.5% | 54.8% | 62.3% |
| 2026-09-22T18:32:59+00:00 | 88.4% | 26.7% | 21.5% | 54.8% | 62.3% |
| 2026-09-22T19:18:07+00:00 | 88.4% | 26.7% | 21.5% | 54.8% | 62.3% |
| 2026-09-22T20:03:13+00:00 | 87.4% | 26.7% | 21.5% | 54.8% | 62.3% |
| 2026-09-22T20:48:17+00:00 | 87.4% | 26.7% | 21.5% | 54.8% | 62.3% |
| 2026-09-22T21:33:27+00:00 | 87.4% | 26.7% | 21.5% | 54.8% | 62.3% |
| 2026-09-22T22:18:34+00:00 | 87.4% | 26.7% | 21.5% | 54.8% | 62.3% |
| 2026-09-22T23:03:41+00:00 | 87.4% | 26.7% | 60.1% | 54.8% | 62.3% |
| 2026-09-22T23:48:47+00:00 | 87.4% | 26.7% | 60.1% | 54.8% | 62.3% |
| 2026-09-23T00:33:52+00:00 | 87.4% | 26.7% | 60.1% | 54.8% | 62.3% |
| 2026-09-23T01:19:00+00:00 | 87.4% | 26.7% | 60.1% | 54.8% | 62.3% |
| 2026-09-23T02:04:08+00:00 | 87.4% | 26.7% | 60.1% | 54.8% | 62.3% |
| 2026-09-23T02:49:27+00:00 | 87.4% | 26.7% | 60.1% | 54.8% | 62.3% |
| 2026-09-23T03:34:41+00:00 | 87.4% | 26.7% | 60.1% | 54.8% | 62.3% |
| 2026-09-23T04:19:46+00:00 | 87.4% | 26.7% | 60.1% | 54.8% | 62.3% |
| 2026-09-23T05:04:59+00:00 | 87.4% | 26.7% | 60.1% | 56.7% | 46.6% |
| 2026-09-23T05:50:07+00:00 | 87.4% | 26.7% | 60.1% | 56.7% | 46.6% |
| 2026-09-23T06:35:12+00:00 | 87.4% | 26.7% | 60.1% | 56.7% | 46.6% |
| 2026-09-23T07:20:20+00:00 | 87.4% | 26.7% | 60.1% | 56.7% | 46.6% |
| 2026-09-23T08:05:59+00:00 | 89.5% | 26.7% | 60.1% | 64.6% | 46.6% |
| 2026-09-23T08:51:14+00:00 | 89.5% | 26.7% | 60.1% | 64.6% | 46.6% |
| 2026-09-23T09:36:18+00:00 | 89.5% | 26.7% | 60.1% | 64.6% | 46.6% |
| 2026-09-23T10:21:22+00:00 | 89.5% | 26.7% | 60.1% | 64.6% | 46.6% |
| 2026-09-23T11:06:35+00:00 | 89.5% | 29.4% | 73.2% | 64.6% | 46.6% |
| 2026-09-23T11:51:41+00:00 | 89.5% | 29.4% | 73.2% | 64.6% | 46.6% |
| 2026-09-23T12:36:46+00:00 | 89.5% | 29.4% | 73.2% | 64.6% | 46.6% |
| 2026-09-23T13:21:51+00:00 | 89.0% | 29.4% | 73.2% | 64.6% | 46.6% |
| 2026-09-23T14:09:08+00:00 | 89.0% | 29.5% | 73.2% | 64.6% | 47.7% |
| 2026-09-23T14:54:24+00:00 | 89.0% | 30.4% | 73.2% | 64.6% | 47.7% |
| 2026-09-23T15:39:33+00:00 | 89.0% | 30.3% | 73.2% | 64.6% | 47.7% |
| 2026-09-23T16:24:42+00:00 | 89.0% | 30.3% | 73.2% | 64.6% | 42.1% |
| 2026-09-23T17:09:52+00:00 | 89.0% | 30.3% | 63.8% | 64.6% | 42.1% |
| 2026-09-23T17:54:57+00:00 | 89.0% | 30.3% | 63.8% | 64.6% | 42.1% |
| 2026-09-23T18:40:03+00:00 | 89.0% | 30.3% | 63.8% | 64.6% | 42.1% |
