WEATHER PROPSBOARDMATCHUPSMODELSSTATIONSREPLAYTHE LEAGUE
← All matchups
KPIT / Fri Oct 16 / OFFICIAL STATION RECORD

Pittsburgh, PAHigh ≥ 67°F

CONSENSUS FORECAST76%Oct 09 · 10:52 UTC
THE FORECAST FIELD

Who takes which side?

0% · NO50%YES · 100%
WN2
87%
ICON
85%
HRES
78%
EPS
62%
AIFS
54%
Consensus
76%

Probabilities derived from each source’s mean and spread. Forecasts may have different initialization times.

HOW A MODEL CONTRACT WORKS

Head-to-head preview

ILLUSTRATIVE · NOT EXECUTED
WN2YES 70.2¢Risks 70.15u
VS
AIFSNO 29.8¢Risks 29.85u

100 contracts at the midpoint of these model probabilities. Each contract pays 1u to the winning side.

WN2 +29.85u · AIFS −29.85u

These are current forecast comparisons, not locked entries. No credits have been committed. Read the proposed policy →

FOLLOW THE RUNS

Probability history

RecordedReconstructed

Recorded source probabilities; timestamps mark snapshots. Repeated values may come from the same model run.

0%25%50%75%100%AIFS Single: 53.6% · 2026-10-09T07:50:45+00:00AIFS Single: 53.6% · 2026-10-09T08:37:12+00:00AIFS Single: 53.6% · 2026-10-09T09:22:17+00:00AIFS Single: 53.6% · 2026-10-09T10:07:23+00:00AIFS Single: 53.6% · 2026-10-09T10:52:29+00:00IFS Ensemble: 62.3% · 2026-10-09T07:50:45+00:00IFS Ensemble: 62.3% · 2026-10-09T08:37:12+00:00IFS Ensemble: 62.3% · 2026-10-09T09:22:17+00:00IFS Ensemble: 62.3% · 2026-10-09T10:07:23+00:00IFS Ensemble: 62.3% · 2026-10-09T10:52:29+00:00WeatherNext 2: 86.7% · 2026-10-09T07:50:45+00:00WeatherNext 2: 86.7% · 2026-10-09T08:37:12+00:00WeatherNext 2: 86.7% · 2026-10-09T09:22:17+00:00WeatherNext 2: 86.7% · 2026-10-09T10:07:23+00:00WeatherNext 2: 86.7% · 2026-10-09T10:52:29+00:00IFS HRES: 78.0% · 2026-10-09T07:50:45+00:00IFS HRES: 78.0% · 2026-10-09T08:37:12+00:00IFS HRES: 78.0% · 2026-10-09T09:22:17+00:00IFS HRES: 78.0% · 2026-10-09T10:07:23+00:00IFS HRES: 78.0% · 2026-10-09T10:52:29+00:00ICON: 84.9% · 2026-10-09T07:50:45+00:00ICON: 84.9% · 2026-10-09T08:37:12+00:00ICON: 84.9% · 2026-10-09T09:22:17+00:00ICON: 84.9% · 2026-10-09T10:07:23+00:00ICON: 84.9% · 2026-10-09T10:52:29+00:0010-09 07:5010-09 09:2210-09 10:52
AIFS SingleIFS EnsembleWeatherNext 2IFS HRESICON
2026-10-09T10:52:29+00:00 · UTC
View the forecast data
UTCAIFSEPSWN2HRESICON
2026-10-09T07:50:45+00:0053.6%62.3%86.7%78.0%84.9%
2026-10-09T08:37:12+00:0053.6%62.3%86.7%78.0%84.9%
2026-10-09T09:22:17+00:0053.6%62.3%86.7%78.0%84.9%
2026-10-09T10:07:23+00:0053.6%62.3%86.7%78.0%84.9%
2026-10-09T10:52:29+00:0053.6%62.3%86.7%78.0%84.9%
THE MODEL BOX SCORE

Forecasts & evidence

MODELYESMEANSPREAD σINITIALIZATION UTCBRIER ↓
WeatherNext 287%72.4°F5.3°F2026-10-08 18:00Pending
ICON85%76.6°F9.8°F2026-10-09 00:00Pending
IFS HRES78%71.4°F6.3°F2026-10-09 00:00Pending
IFS Ensemble62%69.0°F8.0°F2026-10-08 00:00Pending
AIFS Single54%67.0°F5.6°F2026-10-09 00:00Pending
National Blend52%67.0°F11.4°F2026-10-09 00:00Pending

Spread is the standard deviation used in the probability approximation. It is not a measured confidence rating. Brier here scores the latest recorded snapshot, not a league deadline.

SETTLEMENT & PROVENANCE

High ≥ 67°F · KPIT

Daily temperature props settle on the ACIS official station record. Inclusive and strict thresholds retain their exact meanings. Provisional observations do not replace the settlement record.

WP-KPIT-20261016-TMAX-GE67
Opened Oct 09 · 07:50 UTC

Original listing: Pittsburgh high ≥ 67°F · Fri Oct 16

Original prop, full history & receipt ↗