| 2026-09-23T19:25:15+00:00 | 89.0% | 30.3% | 63.8% | 59.5% | 42.1% |
| 2026-09-23T20:10:21+00:00 | 89.0% | 30.3% | 63.8% | 59.5% | 42.1% |
| 2026-09-23T20:55:27+00:00 | 89.0% | 30.3% | 63.8% | 59.5% | 42.1% |
| 2026-09-23T21:40:32+00:00 | 89.0% | 30.3% | 63.8% | 59.5% | 42.1% |
| 2026-09-23T22:25:39+00:00 | 89.0% | 30.3% | 63.8% | 59.5% | 42.1% |
| 2026-09-23T23:10:45+00:00 | 89.0% | 30.3% | 61.6% | 59.5% | 42.1% |
| 2026-09-23T23:55:50+00:00 | 89.0% | 30.3% | 61.6% | 59.5% | 42.1% |
| 2026-09-24T00:40:57+00:00 | 89.0% | 30.3% | 61.6% | 59.5% | 42.1% |
| 2026-09-24T01:26:08+00:00 | 89.5% | 30.3% | 61.6% | 59.5% | 42.1% |
| 2026-09-24T02:11:14+00:00 | 89.5% | 30.3% | 61.6% | 59.5% | 42.1% |
| 2026-09-24T02:56:46+00:00 | 89.5% | 30.3% | 61.6% | 59.5% | 42.1% |
| 2026-09-24T03:41:56+00:00 | 89.5% | 30.3% | 61.6% | 59.5% | 42.1% |
| 2026-09-24T04:27:02+00:00 | 89.5% | 30.3% | 61.6% | 59.5% | 31.0% |
| 2026-09-24T05:12:08+00:00 | 89.5% | 30.3% | 64.9% | 59.5% | 31.0% |
| 2026-09-24T05:57:20+00:00 | 89.5% | 30.3% | 64.9% | 59.5% | 31.0% |
| 2026-09-24T06:42:27+00:00 | 89.5% | 30.3% | 64.9% | 59.5% | 31.0% |
THE MODEL BOX SCORE
Forecasts & evidence
| MODEL | YES | MEAN | SPREAD σ | INITIALIZATION UTC | BRIER ↓ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIFS Single | 90% | 94.6°F | 4.1°F | 2026-09-23 18:00 | 0.0110 |
| National Blend | 84% | 91.0°F | 1.5°F | 2026-09-23 06:00 | 0.0266 |
| NWS forecast | 75% | 91.0°F | 2.2°F | 2026-09-24 02:00 | 0.0615 |
| WeatherNext 2 | 65% | 90.8°F | 3.4°F | 2026-09-23 18:00 | 0.1232 |
| IFS HRES | 60% | 90.4°F | 3.8°F | 2026-09-23 12:00 | 0.1640 |
| ICON | 31% | 87.8°F | 3.4°F | 2026-09-24 00:00 | 0.4761 |
| IFS Ensemble | 30% | 87.4°F | 4.1°F | 2026-09-23 00:00 | 0.4858 |
Spread is the standard deviation used in the probability approximation. It is not a measured confidence rating. Brier here scores the latest recorded snapshot, not a league deadline.
High ≥ 90°F · KBOI
Daily temperature props settle on the ACIS official station record. Inclusive and strict thresholds retain their exact meanings. Provisional observations do not replace the settlement record.
WP-KBOI-20260924-TMAX-GE90
Opened Sep 17 · 10:28 UTC
Original listing: A 90° day in Boise · Thu Sep 24
Original prop, full history & receipt ↗